Fasten your seatbelts, we're about to take off!Rocket Lab (RKLB) is approaching a decisive technical inflection point after several weeks of heavy correction. The structure is shifting: compression, potential breakout, and early momentum recovery. Everything is lining up for a strong directional move.
Overall Structure
Price is attempting to break out of the descending H1 channel that has guided the entire decline from the 73–74 highs.
The 37.50 zone acted as a major floor: previous liquidity block + value-area low + FVG fill. The rebound that followed shows clear buyer defense.
Current Zone: 42.50 – 45.00
This is a rare confluence area:
EMA45
MA25/200 cluster
Retest of the former channel boundary
Key horizontal resistance
This zone is the switch.
Above it = takeoff.
Below it = turbulence.
Possible Scenarios
Bullish:
If RKLB closes an H1 candle above 45.00, the reversal becomes technically validated. Targets are straightforward:
53.80 (major pivot + prior distribution zone)
60.70 (extension of the breakout structure)
This represents a +20% to +40% upside if confirmation holds.
Bearish:
Rejection below 42.50 would send the price back toward 41.70, then possibly a full retest of 37.50 if momentum fades.
Momentum Check
RSI reclaimed the 50 line and is stabilizing above it — constructive, but still fragile.
MACD crossed bullish, though without real histogram expansion yet — early signal, not confirmed.
In summary: RKLB is entering a critical decision zone. The 45.00 level is the firewall. A clean breakout unlocks a high-velocity bullish corridor. A rejection keeps price trapped in the lower range.
Fasten your seatbelts,
The next move could be explosive.
