MS51 trade ideas
SMCI – Reloading the AI BeastSMCI continues to show strength as a key player in the AI infrastructure space. In this update, I present a new strategy with staggered entry zones at $49, $45, and $38 — designed to capture value during healthy pullbacks within a larger bullish trend.
Entry Plan:
1) $49
2) $45
3) $38
Target:
1) $56
2) $61
3) $66
📉 If price dips back to $45 or $38, I will reload heavier. No FOMO. Let the market come to us.
Drop a 👍 if you're still riding SMCI or waiting for the next entry.
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
SMCI: The Monthly Chart says it ALL
Stochastic is way oversold.
MACD is converging.
RSI is converging back up.
Would not be surprised to see this soar back towards the CRT value of $65, then take on new challenges back towards it previous ATH of $122.90 in March, 2024.
Regards,
Terrapins
SMCI: Watching Monitoring price action closely. Momentum remains positive, and volume is supportive of continuation. Awaiting confirmation before entering, but setup favors a potential move higher.
History tends to repeat itselfHistory typically tends to repeat itself. What has happened before can happen again. Take a look at the left side of the chart and you’ll see a picture-perfect breakout pattern: price consolidates, forms higher lows and relatively equal highs, all on high volume, before breaking out. Now, we are witnessing the same setup again on a larger scale. Above is a monthly chart of SMCI, allowing you to compare the similarities between the two breakout formations. What has gone parabolic before can go parabolic again. Earnings will be reported on August 12, which is roughly one month away. If SMCI continues to push higher here, we may see a move toward the all-time high of $122.90. Always do your own due diligence and keep risk management in mind.
Not financial advice.
SMCI BULL FLAG PART 2smci bull flag, reclaimed bullish emas recently, volume starting to come back in, imo has potential to run to 60+
SMCI - Bull Flag Breakout SetupSMCI formed a strong bullish impulse followed by a bull flag pattern.
A breakout above the flag structure may signal continuation if confirmed with strong price action.
Trade Plan:
• Entry: On breakout or retest
• Stop Loss: Below flag support
• TP1: Recent high
• TP2: Measured flagpole extension
This setup is worth monitoring for potential bullish continuation.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
SMCI buy cycle in progress into yr endStrong buy rates on order flow indicating buy-side targets as follows
tp1 = 88
tp2 = 96
tp3 = 105
...by end of 2025
Still expecting strong sell wave sometime by mid-2026 all the way back to 20's as the semiconductor space continues dealing with growing bearish forces. Recent weakness should be seen as "shots across the bow" or warning shots. Next set of highs will be opportunities to EXIT and go short imo.
SMCI soon above 50 USD! Big bullish move! Youppi!📍 Bullish Trigger Zone: $50 USD
- 🔑 The $50 level acts as a psychological and technical threshold. A breakout above this resistance could signal a bullish reversal.
- 📈 The current price is around $49.11, so it’s very close to the trigger. A daily close above $50 with strong volume would strengthen the buy signal.
- 🧭 Technical indicators (based on TradingView): Moving averages and oscillators are neutral to slightly bullish.
🎯 Sell Zone: $60 to $73 USD
- 🟢 $60: First realistic target for cautious traders. It’s an intermediate resistance zone.
- 🟡 $65: A middle-ground target for those looking to optimize without too much risk.
- 🔴 $73: Ambitious target, marked on your chart with a green arrow. Ideal for more patient investors or those confident in the trend.
🔍 Fundamental Context
- 💬 Analysts are mixed: some maintain targets around $50–60, while others are more conservative.
- 📉 The stock has seen a sharp correction in recent months, but the current rebound could mark a reversal if confirmed by volume.
🧠 Suggested Strategy
| Price Level | Recommended Action | Emoji |
| < $50 | Watch / Wait for confirmation | 👀 |
| $50–60 | Gradual buying / Swing trade | 🛒 |
| $60–65 | Partial profit-taking | 💰 |
| $65–73 | Full exit or trailing stop | 🚀🔚 |
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Thank you!
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SMCI bullish setup longSMCI seems well positioned for one of those "face melting' rips in the coming weeks as it normally does. All TA in daily, weekly and monthly timeframes tell thesame tale- Bullish move imminent.
Catalyst- riding on NVDA new Blackwell chip and Tariff news coming in next week, high short interest, VPA show market makers already took a position- all signs pointing north, which looks promising for JULY and early August.
SMCI Long Swing Setup – Positioned for AI-Driven Infrastructure Super Micro Computer, Inc. NASDAQ:SMCI is a critical player in the AI infrastructure boom, supplying high-performance servers to NVIDIA, AMD, and major data centers. With accelerating demand for compute power, SMCI is well-positioned for continued upside.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: Current market price or $40 – $43 support zone
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $70
o 🥈 $100
o 🥉 $120
• Stop Loss: Weekly close below $30
Super Micro Computer (SMCI)Pattern: Year-long down-trend line ripped; early Stage-2 attempt.
Preferred entry: 44.6-45.2 pull-back bid (stop ≈41).
Alt entry: Power close ≥50.10 with volume surge.
Target: 65 supply shelf.
(Why I like it? Sentiment flip + AI-server narrative fuel.)
NASDAQ:SMCI
Potential Doubling Move in SMCISometimes it pays well to look at a weekly charts as they give opportunities for a very large moves and potential for massive gains. In this example, SMCI is such a stock. The stock first broke out of resistance zone, white rectangle, and made a strong push into 100s. It then retraced the move back into the rectangle zone, but in this instance, the resistance turned into support. It is these zones that act as support/resistance are the powerful levels. Since the support held, it can easily move back into the $99 or so to re-test those highs again, a potential 100% upside.
HERE IS THE #CHART FOR $SMCI Bullish with consolidation risk. Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is at $143.81, up 0.09% daily and 25.14% monthly, as shown in the finance card above. X posts highlight strong momentum, with a breakout above the 200-day SMA ($129.74) and a potential Wave 5 targeting $154-$160, supported by analyst upgrades (Mizuho, Melius to Buy; targets $140-$175). AI chip demand (MI350 outperforming Nvidia’s B200, Oracle/Zettascale deals) and 40% YoY revenue growth drive optimism. However, a high P/E (105.42) and choppy price action suggest a possible pullback to $141.63-$142. Support is at $141.63; resistance is at $147.75-$150. A break above $147.75 could target $154; a drop below $141.63 risks $138
SMCI Long Trade Setup!📈
🕒 Timeframe: 30 min
📉 Pattern: Falling wedge breakout 🔼
📍 Entry: Around $47.50 ✅
🎯 Target: $50.03 💰
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $46.40 🚫
🔍 Why This Trade?
🔓 Breakout from falling wedge — bullish sign
🧱 Strong trendline + horizontal support
📊 Volume surge = smart money interest
🕯️ Bullish candle = potential momentum play
$SMCIVERY BULLSIH HERE,
Consolidation for a long period now.
Support on trend is necessary and then boom
SMCI on WatchLooking to buy a pullback to .50 fib or a breakout and retest above today's high, $46.92.
Why:
Relative strength compared to SPY.
Bullish MACD
All EMAS pointed upwards
Consolidating for weeks
The breakout is not ideal since the Risk/Reward is only 1.43. May not enter that if there is not strong volume.
SMCI – Wedge Breakout Triggering Around 46 ZoneNASDAQ:SMCI – Wedge Breakout Watch with Intraday Setup Potential
Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) is working on a wedge breakout, and it's pressing right into the key $46 zone — the trigger area for a clean move higher.
🔹 Wedge Structure Clearing
Price has been compressing into a wedge, and it's now testing the upper trendline.
The $46 level is the key breakout point — if it clears and holds, this could unleash serious momentum.
🔹 Intraday Setup Developing
If NASDAQ:SMCI can hold this level intraday and consolidate, I’m watching for an entry signal right at or slightly above $46.
Volume confirmation will be key here — watching the tape closely.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry: Watching for clean hold + setup at $46 zone.
2️⃣ Stop: Below yesterday’s low — keeps the trade tight and risk defined.
3️⃣ Add: If it breaks $46 with volume, I’ll build into the position.
Why I Like This Setup:
Breakout from compression = potential expansion
Clear risk level, clean structure — everything I want in a breakout trade
If it holds this level today, this could turn into a trend day.
SMCI: First 1D Golden Cross in years just formed.Super Micro Computer turned marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.363, MACD = 1.620, ADX = 16.124) but is essentially neutral, consolidating practically for the past month. They big news is that today it is forming the first 1D Golden Cross since June 1st 2020, the period after the COVID crash recovery. Trading inside a Channel Up and given the Inverse Head and Shoulders being formed, we expect the stock to target its 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 83.00).
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$SMCI "Buy The Dip" Value AreaSMCI (Super Micro Computer) has weathered the storm from all the negative press and I believe it is poised to go on a big run. This $26-$47 area is the BEST value you are going to get on it. This is probably the last discount before takeoff. We may not see this level again. As NVDA continues to fly, so will SMCI. Always do your own DD.
*SMCI have maintened his support im bullish for the 50USD SOON * Im really bullish for SMCI. Pretty sure a big up will come tomorrow. Like 4-8%. Im pretty sure SMCI will test 50$ USD soon and will have a little correction before going more up.
SMCI - Coiled to Spring SoonDirectional - Bullish, EMAs Positively Stacked and expanding
Momentum - Bullish, RSI Daily 56.8
Volatility - Upward Implied, Bollinger Bands Contraction 85% Daily, angled to the upside with price above Basis
Strength - SCMI/NVDA Ratio Pairs at Support
Sentiment - Positive, Multiple AI Contracts Announced $20B+
One of the only tech stocks yet to bullishly retrace from the April crash
News sends SMCI down?I do dowsing for my information on stocks, & it came to my attention that SMCI may have some news around 9 am tomorrow that sends it down over 13% (taken from the Fri close).
It suggested just a daytrade - for reference last Thursday dowsing also said there was a short daytrade in TSLA & you probably know it was down 18+%.
Since I blew off the TSLA guidance, I don't want to miss this one! The idea is to short into the $35-36 area and buy it there.
I may be off on the timing. This morning I asked how many hours till this occurs & it was 20 or 20.4 from around 8:30 a.m. There is also something the 11th. Maybe that is when it really turns back upward?? Of course, it could be nothing too, but I'll check in on Wed.
It will be a "scene of the crime" trade at the target area, so this could be really nice catching both sides IF IT'S CORRECT. My work can be spot on at times & miss entirely others, but I did pull an oracle card from a website that has tons & tons of cards it "randomly" chooses from. I asked about this idea and it gave the YES card - your intuition is correct. We'll see.
