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Last week Expected Ranges levels in actionQuick Recap: Last week Expected Ranges levels in action What is Expected Range Volatility (ER)? The Expected Range (ER) is a framework that helps traders understand how much an asset is likely to move within a specific timeframe. Based on CME market data and Nobel Prize-winning calculations, price movements within the expected volatility corridor have a 68%-95% probability of staying within those boundaries. Crude Oil - 6 reactions to levels🔥 EUR - 4 reactions to levels BTC - 3 reactions GOLD - 1 reaction to levels It's really an amazing tool to enhance your market entry💲 !!! - It doesn't guarantee trades every day. !! it's better to combine it when working with the trend and when there's a clear sideways movement.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by ClashChartsTeam
Gold Weekly Review: Balance at 4360 & The Holiday Breakout?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! Analysis 1. Market Context (Value Established) Reviewing the week's auction, Gold has spent significant time hovering between 4350 and 4370 . • Weekly POC (4360): The market has established 4360 as the "Fairest Price" or Point of Control for the week. This indicates a market in Balance . • The Test: We breached the 4380/90 resistance earlier, and late Friday's action brought us back to test 4380. This persistence at the upper extreme suggests buyers are probing for higher prices. 2. Next Week's Scenarios (ATH vs. Balance) • Bull Case (Acceptance): If Gold can trade and build acceptance above 4380 next week, it confirms Initiative Buying leading the auction away from the 4360 value. The path to the All-Time High (ATH) opens up. • Bear Case (Rejection): Failure to hold 4380 would likely rotate price back to the "gravitational center" at the 4360 POC. 3. Holiday Warning (Thin Market) Next week is the Christmas trading week. • Risk: Be extremely careful. Markets will be "thin" (low liquidity). Moves in thin markets can be exaggerated and emotional, often lacking the structural integrity of "New Money" participation. Plan & Execution • Focus: 4380 is the pivot. Above = ATH context. Below = Rotation to 4360. • Advice: Reduce size or stand aside due to holiday volatility. Talk to you next week.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026Long
by Ken_Kissaki
GC | Wk 51T.A explained - BackSide (BS) FrontSide (FS) Inverse BS (Inv.BS) Inverse FS (Inv.FS) BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines. The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines. Monthly timeframe is color pink weekly grey daily is red 4hr is orange 1hr is yellow 15min is blue 5min is green if they are shown. strength favors the higher timeframe. 2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
COMEX:GC1!
by StudyGuideTA
Gold Short Term Move (Less Than 12hr for TP/SL)Marking out .68 &.79 levels on 5min,15min,1hr charts. Once price respects zone we enter. Confirmations for respected zone are 5min fvg and ifvg respected, also closing and retesting of the zone. Take Profit 1- Equilibrium of the move that goes down into the 15min GZ Take Profit 2- Fibinocci extension .50 Take Profit 3- Any other Golden zone it can be going. Take Profit 1** I take %99 of the time Take Profit 2** with strong momentum and volume i say i take %75 of the time and Take Profit 3** is a 50/50 split because it usually consolidates or retraces and could wick a stop loss.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by GILLYi
Gold Context: Breakout from 4-Day Balance & Holiday ThinnessFOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 COMEX:GC1! b]Analysis 1. Market Context (The Breakout) We have observed Short Covering extending above the recent 4-day balance. • Structure: Yesterday's push brought us nearly to the All-Time High (ATH). Today being Friday, the auction is positioned to test that extreme. • The Driver: To sustain this breakout and reach the ATH, the initial short covering must transition into New Money buying (Initiative). Without this transition, the move risks being just an emotional inventory adjustment. 2. Scenario & Structure (The Tail) • Bull Case: If short covering continues and attracts new buying interest, the ATH is the natural magnet. • Bear Case (The Tail): Yesterday left a selling tail at the highs. If we see Liquidation (failure to hold gains), it confirms that the tail was a valid rejection by Higher Timeframe (OTF) Sellers defending the highs. 3. Holiday Caution (Thin Market) We are approaching the Christmas and New Year holiday window. • Risk: Trading volume is thinning out. Low volume markets can be erratic and lack structural integrity. Be careful of "false" moves driven by lack of liquidity rather than genuine value migration. Plan & Execution • Bias: Leaning toward the ATH test, but cautious of the "Tail" overhead. • Invalidation: A drop back into the 4-day balance would negate the breakout and suggest the higher prices were rejected. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki
Gold Context: The "Picket Fence" Highs & USD WeightCOMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Analysis 1. Market Context (Lack of Acceptance) We are observing a classic "Picket Fence" at the highs. Gold has probed last Friday's high nearly every day, yet we see no acceptance (time + volume) above it. The Structure: Repeatedly testing a level without breaking through often indicates that Short-Term Traders are dominating the auction. They are fading the extremes but lack the "New Money" power to expand the range. The Risk: In Market Profile, "failure to facilitate trade" in one direction usually leads to a rotation in the opposite direction. If we cannot discover value higher, the auction will seek liquidity lower. 2. Fundamental Weight (USD Resilience) The upside is being capped by a resilient US Dollar (DXY). The Driver: The divergence between a "Wait-and-See" Fed (Hawkish Cut) and a weak Europe is keeping a structural bid under the Dollar. Correlation: As long as DXY holds its liquidation lows and yields remain firm, Gold lacks the macro fuel to break this mechanical resistance. 3. Scenario (Inventory Adjustment) The repeated failure at the highs increases the probability of Long Liquidation . Target: A rotation back to the 4300 breakout level. Rationale: This is not necessarily a trend change, but an inventory adjustment to flush out the "laggards" who bought the highs expecting an immediate breakout. Plan & Execution Bias: Cautious/Neutral. Trigger: Watch for a "look above and fail" or a breakdown of the intraday lows to trigger the move to 4300. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki
GOLD 17.12.2025Today’s market was quite choppy, especially Gold. I let price develop during the first part of the session, and it became clear that institutions were seeking liquidity, which was found around the previous day’s POC. From that area, price reacted aggressively and pushed toward the upper zone, where it started trading into a non-fair value area formed two days ago. This area had relatively strong volume, and during the second part of the session, price was met with aggressive sellers. On the CVD, we can see that during the pullback buyers remained active, forming an interesting accumulation within the downtrend. With the confluence of the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the moving average, price reacted nicely, resulting in a clean and disciplined 3R trade.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by XAUmmunity
SignalViper Suite — Quick Scalp on Gold FuturesSignalViper Suite — Quick Scalp on Gold Futures (GC) 3-minute trade. $1,200 profit. Here's the setup: RECON showed full alignment: • Coil: CLEAR — no chop • Strike: LONG confirmed • Rush: Momentum RISING • MTF: All timeframes bullish • Fangs: Near key S/R levels The missing piece? Venom was showing CONTESTED — buyers and sellers fighting for control. I waited. Next bar, Venom flipped to BUYERS. That was my trigger. Entry: 4370.80 Exit: 4372.00 Duration: 3 minutes Result: +1.20 pts on my Apex Trader Fund account. No guessing. No FOMO. Just waited for all 8 indicators to align, then executed. That's what confluence looks like.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by signalviper
Gold Context: Mechanical Balance & The Poor HighFOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 COMEX:GC1! Analysis 1. Market Context (Mechanical Balance) The auction has entered a phase of Mechanical Balance . By maintaining trade above 4300 for a week, the market is signaling acceptance of higher prices, but the momentum has paused. * The Behavior: The test of yesterday’s Midpoint/POC and the "mild" activity confirms that Short-Term Timeframe traders are currently dominant. They are trading off visual references rather than creating new value. 2. Structure (The Poor High) We have a structural anomaly at the 4380/90 area : a Poor High . * Implication: A poor high lacks "excess" (a buying tail), which indicates the auction did not finish properly. Selling wasn't aggressive; buying simply dried up. This leaves "unfinished business" to the upside. * The Nuance: While the destination is likely higher to repair this poor high, the market may lack the immediate energy to do so without an inventory adjustment first. 3. Short-Term Scenario (Liquidation) The mild, mechanical trade increases the odds of Long Liquidation . * The Flush: A rotation back toward the 4300 shelf would test the lower limits of this balance. * The Opportunity: If we flush to 4300 and find responsive buying, it re-energizes the market to finally go up and repair the 4380/90 poor high. Plan & Execution * Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish (awaiting repair). * Observation: Watch the 4300 test. Do we get a "look below and fail" (bullish) or acceptance lower? The poor high remains a magnet for the future. Talk to you for the next update.
COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
by Ken_Kissaki