AFRICA40 trade ideas
TOP40 --- Caution on the long side- The index has pulled back to the ambush zone of the last leg done and consequently the 50day moving average
- Stochastics in overbought territory
- Bulls may tire here and bears take control.
-- MANAGE YOUR RISK - -
Disclaimer: All ideas are my opinion and should not be taken as financial advice.
Top40 index: Death Cross concernIt is the first of such a signal since March 2020.
The death cross is a technical chart pattern indicating the potential for a major sell-off.
The death cross appears on a chart when an index’s short-term moving average crosses below its long-term moving average.
Typically, the most common moving averages used in this pattern are the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
Let's hope it is a false signal.
Stage set for bullish impulse SA40From 63884 down to 54704 SA40 has traced out a corrective flat pattern. The move retraced 50% of the previous impulse back to 89,W support MA. RSI is also back down to buy level to where the previous implies kicked off. The next EW phase will be an Impulsive move to ATH reguardless of the wave count.
Top40 index: mean reversion trade?A price action above 54700 supports a bullish trend direction.
RSI leaves enough room for upside price potential.
Price action in oversold territory.
At its lower range of the linear regression channel pattern - which increases the likelihood of a mean reversion trade.
Also at the lower range of the Bollinger Bands.
Might the 200-day be on the horizon as a target?
JSE TOP 40 Picture Looking ScaryAfter an almost 10% drop in just over a month in this index, I see some people already looking for entry points to go long again, as in long term. There are several technical aspects of great concern to me, pointing to something completely different. Here is a few.
• The red lines indicate that the price has now been in a bearish divergence with several indicators over a long time.
• The yellow lines show a previous downward move in indicators, but mostly a sideways movement by the price over the same period.
• My question: What are the chances of getting another sideways price movement in short succession? I have my doubts about that one.
• Most important for me to be aware of is the fact that the MACD has now turned downwards. It is a substantial distance from the zero line, and on monthly charts one does not see a change in direction of the MACD every month or two.
All in all, not a good outlook in my view, but that ties in with most indices worldwide.