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Taifex NT Dollar Gold Futures

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TGF1! trade ideas

Global news might have us Stalling on Gold! Chart Context (MGC Futures, H1/H4) Price stalled out after rejecting the H4 bearish zone (3791.4–3769.9). Yesterday’s downside move lost steam before fully reaching the deeper H4 bullish demand (3746.3–3735.2). We’re now compressing between Daily High (3792.1) and Daily Low (3752.0). Fundamentals: U.S. geopolitical/military headlines (Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth ordering hundreds of generals/admirals to an urgent meeting at Quantico, Sep 30) are creating uncertainty, which could trigger safe-haven flows in gold. Bias Going Into Friday: Watching for liquidity sweep of yesterday’s lows (~3752/DL). If swept and reclaimed, could trigger bullish continuation. Alternatively, a clean break & hold above yesterday’s high (~3792/DH) sets up momentum longs targeting 3812+ (previous imbalance). No trade in the middle of the chop — patience until liquidity is taken on one side.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Bottom Buying in GoldIn my recent analysis of Gold Futures, I spotted a classic bottom-buying opportunity on the hourly chart. Gold was consolidating and testing support around the 50 EMA. Despite a flagpole pattern failure, I trusted the support level and managed my risk carefully. With a tight stop loss, I entered the trade right near the bottom retracement zone. The result was impressive. Within just 2–3 hours, the trade delivered a strong profit, validating my setup and conviction. At present, I am trailing my position with proper stop losses, ensuring that I capture as much of the ongoing trend as possible while protecting my gains. I’ll continue to maintain the trail as long as momentum stays active. This setup reaffirms the value of sticking to disciplined technical analysis and executing with conviction, even when patterns appear to fail.
MCX:GOLDM1!Long
by PrakashJanawade
Gold Futures – Pullback Into H4 Supply Before Drop to Demand?Price sold off strongly from 3812 resistance and is now correcting higher. On the H4, I see a bearish supply zone between 3791.4–3769.9, which aligns with prior POC acceptance around 3790. If price pulls back into this area and fails, I expect continuation lower into the H4 demand zone at 3746.3–3735.2, which also lines up with Daily Low (DL) and Weekly High (WH) liquidity markers. Levels to Watch: Bearish H4 Supply: 3791.4–3769.9 Bullish H4 Demand: 3746.3–3735.2 Invalidation: Break & hold above 3795 could target 3812 liquidity. Targets: First 3746.3, extended 3735.2. Bias: Bearish pullback scenario into supply → downside continuation.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
Gold Buy ModelAs we all know, gold has been trending up for quite some time now. With Fed Chair Roman Powell speaking about rate cuts in the future, this means that Gold is going to want to continue trending up. Lower interest rates can also weaken the U.S. dollar, making gold cheaper for foreign buyers and increasing demand. I do think gold will continue to trend higher, but I'd love to see a sweep of Asia session lows, potentially testing PDL before this happens. My area of interest is right around $3780 to $3775.
COMEX:GCZ2025Long
by TheTradingRegimen
Gold Futures — Extended After Bullish Surge, Watching 4 PullbackYesterday’s move pushed gold aggressively higher with almost no retrace, leaving a string of unfilled imbalances below. Price is now pressing into 3780 levels, just shy of the psychological 3800 handle. Key Scenarios: Bullish Continuation: If Asia/London hold above 3767, a squeeze into 3800–3810 is possible before any meaningful pullback. Retracement Setup: A break under 3767 could trigger a retrace into 3743 → 3719 zone, aligning with prior resistance turned support. Bigger Picture: Major 4H FVG remains untested below (around 3650–3660), which could act as a downside magnet later in the week. Patience is key after such a vertical move — waiting to see if Tuesday gives us either continuation or that first retrace.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Silver To The Mooooon!!Several factors have come together to make silver especially attractive. Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts / Lower Real Yields Markets are increasingly pricing in Federal Reserve rate cuts, which reduces the opportunity cost of holding non‐yielding assets like silver. Real yields (yields adjusted for inflation) have been weak or falling, making silver more appealing. Weak U.S. Dollar When the USD weakens, commodities priced in dollars become cheaper for holders of other currencies, boosting demand. Safe-Haven / Inflation Hedge Demand Geopolitical risks, economic uncertainty, and fears of inflation make precious metals attractive. Silver benefits both as an industrial metal and a hedge to some degree. The gold-to-silver ratio is unusually high, which many see as signalling that silver is “cheap” relative to gold, suggesting more upside potential.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by LegendSince
Gold Futures – Hedge Within a Larger Bullish Wave (Weekly)🟡 Gold Futures – Hedge Within a Larger Bullish Wave (Weekly) Zooming out to the weekly timeframe, gold has extended aggressively into the 2.618 Fib extension (~3,778), a level that historically marks exhaustion points in strong trends. Volume profile also shows a lack of heavy participation above, meaning this is an overextended zone that can invite corrections. That said, the structural trend remains firmly bullish. Gold has been in a secular uptrend, and each consolidation/throwback over the past decade has set up for higher highs. From a macro perspective, dips remain buying opportunities — but risk management matters when price stretches this far, this fast. 🔍 Long-Term Context Gold has already cleared the 1.618 extension (~2,734) and ran nearly straight into the 2.618 (~3,778) without meaningful retrace. Volume profile shows thin participation between ~3,200 and 3,600 — fast moves can cut both ways here. Stronger long-term support sits around 3,390 (high-volume node) and further down at ~2,730 and ~2,090 (Fib levels + prior consolidation zones). ⚖️ Strategy Update Long-term bias: Bullish. Macro backdrop (Fed easing cycle, fiscal imbalances, central bank buying) favors higher gold over time. Short-term hedge: Valid. With price testing a 2.618 Fib extension, we expect corrective pullbacks before continuation. A hedge here reduces risk of giving back profits without abandoning the larger uptrend. Plan: Maintain hedge positioning near 3,758–3,771 (as outlined in the short-term plan). If pullback develops, scale out at key supports (3,701 → 3,587 → 3,510). If price breaks and sustains above 3,790, hedge is invalid and we reset for long continuation. 📊 Perspective: The weekly chart confirms why a hedge here makes sense — gold has run into a historically significant Fib extension with thin volume structure above. This doesn’t negate the long-term bull trend, but it increases the probability of a corrective throwback. Protecting gains with a short hedge while respecting the bullish macro bias keeps us balanced.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
Gold Futures Hedge Update🟡 Gold Futures Hedge Update Our previous short setup reached the first take profit, confirming that hedging into overextension made sense. Long-term bias on gold remains bullish, but short-term conditions still look stretched, and we’re preparing for another protective hedge. This is not a bearish reversal call — the goal is to lock in gains and protect profits as gold presses into heavy resistance. 📍 Trade Setup (Short Hedge) Entry (Short): 3,750 (Fib 1.618 extension + HVN resistance) Stop Loss (SL): 3,780 (above channel top + HVN cluster) Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,700 – 3,685 (volume node / mid-channel support) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,587 (next HVN + structural support) Take Profit 3 (Stretch): 3,510 – 3,500 (Fib retrace + channel low) ⚖️ Rationale Gold has been overextended on the short-term chart, pressing into Fib and channel resistance with signs of stalling. Volume profile highlights key support/resistance nodes that align with Fib levels. Taking partial profits on the way down while keeping risk tight ensures the hedge protects without overcommitting against the dominant bullish trend. 📊 Plan: Scale into shorts near resistance with defined risk, peel off at TP1 and TP2, leave a runner for deeper correction potential. If gold breaks and holds above 3,790, hedge is invalidated and focus shifts back to long setups.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
Gold Dec. Futures (MCX) – Intraday Analysis 6th Oct., 2025MCX:GOLD1! Gold is consolidating at 119,369 after a strong bounce, with price action pressing against a pivotal resistance area (zero line) and testing higher-low support in a sideways-to-bullish formation. Bullish (Long) Setup Long Entry (118,955): Fresh longs are actionable above 118,955 with price holding above recent swing support, confirming buyers’ intent for further upside. Adds can be managed at 118,779 if dips hold with rising volume and higher lows. Upside Targets: 120,256 (Target 1): First mapped supply zone and likely profit-booking area. 120,826 (Target 2): Higher bullish extension and next major resistance. Stop Loss: Keep stops below 118,602 (short entry area) or 118,457 (long exit) to reduce risk in case of reversal. Bearish (Short) Setup Short Entry (118,602): Shorts activate below 118,602, confirming breakdown of support and shifting momentum to sellers. Downside Targets: 118,410 (Target 1): Bounce/support area for first profit booking. 117,840 (Target 2): Deeper extension and next major demand zone. Stop Loss: Exit shorts if price retakes 118,955 to avoid losses on failed breakdown. Range/Neutral Logic Zero Line (119,333): Current action near the zero line marks the market balance; a sustained close above 119,333 supports bullish momentum, while repeated rejection turns bias sideways or soft bearish. Wait for a breakout from the zero line for high-conviction trades.
MCX:GOLD2!
by ChartPathik
New ATHs for Gold?It seems like every single week, gold has been making new ATHs. With the overall bullish sentiment of the market plus the government shutdown, I don't see price slowing down any time soon. As long as price is trading above the VWAP on lower time frames (4H, 1H, 15min), we could continue to see ATHs up to $4,000. Me personally, I've been very cautious trading in these ATH markets. The reason is because price doesn't have much structure to follow. There's no clear vision of the target when entering longs and you're kind of just trading into no-mans-land. We'll see what price decides to do early in the beginning of the trading week.
COMEX:GCZ2025
by TheTradingRegimen
Long trade Pair/Asset: MGC1! (Micro Gold Futures) Trade Type: Buyside trade (Trade Idea) Date: Tuesday, 30th Sept 2025 Session: 6:00 AM Trade Details Entry: 3841.3 Profit Level (TP): 3914.2 (+1.90%) Stop Level (SL): 3822.0 (-0.50%) Risk–Reward (RR): 3.78 Technical Narrative Market Context: Gold retraced sharply overnight, creating multiple fair value gaps (FVGs) on the 5m chart. The strong rebound at ~3820 formed a structural low + BSLQ sweep, suggesting liquidity taken below support. A bullish recovery candle with high volume confirmed aggressive buyers stepping in. Entry Justification: Entry at 3841.3 coincided with the demand zone after the sweep. EMA/WMA realignment showed a momentum shift back to the upside. Volume spike supported bullish intent. Target Rationale: TP at 3914.2 chosen just below the prior swing high & inefficiency zone. Broader context: If USD shows weakness during the NY session, upside continuation is likely? DYX (1Hr TF) overview
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by davidjulien369
Gold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonal Gold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonal Gold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonalGold buy above 117815 tgt 120000 positonal
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by InvestingMindset
Mcx Gold Profit-taking takes placeA proper analysis and technical analysis(gold) The latest 4-hour chart of MCX Gold Futures (INR) reveals a strong uptrend supported by channel movement and clear Fibonacci retracement levels. The price has recently tested channel resistance around 116,625 INR and faced a minor pullback to 116,170 INR, suggesting short-term consolidation after a rally. ### Trend and Channel Analysis - The price is moving within a rising channel, indicating persistent bullish momentum . - The current price (116,170 INR) is slightly below recent highs, respecting the upper boundary of the channel, which signals overextension and potential for a corrective pullback . - As long as the price remains inside the channel, the upward trend is intact. ### Fibonacci Retracement Levels Key Fibonacci levels derived from the recent upmove: - 0.0%: 116,625 INR (Recent swing high; nearest resistance) - 23.60%: 113,656 INR (First near-term support; significant for shallow corrections) - 38.20%: 111,819 INR (Secondary support; may attract buyers on stronger dips) - 50.00%: 110,335 INR (Critical mid retracement; if broken, trend may weaken) - 61.80%: 108,850 INR (Key retracement; strong institutional level) - 78.60%: 106,737 INR (Major support if deep correction occurs) ### Support and Resistance - Immediate resistance is at 116,625 INR; breaking above could trigger strong bullish momentum . - Immediate support is at 113,656 INR; a drop below this could bring further downside to 111,819 INR . - Psychological support is at 110,000 INR, just below the 50% retracement, and another at 108,750 INR near 61.8% . ### Momentum and Outlook - The trend remains bullish unless the price closes below 113,656 INR . - Watch for a buying opportunity if the price retests the lower channel or key Fibonacci levels without breaking the channel downward. - If price sustains above 116,625 INR, next round of buying could push towards 118,000 INR. ### Summary Table | Level | Price (INR) | Significance | |-----------------|-------------|-------------------| | Channel High | 116,625 | Immediate Resistance | | 23.6% Fib | 113,656 | First Support | | 38.2% Fib | 111,819 | Deeper Support | | 50% Fib | 110,335 | Mid-Support | | 61.8% Fib | 108,850 | Strong Support | | 78.6% Fib | 106,737 | Deep Correction | Overall, the outlook is bullish above 113,656 INR, but a close below key retracement levels could invite deeper correction towards 110,335 or 108,850 INR . Aggressive traders can ride the trend with tight stops below key levels, while conservative traders may wait for price action confirmation at or near Fibonacci supports.
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by ktra_commodities
1
Gold & Silver Push Higher as Markets Hunt for Safe HavensGold continues its climb, breaking through past resistance levels as investors flee into safety ahead of U.S. fiscal turmoil and rate ambiguity. Meanwhile, silver is turning heads — rallying hard on the back of both safe-haven demand and its dual role as an industrial metal. Together, they’re painting a picture: when anxiety and uncertainty rise, the metals step into the spotlight. Gold hit an all-time high of $3,833.37/oz, closing at $3,829.63, on strong safe-haven demand amid U.S. shutdown fears and rate cut expectations. It then extended gains, reaching $3,842.76/oz, putting it on track for its best month since August 2011 with an ~11.4% gain in September. Silver also surged: it climbed to a 14-year high near $46.85/oz as industrial demand and safe-haven flows bolstered interest. Earlier this year, silver broke $35/oz, a level not seen in over 13 years, driven by tight supply and robust demand in tech & green energy sectors.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by LegendSince
Is Gold Heading Higher?At the beginning of last week, price saw a much needed pullback on the commodity. Earlier news in the week was the catalyst that gold needed to head down. Some thought we would head down further but gold seems to have traversed the entirety of its pullback, with price trading not too far away from its ATH. With the dollar still gaining strength from future rate cut uncertainty, is this just a test of the top before further moves down? Could be. But future rate cut uncertainty might not be enough to keep gold from making new highs. We do have a pretty news heavy week with NFP looming at the end of the week. Remember to always trade with caution.
COMEX:GCZ2025
by TheTradingRegimen