$J200 JSE TOP40 observationThe Top40's Price action has been anchored between the main Pivot Point (48 400) and Resistance line 1 (53 000) since early February. (200 week ma = 48193). Besides for the month of January the rest of the year's price action has taken place inside this range. Watch for a second consecutive weekly close below the pivot point level @ 48400. A close below last weeks candle low @ 48000 is even more important. Should we see either/both of these levels breached on an end of week closing basis, it will signal a shift in market direction firmly into the hands of the bears moving into year end. If you then project the range of the pivot action (53 000 - 48400), a break below 48000 can see us move to a projected target of 43800.
Still early days but important to keep a close eye as the market is at a critical juncture here...
AFRICA40 trade ideas
TOP40 - Middle GroundWe may derive the following from the Weekly J200 chart:
1. Price has found support at a long term demand zone.
2. We will need to wait and see what price does - giving us a short continuation trade or long initiation.
3. Monitor price action and be patient.
4. As always - maintain your risk.
Note: The views provided herein do not constitute financial advice.
JSE Top 40 Index (Spot) The JSE Top 40 spot index has advanced strongly since developing a bottom in late August. Off the lows of 47618, the index has appreciated by 3527 points or 7.4%. At current levels, the price trades at prior support of 51336 and is nearing the prior breakdown level of 51546 which took place on 30 July. While it is possible that these level could be breached, it would also be natural to expect some consolidation following the strong recent move higher and while there is no clear short/sell signal at present, traders who took a long from the late August lows may want to partially reduce their long positions. I will be monitoring the index for a potential short/sell.
TOP 40 - Bears in ControlWe may derive the following from the Weekly J200 chart:
1. Price has fallen as previously analysed (See linked idea).
2. Some profit can be taken.
3. A correction phase over the next few weeks is likely.
4. Keep holding.
5. As always - maintain your risk.
Note: The views provided herein do not constitute financial advice.