ALCOA Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 022124Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 27/61.80%
Chart time frame : B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress : A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) Hit the bottom
D) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
185 trade ideas
AA - Cyclical Nature calls for Cycle Lows in MarchReviewing a longer term chart of Alcoa, it's hard to miss the cyclical nature of this stock. Regularly hitting cycle lows in March each two years. Stochastics still falling and a closer analysis indicates that there will be one more leg down. However, now is the time to put this one on your radar.
I have already taken a position but had sold January calls to generate some income while I am waiting for this to bottom. Think that with inflation not backing down, this one is going to be a big winner for the next two years. Notice that the tops are pretty regular as well.
Alcoa - Friday's Test of Low = Buying OpportunityThe first impulse move off the low illustrates a possible 5 wave impulse structure. Assuming we are in wave 4, a fifth wave, most likely exceeding the high of wave 3 can push AA to 35-36 over the very short term. Watching to see if the closing low of three weeks ago holds. This has often been a trigger for my trades.
AA Alcoa Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AA before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AA Alcoa Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 30usd strike price at the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.13.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AA Alcoa Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AA Alcoa Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 30usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-3-15,
for a premium of approximately $2.47.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Alcoa to find sellers at previous support?Alcoa Corporation - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 32.65 (stop at 35.05)
Daily signals are bearish.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Previous support at 32.50 now becomes resistance.
This stock has seen poor sales growth.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Our profit targets will be 26.65 and 25.55
Resistance: 28.57 / 29.83 / 31.45
Support: 27.47 / 26.35 / 25.59
Please be advised that the in formation presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
Alcoa in a sequence of lower lows and highs.Alcoa Corporation - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 32.65 (stop at 35.05)
Daily signals are bearish.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Previous support at 32.50 now becomes resistance.
This stock has seen poor sales growth.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Our profit targets will be 26.65 and 25.55
Resistance: 29.05 / 30.00 / 31.45
Support: 27.76 / 27.00 / 26.00
Please be advised that the in formation presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group
AA - Breakout? Or Breakdown?Alcoa is such a mystery to me. On one hand, I want to add to an already heavily hedged long position but looking at the general downtrend and the recent consolidation here, I'm wondering if AA is destined for another leg down, that might bring prices to 25 or even 17. I keep thinking that whenever I want to add to my AA position, I should buy Nucor instead but even as NUE continues to act very strong, I keep looking at AA. Don't know why, doesn't even pay a decent dividend, just a tad over 1%. That also concerns me as many materials stocks are paying 3% or better.
Running out of time here as a breakout one way or the other is destined to occur. The wave analysis seems to indicate lower prices.
Anyone follow AA? Thoughts welcome!
Selling Alcoa into previous support.Alcoa Corporation - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 38.98 (stop at 40.98)
Daily signals are mildly bearish.
Previous support at 39 now becomes resistance.
This stock has seen poor sales growth.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 33.98 and 32.98
Resistance: 36.00 / 37.75 / 39.00
Support: 34.80 / 33.95 / 31.14
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AA Alcoa Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of AA Alcoa Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 40usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately 3.00usd.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Alcoa to find sellers at previous support?Alcoa Corporation - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 38.98 (stop at 40.98)
Daily signals are mildly bearish.
Previous support at 39 now becomes resistance.
This stock has seen poor sales growth.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 33.98 and 32.98
Resistance: 36.00 / 37.75 / 39.00
Support: 34.80 / 33.95 / 31.14
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Alcoa to find resistance at previous support?Alcoa Corporation - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 38.98 (stop at 40.98)
Daily signals are mildly bearish.
Previous support at 39 now becomes resistance.
This stock has seen poor sales growth.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 33.98 and 32.98
Resistance: 37.00 / 39.00 / 42.50
Support: 35.00 / 33.95 / 32.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Will Alcoa Continue Lower?Alcoa rallied early last year after the Ukraine war threatened aluminum supplies. It’s struggled since and now some traders may expect further pushes to the downside.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs since August (marked with red arrows). Those may reflect a lack of long-term interest in the name.
Speaking of long-term moves, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) recently had a “death cross” under the 200-day SMA.
Third, prices knifed under December’s closing low of $42.22 in mid-March. They formed a tight channel above roughly $38.50, but ended last week below that support.
Finally, the weaker macroeconomic environment may drag on a cyclical material stock like AA.
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AA Alcoa Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of AA Alcoa Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing
Calls with a 45usd strike price and an expiration date of 2023-5-19, for a premium of approximately $1.11.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
ALCOA ($AA) Elliott Waves Technical AnalysisFrom a technical point of view, Alcoa still has an interesting technical structure in play in the medium term. As we can see on weekly chart, the pullback triggered from the last Top reached an important support area around $33 and from here, the market has developed a nice reaction, at the same time however, we need to destroy the important resistance area around $59/$64 to confirm wave 3. If this happens, $AA should be able to trigger a new Top in the medium term. Of course, this setup is not as simple as the last one we shared and published a few years ago (see chart below), but at the same time it could be an interesting trading opportunity, especially if we are able to follow it on small time frame ( daily or intraday chart). Technically speaking, we may have much more information after the next opening bell...
OUR LAST SETUP ABOUT ALCOA
(Click & Play, play, play and play on chart below)
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