DOW JONES (US30): Pullback From Support Confirmed
Following our Friday's analysis, US30 retested a recently broken
major daily demand zone.
Testing the underlined horizontal key level, the price formed a tiny double bottom.
Its neckline breakout indicates a highly probably pullback.
Goal - 45940
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US30 trade ideas
US30 Price Consolidation a Top Resistance The Dow Jones (US30) is currently consolidating around the 45,900 support level as traders position ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision later this week. but the real driver of volatility will be Chair Powell’s forward guidance—particularly his tone on
Technical View
A break and close above 46,500 could open the path toward 47,000–47,200, while failure to hold 45,900 risks a pullback toward 45,500.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
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DOW JONES INDEX (US30): To the New Highs
Dow updated the all time high again yesterday.
A broken structure and a solid rising trend line will compose
a significant contracting demand zone from where I will look for buying.
The next resistance will be 46350.
Wait for a retracement first, and anticipate more growth then.
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Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which aligns with hte 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 45,675.57
1st Support: 45,297.04
1st Resistance: 46,443.48
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Dow at record highs, outperfoms peers! But are risks brewing?The Dow Jones DJIA surged to new record highs, driven by defensive sector strength and expectations of Fed rate cuts. Dow outperformed due to its heavier weighting in defensive sectors (industrials, financials, consumer staples), which are favoured during economic uncertainty and falling yields. Technical analysis suggests further upside potential, as investors seek stability and dividends in Dow components amid lingering recession risks. However, key support levels must hold to sustain the rally.
The Dow has completed a V-shaped recovery, breaking above previous double-top highs from 2024/2025 (45,150), now acting as support. An open triangle pattern was identified, with the current move likely the fifth wave to the upside. The index trades above all major moving averages, confirming bullish momentum, but RSI shows hidden bullish divergence, supporting the case for continued upside only if support holds after a pullback.
Dow has critical support at 45k, must hold to maintain bullish momentum. A drop below 45,581 could trigger a correction. Short-term upside shows 47k, with a major Fibonacci cluster and technical inflexion in focus. Intermediate levels sit at 46300/45900/45640, with important long-term Targets at 45k, 49500, 50k, 53k.
Risks & Potential Scenarios
Divergence: Despite strong momentum, technical divergence suggests a possible corrective move if the Dow falls below 45581.
Bullish : Holding above 45581 and 45k supports further upside toward 47k and beyond.
Bearish : A break below 45581 could trigger a deeper pullback before any renewed rally.
Market Sentiment :
The bond market’s caution contrasts with stock market optimism, so stay vigilant.
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US30 AnalysisI expect US30 to remain bearish this week. Current price action suggests weakness, with momentum favoring sellers. If market conditions hold, we may see a continuation to the downside, and today’s session is also likely to close bearish. A short position looks favorable at this point, but as always, risk management is key.
DowJones Key trading levels ahead of Fed rate decisionKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46210
Resistance Level 2: 46415
Resistance Level 3: 46640
Support Level 1: 45800
Support Level 2: 45610
Support Level 3: 45360
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DOW JONES The Cyclical Pivot that MUST hold.Last week (Sep 03, see chart below) we gave a buy signal on Dow Jones (DJI) right at the bottom of its medium-term Channel Up, which quickly hit our 46100 Target:
This time we switch to a much wider and longer term outlook on the 1W time-frame as we are just a day before the Fed Rate Decision. The index has been trading within a strong Channel Up ever since the April 07 2025 market bottom, product of the Trade War correction early in 2024.
The 1D MA100 (red trend-line) crossed above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) forming a peculiar Bullish Cross, which interestingly enough, it is the 3rd time we see it since September 2020.
As a result, it is highly critical and as you can see, after such cross, the 1W MA50 has historically led the index higher.
What is perhaps even more critical however is the Pivot trend-line, which is essentially the former All Time High (ATH) turned into Support for the Channel Up pattern that have pushed the market higher since 2020.
As you can see, that level always held and the two rallies that we've had on the pattern like the current one, completed +25% and +22% rallies above it before an eventually correction that broke below the 1W MA50.
As a result, we could see another +20% rise at least, translating into a 54000 long-term Target, as long as both the 1W MA50 and the Pivot hold.
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US30 - Key Levels To WatchDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it - 1h TF
After such a big break-out, I can only identify areas of interest FYI
Check your 1D TF + FIB for better perspective.
Let me know if anything is unclear.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
US30 Consolidates Ahead of Fed – Key Range 46,000 to 45,680US30 – Technical Overview
The Dow Jones continues to consolidate between 46,000 and 45,680 as traders await the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later this week.
Markets largely expect a 25 bps cut, but the key driver will be Chair Powell’s guidance on inflation, labor-market softness, and tariff risks—factors that could spark a breakout from the current range.
Technical Outlook
📉 Support test
Price remains inside a consolidation zone and is expected to retest 45,680 before attempting a rebound.
📈 Bullish continuation
A bounce from support could drive price back to 46,000, with a breakout above this level targeting 46,125.
A sustained move above 46,125 would open the path for a new ATH near 46,250 → 46,430, especially if the Fed signals a more dovish stance.
Key Levels
Pivot: 45,910
Resistance: 46,000 – 46,125 – 46,250
Support: 45,680 – 45,500
previous idea:
Dow Jones Consolidates After ATH – Watch 46,125 for BreakoutUS30 – Overview
The Dow Jones recorded a new ATH near 46,125 and is now testing key support/resistance levels.
📉 Bearish scenario: While trading below 46,125, price may revisit the pivot zone and, if broken, could drop toward 46,000. A confirmed break below 46,000 would extend downside targets to 45,680 → 45,450.
📈 Bullish scenario: A 1H close above 46,125 would invalidate the short-term bearish bias and open the way toward 46,250.
Key Levels
Pivot: 46,000
Resistance: 46,125 – 46,250
Support: 45,800 – 45,680 – 45,450
Bias: Bearish while below 46,125 and 46,000; bullish breakout confirmed on a 1H close above this level.
Dow Jones | H4 Rising Wedge | GTRadingMethod👋 Hello Traders.
Yesterday I mentioned I’d be watching for a breakout and retest setup — that plan still stands. However, I’ve also taken a short position off the diagonal resistance line.
🧐 Market Overview:
I’m currently seeing rising wedge structures across Nasdaq, S&P, Russell 2000, and Dow Jones. These patterns typically lean bearish, and I can’t ignore the confluence. That said, wedges can fail, and with the market leaning bullish after of the FOMC announcement, I’m aware this is swimming against the trend.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 6.7
Entry: 46 267
Stop Loss: 46 450
Take Profit 1 (50%): 45 000
Take Profit 2 (50%): 45 000
(I’m already short from 46 267 and will look to add if price retests that level.)
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Bearish patterns like rising wedges can offer high R/R setups, but always remember — strong bullish backdrops (like major data events) can cause them to fail. Risk management is everything.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and share your thoughts on what you think the markets will do today and how you would trade rising wedges :)
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
US30 LONG/BUY Hello there
Looks like a high probability trade is forming on US30
1. Regular flat formation
2. MACD divergence 1HR TF forming
3. 3 WAVE corrective structure
4. 61.8 FIB retracement of impulsive move
Strategy: Entry at 61.8 FIB retracement entry
Entry: Current Market Price/ 45641 (little gap left)
Stop Loss: 45391
Take Profit: 46300
Trade with care
God Bless you
US30: Long Trade Explained
US30
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy US30
Entry - 45841
Stop - 45733
Take - 46034
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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DOW JONES (US30): Your Plan to Trade FOMC Today
US30 keeps coiling on a recently broken daily key resistance
that turned into a support after a breakout.
To buy the market with confirmation after today's rate decision,
concentrate your attention on a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame.
A bullish breakout of its neckline and a 4H candle close above 46850
will provide a reliable signal.
A bullish continuation will be expected to a current structure high then - 46087.
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