TOTAL2 trade ideas
$TOTAL2 vs BTC shows momentum with $TOTAL2 nearing ATHWhere is the Alt season? CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 is the best indicator of the Altcoin rally which does not include CRYPTOCAP:BTC and Stablecoins. CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 peaked at 1.7 T $ in the last cycle. In this cycle we are very close to our target. But this outperformance can only happen if CRYPTOCAP:ETH breaks out above its previous cycle highs. Please visit my view on CRYPTOCAP:ETH and CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D in this blog.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D : Cycle tops are in. CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D : Bounce form the all-time lows for CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
Our target is 9K on $ETH. So if this happens then the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 will break out of the Cup and handle formation we have been tracking since months on $TOTAL2. As the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 is trying to break out of its ATH the ratio of CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 vs CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also making a reversal towards the upside. In the chart below I tried an unorthodox method to plot the Fib retracement levels of a downward slopping pattern joining the top of the lower lows in the ratio charts. Here we can clearly see that in this cycle it bottomed out at somewhere near to 0.786 level. Just extrapolating and following the pattern of lower lows and lower levels on the Fib retracement level I can predict to a certain degree of confidence that the ratio of CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 vs BTC can top out at 1.1 during this cycle. And the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 might top out @ 2.6 T – 2.7 T $ which indicates a 60% rally to the next Fib retracement level on $TOTAL2.
Verdict : CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 vs BTC chart is on rally mode. CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 target remains 2.7 T $ and CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 vs BTC ratio target 1.1.
MARKET UPDATE— August 1st, 2025“Handle before lift-off? Or is the bull year cooling off?”
Let’s address the question everyone is silently asking:
Are we nearing the end of the bull year… or is this just the calm before the next storm?
1. Total Market Cap (ALTS): Cup & Handle in Motion
We’ve observed something beautiful forming on the chart a clean cup and handle structure.
But here’s the twist: this isn’t just any setup it’s forming just below the infamous $1.43T ceiling, which has now rejected monthly closes in November, December, January, February, and July.
- High of January : $1.56T
- Low of April (Handle Base) : $0.83T
- High of July : $1.56T
These levels outline a powerful structure… but we haven’t launched yet. Why? Because the handle isn’t done cooking.
Based on Fibonacci retracement levels from the handle’s top to bottom:
- 0.236 sits at $1.32T
- 0.382 sits at $1.24T
- 0.5 sits at $1.195T
We’ve yet to hit those deeper levels, and considering ALT dominance , macro uncertainty (e.g., Trump tariffs ), and repeated monthly rejection below $1.43T , a retrace into $1.28T or deeper is not only possible.....it’s healthy .
This isn't the breakdown. It's the build-up.
2. Bitcoin: The Key That Turns the Lock
Now here’s where it gets intense.
Everyone’s assuming Bitcoin can hold $115K even if ALT dominance retraces to $1.28T .
Let’s be real:
> If ALT dumps, Bitcoin bleeds too.
And here’s what I see:
- There's a fair value gap between $113K and $111K , a probable first target.
- But beneath that lies the demand zone between $109K and $107.5K , loaded with liquidity.
- That liquidity is a magnet $107.5K is where the smart money lurks.
- A move from $115K to $107.5K is a 6–7% drop , and with ALTs faltering, it’s becoming increasingly probable.
This isn't panic territory. It's precision territory .
> We want that drop. That’s the spring before the sprint.
3. So what’s next?
This is how I see it:
- ALTS retrace into the $1.28T–$1.24T range, maybe wick to $1.19T completing the handle.
- BTC fills the FVG to $111K , then dives to $107.5K gathering all that demand before rebounding.
- Once BTC reclaims $113K and ALTS reattempt $1.43T , the stage is set. We’re looking at a clean slate… and clean breakouts .
🎯 What should you do with this?
1. Don’t panic—plan.
Use these drops as entries, not exits. Liquidity hunts aren’t to scare you—they’re to position the sharp ones.
2. Watch the zones like a hawk:
- BTC: $113K, then $107.5K
- ALTS: $1.28T, then $1.24T or $1.19T
3. Stay bullish—but strategic.
The structure is intact. Momentum is coiling. And once this handle completes, the push above $1.43T isn’t a maybe it’s a matter of timing.
💡 Final Word
Are we at the end of the bull year?
No . We're simply testing the patience of tourists… while giving early movers one final entry.
Are we going higher?
Absolutely. But first, we dip.... not because we’re weak… but because that’s what strength looks like before it roars.
Brace for impact. Then brace for ignition.
INDEX:BTCUSD
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
TOTAL2 Testing Support: Make or Break
TOTAL2 on the 1H is moving in sync with ETH, as expected.
We’re seeing the same local support zone, the same RSI & MACD bullish divergence, and the same death cross.
If today’s price action holds and bounces from this green support zone, then flips the daily open (black dotted line), that would mark a structural shift. Even on the 1H, it would suggest real buying pressure stepping in.
Of course, price could also lose this green support and head lower.
👉 This is exactly why risk management matters most right here.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
TOTAL2 - Breakout or Rangebound?The altcoin market as a whole has reached a critical point in the cycle. With all time highs in sight the question of what happens next is an important one.
Bullish scenario -
Accumulation under the Range high and a strong break above with volume, that would put TOTAL2 into price discovery and from there just riding the wave until there is a reason not too. Invalidation on the loss of range high.
Bearish scenario -
Clear rejection off the Range high and a break in bullish structure e.g a lower high and lower low on the 4H/1D time frame. This does not include bullish accumulation under the high as that shows coiling for a breakout instead of a loss of momentum.
Paying close attention to the context of the trading environment is key to the execution of the trade as well. Anecdotally the crypto sphere is euphoric with many calling for astronomical gains, posting their trade gain screenshots etc, google searches for coins like Ethereum have sky rocketed. These are all warning signs for me that at least as of now we are due a correction going off of previous cycles. I am by no means bearish on the larger time frame but coming into range high resistance with the market environment the way that it is this needs to be considered in trade execution.
Altcoin Market Cap Approaching Major Breakout ZoneThe altcoin market cap (ex-BTC) is retesting the $1.65T resistance, the same zone that marked the highs in 2021 and early 2025.
A developing Cup & Handle pattern points to a measured move projection of ~$2.85T if a confirmed breakout occurs.
Breakout Criteria:
Monthly close above $1.65T
Rising volume during breakout
Retest holding as support
⚠️ This chart is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
When Altseason? Clues in other chart Ex) #1Hi guys.
So Its no secret bitcoin has been ripping.
We are at new all time highs, and in full on price discovery mode.
I recently posted an ongoing macro analysis on ADA (Cardano) supporting my theory that it is one of the better alts to be investing in for alt explosion.
I want to look elsewhere to see if i can find supporting evidence that its time to invest or trade altcoins.
One chart that can be used is the Total Market Cap of Crypto excluding Bitcoin.
This chart showcases total altcoin market capitalization and its movements.
I believe certain Technical developments can really help us gauge at whats to come.
NOte this is on the 1 Month timeframe aka looking into Macro developments.
Just focusing on Candlestick action.
Notice we have been in this ascending channel trend, along with a potential Ascending triangle pattern development which if breakout occurs with confirmation can push Altcoin market cap higher indicating that liquidity is entering altcoins which indicates potential Uptrend.
The month of July so far is in position to print a massive engulfing Bullish candle, which is a great sign.
The upper part is also peaking its head above the Horizontal resistance line. Need to observe confirmation of this breakout. Look for it in smaller timeframes, ill look for it in the 3 day or 5 day.
We are also in position to print a higher high first time in a while.
Notice also Volume. We are seeing currently similar increasing volume as previous alt coin market cap expansion.
Keep an eye out on more posts to add to evidence that supports we are in the verge of potential altcoin season.
Huge multi-year Cup and Handle Formation for CRYPTO ALTSThe alts are on the cusp of breaking out from a mult-year cup and handle pattern. With macro factors in a continuously positive environment and momentum, the technical bull case cup and handle formation all point to a massive breakout. Stay tuned and keep safe!
Alt Season? Buy dips, then run it turbo. 1400 days...? Then up. It took exactly 1400 days from the previous all time high (ATH) set in alts (excluding BTC) in early Jan 2018 to break that level again in 2021 to form our current all time high resistance.
Alts have tapped the ATH set in 2021 3-4 times. And it will be 1400 days since the last all time high on September 1st.
Why do you think this time will be different?
I don't control the tape, but I trade it.
August maybe soft, but you'll remember this September and we'll be in funky town james brown price discovery before you know it. Just dont blow it. Buy liquidations and what's going up. By early Jan you'll be the man.
Total 2 --- Long For ALTshi
as i said in BTC.D and USDT.d analyse this charts has correction potential , if thats occure and market makers looks to ALTs . total 2 make a good high and show green ALTs market for some weeks.
it's my peronal idea for this chart , please do not make and inveting and trading on my analyse.
tnx for follow me
Mehdi Khamisi Zadeh
Is altcoin season over before it even started?Guys,
Gonna break down the situation on the chart to see where we can go next with the altcoins.
We see the key resistance levels and now we moving in kinda bullish pennant, but considering descending volumes we can easily test the support line and go back to the 1.25T. (maybe even lower)
After that, seems like we can try to go back and break the 1.64T resistance zone and previous ATH.
Anyway current market is going to be way more different from previous cycles, because huge institutions can feel nice only in hyper volatile, so divide your strategy between short, mid and long term investments to take profits.
Good trades and share your thoughts down to see what others think.