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Spotify Technology SA

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Spotify: A strong price appreciation you can't afford to ignoreHello, Spotify Technology SA has matured into the world’s dominant digital music platform, giving users instant access to a vast universe of music, podcasts, and increasingly, audiobooks. Its business runs through two engines: Premium subscriptions and an Ad-Supported tier. Premium subscribers enjoy uninterrupted, high-quality streaming across virtually every device in existence—phones, cars, game consoles, smart speakers, and more. The Ad-Supported tier, meanwhile, serves as both a funnel for future subscribers and a home for millions who prefer free access to Spotify’s global audio catalogue. Spotify’s recent guidance suggests that fourth-quarter profits will beat Wall Street expectations. Strong user growth and the impact of earlier price increases—especially heading into the high-engagement Christmas season—are driving this momentum. The company also plans to raise U.S. subscription prices in early 2026, its first increase since mid-2024. Incremental price hikes, rolled out carefully across international markets, are now a clear strategy to protect margins in the face of rising royalty and content costs. Spotify’s strategic position continues to be shaped by a blend of strengths and structural constraints. Its massive user base forms a powerful network effect: more listeners generate more data, which feeds a recommendation engine that has become the industry standard. The platform’s ubiquity across devices cements its role as the default music interface for hundreds of millions globally. Its brand identity—rooted in personalization, discovery, and cultural relevance—has kept it a step ahead of rivals in terms of mindshare. Yet the company’s Achilles’ heel remains unchanged. Spotify does not own most of its content; the Big Three record labels still command the licensing ecosystem. This creates margin pressure and limits the company’s ability to fully control costs. Average revenue per user remains under pressure as growth increasingly comes from lower-income regions. Meanwhile, Apple and Amazon, whose streaming services function more like value-add features than standalone businesses, can subsidize their platforms in ways Spotify cannot. Still, the opportunity ahead is expansive. Spotify is leaning heavily into AI-powered audio experiences, new monetization paths for artists, and a broader universe of non-music formats—from interactive audio to premium audiobook bundles. It also has room to accelerate growth in emerging markets through creator partnerships and telecom bundles. Even commerce—concert tickets, fan merchandise, brand collaborations—remains underdeveloped and ripe for integration. For professionals in the music ecosystem, Spotify has the potential to become not just a distribution platform but a data and analytics powerhouse. On the charts, the stock tells an intriguing story. Spotify has been moving sideways since April’s “liberation day” rally, and it now trades near the same levels where markets were hit by tariff-related volatility earlier in the year. Many of the stocks that fell sharply during that period have since recovered—but Spotify is still giving investors a second chance to buy at those same levels. At its current price of about $561, the stock sits near a technical inflection point. The MACD indicator is approaching a zero-line crossover, often a signal of shifting momentum. That combination—fundamental tailwinds plus technical alignment—sets up a compelling entry opportunity. Assuming continued margin improvement, sustained user expansion, and another successful price hike cycle, a medium-term target of $800 remains realistic. Spotify is at a moment where strategy, product innovation, and market behavior are beginning to converge. It’s no longer just a streaming app—it’s positioning itself as the central nervous system of global audio culture. For investors who believe in the long runway of digital audio, the stock’s current consolidation zone may prove to be the pause before the next major move.
NYSE:SPOTLong
by thesharkke
SPOT - A Ticking Time Bomb!SPOT Earnings Yield of 1.3% according to current data — meaning you’re getting about 1.3 cents of profit per dollar invested. LOL! Better you give me your hard-earned money and I'll give you 2% instead of 1.3%. I like to splurge! :) The Structural Constraint Spotify cannot scale margins the way Netflix did because: They don’t own the content They don’t control input costs They have to pay out ~70% of every dollar to rights holders Their pricing power is weak and regulated by deals with labels The labels decide what happens to Spotify’s margins, not Spotify This is the definition of a business with a hard economic ceiling. No amount of subscribers fixes the cost structure. Spotify’s long-run net margin: 1–2% (When they “beat,” the gains evaporate the next quarter.) If Spotify hit 5% margins — a level they’ve never sustained. And on a positive note — THANK YOU for helping me hit 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥 Let’s keep going. If you find value in the work: 👉 Boost 👉 Follow 👉 Leave a comment Let’s push to 6,000 and keep building a community rooted in facts, not fairy tales.
NYSE:SPOTShort
by RealMacro
1
$SPOT Earnings Report and Technical Analysis OverviewSPOT Delayed Earnings Move Earnings Report Summary On the morning of November 4, 2025, Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) announced its earnings results for the third quarter, surpassing market expectations. The company reported earnings of $3.83 per share, notably higher than the consensus estimate of $1.87 per share. Revenue reached $4.99 billion, beating the expected $4.89 billion. This represented a 104.81% outperformance on earnings and a 13.93% increase in revenue year-over-year, with earnings growth at 140.9%. Despite this strong performance, Spotify provided guidance for fourth quarter revenue at approximately $5.17 billion, which is below the current consensus estimate of $5.32 billion for the period ending December 31, 2025. Technical Analysis Since mid-September, SPOT shares have been in a downtrend. A downward line of resistance had been identified, and as of today, the stock has broken above it. This movement also appears to form an undercut and rally pattern. However, several technical hurdles remain. Notably, the stock has not yet established a higher low or a higher high, which are key signals needed to confirm a reversal of the downtrend. Additionally, SPOT is currently trading below its 21-day exponential moving average (EMA), 50-day moving average (DMA), and 200-day moving average (DMA). Criteria for Reversal Confirmation While there are signs that a reversal may be underway, further evidence is required. The first indication would be the formation of a higher low, suggesting some retracement without returning to recent lows. Following this, the stock would need to move above both the 21 EMA and 200 DMA. Should these milestones be reached, it could present a favorable risk-reward trading opportunity, with a stop loss placed just below the most recent established low. Investment Considerations SPOT may be worth adding to your watchlist, though the current setup does not yet meet the criteria for action under this trading strategy. It is important for readers to conduct their own analysis and consistently apply personal trading rules. All investments involve risk, and informed decision-making is essential when committing capital.
NYSE:SPOT
by Brent_Calver
SPOT Price Action | Strong Support, Tight Stop, Open Target!🎧 SPOT | Thief Trader Profit Playbook 💰 “When Music Meets Money — Spotify’s Chart Is About to Drop Beats & Gains!” 🎵📈 🧭 Plan: Bullish Bias — Thief-style layered accumulation for a smart entry! We’re eyeing SPOT (Spotify Technology S.A.) for a potential swing/day trade move north. 🎯 Entry (Layering Strategy) 💎 The Thief Strategy uses multiple limit layers to build a strong position. Here’s the sneak-in setup (choose your own comfort): 🧩 Buy Limit 1 → $670 🧩 Buy Limit 2 → $680 🧩 Buy Limit 3 → $690 (You can expand layers based on your risk appetite — remember, thieves adapt!) 😎 🛑 Stop-Loss (Thief’s Safe Escape) This is the Thief SL @ $650 ⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this is not a fixed SL — trade smart, manage your own risk. You make money → you take money. 💼 🎯 Target Zone (Police Barricade 🚓) Target: Around $740 The chart shows a strong resistance + overbought area + possible trap zone — that’s where the police barricade is! 🚧 Escape with profits before they catch your bags! 💨💰 ⚠️ Note: Again, Thief OG’s — this is a flexible TP zone, not financial advice. Secure your profits when the opportunity sings! 🎤📊 🧩 Correlated Pairs to Watch ($) Keep an eye on these correlated tickers for extra confirmation or sentiment cues: NASDAQ:NFLX → Streaming sector momentum 🎬 NASDAQ:AAPL → Tech sentiment driver 🍏 NASDAQ:MSFT → Market leader correlation 🖥️ NASDAQ:META → Digital ad revenue influence 💬 NASDAQ:QQQ / AMEX:SPY → Index health check 💪 These tickers often dance together in the same rhythm — when the tech sector grooves, SPOT follows the beat! 🕺 ⚙️ Technical Key Points: Bullish structure holding above $650 zone support 🧱 Momentum strengthening after pullback retest 🎢 RSI mid-zone recovery — not yet overbought, potential room to run! 📈 Volume showing accumulation footprints 👣 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy, shared for educational & fun purposes only. Trade responsibly. I’m not your financial advisor — I’m your chart burglar! 😜💼 #SPOT #Spotify #SwingTrade #DayTrade #StockMarket #ThiefTrader #LayeringStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #TradingView #EditorPick #ProfitPlaybook #SPY #QQQ #NASDAQ #StocksToWatch
NYSE:SPOTLong
by The-Thief
1
SPOT QuantSignals V3 Earnings 2025-11-03SPOT QuantSignals V3 Earnings 2025-11-03 SPOT Earnings Signal | 2025-11-03 • Direction: BUY PUTS | Confidence: 60% • Entry Plan: Pre Earnings Close | Expiry 2025-11-07 • Strike Focus: $572.50 • Entry Range: $5.50 • Target 1: $11.00 • Stop Loss: $3.30 • Implied Move: $63.73 (9.9%) • 24h Move: -2.99% • Flow Intel: Neutral | PCR 0.97 • ⚠️ MODERATE RISK WARNING: Consider reducing position size due to moderate confidence level. • Earnings Date: 2025-11-04 | Estimate: $2.01 ⚖️ Compliance: Educational earnings analysis for QS Premium members only. Not financial advice. 🎯 TRADE RECOMMENDATION Direction: BUY PUTS Confidence: 60% Conviction Level: MEDIUM 🧠 ANALYSIS SUMMARY Katy AI Signal: NEUTRAL with bearish bias (composite score -1.6) - despite neutral technical reading, Katy identifies bearish momentum factors including pre-earnings pressure and weak beat history Technical Analysis: Bearish EMA alignment, MACD at -10.0064 shows downward momentum, RSI at 36.1 indicates potential oversold but room for further decline, price dropped -2.99% in 24h showing pre-earnings weakness News Sentiment: Mixed - Rosenblatt raised price target to $700 (bullish) but maintains Neutral rating, recent earnings outlook articles suggest cautious expectations given historical misses Options Flow: Neutral PCR at 0.97, but max volume at $520 put indicates institutional bearish positioning, implied move of 9.9% suggests high volatility expected Risk Level: MEDIUM-HIGH - historical -51.1% average miss rate creates significant uncertainty, but exceptional revenue growth (+4315%) provides fundamental support 💰 TRADE SETUP Expiry Date: 2025-11-07 (4 days) Recommended Strike: $572.50 Entry Price: $5.15 - $5.85 (mid price: $5.50) Target 1: $11.00 (100% gain from entry) Target 2: $16.50 (200% gain from entry) Stop Loss: $3.30 (40% loss from entry) Position Size: 2% of portfolio ⚡ COMPETITIVE EDGE **W Image QS Analyst APP — 10:52 AM hy This Trade: Combines Katy's bearish composite score with technical weakness and institutional put positioning at lower strikes Timing Advantage: Pre-earnings close strategy captures maximum volatility compression with 4-day expiry Risk Mitigation**: Strike selection at -0.137 delta provides balanced risk/reward, stop loss protects against revenue growth surprise 🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES Katy AI shows NEUTRAL primary trend but strong bearish composite factors (-1.6 score) Exceptional revenue growth (+4315%) could trigger upside surprise despite poor EPS history 0% beat rate suggests consistent underperformance but creates potential for mean reversion Position size should be reduced given mixed signals and high volatility environment 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: SPOT 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 572.50 💵 Entry Price: 5.50 🎯 Profit Target: 11.00 🛑 Stop Loss: 3.30 📅 Expiry: 2025-11-07 📏 Size: 2.0 📈 Confidence: 60% ⏰ Entry Timing: N/A 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-11-03 13:52:39 EST ⚠️ MODERATE RISK WARNING: Consider reducing position size due to moderate confidence level.
NYSE:SPOTShort
by quantsignals
Why I like Spotify stockI'm going to explain the reason I believe Spotify is a good investment, there's a few reasons. I'm basically using Spotify as a defensive anchor in my portfolio. First I'm going to explain the fundamentals, and the formula for this never changes. The discounted cash flow model, is a mathematical formula used to value companies based on the expected revenues they will generate over a number of years. I have made my own model for the stock, and compared it with others models. The number I have come up with is $700 per share, meaning that anything less than $700 per share I would consider the company undervalued. This is my margin of safety I will not pay more than the perceived intrinsic value for the company, but the opportunity last week to buy shares at $680 was attractive to me so I added to my position, quite a substantial chunk of my portfolio is on Spotify. Another reason I like the stock despite because I'm looking at the capital actually needed in the business. Whether that's a good investment for me depends on how much I paid for the business, in the end. Some great businesses operate on negative capital, subscribers pay in advance, there are no fixed assets to speak of, the receivables are not that much, and the inventory is nothing. Basically what I'm trying to say is that great consumer businesses need relatively small amounts of capital to run. I like this kind of businesses but so does the rest of the world and so they can become very competitive. I believe Spotify has a competitive advantage in their business model that's relatively defendable considering how long they've been around. From a technical standpoint the stock has been in a range for a couple months, a break out to one direction or the other is inevitable eventually. My price target for the short term, maybe the next 12 months is $800, I'm going to just hold the stock, with no stop loss, because this is not a trade, to me this is an investment. I've had the stock in my portfolio for a few months and have been pleasantly surprised by how well it balances with some of my other positions. Monitoring my portfolio daily, I really enjoy just watching the markets and listening to some Spotify.
NYSE:SPOTLong
by Capitalist_Zach
4
Spotify: Potential Continuation PatternsSpotify rallied to a new high early in the summer. Now, after a period of consolidation, some traders may expect further upside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs between June 27 and September 9. The streaming-media company pushed above the falling trendline on Thursday, which could suggest buyers are returning. Second is the August 15 (weekly) close of $732.81, which SPOT is now challenging. That could also be viewed as a potential breakout level. Third, Bollinger Band Width narrowed to its lowest reading since October. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is also near its 100-day SMA. Those points highlight the calm price action. Could a period of movement come next? Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) recently crossed over the 21-day EMA. Prices have remained above the rising 100-day SMA. Those signals may be consistent with short- and long-term uptrends. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:SPOT
by TradeStation
This Is Why Spotify Is In The Radar Of Everyone NowThis Is Why Spotify Is In The Radar Of Everyone Now NYSE:SPOT has been respecting a strong ascending channel, now testing a key resistance (white line) which could be part of a triangle chart pattern. 🔼 Bullish case : A breakout above resistance could trigger strong momentum and drive price to new ATHs. 🚀 🔽 Bearish case: If the channel is lost, price may fall to the main support, opening the door for a more lateral or bearish phase if that support is also lost. Let’s add the fundamental context: 📈 Strong Revenue Growth Spotify has been steadily increasing revenue through premium subscriptions and advertising. Ad revenue has been particularly strong, showing resilience in a slowing economy. 🌍 User Base Expansion MAUs continue to grow globally, with double-digit YoY increases, supporting long-term growth. 💵 Profitability Improvements After years of heavy investment, Spotify has recently reported positive operating margins, which has been a key driver of the rally. ⚖️ Analyst Consensus The stock is now trading close to the average Wall Street target price ($719) . This means that while the business is improving, analysts are cautious on valuation, explaining why the price is fighting at current levels. ⚠️ Trading plan idea: Breakout above resistance → bullish play, but manage risk as upside could be capped by valuation and previous ATH acting as resistance. A 10% rally is very probable after the break. Breakdown of the channel → wait for lower entry near main support seeking for a pullback to the channel. If you are bearish, then wait for the break of the main support to short it. This is an easy 20% correction.
NYSE:SPOTLong
by TopChartPatterns
7
SPOT: Rebounding Off the 150 SMA -- Upper Channel Next?SPOT (Spotify) has been trading within a well-defined ascending parallel channel since late 2022. The recent dip brought price action close to the lower boundary of the channel, right at the 150-day moving average, which acted as support several times in the past. This confluence between trendline and moving average support suggests potential for a bounce — possibly back toward the upper range of the channel.
NYSE:SPOTLong
by The_Earnings_Correspondent
1
SPOTIFY-Turn the Music Up!NYSE:SPOT Why did profit drop? Spotify reported an operating loss of $75M — at first glance, that looks bad. But there’s logic behind it: • Increased spending on marketing and podcast development (long-term investment) • Higher royalty payments — short-term pressure • Expansion of features and product offerings — costs now, growth later What’s good? • Revenue up 17% YoY — Spotify keeps growing steadily • Premium subscribers +14% — user base continues to expand • Streaming cost per user is decreasing • Podcasts and audio ads growing faster than expected • Announced $1B share buyback program Technically: • Bounce from the bottom of the rising channel — strong support • Upside potential to $800 (~+23%) if trend holds Spotify is investing in growth. Yes, it hurts earnings now, but markets care more about direction than past numbers. And right now, the arrow points up.
NYSE:SPOTLong
by ALVO13_official
1
SPOT Reversing at VWAP Support – Signs of Seller ExhaustionAfter a sharp drop, SPOT is showing early signs of reversal at a key anchored VWAP support zone. The intraday bounce occurred on low volume, which may indicate seller exhaustion rather than aggressive dip-buying. Price is holding near the blue VWAP anchored from the April low, a level that previously acted as dynamic support. Although today’s bounce lacks volume strength (3.53M vs. 2.28M MA), the selling pressure appears to be cooling off. If SPOT can reclaim $665–670 in the coming sessions with improving volume, a recovery toward $700+ is possible. However, failure to hold above $640 may resume downside momentum. Indicators used: Anchored VWAP (support holding from prior pivot) Volume (low, signaling possible seller fatigue) Price structure (early reversal after steep correction) Entry idea: Watch for reclaim of $665 Target: $700–715 Stop: Below $638 or new low
NYSE:SPOTLong
by robashir
ShortifyI don't post all my trade ideas ahead of time but I will share another short position that I executed before posting, this time in Spotify. Short entered at $770, stop lost at $790. Added to my position when we lost the monthly level of support. The end of the 5 Wave Supercycle. Trailing stop loss, I don't like shorting solid companies but this one got overextended. I am short several positions, including Palantir, DuoLingo and commodities like cocoa. Not financial advice, do what's best for you
NYSE:SPOTShort
by NoFOMO_
Raising the bar for SpotifySpotify has been my favorite stock so far this year. Primarily because resilience in uncertain economies. Subscription-based services, especially freemium models, are seen as defensive. Spotify is the number one music streaming service in the world and unless that changes people will keep using it every single day in their lives. They will generate revenues based on advertisements and subscriptions which are in my opinion reasonable and conducive of a strong business model. I am raising my price target to $985. This is not unreasonable considering the intrinsic value of the stock is between $400 and $2900. I am confident Spotify will find ways to stay ahead of its competitors and dominate the music streaming industry. While keeping its customers happy and loyal.
NYSE:SPOTLong
by Capitalist_Zach
Spotify's Valuation Is Red-Lining (Rating Downgrade)📈 Spotify's Remarkable Comeback Spotify NYSE:SPOT has transformed itself from a money-losing audio platform into a disciplined, profit-generating tech firm. Through smarter podcast investments, layoffs, and better monetization strategies, the company recently swung from red ink to positive free cash flow and strong earnings — a major shift for long-frustrated shareholders. This operational turnaround helped fuel a massive rally: Spotify shares have surged nearly 140% since May 2024. 💵 Financials Look Strong... for Now Revenue jumped from $15 billion to $17.4 billion over the past year — a 16% increase. Spotify also improved gross margins from 25% to 31.6%, while net margins turned positive at 7%. Bottom-line earnings exploded from a $119 million loss to $1.25 billion in profit. These gains came from several smart moves: - Reduced payouts to creators (from 75% to 70%) - AI-generated content, like white noise playlists, cutting royalty costs - Ad growth in podcasts and better ad tech - Higher efficiency in infrastructure and operations Analysts now expect Spotify’s earnings to grow another 74% this year, 45% in 2026, and 30% in 2027. 💰 But Valuation Is Stretched Despite the impressive financial performance, Spotify's stock appears overheated. It now trades at: 117x trailing earnings 71x forward earnings 37x estimated 2027 earnings These multiples are far above historical norms — and could spell trouble if growth slows even slightly. The company is running out of levers to improve margins further, and rising operational costs may start to weigh on profits. Spotify also trades at its highest-ever price-to-sales ratio, indicating elevated investor expectations. If the company underdelivers, the stock could face a significant correction. ⚖️ Our Take: Time to Hold, Not Buy We still believe in Spotify's long-term story. Its subscription model, improving margins, and global scale offer compelling advantages. But after this big run-up, the stock no longer offers favorable risk-reward. We’re downgrading from "Strong Buy" to "Hold", suggesting investors with gains may want to trim positions and wait for a more attractive entry point. 📌 Bottom Line: Spotify has executed well — but the stock price now reflects near-perfect performance. A pause, or pullback, wouldn’t surprise us.
NYSE:SPOT
by PropNotes
8