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GD1! trade ideas

Gold – Eyeing the H4 FVG Before the Next Bull RunPrice has been consolidating within the current Asian range after running last week’s high and today’s daily high. The move into D-H lacked strong momentum, and with a large unfilled H4 Fair Value Gap (3,350–3,372) below, I’m anticipating a retracement to rebalance liquidity before resuming the bullish trend. Key Notes: D-H (~3,436) acting as short-term resistance. Watching for a sweep of D-H to create excess on the DOM, then a potential breakdown toward the H4 FVG. Bearish path targets: 3,397 → 3,372 → 3,350. Bullish continuation requires a clean breakout and hold above D-H with volume. This scenario could set up a stronger bullish leg later in the week, especially if the retracement aligns with London or NY session volatility.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
Gold Daily Bias – Bulls Have the Ball, But Watch the TrapGold Daily Chart – August Outlook Bias is still bullish for August. Price is holding well above the big 3M FVG ($2,900–$3,100). Strong bounce from Weekly Low ($3,331) heading toward Weekly High ($3,416). Above $3,416 we’ve got $3,451 (M-H) and ATH ($3,508) as liquidity targets . Seasonal tailwinds could help push us higher into Q4. Blind spots to watch: Still range-bound between $3,330–$3,450 for months — no clean break yet. Unfilled FVG near $3,210 could be a draw if we reject from resistance. August liquidity is thin — spikes can reverse fast. Triple-top risk if we reject near $3,450 again. Game plan: Bullish if we get a daily close above $3,416 (confirmation) and ideally above $3,451 to aim for ATH. If breakout fails, I’ll target range play back toward $3,290–$3,210. Bias = bullish, but I’m staying nimble.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
BULLISH ON GOLDLet's take a look at some key things happening with gold and why I decided to go long. The first and most convincing factor for me is the market structure shift after taking sell-side liquidity, followed by strong displacement to the upside. We also have equal highs. Additionally, there’s a 4-hour breaker, and if you look at DXY, it has broken down after running ITS buy-side liquidity. Bonds (ZBU2025) are also showing strength. Gold is still in a range market, and right now we are at the range lows. So, even if you're not bullish on gold, it doesn’t make sense to short. I also wouldn’t feel comfortable shorting because of the equal highs above. INVALIDATION IS RECENT 4HR LOW.
COMEX_MINI:MGCZ2025Long
by diegoulises281
GOLD: NEW WEEK TECHNICAL BIAS (MARKET OPEN)CONTEXT ▪︎ HTFs Bias: Bullish stance remains intact until a valid structural breach occurs. ▪︎ Monthly Context: Despite consistent upper wick rejections, price continues to close above prior monthly opens — suggesting bullish resilience. ▪︎ Weekly View: Current price action reflects a Value Compression Phase (VCP) within the premium zone of the active range, implying potential buildup for a bullish Impulse Drive. ▪︎ Daily Alignment: Daily price behavior mirrors the Weekly context, supporting a continuation thesis. Preferred Scenario: Leaning towards a Retrace Precision Entry (RPE) before the Ascend Sequence resumes. Watching: • Point A (shallow pullback) near B/C level, or • Point B (deep pullback) into the pending Rejection Zone (ARB). Invalidation Trigger: A structural breach below 3336, backed by bearish momentum and microstructure shift, targets first 3280, then levels below. Uncertainty Variable: Will price first sweep 3433.2 before retracing? Or will it retrace from market open? This remains unclear and demands a patient, reactive stance. 📌 Disclaimer: This is a strategic directional bias, not financial advice. Execute only with confirmation and proper risk management.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by Olamitrades1
Gold Futures Super Strong Resistance - Price Coming Back StrongGold Future has been very strongly pushing up without filling any gapes in the short side before pushing up more further. One unique line is probably the target super strong resistance. In a daily chart, probably better wait until it reaches that point to try to check for strong short entries maybe. Still arriving there it would explode up even more further to transform that line into a super strong probable support. Keep watching! (Do we actually have to believe that gold is secretly targeting $10,000) in the Yearly Chart?... Since February 2022 it just went berserk!)
COMEX:GC1!
by Diallo_Charts_Ideas
Gold’s on a Roller Coaster — and We’re Riding It Down🎢 Gold’s on a Roller Coaster — and We’re Riding It Down 🎢 Gold just snapped up like it saw Trump tweet “TARIFFS ARE BACK” — but the move smells like a knee-jerk algo pump, not real conviction. We just rejected right into a thin-volume imbalance zone and tagged the underside of a long-standing trendline. 📉 Short Setup Locked In: 💥 Entry: 3405 🛑 Stop: 3415 🎯 Target: 3353 💰 R:R ≈ 5:1 🔍 Why I'm In This Trade: That rip? Total headline panic, not structural strength. Low volume shelf above, with a massive POC magnet below at 3353. We tapped the Developing VAH (3414) and got rejected — classic trap setup. SQZMOM showing the energy is already fizzling. Green flash, no follow-through. 🧠 The Narrative: Gold’s trying to price in volatility from every angle — Trump talk, tariffs, macro chaos — but under the hood, this pop looks unsustainable. If this is just a liquidity grab, we could see a flush back into the meat of value fast. Grab your helmets — this roller coaster might just be heading downhill 🎢📉
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
1
Gold Range-Bound and Ripe for Mean Reversion Plays?Gold has been locked in a sideways, range-bound regime for months, largely oscillating between the 3400 and 3160 levels. This lack of clear directional trend stems from conflicting fundamental forces: on one hand, sticky inflation and resilient U.S. data have bolstered the U.S. dollar and yields, weighing on gold. On the other, global growth concerns and geopolitical tensions continue to underpin demand for the metal as a safe haven. The push and pull of these opposing themes has created an environment of indecision and choppy price action. While long-term investors may find this frustrating, range traders and mean reversion strategies are thriving. With technical boundaries so well-defined, short-term oscillations within the range are offering repeated opportunities for disciplined entry and exit. Currently, XAUUSD is trading just under the 3296 level after a recent rejection from the 3350s. The bearish structure suggests a potential leg down toward the 3160–3180 support zone. However, absent any major economic surprises or geopolitical shocks, this could merely be another deviation from the mean rather than a true breakdown. Indicators like RSI and Stochastic Oscillator are already hinting at early signs of bullish divergence. If price holds above or near 3160, the setup for another mean-reversion trade back toward the mid-range (around 3296 or higher) could unfold. In the current environment, fading extremes rather than chasing trends remains a strategy of edge, as depicted by the 14 period RSI.
COMEX:GC1!
by Jacques1000
Gold’s Compression Coil Looks Ready to DetonateMGC continues to reject the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the $3,386.5 swing high, currently trading at $3,347.3. Price has now spent multiple candles trapped under this level, unable to reclaim $3,355, with clear upper wicks and no bullish follow-through. This is classic midday NY session compression, often setting up a late-day directional move. All signs currently point to continuation lower toward $3,306.2, completing a textbook measured move. Staakd Probability Model Based on historical setups where MGC pulls back to 50% and stalls mid-NY: Scenario Probability - Continuation down to $3,306.2 68% High-probability path if $3,347 breaks - Sweep to $3,355–$3,360 before drop. 26%. Possible liquidity grab - Break and hold above $3,360 6% Invalidation of the short idea Key Levels Level - 100% Fib High $3,386.5 - Swing high - Supply Zone $3,347–$3,355 - Rejection area + equilibrium zone - Current Price $3,347.3 - Compression below fib midpoint - Target Zone $3,306.2 - Measured move / demand structure - Invalidation $3,360.0+ - Break above this invalidates the short Trade Idea (Pending Trigger) - Bias: Bearish - Entry Zone: $3,345–$3,350 - Target: $3,306.2 - Invalidation: Above $3,360 - Reward-to-Risk: 2.2R–2.5R depending on entry execution This is shaping into a high-probability continuation setup. NY session has done the heavy lifting: a weak bounce, heavy rejections, and no reclaim of structure. Unless we see a sudden reclaim of $3,355 or a spike in late NY volume, this looks ready to break and expand lower. Keep it simple. Trust the structure. Let price walk itself to the target.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by stakkd
MGC Bear Flag or Dead Cat Bounce? Tokyo’s About to DecideClean structure forming on MGC after a heavy impulse sell during NY session. We’re now consolidating below VWAP in what looks like a textbook bear flag or descending wedge. We had a sharp breakdown from the highs with no real attempt to reclaim the structure. Price is now compressing underneath the 9/21 EMAs and VWAP clear bear pressure. Volume POC from this range is sitting around 3,332.7, and price can’t even sniff it. Fibonacci 50% retrace off the sell leg aligns with POC stacked resistance. Entry marked at 3,318.4, targeting a breakdown into 3,268.4 roughly the measured move from the flag. Quant Confluence: - Under VWAP - Below 9 & 21 EMA - Fib 50% rejection - Bear flag structure - POC rejection zone If I'm Wrong: If price closes above 3,332.7 (POC) or breaks and holds above VWAP, the bear thesis weakens significantly. Flip long only on a full structure reclaim.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by stakkd
GC1! – The Wedge Strikes BackGC1! – The Wedge Strikes Back 🚀 Gold futures (GC1!) just gave us a textbook rollover move. As the front-month rolled, price faked a wedge breakdown, only to rip back inside the structure once rollover completed. That failed breakout speaks volumes – and now the wedge is back in control. Rollover Trap → Back Inside the Wedge Rollover volatility flushed price below the wedge, pulling in shorts… but the move didn’t stick. Buyers stepped up and snapped price back inside, turning the wedge’s lower boundary into rock-solid support once again. The Long Game 🎯 With GC1! holding the wedge: Longs off wedge support are the play Resistance: 3,380 Target: 3,446 (upper wedge boundary) Stop-loss: 3,336 (below support) Risk/Reward: 🔥 10.69 RRR Volume Profile also shows heavy accumulation in the 3,336–3,380 zone – crack through 3,380, and we could see momentum accelerate quickly. Bottom Line This isn’t just another bounce – it’s a failed breakdown on rollover. Wedge traders are back in the driver’s seat, and the setup offers a crystal-clear invalidation point with serious upside potential.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by JoshuaDanford
1