Can Gold Rival ATHs?Early last week, we finally saw the much anticipated correction on Gold. This move was likely a liquidation event, shaking out a wave of over-leveraged long positions that had built up during the prior rally.
On the 4H timeframe, price consolidated and accumulated for most of the week following that flush, suggesting that the market may now be rebuilding liquidity for its next major leg.
With weak hands cleared and positioning reset, Gold could now be preparing to retest its ATHs and possibly break into new territory if momentum and fundamentals align.
Trade ideas
short term bias Buy Entry Model🔴 Supply Zones (Potential Short Entry Areas)
Major Supply: 4,360 – 4,400
Origin of the strong sell-off.
Clean imbalance and strong bearish move afterward.
If price retraces back here, it’s a high-probability short zone.
Entry idea:
Sell: 4,370–4,390
Stop: Above 4,410
Target 1: 4,080 (first demand zone)
Target 2: 3,980 (lower demand zone)
Minor Supply: 4,165 – 4,180
This is a recent reaction zone that rejected price.
Can be used for scalping or short-term intraday short setups if price retests.
Sell: 4,165–4,175
Stop: Above 4,190
Target: 4,080 (nearest demand)
🟢 Demand Zones (Potential Long Entry Areas)
Near-Term Demand: 4,050 – 4,080
The most recent rally base before price bounced higher.
Price has respected this area already once, showing buyers stepping in.
Entry idea:
Buy: 4,060–4,080
Stop: Below 4,040
Target: 4,160 (supply)
R:R ≈ 1:2
Major Demand: 3,970 – 4,010
Strong base formed before the previous impulsive move upward.
If price breaks below 4,050, this would be the next strong long zone.
Buy: 3,980–4,000
Stop: Below 3,950
Target 1: 4,080
Target 2: 4,170
📊 Overall Bias
Short-term bias: Neutral to slightly bullish within the range (4,050–4,160).
Medium-term bias: Bearish while below 4,360 (major supply).
Expect possible range trading between 4,050 and 4,160 before a breakout.
A break below 4,050 could send price toward the 3,970 demand zone.
A break above 4,180 could lead to a retest of the 4,360 supply.
Short the Pop Near Intraday Highs — Gold Dec ’25Timeframe: 30m with 15m confluence
Symbol: COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Thesis
Price pushed into a confluence resistance area and printed rejection. I’m positioned short from ~ 3,980 , looking for a fade back toward mid/low-day supports unless we accept above the resistance shelf.
Confluence (15m + 30m)
Tag of the prior intraday high / supply shelf around 3,985–4,015 .
MA cluster overhead on the 30m near ~ 4,002 ; 15m shows momentum roll + rejection wicks after the push.
Lower-high structure maintained; guide line curling down with momentum dots flipping bearish after the probe.
Key Levels
Short/Supply Zone: 3,985–4,015
My Entry: ~3,980 (15m rejection confirmation)
Invalidation: 4,030 on a 30-min close (acceptance above = short thesis off)
Downside Targets: TP1 3,960 • TP2 3,930 • TP3 3,900
Trade Plan
Aggressive Adds (if re-test): Scale 3,985–4,015 on wick/rejection.
Stops: 4,032 (tighter, better R:R) or 4,038 (safer vs quick stop sweep above 4,030/4,035).
Management from my 3,980 entry:
TP1 3,960 → move stop to BE
TP2 3,930
TP3 3,900 → trail above successive lower highs
What I’m Watching
Rejection tells on 5–15m (upper wicks, bearish engulfing) under the MA cluster
Momentum divergence into 3,985–4,015
Mean-reversion fade into layered resistance with defined invalidation. I’ll take partials quickly and let a runner try for deeper levels. Not financial advice — manage your own risk. Written using ChatGPT
GC (Gold Futures): Towards $3900?This is MGC chart.
Current Market Situation
The chart shows MGC trading around $4,000 with a bearish outlook projected through the end of the week.
What We're Seeing
Price Movement:
- Price is trapped in a descending channel (purple trendlines)
- Currently attempting to push up near the $4,000 resistance zone
- Overall trend still shows downward pressure
This Week's Forecast:
- Tuesday (today): Might bounce up first, attempting a rally toward upper channel resistance
- Wednesday-Friday: Expected to reverse sharply and decline due to high impact news.
- Target: Down to $3,900 by end of week
Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: $4,008-$4,010 (current area)
- Support: $3,900 (primary target), $3,868 (secondary support)
- Upper purple trendline acts as dynamic resistance
Bottom Line
This setup anticipates a "bull trap" scenario - a brief rally that fails at resistance before resuming the downtrend. The trader expects gold to drop approximately $100+ over the next few days, staying within the descending channel pattern.
Risk Warning: If price breaks decisively above the upper purple trendline with strong volume, this bearish scenario would be invalidated and the trend could reverse bullish.
GOLD LONG 1hr setup
### 🧠 **Market Context & Liquidity**
- Gold took out some sellside liquidty
- We’re watching for whether buyers hold above the daily open or if we see a pullback into support.
- Key levels to watch:
- **Resistance:** 4,128 – 4,130 (recent high)
- **Support:** 4,107 – 4,112 (consolidation low & potential buy zone)
---
### 🐊 **Bill Williams Alligator Signal**
- The **Alligator** is awake and aligned — jaws above teeth above lips — indicating a **trending market**.
- Price is trading **above the Alligator**, supporting a **bullish bias**.
- Pullbacks into the Alligator (lips/teeth) are potential entries if structure holds.
---
### 🎯 **Gold (GC1!) Trade Plan – Long Setup**
- **Entry Zone:** 4,110 – 4,128 (support + Alligator confluence)
- **Stop Loss:** Below 4,057
- **TP1:** 4,128
- **TP2:** 4,200 4hr fvg (sibi)
---
### ✅ **Confirmation Needed:**
- Bullish reaction off support with volume.
- No loss of 4,107 level.
- Alligator continues pointing upward.
---
**Bottom Line:**
Gold is in a bullish structure above the Alligator.
Look for longs into support with a tight stop.
Trade the pullback — not the breakout.
GC Futures – Are We Flipping Bearish Into Midweek?Tuesday closed below Monday’s low, hinting at a potential shift in sentiment.
Currently, price is approaching a 1H FVG inside the prior Asian range, just below the Weekly Low (W-L) and Daily High (D-H) — a perfect liquidity pocket.
I’m watching for signs of rejection here to confirm a bearish continuation. If price holds above this area, we may see a short squeeze back into higher value.
Bias remains bearish, but confirmation is key.
What are you seeing here — are we setting up for continuation or a fakeout?
#Gold #Futures #GC #DayTrading #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #ICT #NoFOMO
Quiet in FX Options — But Gold Is Heating Up
Over the past 24 hours, major currency options saw little of interest.
In contrast, precious metals — especially Gold — are attracting serious attention.
Let’s break down the key developments:
🔹 Observation #1: A New Bullish (But Hedged) Portfolio Appears
(See risk profile on screenshot.)
A new SMART option portfolio has entered the market:
Bullish bias, but with a built-in hedge — which reduces its predictive value.
If price drops below $3,800, the portfolio starts generating profit for its owner (via the hedge).
Built on the February 2025 futures contract, under an option series expiring in December 2025.
📌 Yes, it sounds confusing — and it is.
Option series expire, but futures live on.
This creates what we call "expiry risk" — a topic for another deep-dive article.
🔹 Observation #2: Put Activity at 3900 (Dec Series)
There’s growing activity in puts at the 3900 strike — moderate bullish positioning or support.
The bullish structure is hedged — not a pure directional bet.
Bearish positioning remains active.
Price has not yet shown signs of moving toward the main long setup.
I’d recommend at least 2–7 days of observation before considering any reversal trades.
📌 And here's why:
It’s rare for price to move immediately toward the target of a large, long-dated portfolio.
More often, there’s a delay of several days — especially when expiry is still far out.
Watch the flow.
Trade only when the edge is clear.
May the data-driven approach be with you!
A Case Study: GOLD probable price ProjectionA Spectacular and exponential price movement was observed in GOLD for last 3 months.
A Mega BullRun is witnessed in the bullion market across the globe. Gold is considered as the best among multi asset classes. Especially in Indian subcontinent Gold is not only considered as precious metal which holds a greater value but also very auspicious .
Now lets dive deep into its price movement based on Demand Zone Concept.Accordingly how can we position ourselves to get most out of it.
Case1: Daily Demand Zone (DDZ)
If Price reaches Daily Demand Zone then there is high probability of accumulation is observed by market players. and if the price is considered as fair then it may move up. here we can see buying reaction.
Case 2: Weeekly Demand Zone (WDZ)
If price reaches Weekly Demand zone then some more accumulation occurs and then price moves up.
Now the question arises that if we see good buying at daily demand zone then why should price reach weekly demand zone. to understand this i explained briefly about different market players in the follwing link.
How perfectly market players defend their positions is clearly seen in this chart . Please go through it.
WDZ 1 & WDZ 2:
These are the zones where gold was accumulated.
Case 3: Monthly Demand Zone (MDZ)
If ever price reaches this zone it shall be a good level to invest .
Note : price movement may not be as swift as it was in last 3 months.
Understanding the Foundation of Global MarketsFutures contracts are everywhere, from crude oil and stock indices to interest rates and even Bitcoin. They’re essential tools for traders and institutions to manage risk or capitalize on price speculation.
What Are Futures?
A futures contract is a legally binding agreement to buy or sell an asset at a set price on a future date. These contracts can involve commodities, currencies, or financial instruments.
Why Trade Futures?
Futures serve two core purposes
Hedging: Used by businesses to protect against adverse price moves. Example: A Corn farmer locks in $4.00 per bushel using a short futures position. If the price drops, they’re protected by gains in the contract. Conversely, if the price rises, the farmer should theoretically be able to sell the physical product at a higher amount.
Speculation: Speculators are a very important piece to market stability and liquidity. Many traders use futures to attempt to profit from market direction, in other words speculate on market moves. For instance, if a trader buys an E-mini S&P 500 contract at 6500 and it rises to 6550, they profit*. But losses can occur just as quickly if the market moves against the position.
*Always account for fees and commissions when evaluating performance."
Types of Futures Contracts
Commodity Futures — Crude oil, soybeans, gold.
Financial Futures — S&P 500, interest rates, Treasury bonds.
Currency Futures — Euro, Yen, and other FX contracts.
Cryptocurrency Products — Bitcoin, Etherum, Solana.
Key Takeaway
Whether you’re hedging or speculating, futures are dynamic and powerful tools. But they also carry significant risk. The first step is understanding what you're trading and why.
At EdgeClear, we’re here to help you trade with confidence. If you’re new or want to enhance your strategy, follow us on TradingView to learn more about Futures and read our latest Trade Ideas.
CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! COMEX:GC1! NYMEX:CL1! CME:BTC1!
The markets are overbought and I am looking for them to go lowerSunday the 26th and I'd like to talk about gold and silver and the market in general since it is oversold an equities and gold and silver can go lower but it doesn't necessarily mean the end of gold and silver. In the video I show why gold could go lower and to me it's a function of markets expanding and contracting if gold makes a new high I would expect for it to correct and that's not bad and it's not the end of gold and silver. If you're listening to my stuff you want to look at the market as having buyers and sellers and you need to know where they are within reason and you should be thinking in terms of patterns.
Gold Sitting on the Edge – Liquidity Sweep Before the Bounce?Monday didn’t give much movement, and price is now hovering around last week’s low.
I’m expecting a liquidity sweep of the current levels — likely taking out the Daily Low before moving to fill the full Weekly FVG below.
Short-term bias is bearish for the Asian session, but I’ll be watching closely for a shift once that FVG is filled.
If absorption shows up after the sweep, I’ll flip long for the bigger move higher into midweek.
#FuturesTrading #Gold #ICT #LiquiditySweep #NOFOMO
GOLD falling in a parallel channel formation Gold price has been falling since yesterday as expectations of December rate cut fades away. It is forming a parallel falling channel pattern and has recently bounced from the lower zone.
Keep an eye on it as volatility is expected to stay and there will be ample opportunities to capture movements. Follow me for live updates.
Waiting on the Sweep – ADP Should Provide the CatalystChoppy week so far with price distributing and grinding lower. Last week’s low still hasn’t been taken, so my macro target remains the same. I’m looking for ADP tomorrow during NY session to provide the volatility needed to run liquidity and complete that sweep.
Not predicting direction on the release itself — I’ll be waiting for a liquidity grab and displacement before considering an entry. If price runs stops above today’s Asia high or drives directly into last week’s low, I’ll be watching for the post-news retrace to an FVG/structural level to participate.
Patience here — the move is close, but confirmation > anticipation.
XAUXAUStraight from perplexity - Potential for a Return to $4,200
Gold prices have fluctuated but repeatedly tested the $4,200 level, and the consensus among many experts is that, despite recent corrections, gold could readily revisit or sustain levels near $4,200, depending on global economic events, monetary policy (especially Fed rate decisions), inflation, and geopolitical uncertainties.






















