Alcoa has dropped about 40% from its recent high of 98.00. In the past two weeks, it had dived even further. Price seems to have created a lower high at 67.00. It is current at very critical trendline support at 53.00. Do note that 55 is also the previous resistance back in Apr 2018. Price to most likely consolidates between 53.00 and 67.00 for now. However,...
Log scale on the right chart, where we can identify a clear breakout to the downside. No Armageddon, although, the stock may face some selling pressure for quite a prolonged period of time.
as the aluminum price is raising and alcoa have record benefit this year
Broke below trendline, watch for continuation and retest of lows
We have two scenarios, 1. we go straight in $42 dollar zone, or 2. we go up to $100 zone, and fall right back down in to $42 zone. One or the other way I'm going short.
This trade has a great R:R imo. Just a couple of days ago some heavy flow came into the January $75 calls. Over $5MI in premiums. Price is bouncing off support and showing reaction. Stop loss can be just below support and target can be $75 / $80
Market finished 1 to 5 Elliot wave theory and we are forecasting that this is the end of an ABC correction because it is 0.382 fib zone and top of the accumulation zone. Entry: 65 Invalidation: 53 Target: 88 (middle of the accumulation zone)
ENTRY: 88.02 SL: 79.15 TP: 98.09 - ADX<20. Would like to be higher. - Daily RS +ve - Daily FFI -ve - Weekly RS +ve - Weekly FFI +ve - Maintaining and looks like rebounded well around pivot point "P". - Looks like possible channel movement off the bottom - Entry based on breakout from Swim Trading VZ and Monthly CPR today but prefer it closed above.
AA at trend resistance, seems like its trying to breakout.. if it can my targets are 94.63-101.52-108.41 a break back below the trend can send it to 80.22-69.26
- 3-4 month base build a flat channel pattern in the tight range 44-52 - first entry point occurred 12/16/2021 at 52 when AA broke out the pattern - we missed this entry point but we waited until its first consolidation 56-64 until early February - obviously, AA was ready to make its prime time rally on February 7-8 when getting out 64 so it was our entry point...
Background - Mar 20, 22 * 🐂 * Maybe at an oversold condition Current Condition * I don't see SOW 🚫 🐻 * Reactions on decreasing volume * Coming to reaction -> re-rest at 90 What am I looking for 🐂 - high vol absorption at 90 🐂 - low vol reaction to 71 support and buy spring 🐻 - Don't see anything in the immediate future Video Analysis cln.sh
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AA upside reclaim with strength in the sector due to windfalls in the industry. Growth in the company is expected as a result of aluminum price hikes. Alcoa is breaching the 20MA once again after bouncing off support on key 50MA & 69.98 support. Re-seen auction puts AA back on track of an upside movement towards a channel from October 2021. MACD cross observed on...
The March correction has ended today at the new high at 92.30. We may see a sideward range now or more likely another run down to close the window on March 1st .
Looking for throwback to support in coming weeks... chart extended and looking to play correction.
WENT UP a lot and getting closer to the resistance
AA: Price re-discovery to the upside as a result of directional conviction and buyer control. Cases to the upside supported by: sector strength with metals/precious metals hitting record highs on LME, sustained volume, and a maintain of overweight with a new PT to $78 via Morgan Stanley. With RSI >70, we may see some healthy retracement to consolidation. Base...
AA: 4Bar Play Intraday scalp/momentum live in play this morning with the sector in the lead this am.