Get started
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewFinancialsNewsIdeasMindsTechnicalsForecastsSeasonalsETFs

Trade ideas

Don’t Sleep on $CMG - Is This the Start of Fresh Rally?Could be!I've been a fan of Chipotle and I think I am beginning to like the set up of its chart now. After that long downtrend (gap down) from the $52s, NYSE:CMG finally looks like it’s trying to carve out a bottom base. You’ve got a clean breakout from the descending trend line and a solid close above short-term resistance near $41. Volume picked up — that’s confirmation you want to see when something’s flipping sentiment. The stochastics are curling up from oversold, signaling a momentum shift. The 50-day MA looks ready to flatten and possibly turn up. If this move holds above $40s (a psychological and technical level), this could trigger a bullish reversal wave toward that $46–47 range next, where the 200-day MA sits as the next wall. It would be nice if that gap would be filled at no time, similar to what happened to our recent trade to ( NYSE:LAC ). Bigger picture: $39–$40 zone is the make-or-break level for bulls. Lose that, and it’s back to the base-building zone around $37. But if momentum follows through, this might be the early stage of a trend reversal rather than just a bounce. If in case this price action holds up above that line $41.76, I will start a small position even if I got an average cost at $42s. Then if this uptrend pattern follow thru - I'll add more. I'll put my stop at $36. It's kinda loose but this stock is not as volatile as the AI's so I will give this time to play out. I'm a bit worried about the US Shutdown as people will definitely try to cut down their expenses, so there will be a factor to the final quarter store revenue of NYSE:CMG , but let's see... So again, manage your trade carefully and God bless you all. Happy weekend.
NYSE:CMGLong
by blue039
Chimichurri Salsa will bring $CMG to $50NYSE:CMG Is at a great discount after rising 657% since 2020 to It's peak in June 2024. Since June, the Stock has fallen about 40% after mediocre results. Now, its around the $40-42 range, which in my opinion, is at a perfect discount. While earnings have been constant with the estimate, their revenue since 2020 has doubled, and they're at a 4B surplus with total assets vs total liabilities this year. One of the reasons why I am buying this stock is because im a chipotle food addict, I love their food, especially their burritos and bowls, so its no wonder I am buying this stock. You can laugh at me, call me stupid for this, but I am trusting Chipotle. Trust the process.
NYSE:CMGLong
by Rem3dy
CMG Bullish Reversal Setup – Targeting $44.30The stock is currently forming a strong accumulation base around the $38.90 – $39.30 zone after an extended downtrend. Recent price action suggests a potential bullish reversal is underway, supported by increasing volume and structural signs of accumulation. Parameter Level ✅ Entry Zone $38.90 – $39.30 🎯 Target 1 (TP1) $44.30 🎯 Target 2 (TP2) $45.30 ❌ Stop Loss (SL) Below $36.00 ⚠️ Key Breakout Level $40.40 – $41.00 (breaking above confirms bullish momentum) Trade Scenario • Phase 1: Price is expected to bounce from the current support zone ($38.90 – $39.30) and challenge the first resistance around $40.40 – $41.00. • Phase 2: If momentum continues, the stock could rally into the major supply zone between $44.30 and $45.30, which is the primary take-profit zone. • Phase 3 (Optional): A breakout above $45.30 could open the door to higher levels, but that is beyond the current trading plan. ⸻ ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Stop-loss below $36.00 ensures risk control. Any hourly or daily close below this level invalidates the bullish scenario. • A strong breakout above $41.00 is a key confirmation signal for the move toward the $44.30 – $45.30 target area. • Expect minor resistance near $40.40, but clearing it will likely accelerate the rally. ⸻ 📌 Summary As long as price stays above $36.00, the bullish scenario remains valid. The expected upward move targets $44.30 – $45.30, making this trade setup suitable for short- to medium-term swing trading on the 1-hour timeframe.
NYSE:CMG
by MontazarAlkefaae
CHIPOTLE BACK TO 50 !Why Chipotle (CMG) Could Climb to $50 by 2026: Tasty Bull Case Chipotle’s trading at ~$43 today (Sep 23, 2025), down slightly YTD, but with strong fundamentals and operational wins, $50 (16% upside) by EOY 2026 is achievable long-term. Here’s the recipe:Revenue & Same-Store Growth: Q2 '25 comps +11.1% and $3.8B revenue (15% YoY) signal robust demand. Analysts project 13% YoY growth to $12.5B in '26, driven by 300+ new stores and digital orders (30%+ of sales). This supports $1.75 EPS, pushing P/E to 28x for a $50 target. Operational Efficiency: Chipotlanes (drive-thru) now in 60% of new locations, boosting margins to 28%+. Automation in prep (e.g., Autocado) cuts costs 5%, per management, fueling EPS growth to $2.10 by '26, aligning with $50 at 24x forward P/E. Analyst Optimism: 27 firms avg $50.24 PT (high $62), with BMO Capital’s $56 Buy rating citing loyalty program strength (35M+ members). CoinPriceForecast sees $53 mid-'26, clearing $50 on 10% comps. Consumer Resilience: Despite inflation, CMG’s premium positioning (health-focused, customizable menu) retains Gen Z/Millennial traffic, hedging macro risks. LongForecast eyes $54 by Q3 '26.
NYSE:CMGLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
Chipotle (CMG): Brand Power Meets Technical PatienceWhat they do: Fast-casual burritos/bowls with a heavy digital and throughput focus. Why it’s strong: Industry-leading unit economics, brand love, and a deep U.S. runway—now going global. Developments: Asia entry JV (SPC Group): first restaurants in South Korea & Singapore in 2026. Some metrics: Forward P/E: ~27.5x. ROIC (TTM): ~19–22% Debt/Equity: ~1.35 (lease-heavy model). Piloting kitchen automation like “Autocado” (guac prep) and “Chippy” (chips). Risks: Food inflation; labor availability; brand hit risk from food-safety headlines. Moat in a line: Brand + operational throughput at scale. Technical view A bit sloppy, but the criteria are in place. It’s “sloppy” because the levels don’t line up compactly — if they were a few percent tighter, it would form a stronger support zone. Still, the high-probability area is there, between $32 - $43 - Trendline drawn from monthly closing prices - Channel projection - Previous highs turning into support - 50% drop from the ATH Cheers, Vaido
NYSE:CMGLong
by VaidoVeek
Chipotle Positioned for Bullish Upside: Is $50 Within Reach?Current Price: $38.63 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $42.50 - T2 = $50.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $36.80 - S2 = $35.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Chipotle. **Key Insights:** Chipotle has recently demonstrated strong fundamentals supported by solid operational execution. The company's strategy to enhance digital ordering platforms, increase store expansion, and drive customer engagement through menu innovation—such as the addition of viral items like guacamole limited franchises—has added credibility to its growth projections. Industry-wide, Chipotle benefits from favorably shifting consumer preferences toward healthier fast-casual dining experiences, delivering more value to its customer demographic even in inflationary periods. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum as prices trend toward higher consolidation levels. On the daily chart, Chipotle's price is breaking out of a key resistance zone near $38.50, which aligns with institutional buying levels observed in broader trading volume patterns. Market analysts cite a retracement after a strong Q3 rally as constructive, allowing for increased accumulation and reentry opportunities for long-term bullish investors. **Recent Performance:** Chipotle’s stock has been resilient even as broader equities markets face headwinds. Over Q3, the company outperformed its peers with over 15% revenue growth. The recent pullback toward $38.50 from $40 was primarily driven by short-term profit-taking rather than fundamental weaknesses. Moving averages show support levels reinforcing the bullish trend, creating optimism for traders eyeing breakout targets. **Expert Analysis:** Technical analysts agree that Chipotle's stock retains further upside potential due to strong support layers below. Volume analysis indicates a spike in institutional participation, confirming renewed confidence around the $38-$39 range. Earnings momentum continues to push targets upward, especially with Chipotle's ability to manage margins efficiently amidst rising commodity costs. On the macro front, new menu additions and streamlined operational initiatives could accelerate top-line growth even in tight economic environments. Multiple traders have highlighted Chipotle's RSI levels, which remain in the bullish zone without overextension, suggesting room for further rally. **News Impact:** Chipotle's expansion plan to open nearly 250 new locations by 2024 has captured widespread attention recently. The announcement of strategic culinary partnerships to enhance product offerings has also positively affected sentiment. Moreover, its lean operating structure and proven ability to adjust prices during inflationary conditions have created an anchor for traders viewing Chipotle as a defensive growth stock. These recent news catalysts have signaled investor confidence, supporting the bullish trading case in the near term. **Trading Recommendation:** Chipotle’s strong fundamentals combined with supportive technical indicators and favorable news catalysts create an optimal entry point at $38.63. Traders should look to take a bullish position targeting $42.50 in the short term and $50.00 over the next quarter, while setting risk-management stops at $36.80 and $35.00. Continued focus on operational efficiency suggests upside beyond the outlined price targets, particularly if market conditions remain stable. This trade aligns with long-term growth trends and favorable consumer dynamics. Do you want to save hours every week?
NYSE:CMGLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
$CMG is having correction by multiple compression.- NYSE:CMG is not undervalued, price has fallen lower from all time highs but the drop is justified. - This company was trading at 65x forward earnings perhaps because of flawless execution by it's ex-CEO. - But this company is experiencing declines in same store sales and revenue growth is moderating. - Currently, as of Sept 14, 2025, It's trading at 27x forward earnings which is not too high but not too low either. - I have marked three zones, first red zone is for people looking for a counter trend/bounce ideally for swing traders. Yellow/Cyan for investors who might want to DCA and lastly green zone which is good for long term investors. Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 EPS | 1.21 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 2.07 EPS% | 8.38% | 17.02% | 17.63% | 23.82% EPS is growing mid teens. A fair forward p/e would be 15 but I am willing to pay around 20 x forward p/e for the brand value with a hope they will turn around the business Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 EPS | 1.21 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 2.07 Fair value | $24 | $28.4 | $33 | $41.4 As we know, we are only a quarter away from 2026, therefore, If I had to consider NYSE:CMG it would be around somewhere between $28-$33 otherwise I will stay away from this company.
NYSE:CMGShort
by bigbull037
CMG: A Strategic Long Thesis and Tiered Accumulation PlanThe recent price action in Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) suggests the stock has entered a critical consolidation phase following a significant move. This period of price weakness, rather than signaling a reversal of the long-term trend, presents a calculated opportunity for a multi-tiered accumulation of a long position. The thesis is built on the premise that the stock is finding a strong base of support from which a new leg of the uptrend will launch, targeting a previous high. This strategy employs a sophisticated dollar-cost-averaging approach to mitigate risk and optimize the average entry price. The trade is structured to enter at the first sign of a bottom, and then add to the position on subsequent dips, assuming the price tests lower support levels before a final rally. Trade Idea: Entry Point 1: Initial Position (First Green Arrow) The first green arrow marks the initial entry into the long position. This entry is not a blind "catch the falling knife" attempt, but a strategic move at a key technical level. Entry Points 2 & 3: Scaling In (Next Two Green Arrows) The next two green arrows represent the subsequent opportunities to add to the position, a core element of a well-defined pyramiding strategy. Exit Point: Taking Profit (Red Arrow) The red line and red arrow mark the final, predetermined exit point for the entire long position. This level is defined by a major overhead resistance zone.
NYSE:CMGLong
by GoldenTraderz_2025
$CMG – Do-or-Die at $40 SupportCurrent Setup: Price is trending inside a clear descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows since the $69 peak. It’s now sitting right at a critical support band around $40–41, aligned with the lower channel boundary. RSI is near 40, showing weakness but not oversold. PMO (top grid) is negative and declining = bearish momentum. Bullish Case: If $40 holds, CMG could bounce within the channel, with resistance levels at $45–48 and then $52–55. A decisive breakout above the descending channel (~$56–58) would be needed to flip the bigger picture bullish. Bearish Case: A breakdown below $40 would be a big technical negative, likely exposing $36 → $32 → $27 levels. Given weak momentum and repeated failures at resistance, downside risk remains significant. Risk/Reward View: Reward: Bounce from $40 support could give a 15–20% upside if channel resistance is tested. Risk: Breakdown below $40 risks a steep drop toward $32 or lower = poor reward/risk for early longs. Takeaway : CMG is at a do-or-die level around $40. Holding this zone offers a bounce opportunity, but momentum remains bearish. Breakdown would confirm further downside.
NYSE:CMG
by truthseeker6
CMG....Patience will payoff🔎 Technical Picture • Trend: Still in a downtrend. Price is trading below the 10, 20, 50, and 200 SMAs (42.77, 43.12, 45.29, 50.11). That’s textbook bearish until proven otherwise. • Support: Current local low at $41.18. If that breaks, Bear Target 1 at $38.86 and Bear Target 2 at $34.24 are realistic. • Resistance: Needs to reclaim $42.77–43.12 zone (cluster of 10 & 20 SMAs). Then $47.22 (Bull Target 1). True reversal signal would require reclaiming the 50-day SMA (45.29) and ideally the 200-day SMA (50.11). • Momentum: Price Heat Meter is in the lower end, but no strong bullish divergence yet. Bearish continuation is still favored. ________________________________________ ⚖️ Cost vs. Benefit • Buying now: You’re catching a falling knife. Limited upside until price clears resistance. You risk a drop to the 30s if momentum accelerates. • Waiting: Higher probability entry would be above $43–45 with confirmation. Yes, you’ll miss a few points, but you’ll avoid dead money or a steep drawdown. • Short/Bearish play: More favorable risk/reward until bulls prove control. ________________________________________ 🚩 Too Good to Be True Filter • Some traders may argue “it’s oversold, time for a bounce.” But oversold does not equal reversal. Without a break of trend structure and volume confirmation, bounces are more likely dead cat rallies than sustainable reversals. ________________________________________ ✅ Verdict • Not a good buy yet. • No confirmed reversal. You’d be gambling on a bottom. • Best strategy: o Aggressive trader: Short/bear bias until $41.18 breaks or $43+ reclaims. o Swing investor: Wait for a daily close above $45 before considering long positions.
NYSE:CMG
by Eagleputt
1
CMG - Bullish Engulfing off 200 SMA & Support Zone？(Weekly chart) NYSE: CMG price action went through a series of flush downs into multiple support levels, where market makers likely cleared out stop-losses. At that zone, price formed a bullish engulfing pattern, signaling a potential attempt to rebound and regain momentum. Price action highlights: 1) Flush down into the previous high level (resistance turned support). 2) Confluence with the 200 SMA on the weekly chart – a strong long-term support line. 3) Extension through the lower Bollinger Band, signaling short-term oversold. 4) Stochastic oversold, hinting at potential reversal. 5) Last week formed a strong bullish engulfing candle at supports. This setup offers a favorable risk-reward profile — limited downside with strong upside potential.
NYSE:CMGLong
by qhinvestment
$CMG Long Swing Trade Pros -Major pullback from highs: -40% from ATH. -Technical confluence at support: Top of 2020–2024 range, weekly 200MA, and weekly volume POC. -Gap magnet above: July 22 gap to $50.76 (+21% from here) with intermediate target $45–47 (+8–9%). -Strong fundamentals: YOY revenue and gross profit growth consistently +20–30%. -Brand moat: Loyal customer base, pricing power, consistent product quality. -Innovation: Ongoing AI & robotics investment in meal prep. Supports margin expansion over time. -Post-split price appeal: Lower nominal price post 50:1 split may draw in retail on recovery. Risks -Valuation still stretched: P/E of 38 even after a large correction. Leaves room for further multiple compression. -Macro headwinds: If consumer spending slows, fast-casual dining could see softer traffic. -Gap risk to the downside: A decisive break below $40 could trigger selling toward $35–37. -High expectations baked in: Growth slowdown could cause outsized downside. Entry Zone: Current levels ($43–44) Targets: -TP1 (Conservative): $46–47 → +8–9% -TP2 (Aggressive): $50–51 → +18–21% (gap-fill / daily POC target) Stop Loss: -$41–40 → Below key support confluence (old range top, weekly 200MA). -Close below $40 = setup invalidated. Timeframe: -Swing trade → Expectation of move playing out over several weeks to a few months. Notes: -Trim partial position at TP1 to lock gains, let rest ride toward TP2. -If price fails to reclaim $44 within the next few sessions, reassess — could indicate sellers still in control. -P/E still high. Not a value play.
NYSE:CMG
by HunterMorris
2
CMG entering a stage 4 downtrendCMG may have entered a stage 4 downtrend.The price has reflected sharply off the 200 daily moving average and busted rapidly on enormous volume to the low of the previous volume base formed from the week of March 10th to the week of June 9th. The 200 daily moving average has turned over and is sloping downward, alongside the 50 daily moving average. CMG has demonstrated poor relative strength (SPX). The consumer services sector remains in generally good condition, and there are large market caps that are showing strength and performing well in it. There are also many large market caps in the sector that have transitioned out of their respective stage 2 advances, and have started stage 3 distributions and stage 4 declines. Although MCD, the largest market cap in the restaurant industry, continues to perform very well- most of the stocks in the industry have begun to roll over into stage 3 distribution ranges and stage 4 declines. A short entry in CMG was made at ~$55, and more will be added to this position between $47.50 to $50 if the price corrects back to this level.
NYSE:CMGShort
by RowdyRowdy
$CMG Approaching Major Support – Buy the Dip or Breakdown?Chipotle ( NYSE:CMG ) just reported earnings and missed on both revenue and same-store sales. Transactions fell 4.9%, and the company lowered its full-year outlook — triggering a sharp decline on elevated volume. Technically, we’re approaching a major confluence of support near the $43 area (both diagonal trendline support and historical horizontal level). 🔻 Indicators currently suggest continued selling pressure, so traders looking to buy the dip should remain cautious. Trade Setup Idea: - Watch for bullish reversal patterns (engulfing, double bottom, trend shift) on 15min–1hr charts - Avoid premature entries; trend reversals often take time - NYSE:CMG Confirmation > prediction 📌 Keep alerts set. This one’s worth watching closely. #CMG #Chipotle #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #DipBuy #StocksToWatch
NYSE:CMG
by disciplinetradingteam
Greer Free Cash Flow Yield (FCF%) — Long-Term Value Signal✅ Title Greer Free Cash Flow Yield (FCF%) — Long-Term Value Signal 📝 Description The Greer Free Cash Flow Yield indicator is part of the Greer Financial Toolkit, designed to help long-term investors identify fundamentally strong and potentially undervalued companies. 📊 What It Does Calculates Free Cash Flow Per Share (FY) from official financial reports Divides by the current stock price to produce Free Cash Flow Yield % Tracks a static average across all available financial years Color-codes the yield line: 🟩 Green when above average (stronger value signal) 🟥 Red when below average (weaker value signal) 💼 Why It Matters FCF Yield is a powerful metric that reveals how efficiently a company turns revenue into usable cash. This can be a better long-term value indicator than earnings yield or P/E ratios, especially in capital-intensive industries. ✅ Best used in combination with: 📘 Greer Value (fundamental growth score) 🟢 Greer BuyZone (technical buy zone detection) 🔍 Designed for: Fundamental investors Value screeners Dividend and FCF-focused strategies 📌 This tool is for informational and educational use only. Always do your own research before investing.
NYSE:CMGLong
by controllinghand
$CMG is headed to $40 - $35 because of trade tariff with Mexico Chipotle’s all about those fresh ingredients—avocados, tomatoes, you name it—and a ton of that stuff comes straight from Mexico. Now, throw in some hefty tariffs, like the 25% ones Trump was pushing earlier in 2025, and suddenly those ingredients aren’t so cheap anymore. If those tariffs stick, Chipotle’s got a tough choice: swallow the higher costs and watch their profits shrink, or hike up burrito prices and risk losing customers. Either way, it’s a gut punch to their bottom line. And the stock? It’s already feeling the heat. CMG’s sitting at $50.49 right now, down a brutal 12.65% in just the past month. Traders on X are screaming it could slide to $43 - $38, and that’s before the tariffs even fully hit. With a bearish flag waving on the chart, the vibe’s getting grim. If tariffs crank up costs and scare off diners, that $40 - $35 range starts looking less like a stretch and more like a real possibility. Sure, it’s not a lock—tariffs could still fizzle out with negotiations, and Chipotle might dodge some of the damage by switching suppliers. But right now, the threat’s real, and the market’s jittery. That’s why TradingView’s lit up with this call: tariffs could be the shove that sends CMG tumbling. Keep your eyes peeled—this one’s got some serious sizzle!
NYSE:CMGShort
by IMT