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GDF1! trade ideas

WEEKLY LOOK AT GOLD FUTURES Chart speaks for its self - I know JP Morgan has a price target of $3675 by Q4 2025 and over $4000 by Q2 2026. This is weekly chart and we're making a new high that very divergent. So regardless what the investment bank that has paid billions in commodity fraud - I remain sceptical. Nice trend line that we would be nice to revisit. Love to get long but this needs correction for me personally - its been a good run without a doubt. So somewhere between 3150 and 3200 - Why could this happen? Because everyone and their dog is long. When everyone is in the same side of the boat? Every time. The white line is the 200 Week MA.
COMEX:GC1!
by Maximilianned
Gold Futures (MGC / GC) — Daily Outlook (Wed)Price just broke the previous ATH (3,578) and is in new price discovery. Momentum is bullish, but there are key imbalances below that could attract price before continuation. 🔍 Key Levels ATH (3,578) → breakout level to watch 1H FVG (3,565–3,575) → short-term support zone 4H + 8H FVG stack (3,515–3,535) → deeper liquidity target Immediate resistance → 3,610–3,620 zone ⚖️ Scenarios for Wednesday 1️⃣ Bullish Continuation (primary bias) If ATH (3,578) holds → look for continuation into 3,610–3,620+ 1H FVG may provide a bounce if tested 2️⃣ Deeper Pullback (secondary bias) Failure to hold ATH → watch for a drop into 3,515–3,535 (4H/8H FVGs) before bullish continuation ✅ Trade Plan Idea Continuation play: Buy on ATH retest / 1H FVG bounce (3,575 zone) → target 3,610–3,620+ Deeper retrace play: If ATH breaks clean → wait for price inside 3,515–3,535 zone → look for reversal confirmation long 📌 Notes Momentum = bullish until proven otherwise Don’t chase → wait for either ATH defense or clean retrace into imbalances Manage risk → this is price discovery, expect volatility 📊 What’s your bias here? Do you see price holding ATH for continuation, or do you think we dip first into the deeper FVGs?
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold Pauses Ahead of FOMC – Big Move Loading?Gold has been consolidating just below its all-time highs as traders await the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow. Key levels on my chart: Resistance: ATH 3737.5 → 3749.8 (DH) Support: 3715.2 (WH) → 3711.6 (DL) If the Fed cuts rates more aggressively than expected, Gold could break higher and run liquidity above 3750. On the flip side, a smaller cut or hawkish tone could give the dollar strength, driving Gold lower — first target 3700 → 3680. I’m staying cautious during Asia and London, expecting chop until NY session. My focus will be on how price reacts after the announcement — that’s where the cleaner opportunities should come. Patience is key here — the real move is still loading.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
New Highs For Gold Or Perfect Opportunity for Reversal Gold (GC1!) Is Poised to set New Highs, as We've seen Gold (GC1) reach its highest Point in history and shows no intentions of Slowing Down. Gold May Start off Strong with high liquidity This Monday, This could be the lowest we get to see gold Prices For a long time and late investor may want to get in before we take off. all I know is this will be a fierce battle as 'Bears' may use this opportunity to enter their positions the 'Bulls' will have to fight! if they really want it.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by MAN_OTC
Gold (XAU/USD) Forex SignalGold (XAU/USD) has been showing strong bullish momentum recently, but the latest Zig Zag pattern and RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggest a potential correction in the short term. Let’s analyze and provide a clear forex trading signal. Market Overview | Pair | Gold (XAU/USD) | | -------------- | ------------------------------- | | Current Price | \$3,680.7 | | Trend | Bullish with minor pullback | | Key Indicators | Zig Zag (5,10), RSI (14, close) | | Volatility | High | | Market Session | US Session | Technical Analysis Zig Zag Indicator: The last leg shows a peak around **\$3,679.3** followed by a small correction, signaling possible short-term weakness. RSI (14): Currently near the **55 level**, coming down from overbought territory (>70). This indicates the bullish rally may be slowing, and sellers could test the downside. Support Levels: \$3,650 – \$3,620 Resistance Levels: \$3,720 – \$3,750 Gold Trading Signal (September 14, 2025) | Signal Type | Sell (Short-term) | | ------------- | --------------------- | | Entry Zone | \$3,680 – \$3,690 | | Stop Loss | \$3,720 | | Take Profit 1 | \$3,650 | | Take Profit 2 | \$3,620 | Analysis: Since RSI has cooled off from overbought levels and Zig Zag shows a minor top formation, a short-term selling opportunity is expected. However, the long-term trend remains bullish, so aggressive traders may wait for dips to re-enter long positions. Alternate Scenario If gold breaks above \$3,720, the bearish setup becomes invalid, and bulls may drive the price toward \$3,750 – \$3,800. FAQs on Gold Forex Signals Q1: Is gold still a good buy in September 2025? Yes, gold remains in a long-term uptrend, but short-term pullbacks are expected. Q2: What is the best strategy for XAU/USD now? Swing traders can short near resistance with tight SL, while long-term investors can buy on dips. Q3: Which indicators are most useful for gold trading? RSI, Zig Zag, Moving Averages, and Fibonacci retracements work well with gold volatility. Conclusion Gold (XAU/USD) is consolidating after a strong bullish move. Short-term traders can look for sell opportunities near \$3,680 with targets at \$3,650 – \$3,620, while long-term traders should stay bullish and buy dips.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by forexinworld
MCX GOLD;Trade Set up and TargetsKey levels Immediate support (first line): ₹108,550 Lower support zone: ₹108,000 — if price closes below this, bearish pressure increases. Near-term resistance zone: ₹109,440 — watch for rejections here. Upper resistance / new-high trigger: ₹110,000 — daily close above this signals fresh bullish extension. Psychological round: ₹111,000 (next larger objective if momentum continues) (These are the horizontal lines on the chart and the levels I used to build targets.) Technical read : RSI(14) in my chart is in neutral-to-mildly-overbought area — watch for divergence or a close below 50 for weakening momentum. Trade setups & targets Bullish (momentum continuation) Setup: Daily close above ₹110,000 (with follow-through volume / higher open next day). Entry: on a clean daily close above 110,000 or a pullback to 109,400–109,600 that holds. Targets: 1) ₹111,000 (first), 2) ₹112,400–₹113,000 (secondary extension). Stop: below ₹108,900 (or tight intraday protective stop if entering on breakout). Range / neutral (failure at resistance) If price is rejected in the 109,400–110,000 zone: consider short with targets 108,550 then 108,000. Stop: above 110,200 on a rejection scalp. Bearish (momentum shift) Trigger: daily close below ₹108,000 (sustained). Short targets: 107,000 then 105,500. Stop: above 108,800 (or recent EMA20). Intraday scalp idea Look for support/resistance confluence near 108,550 (buy if strong bounce and intraday momentum) or a quick rejection around 109,440–110,000 for a 200–500 point scalp, with tight stops. Risk management & rules (short) Risk no more than 1–2% of trading capital per trade. Prefer daily closes for swing decisions; intraday trades need tighter stops. Watch macro cues — US rates, USDINR and global gold (COMEX) often influence MCX moves.(For educational purpose only)
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by CSB68
The 2-Sigma Rejection: Gold's Multi-Indicator Reversal Blueprint# The 2-Sigma Rejection: Gold's Multi-Indicator Reversal Blueprint ## Market Structure Evolution (Points 1→4) Price action has completed a measured retracement to proven institutional buying zones, establishing Point 4 as a critical inflection level where smart money historically accumulates positions. This calculated pullback to tested support creates the foundation for a high-probability reversal setup. ## The Confluence Matrix: Four Pillars of Confirmation ### **Momentum Divergence Dual Signal** - **RSI Bullish Divergence**: While price printed a lower low at Point 4, the Relative Strength Index formed a higher low, revealing underlying strength masked by price action - **MFI Confirmation**: Money Flow Index mirrors the RSI divergence, indicating that capital flows are diverging positively from price - a signature of accumulation during apparent weakness ### **Bollinger Band Extremity Alignment** - **Price at Lower Band**: Point 4 precisely tags the lower Bollinger Band, marking a statistically significant oversold extreme - **OBV Breaking Below Its Lower Band**: A rare occurrence where On-Balance Volume pierces below its own Bollinger Band lower boundary - historically a powerful mean reversion signal that suggests panic selling into strong hands ### **The 2-Standard Deviation Rejection** Using Point 1 as the VWAP anchor creates a statistically robust framework: - Point 4 achieves a perfect touch and rejection from the 2nd standard deviation below VWAP - This represents a 95% statistical extreme, where price typically finds aggressive buyers - The rejection from this level confirms institutional algorithms are defending this mathematically significant zone ## Technical Synthesis This setup presents a textbook convergence of statistical extremes and momentum divergences. The simultaneous occurrence of: - Dual momentum divergences (RSI + MFI) - Dual Bollinger Band extremes (Price + OBV) - 2-sigma VWAP deviation test Creates a rare "perfect storm" reversal setup where multiple independent indicators reach oversold extremes simultaneously. ## Probability Assessment When price touches the lower Bollinger Band while OBV breaks below its own band, historical data suggests a >70% probability of mean reversion within 5-10 bars. Combined with the momentum divergences and VWAP deviation test, this creates an asymmetric risk-reward scenario favoring long positions. ## Risk Management Framework - **Stop Loss**: Below Point 4 with buffer for volatility - **Initial Target**: VWAP mean reversion (1st standard deviation) - **Extended Target**: Upper Bollinger Band or Point 3 resistance - **Invalidation**: Sustained break below 2nd VWAP deviation would negate the setup ## Key Takeaway The convergence of statistical extremes across multiple non-correlated indicators at Point 4 creates a institutional-grade reversal setup. The 2-sigma VWAP rejection, combined with rare OBV Bollinger Band penetration and dual momentum divergences, presents a compelling mean reversion opportunity with clearly defined risk parameters.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by jacesabr_real
GOLD | Buy & Sell Setup | 09 Sep 2025 – 10:32 EDTGOLD | Buy & Sell Setup | 09 Sep 2025 – 10:32 EDT Buy Zone: 3709 – 3682 Scenario 1 : Buy Entry: 3700 Stop Loss: 3685 Targets: TP1 → 3745   (1:3) Analysis: From Buy Zone (3709 – 3682) creates possibilities for a buy move. Scenario 2 : Sell Entry: 3685 Stop Loss: 3700 Targets: TP1 → 3670 TP2 → 3621 TP2 → 3604 Analysis: Below Buy Zone (3709 – 3682) creates possibilities for a sell move. Stay alert on updates here. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This idea is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own analysis before making trading decisions.
COMEX:GC1!
by TrendReset
QQQ Macro Stress Gold ripping higher (+60% YoY) Investors are hedging inflation risk, currency debasement, or policy uncertainty Gold outperformance shows capital fleeing to “hard money” rather than growth assets CRBS/US10Y above 8% + US10Y trending down is a classic stagflation warning Economy faces cost pressures (gold pricing in inflation fears) Bond market is saying “growth is slowing/policy will ease" Commodities are saying “inflation pressures are rising" That’s the exact recipe for stagflation - weak real growth, sticky/accelerating inflation This is bearish-biased for QQQ unless CRBS/US10Y cools back below +8% because of multiple compression risk - growth narrative struggles if inflation is sticky while real growth is soft Valuations pressured by elevated yields No reflationary support from commodities Historically underperform in stagflation regimes This setup (gold vertical, CRBS/US10Y sinking) = stagflation hedge regime QQQ continues higher if yields stabilize & capital rotation pauses (20%) Possible if Fed pivots or inflation fears calm while liquidity remains strong QQQ consolidates near highs (30%) Yields + inflation fears cap upside, but strong AI/earnings narrative prevents a deep selloff Most likely outcome (50%) is stagflation + sticky yields compress multiples (5%–10% correction risk) CRBS/US10Y >8% while US10Y trends lower is one of the cleanest stagflation warning signals For QQQ it usually shifts probabilities heavily toward correction For gold/commodities it confirms continued strength
COMEX:GC1!
by pakoumal
Gold Eyes $3,700 Amid Overbought SignalsGold broke out of a multi-month trading range when the spot price finally cleared resistance around $3,450. It took some time for the ascending triangle to play out, and this could mean gold is now on its way towards $3,700. However, the metal has quickly reached overbought levels and may be due for a pause. Breaking Out The breakout could be significant and may trigger a move to much higher levels over time; it just doesn’t mean it will all happen at once. One way to measure the breakout from the ascending triangle pattern suggests the precious metal could climb to about $3,700. The relative strength index also confirms the breakout, rising above a downtrend that had formed between April and August. The rise above the trend line on the RSI confirms the breakout and signals that the consolidation period has ended. Overbought However, the precious metal did not take long to reach overbought levels, with its value rising above the upper Bollinger Band and the relative strength index climbing over 70. This could mean that gold is due for a pause—a period of sideways consolidation—before moving on to higher prices. It could also suggest that the metal is about to run out of steam, having expended too much energy breaking out of the consolidation range, and may be due for a sharp pullback to $3,440 to retest the breakout, or even a decline towards the lower Bollinger Band near $3,200. Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management. Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
CMCMARKETS:GOLDZ2025
by cmcmarkets
Gold Futures Short Into Asia 9/7/25Based on the current Fair Value Gap (FVG), Order Block (OB), and the liquidity resting below, I anticipate gold will retrace toward the Point of Control (POC) identified on the volume profile. This would provide an ideal setup for short-term selling opportunities during tonight’s PM session. My expectation is for price to open lower, push into the 3658 range, and present a bearish entry signal. From there, I’ll be targeting shorts toward the equilibrium of the FVG around 3619, which also aligns closely with previous session highs and lows—adding confluence to the setup.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by jasonrraynor
GC 4H icc analysisGold has been in a clear uptrend and ran into resistance between 3574.6/3587.9. Price broke the zone and indicated that sellers were weak above 3587.9, continued to climb making a new high before correcting back below the zone. Once price hit a support, it continued back above 3587.9 aggressively making a new indication and a new high. Entry: around 3587.9 (after reversal confirmation on 1 hour) Stop loss: Below last low Target: Last swing high Not financial advice.
COMEX:GCV2025Long
by greenlite_ceo