8H1 trade ideas
possible break out could see a positive break out if we can get past this resistance area with out to much sell off at the usual volume at 15:30 est
if it fails should see a retrace to support area
if support area fails then a retrace to bottom trend line
bullish on the day looks like we are at the bottom of the trend line
a break out above 25.59 will confirm
target area 26.45
most volume will be at 15:30 est time
expecting a pull back quickly due to being a friday
people will be taking profit
H on watch for a break of current channelWatching H for a break of its current range, looking for a swing trade and a +10% move
Hydro_One_(TSX:H)_May_09_2018Hydro One is an electricity transmission and distribution utility serving the Canadian province of Ontario. Currently, Hydro One is trading at historic lows since its IPO. The underlying trend is bearish, while the chart pattern is Broadening Bottom. At this point the price can go either way. Currently, the support is being tested at the trendline (Dividend is around 4.4%). If price drops further (below CAD $20, then the probability that the price may go down further increases. However, if price does not drop further within the next few days, this is an excellent entry point as the probability of a price rise after an broadening bottom with an underlying bearish trend is over 50%.
The elections in Ontario (to be held in June) will be a critical factor in determining the mid to long term outlook for the stock. Currently, all parties (political) do not want the price of electricity to go up (the government is a large shareholder of the utility). However, after the elections these poll pledges might disappear as energy prices across all sectors tend to rise (especially during the summer months).
Downtrend Continuation: Hydro One $H Hyrdo One looks like it is going to be continuing its downtrend after a period of consolidation.
Reasons:
- Breakdown through support line of ascending triangle
- MACD has crossed over just above the zero line and is now moving below the zero line
- RSI has broken below the trendline that has been acting as support/resistance and is also below its moving average
- Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen are both moving lower and acting as dynamic resistance
- Currently trading below the cloud
- On Balance Volume (OBV) has broken below its two support levels and is now below its moving average (not shown)
Not holding into earnings on May 15th, 2018
