Gold Futures
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Gold Bulls Are Making Hard Work of New HighsI remain sceptical of gold’s latest bounce and continue to look for signs of a swing high. A less-dovish — or relatively hawkish — Fed cut this week could be the catalyst for a stronger US dollar and lower gold. Either way, it’s hard to imagine gold breaking back above its record high without a meaningful dip first.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
GC | Week 49 | 1hr chartT.A explained -
BackSide (BS)
FrontSide (FS)
Inverse BS (Inv.BS)
Inverse FS (Inv.FS)
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
$GC, Gold: In Wave 5 upCSE:GC , Gold: I count it as having finished (IV) waves and we're in 5 of Wave (V). This wave can take us to $4900. A substantial correction follows after that, if this count is correct. However, the 5th wave can extend so we'll see how the technical indicators appear after reaching the 5th wave target.
I presently have a 3.1% portfolio allocation to gold through GLD.
Gold Context: Strong Short Covering & The New Money TestFOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 COMEX:GC1!
Analysis
1. Market Context (Early US Session)
We are witnessing strong Short Covering in the early US session, continuing the momentum from yesterday where Gold traded above the previous multi-day range.
• The Driver: The vertical nature of the move confirms the exit of old shorts. However, for this to sustain, we must see this emotional energy transition into New Money Buying (Initiative) .
• Observation: If price can hold these higher levels without immediate rejection, it confirms that "New Money" is entering to defend the breakout.
2. Structure & Targets
• Bias: I remain on the Long side at this moment. The breakout above the recent balance suggests the path of least resistance is toward the higher area (ATH).
• Condition: We need to see acceptance, not just a "look and fail." Continued short covering will naturally pull the auction higher.
3. The Risk (Liquidation)
• Support Check: If the buying dries up and we see Long Liquidation , the auction will likely rotate back to test the 4300 support area. This would be a test of the breakout's validity.
Plan & Execution
• Focus: Monitoring for volume and time acceptance at these highs.
• Invalidation: Loss of momentum returning to 4300.
Talk to you for the next update. b]Analysis
1. Market Context (Early US Session)
We are witnessing strong Short Covering in the early US session, continuing the momentum from yesterday where Gold traded above the previous multi-day range.
• The Driver: The vertical nature of the move confirms the exit of old shorts. However, for this to sustain, we must see this emotional energy transition into New Money Buying (Initiative) .
• Observation: If price can hold these higher levels without immediate rejection, it confirms that "New Money" is entering to defend the breakout.
2. Structure & Targets
• Bias: I remain on the Long side at this moment. The breakout above the recent balance suggests the path of least resistance is toward the higher area (ATH).
• Condition: We need to see acceptance, not just a "look and fail." Continued short covering will naturally pull the auction higher.
3. The Risk (Liquidation)
• Support Check: If the buying dries up and we see Long Liquidation , the auction will likely rotate back to test the 4300 support area. This would be a test of the breakout's validity.
Plan & Execution
• Focus: Monitoring for volume and time acceptance at these highs.
• Invalidation: Loss of momentum returning to 4300.
Talk to you for the next update.
Based on recent Elliott Wave analyses, the undertone for MCX GolBullish Outlook: The primary trend for gold on MCX is considered positive (bullish) from an Elliott Wave perspective.
Wave Structure: Gold has consolidated in a corrective wave 4 and is likely unfolding in wave 5 of a larger primary wave 5.
Support & Resistance: Key support is identified around ₹120,000, while a break above ₹124,600 is considered a positive reversal signal.
Gold Short Term Move (Less Than 12hr for TP/SL)Marking out .68 &.79 levels on 5min,15min,1hr charts. Once price respects zone we enter. Confirmations for respected zone are 5min fvg and ifvg respected, also closing and retesting of the zone.
Take Profit 1- Equilibrium of the move that goes down into the 15min GZ
Take Profit 2- Fibinocci extension .50
Take Profit 3- Any other Golden zone it can be going.
Take Profit 1** I take %99 of the time Take Profit 2** with strong momentum and volume i say i take %75 of the time and Take Profit 3** is a 50/50 split because it usually consolidates or retraces and could wick a stop loss.
Gold Context: Breakout from 4-Day Balance & Holiday ThinnessFOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 COMEX:GC1!
b]Analysis
1. Market Context (The Breakout)
We have observed Short Covering extending above the recent 4-day balance.
• Structure: Yesterday's push brought us nearly to the All-Time High (ATH). Today being Friday, the auction is positioned to test that extreme.
• The Driver: To sustain this breakout and reach the ATH, the initial short covering must transition into New Money buying (Initiative). Without this transition, the move risks being just an emotional inventory adjustment.
2. Scenario & Structure (The Tail)
• Bull Case: If short covering continues and attracts new buying interest, the ATH is the natural magnet.
• Bear Case (The Tail): Yesterday left a selling tail at the highs. If we see Liquidation (failure to hold gains), it confirms that the tail was a valid rejection by Higher Timeframe (OTF) Sellers defending the highs.
3. Holiday Caution (Thin Market)
We are approaching the Christmas and New Year holiday window.
• Risk: Trading volume is thinning out. Low volume markets can be erratic and lack structural integrity. Be careful of "false" moves driven by lack of liquidity rather than genuine value migration.
Plan & Execution
• Bias: Leaning toward the ATH test, but cautious of the "Tail" overhead.
• Invalidation: A drop back into the 4-day balance would negate the breakout and suggest the higher prices were rejected.
Talk to you for the next update.
Gold strong bullish momentumHere we can see my channel projection lines and how the bullish momentum just keep on getting stronger and stronger. Now here is the question. Will the bulls pick up more momentum pushing the price even higher to the projected channel line?
Love to hear your opinion, leave a reply.
#Gold
Gold Context: The "Picket Fence" Highs & USD WeightCOMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Analysis
1. Market Context (Lack of Acceptance) We are observing a classic "Picket Fence" at the highs. Gold has probed last Friday's high nearly every day, yet we see no acceptance (time + volume) above it.
The Structure: Repeatedly testing a level without breaking through often indicates that Short-Term Traders are dominating the auction. They are fading the extremes but lack the "New Money" power to expand the range.
The Risk: In Market Profile, "failure to facilitate trade" in one direction usually leads to a rotation in the opposite direction. If we cannot discover value higher, the auction will seek liquidity lower.
2. Fundamental Weight (USD Resilience) The upside is being capped by a resilient US Dollar (DXY).
The Driver: The divergence between a "Wait-and-See" Fed (Hawkish Cut) and a weak Europe is keeping a structural bid under the Dollar.
Correlation: As long as DXY holds its liquidation lows and yields remain firm, Gold lacks the macro fuel to break this mechanical resistance.
3. Scenario (Inventory Adjustment) The repeated failure at the highs increases the probability of Long Liquidation .
Target: A rotation back to the 4300 breakout level.
Rationale: This is not necessarily a trend change, but an inventory adjustment to flush out the "laggards" who bought the highs expecting an immediate breakout.
Plan & Execution
Bias: Cautious/Neutral.
Trigger: Watch for a "look above and fail" or a breakdown of the intraday lows to trigger the move to 4300.
Talk to you for the next update.
Gold Futures (GC) Technical Analysis at Key ResistanceGold futures are approaching a major higher-timeframe resistance between 4,414.4 and 4,399.4. This analysis focuses on price behaviour, volume reaction, and institutional participation rather than prediction. No trade is taken until price reaches the zone and confirms intent through volume and structure.
GOLD 17.12.2025Today’s market was quite choppy, especially Gold. I let price develop during the first part of the session, and it became clear that institutions were seeking liquidity, which was found around the previous day’s POC. From that area, price reacted aggressively and pushed toward the upper zone, where it started trading into a non-fair value area formed two days ago.
This area had relatively strong volume, and during the second part of the session, price was met with aggressive sellers. On the CVD, we can see that during the pullback buyers remained active, forming an interesting accumulation within the downtrend.
With the confluence of the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the moving average, price reacted nicely, resulting in a clean and disciplined 3R trade.
SignalViper Suite — Quick Scalp on Gold FuturesSignalViper Suite — Quick Scalp on Gold Futures (GC)
3-minute trade.
$1,200 profit.
Here's the setup:
RECON showed full alignment:
• Coil: CLEAR — no chop
• Strike: LONG confirmed
• Rush: Momentum RISING
• MTF: All timeframes bullish
• Fangs: Near key S/R levels
The missing piece? Venom was showing CONTESTED — buyers and sellers fighting for control.
I waited.
Next bar, Venom flipped to BUYERS.
That was my trigger. Entry: 4370.80 Exit: 4372.00 Duration: 3 minutes
Result: +1.20 pts on my Apex Trader Fund account. No guessing. No FOMO. Just waited for all 8 indicators to align, then executed. That's what confluence looks like.
Gold Context: Mechanical Balance & The Poor HighFOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 COMEX:GC1!
Analysis
1. Market Context (Mechanical Balance)
The auction has entered a phase of Mechanical Balance . By maintaining trade above 4300 for a week, the market is signaling acceptance of higher prices, but the momentum has paused.
* The Behavior: The test of yesterday’s Midpoint/POC and the "mild" activity confirms that Short-Term Timeframe traders are currently dominant. They are trading off visual references rather than creating new value.
2. Structure (The Poor High)
We have a structural anomaly at the 4380/90 area : a Poor High .
* Implication: A poor high lacks "excess" (a buying tail), which indicates the auction did not finish properly. Selling wasn't aggressive; buying simply dried up. This leaves "unfinished business" to the upside.
* The Nuance: While the destination is likely higher to repair this poor high, the market may lack the immediate energy to do so without an inventory adjustment first.
3. Short-Term Scenario (Liquidation)
The mild, mechanical trade increases the odds of Long Liquidation .
* The Flush: A rotation back toward the 4300 shelf would test the lower limits of this balance.
* The Opportunity: If we flush to 4300 and find responsive buying, it re-energizes the market to finally go up and repair the 4380/90 poor high.
Plan & Execution
* Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish (awaiting repair).
* Observation: Watch the 4300 test. Do we get a "look below and fail" (bullish) or acceptance lower? The poor high remains a magnet for the future.
Talk to you for the next update.
GOLD - 16.12.2025Today, price formed a bullish divergence between CVD and price. As expected, we saw a strong positive reaction, with price moving through the entire Value Area formed during the previous session.
However, once price reached the upper side, we witnessed an aggressive rejection from the area where the previous day’s VAH was located.






















