USTEC trade ideas
Nas100 – Today's Trading Zones Analysis 17 sep.Trading Zones
As price trades around all-time highs, the amount of historical data to build strong zones is limited. This makes the current levels less reliable, and traders should approach them primarily as guidance rather than decisive turning points.
Zone 1 – All-Time High / Yesterday’s High:
This area marks the recent record peak. While it can act as resistance in the short term, its strength is uncertain due to limited data. Price reactions here may be volatile and driven more by sentiment than structure.
Zone 2 – Yesterday’s Low:
A lighter support level that can provide intraday reactions but lacks deep structural confirmation. Best used as a reference point rather than a major decision area.
Zone 3 – Strong Support / High Profitability for Momentum:
This is the most significant zone on the chart, where strong buyers have previously stepped in. It carries a higher probability of triggering a strong reaction. That reaction could unfold as a bounce higher if demand holds, or as a sharp move lower if the zone breaks decisively.
All eyes are on today’s Fed meeting , where markets widely expect a 25bp rate cut. While the move is largely priced in, the real focus will be on Powell’s tone and the updated dot plot, which will guide expectations for the pace of easing ahead. Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously optimistic, supported by strong tech momentum and softer inflation data, but with price trading at record highs, volatility is likely to spike if the Fed delivers any surprises.
What Could Derail the Nasdaq 100 Uptrend?The chart shows the US100 (Nasdaq 100, daily timeframe) extending its bullish momentum within a rising channel. Here’s the breakdown:
Trend & Structure:
The index has been in a steady uptrend since rebounding from its April lows, with price action respecting the boundaries of the ascending channel. It remains above both the 50-day SMA (23,416) and the 200-day SMA (21,481), confirming strong bullish structure.
Support Levels:
The lower channel boundary around 23,500 is immediate dynamic support.
The 50-day SMA provides further backing below that.
A key horizontal support is at 21,150, near the 200-day SMA, which marks the broader trendline base.
Resistance Levels:
The upper channel boundary near 24,500 is the immediate resistance.
A breakout above this region could extend gains toward 25,000, the next psychological target.
Momentum Indicators:
MACD remains positive, confirming upward momentum.
RSI (68.7) is approaching overbought levels but still has room before signaling exhaustion.
Outlook:
The Nasdaq 100 remains firmly bullish, with higher highs and higher lows supporting the trend. While the RSI hints at stretched conditions, momentum remains strong, and as long as price holds above 23,500, the path of least resistance points toward 24,500–25,000.
-MW
Volume YepA repeating pattern whereby the Swing occurs bearish this time, but instead of a single eye, e wait for either a retracement to the gap that will form after the current 4H candle and continue bearish, or we wait to see what happens on a great bullish candle that we have that led to our setup failing, because that is where in this case Volume is.
Of course. Here is the English translation of the US100 (Nasdaq Of course. Here is the English translation of the US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) analysis:
The US100 Nasdaq 100 Index, which aggregates the world's top technology and non-essential consumer giants, is a core benchmark for gauging growth stocks and market risk appetite. Its trajectory is highly correlated with U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy and is exceptionally sensitive to interest rate expectations; any clue about rate cuts can trigger significant volatility. The index's weight is heavily concentrated in the "Magnificent Seven," making their individual earnings reports and progress in the field of AI decisive driving forces for the index.
Currently, the index shows strong momentum after reaching new historical highs, but technical indicators are already showing signs of being overbought, with the 18,000 point level becoming a key psychological and technical resistance. High valuations make it more vulnerable to negative news shocks. Looking ahead, the US100 will be locked in a fierce battle between the narrative of AI innovation and the pressure of high interest rates. Whether the upward trend can continue depends on whether the giants' profits meet expectations and whether the Fed successfully executes a policy pivot. Investors should be wary of pullback risks amid high valuations and closely monitor the earnings of leading companies and inflation data.
NAS100 Trading Zones – Navigating All-Time HighsThe Nasdaq is trading at all-time highs, which means there are no established sell zones above. In this environment, price is in full discovery mode. Every new tick higher sets fresh records, and volatility often picks up as traders probe for tops. That makes it difficult to fade strength, shifting the focus toward demand zones below as key areas for potential pullbacks.
🔹 Zone 1 – Today’s Asia Low (24,278–24,289)
This zone marks the intraday low from the Asian session and serves as the nearest short-term demand. A revisit here could attract buyers for a bounce, while a decisive break lower would signal loss of momentum and invite deeper retracement.
🔹 Zone 2 – Yesterday’s All-Time High, Now Demand (24,133–24,141)
Yesterday’s record high has flipped into a demand zone. As long as price holds above this level, the bullish structure stays intact. A strong rejection here favors continuation higher, but failure to hold could open the door to sharper downside.
Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously optimistic. Softer labor data and easing producer prices have strengthened expectations of Fed rate cuts, while strong momentum in select tech names, including Oracle’s upbeat cloud outlook, continues to drive the index higher. Still, with price trading near all-time highs, volatility is elevated and the backdrop fragile, leaving traders mindful that optimism rests heavily on the Fed delivering on dovish expectations.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 15 September 2025
- Nasdaq-100 broke key resistance level 24000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 25000.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke above the key resistance level 24000.00 (upper border of the narrow sideways price range inside which the index has been trading from July).
The breakout of the resistance level 24000.00 accelerated the active impulse wave v of the higher order impulse wave 5 from June.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 25000.00, target for the completion of the active impulse wave v.
NAS100 - Stock market awaits Federal Reserve meeting!The indicator is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the drawn upward trajectory is maintained, I can expect the future to continue as it has in the past. In case of a valid breakdown, its downward path is to the specified range, which can be approached with a reward for buying.
Last week’s economic data painted a mixed picture of the U.S. economy. On the one hand, new jobless claims rose to 263,000, above the market forecast of 235,000, signaling labor market weakness. On the other hand, the August inflation report came in hotter than expected, though most of the increase stemmed from housing costs rather than tariff pressures. Rents rose 0.34%, marking the fastest gain since December 2024, while shelter costs climbed 0.39%, the sharpest jump since January 2025. Still, real-time housing indicators suggest that prices are adjusting, which will likely be reflected in official data in the coming months.
Meanwhile, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury fell below 4% for the first time since April—a sign that markets are reacting more to labor market weakness and the prospect of Fed rate cuts than to inflation concerns.
CIBC, analyzing the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, stated that while the data came in slightly above expectations, it was not strong enough to dissuade the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) from delivering a 25-basis-point cut next week. Ali Jafari, an economist at the bank, wrote: “There was little in the report to prevent a September rate cut. More importantly, the labor market needs support, and a weaker jobs market implies softer demand-side inflationary pressures ahead.”
On a yearly basis, core inflation held steady at 3.1%, while headline inflation rose two-tenths to 2.9%, both in line with forecasts. More troubling, however, are signs that price increases are spreading into new sectors. The report noted: “Tariff pass-through effects intensified this month, with core goods prices rising at the fastest pace since broad tariffs were imposed. Today’s report also showed the first notable increase in new car prices, suggesting that tariff impacts may now be extending to higher-ticket items, though overall car price gains remain modest.”
CIBC expects the Fed to cut rates in September and October, pause afterward, and then deliver two additional cuts in the first half of next year. The bank added: “The overall U.S. inflation picture remains notably above target, but the Fed is willing to tolerate this for now, given growing concerns about a weakening economy and a labor market showing signs of fatigue.”
Separately, U.S. President Donald Trump once again criticized the Fed in an interview with Fox News, saying the central bank “always acts late on interest rates.” He added: “We have the best stock market in history. Inflation has come down, equities are climbing, so rates should be lower.”
These comments come as the Fed is widely expected to cut rates at Wednesday’s meeting. While such a move could reduce borrowing costs in the short term, analysts caution that lower short-term rates do not necessarily translate into lower long-term yields.
Morgan Stanley now projects that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining meetings this year—an upgrade from earlier forecasts of only September and December cuts. The bank also expects three additional 25-basis-point cuts in January, April, and July of 2026.
At the same time, Standard Chartered has revised its outlook and now anticipates a 50-basis-point cut in September—double its previous forecast. The shift followed weak August jobs data showing employment growth had slowed sharply and unemployment rose to 4.3%, the highest since late 2020. The bank described labor market conditions as “dramatic,” noting that in just six weeks the market shifted from “strong” to “weak.” It characterized the larger cut as a form of “catch-up” to align monetary policy with economic realities.
This week is set to be pivotal for global markets, with a series of central bank decisions and key economic releases. Monday will see the Empire State manufacturing index, followed by Tuesday’s August retail sales report. On Wednesday, housing starts and building permits will be released, along with the Bank of Canada’s rate decision. The highlight of the week, however, will be the Fed meeting and Jerome Powell’s press conference.
On Thursday, the Bank of England will announce its policy decision, followed by U.S. jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey. The busy week will conclude Friday with the Bank of Japan’s policy announcement.
Nas100 – Trading Zones to Watch Near HighsZone 1 – All-Time High Supply (24,133 – 24,142)
This zone sits right at the all-time high, where volatility and liquidity are elevated. Sellers are likely to defend aggressively here, making sharp rejections common. A clean breakout and acceptance above would show strong buyer conviction and could trigger momentum into new record territory.
Zone 2 – High Liquidity Demand (24,014 – 24,026)
This area reflects a high-liquidity pocket where buyers previously absorbed heavy selling pressure. Pullbacks into this zone may attract renewed demand, offering potential long setups. If the zone breaks decisively, however, it risks flipping into resistance and signaling continuation lower.
Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously constructive. Optimism is fueled by strong tech leadership and expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts, while softer labor data and cooling producer prices have eased pressure on yields. Still, inflation readings surprised slightly to the upside last week, reminding traders that risks remain. With price now testing all-time highs, volatility is elevated and the market’s mood is fragile momentum is there, but it requires confirmation through clean breakouts rather than relying on hope alone.
nas100 4HTrading Outlooks for the Week Ahead
In this series of analyses, we review short-term trading outlooks and perspectives.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone close to the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction to or breakout from these levels will determine the next price movement toward the specified targets.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to highlight critical price levels ahead and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
NAS100 Forecast & Projection📊 NAS100 Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀📉 (11th Sept 2025)
🕵️ Market Context
NAS100 closed at 24,096.
Global equities remain volatile due to inflation, Fed policy outlook, and tech earnings season.
Short-term sentiment: Neutral to Slightly Bullish.
Swing sentiment: Bullish while above 23,500 key support.
🧩 Technical Framework
Candlesticks: Bullish engulfing spotted on H4, suggesting buyers defend 23,800 zone.
Elliott Wave: Current move resembles Wave 3 extension with corrective pullbacks near 23,750–23,900.
Wyckoff: Distribution signs absent, market in late accumulation.
Gann Analysis: 24,200–24,250 forms a key resistance square.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price above Kumo (H4/D1), bullish confirmation if 24,300 breaks.
Support/Resistance:
Major Support: 23,500 / 23,750
Major Resistance: 24,300 / 24,750
📈 Indicators Snapshot
RSI (H1): 58 → room to climb before overbought.
Bollinger Bands: Price hugging upper band → momentum bullish, risk of overextension.
VWAP (D1): Holding above daily VWAP → bullish bias intraday.
MA Cross: 50 EMA > 200 EMA (Golden Cross) → swing uptrend intact.
⚡ Intraday Levels & Strategy
🔑 Buy Zone: 23,820 – 23,900 (pullback entry).
🎯 Targets: 24,150 / 24,300 / 24,450.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 23,700.
⚠️ Bear Trap Alert: A dip under 23,800 with quick rebound signals strong accumulation.
🌀 Swing Trading Levels & Strategy
🔑 Buy Zone: 23,500 – 23,700.
🎯 Medium-Term Targets: 24,600 / 25,000 / 25,500.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 23,300 (weekly close).
📌 If 24,750 breaks → bullish continuation toward 25,800.
❗ If 23,500 breaks → swing bias shifts bearish to 22,800.
📊 Pattern Watch
🦅 Head & Shoulders invalidated (bullish continuation favored).
🦋 Harmonic Bullish Gartley forming near 23,750 (PRZ zone).
🚨 Watch for Bull Trap above 24,300 → confirmation needed before chasing longs.
🧭 Final Outlook
Intraday Bias: Buy dips toward 23,820–23,900.
Swing Bias: Accumulate above 23,500 for 25,000+.
Market remains buy-the-dip mode while above 23,500.
Risk management 🔑: Keep SL tight as volatility persists.
💡 NAS100 traders should balance intraday momentum with swing accumulation zones. The broader structure favors upside continuation, but resistance at 24,300 must break cleanly for momentum to sustain.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
NASDAQ | H2 Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders! 👋
🧐 Market Overview:
CPI is out today — and it could be the spark the NASDAQ needs. Price is stalling at the previous all-time high, and that’s where I’m watching closely.
I’ve been tracking a double top on the daily for a while now, and today the H2 chart is starting to show the same structure. That kind of multi-timeframe alignment doesn’t happen often.
📊 Trade Plan:
I’ve entered a starter short on the daily structure. If the H2 confirms, I’ll scale in with a second position.
Risk/Reward:
Entry:
Stop Loss:
Take Profit 1 (50%):
Take Profit 2 (50%):
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Double tops work best when paired with other signals. In my system, I look for:
- RSI negative divergence
- Lower volume on the second top
- A confirmation candle close within my entry range
This reduces false signals and adds conviction.
🙏 Thanks for reading! Do you trade double tops?
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
NASDAQ | Daily Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders 👋
🧐 Market Overview:
I’ve opened a short on the NASDAQ based on a clear double top setup that formed yesterday. Several of my key variables aligned, giving this trade a high-probability edge:
Negative RSI divergence → showing weakening buying momentum
Lower volume on the second top → indicating exhaustion
Daily candle closure within threshold → confirming structure validity
📊 Trade Plan:
RR: 9.1
Entry: 23 931
Stop Loss: 23 178
Take Profit 1 (50%): 22 453
Take Profit 2 (50%): 21 969
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
When trading reversal patterns like double tops, I always wait for confirmation across multiple variables (momentum, volume, candle structure). This increases probability and reduces false entries.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Follow me for more setups and let me know — do you see this double top holding, or is there more upside left in the NASDAQ?
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Liquidity Voids: Where Price Runs Through Empty Space█ Liquidity Voids: Where Price Runs Through Empty Space
Big moves don’t just “happen”, they happen because either buyers or sellers step aside and let price run.
A liquidity void is what’s left behind when that happens: an area on the chart where price traded with very little volume, leaving a ‘hole’ in market participation.
This is not just another fair value gap. A typical FVG can form on normal volume during strong momentum. A liquidity void specifically signals a displacement under thin conditions, meaning the move was too easy, and price often comes back to check that area later.
█ What Exactly Is a Liquidity Void?
Think of the order book as a ladder of bids and asks. Normally, price moves step by step as orders fill at each level. But when there aren’t enough orders (low liquidity), price jumps levels and that jump is your void.
On a chart, it shows up as:
A large, one-directional candle with very small or no wicks overlapping neighbors.
Little or no volume relative to the move’s size (thin participation).
Price displacement that looks almost “too clean” — no hesitation, just a straight run.
These clues tell you price didn’t just move on heavy buying/selling, it moved through empty space.
⚪ Liquidity Void Detector
Use this free Liquidity Void Detector indicator to spot liquidity voids. It signals when the market makes a relatively sharp move on comparatively low volume, helping you spot these voids in real time.
█ Why Low Volume Matters
⚪ Not All Gaps Are Voids
A fair value gap can form on high participation, think of a breakout candle with heavy volume and institutional backing. That’s an accepted price move.
⚪ Voids Are Different
A liquidity void happens when the market skips prices because there was no one there to trade. It’s an inefficient move that the market often wants to revisit and “fill in” once participation returns.
⚪ Volume as the Filter
When volume is below its own average (or below a trend baseline), it tells you this wasn’t a “healthy” move, it was a thin-book displacement.
█ How Traders Use This
⚪ Mark the Zone
Draw the high and low of the candle(s) that created the void. This is your “inefficiency zone.”
⚪ Wait for the Return
Voids often act like magnets. Price often reverses and retests or fills the void, but it can just as easily slice through the zone once revisited, as thin liquidity offers little resistance.
█ What Research Show
Academic studies on price gaps find that immediate fills are rare, but the probability of fill rises over time. Downward voids (panic selling) fill faster on average than upward voids.
Crypto traders track CME Bitcoin gaps and report over 80–90% eventually get filled, but timing is unpredictable.
Volume-adjusted strategies outperform simple gap-filling because they focus on inefficient moves, not every gap. The key is filtering for thin participation.
█ Bottom Line
Liquidity voids are not just gaps, they are evidence of skipped prices under low participation.
They tell you where price moved “too easily,” leaving behind unfinished business.
Learn to filter for low-volume displacements, mark those zones, and watch how often price comes back to rebalance them. This turns a random candle into a predictive level, one that can guide your mean reversion trades or act as a support/resistance flip in trending markets.
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
NAS100 - New ATH in Overbought TerritoryDear Friends in Trading,
Overbought - Rising Wedge - Divergence - Be Careful
4HR + 12Hr only touching RSI 70% at this time.
NASDAQ printing new ATH's on Rate Cut Bets
Let me know if anything is unclear.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.