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NSDQ100 relief rally led by mega-cap tech.Nasdaq 100 Trading Summary Tech sentiment has rebounded strongly after upbeat earnings from Amazon and Apple, reversing much of yesterday’s selloff. Amazon (+13% pre-market): Cloud revenue up +20% y/y, fastest growth since 2022 — a major boost for one of the year’s weakest Mag-7 names. Apple (+2% pre-market): Forecasts 10–12% revenue growth this quarter (vs +6% expected), driven by stronger iPhone demand. US futures: Nasdaq +1.2%, S&P 500 +0.65%, erasing most of Thursday’s losses. Yesterday’s decline stemmed from AI-capex worries after Meta (-11.3%) and Nvidia (-2%) fell on spending and China-sales concerns. Those fears are easing as investors refocus on strong earnings and resilient demand. Other Headlines Universal Music beat estimates on subscription revenue, supporting consumer-discretionary sentiment. Beverage giants continue to struggle — $830 bn in market value lost since 2021 amid shifting habits and tariffs. UK retail: Growing backlash against chatbots may be hurting sales by billions, highlighting limits of AI adoption. Outlook Nasdaq 100 looks set for a relief rally led by mega-cap tech. Focus today: follow-through buying in Amazon and Apple, stabilization in AI names (Meta, Nvidia), and overall positioning into month-end and key US inflation data later in the day. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Are Institutional Buyers Returning to NASDAQ100 Again?🎯 NASDAQ100 Blueprint: The Thief's Ultimate Heist Setup 💰 📊 Asset Overview NASDAQ:NDX | US100 Index Market Capital Flow Analysis - Swing Trade Setup 🔍 Technical Foundation Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMED The LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average) breakout has painted the perfect picture. When institutional money flows align with technical breakouts, you know the smart money is positioning for the next leg up. Current Market Structure: We're witnessing a textbook bullish continuation pattern with strong momentum building above key moving averages. The index is showing resilience at support zones while eyeing psychological resistance levels ahead. 💎 The Thief's Layered Entry Strategy Entry Philosophy: "Why catch one knife when you can catch four?" 😏 This is classic Thief-style layering - multiple limit orders spread across strategic price zones to build a position with optimal average entry: Entry Layers (Limit Orders): 🎯 Layer 1: 24,800 🎯 Layer 2: 25,000 (Psychological level) 🎯 Layer 3: 25,200 🎯 Layer 4: 25,400 Pro tip: You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and capital allocation. Scale in gradually, not aggressively. Alternative: If you prefer simplicity, you can enter at current market price - but layering gives you the edge when volatility strikes. 🛡️ Risk Management Stop Loss Zone: 24,600 ⚠️ Important Notice: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this SL is MY reference point based on market structure. You are the captain of your own ship - set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance and account size. Trade at your own risk! 🎯 Profit Target Primary Target: 26,000 Why this level? Strong historical resistance zone Overbought territory on multiple timeframes Potential bull trap formation area Confluence with Fibonacci extension levels ⚠️ Exit Strategy Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this TP is MY analysis. When YOU see green, YOU decide when to bank it. Take profits incrementally if you prefer safety over maximum gains. Remember: Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered! 🐷 🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch These pairs move in tandem with NASDAQ100 - keep them on your radar: 📈 SP:SPX (S&P 500): The big brother index - when SPX moves, NQ100 often follows 📈 NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq ETF): Direct tracking vehicle for tech-heavy momentum 📈 NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.): Largest NASDAQ component - heavy influence on index direction 📈 NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft): Tech titan with significant index weighting 📈 NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA): Semiconductor leader driving AI narrative 📈 NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla): High-beta play that amplifies NASDAQ moves 📈 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Inverse correlation - strong dollar often pressures tech stocks 📈 TVC:TNX (10-Year Treasury Yield): Rising yields = tech pressure; falling yields = tech rally Key Correlation Insight: Tech stocks (and thus NASDAQ) typically benefit from falling yields and weakening dollar conditions. Monitor these macro factors! ⚡ Key Technical Points ✅ LSMA breakout confirms bullish momentum shift ✅ Volume profile suggests accumulation at current levels ✅ Multiple timeframe alignment (swing trader's dream) ✅ Risk-reward ratio favors long positioning ✅ Institutional money flow indicators turning positive ⚠️ Watch for: Volatility spikes near resistance, macro news events, and Federal Reserve commentary that could impact tech valuations. 🎭 The Thief's Final Words "In the market, you're either the heist mastermind or the one getting robbed. Choose wisely." 😎 This setup is designed for swing traders who understand that patience and proper position sizing beat FOMO every single time. Layer in, manage risk, and let the market come to you. Remember: This isn't financial advice - it's a roadmap drawn by someone who respects the market's ability to humble even the best of us. 📢 Community Support ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #NASDAQ100 #US100 #NQ100 #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #LayeredEntry #ThiefStyle #IndexTrading #BullishSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradingIdeas #StockMarket #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TradingCommunity
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The-Thief
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100)The NASDAQ index continues its strong bullish trend, currently trading near a new all-time high around 26,140. 📉 A minor correction is expected toward the 26,000 support zone. If the price breaks and holds below this level, a further decline toward 25,800 is likely. 📈 However, if the price bounces from 26,000, the index may retest the recent high or even create a new record high. 💡 Key Trading Levels: ✅ Buy: On confirmed bounce from 26,000 or 25,800. 🔻 Sell: Below 26,000 after confirmation.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Fadi_radar
NAS100 – Price Enters Uncharted TerritoryZone 1: New All-Time High This zone marks where the US session closed yesterday, establishing a new all-time high. Price has never traded this high before, putting the market in uncharted territory. Momentum remains strong, but with no historical structure above, traders should watch for signs of exhaustion or potential profit-taking as price explores this fresh high ground. A clean break and hold above the zone would confirm continued bullish control, while early rejection could spark a minor pullback. Zone 2: Asia Session Open Price opened around this level during Monday’s Asia session before accelerating sharply higher. The strong reaction from this area confirms it as an intraday demand zone and the first meaningful layer of support if price retraces. Should the market revisit this level today, traders will be watching closely for renewed buying pressure to defend the short-term uptrend. Zone 3: Previous All-Time High This zone marks last week’s US session close and the previous all-time high before the breakout. It now serves as deeper structural support, the base of the current rally. As long as price holds above Zone 3, the broader bullish structure remains intact. A clean break below, however, could suggest fading momentum and open the door for a deeper correction toward the prior range. Today's sentiment The Nas100 continues to trade with a cautiously positive bias after last week’s sharp rebound. Optimism is underpinned by improving risk sentiment, strong momentum in mega-cap tech, and renewed hopes that the Federal Reserve could adopt a more accommodative stance as inflation pressures ease. The partial US government shutdown, however, has delayed key macroeconomic releases, leaving markets “flying blind” and amplifying the potential impact of every new headline. Geopolitical developments also remain in focus: progress in US–China trade dialogue has helped calm nerves, but investors are aware that tensions over technology exports and global supply chains could resurface quickly. For traders, the setup favors tactical flexibility. Tech remains the market’s driving force, but with valuations stretched and volatility likely to spike on sparse data or political noise, short-term positioning and disciplined risk management are essential. In short, sentiment is constructive, but fragile.
FPMARKETS:US100
by Kathrine_Sofie
USNAS100 Extends Rally to New All-Time Highs?USNAS100 | Bullish Continuation Toward New Highs The index recorded a new all-time high (ATH) and has already stabilized above it, supporting further bullish momentum toward 25,400 → 25,550. The main driver behind the move remains strong corporate earnings. However, to confirm a bearish reversal, the price must close a 1H candle below 25,170, which would expose 25,100 → 25,010. A sustained break below those levels could extend the decline toward 24,850. Pivot Line: 25,230 Resistance: 25,400 – 25,550 Support: 25,100 – 25,010 – 24,860
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
2
NASDAQ 100 Analysis ! The current price of the NASDAQ is $26,127, and my projection points to $32,000 in the coming months, entering 2026. This analysis is based exclusively on price action, following Al Brooks' methodology, through the technical analysis developed by Josias Baltazar, one of his closest students. Use this projection as a reference for your decisions, whether in stocks or wherever you deem it appropriate. I'll leave this analysis here... and I'll return in the future to see how it played out.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by JARTRADING2
NAS100 | US100 (Nasdaq 4H) – Technical OutlookUS100 (Nasdaq 4H) – Technical Outlook 📊 Market Structure: Price has recently formed a weak high around 26,200, rejecting from a premium / supply zone, signaling potential short-term bearish pressure. The previous upward structure showed a BOS (Break of Structure) near 25,000, confirming bullish intent earlier — but now momentum is slowing as price returns below the PDH (Previous Day High). The current 4H candles show strong bearish reaction, indicating sellers defending the premium zone. 📉 Key Levels: Supply Zone (Premium Area): 26,000 – 26,200 Equilibrium Zone: Around 24,800 – 25,000 Immediate Support: 25,800 (current PD level) Weekly Pivot (PW): 25,400 (potential short-term target) 📈 EMA Confluence: Price has rejected from above the 89 EMA (blue) and is now testing below it. The 200 EMA (yellow) continues to trend upward, showing long-term bullish momentum, but the shorter EMAs suggest a short-term pullback. As long as price stays below 89 EMA, bias remains bearish to neutral in the near term. 🎯 Trade Scenarios: Scenario 1 – Short-Term Sell Setup: Entry Zone: 25,950 – 26,100 (retest of premium area or EMA rejection) Take Profit: 25,400 (PW) Stop Loss: Above 26,250 Confluence: Supply zone + weak high + bearish EMA alignment Scenario 2 – Bullish Continuation (after retracement): Wait for price to retrace to the equilibrium zone (24,800–25,000) Look for bullish reaction with confirmation from Stochastic RSI divergence Target: Return to 26,000 📊 Indicators Insight: Stochastic RSI: Currently dropping from overbought territory, indicating possible continuation of short-term downside. Momentum slowing — ideal for short retracement trades before potential reversal. Summary: US100 is rejecting from premium resistance near 26,200. Short-term bias: bearish retracement toward 25,400 or deeper 25,000 equilibrium zone. Long-term bias remains bullish, supported by 200 EMA structure — watch for confirmation before re-entry buys.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by InnovationCapital
two scenarios for NQ on October I currently have two scenarios for NASDAQ, and both are bearish. Scenario 1: The downtrend has already started. If we see a pullback around the 0.5 Fibonacci level, I’ll look to short again and keep stacking sell positions Scenario 2: NASDAQ might retest the previous high — the one where the sharp drop started — move sideways for a while, and then start another leg down. P.S. Success depends on proper risk management. #NASDAQ #NASDAQ100
FPMARKETS:US100Short
by Wall_StreetWolf
4
US100 – Buyers Take Full Control as Market Breaks Out4H Technical Zone Analysis Zone 1: Monday’s All-Time High This zone marks Monday’s all-time high, where the market initially paused after a strong impulse move. The breakout above this level signals clear bullish dominance, but as price extends into record territory, this zone now serves as a potential pivot area. Should price revisit it, traders will be watching for whether former resistance can act as support — a successful retest here would confirm the breakout’s strength and validate continued upward momentum. Zone 2: Tuesday’s Demand Base This area represents the level where buyers decisively regained control during Tuesday’s session, driving a sharp rally that broke above prior highs. It reflects the origin of the latest bullish leg and highlights strong demand from institutional participants. As long as price holds above Zone 2, intraday sentiment remains bullish and pullbacks into this area are likely to attract renewed buying interest. A sustained move below, however, would suggest momentum exhaustion and open the door for a deeper retracement. Sentiment Overview The Nas100 surged yesterday, driven by a wave of optimism following encouraging headlines on both the macro and geopolitical fronts. Markets rallied after reports of a “constructive” round of US-China trade talks in Malaysia, which eased fears of renewed escalation and reignited risk appetite across global equities. At the same time, a softer-than-expected US CPI print reinforced hopes that inflation pressures are moderating, prompting renewed speculation that the Federal Reserve could adopt a more dovish tone once government operations resume. Tech and semiconductor stocks once again led the advance, supported by strong earnings and continued enthusiasm around AI and digital infrastructure. The index pushed into fresh record territory, underscoring how dominant the tech sector remains as a driver of sentiment. Heading into today’s session, the tone is cautiously constructive. The market is buoyed by improved trade relations and stable inflation expectations, yet traders are aware that valuations are stretched and macro visibility is limited due to the ongoing US government shutdown. With key data releases delayed and the index at all-time highs, volatility could spike on any unexpected headlines or shifts in tone from policymakers.
FPMARKETS:US100
by Kathrine_Sofie
Position Sizing: The Math That Separates Winners from LosersMost traders blow up their accounts not because of bad entries, but because of terrible position sizing. You can have a 60% win rate and still go broke if you risk too much per trade. The 1-2% Rule (And Why It Works) Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade. Here's why this matters: Risk 2% per trade → You can survive 50 consecutive losses Risk 10% per trade → 10 losses = -65% drawdown (you need +186% just to break even) Risk 20% per trade → 5 losses = game over The Position Sizing Formula Position Size = (Account Size × Risk %) / (Entry Price - Stop Loss) Real Example: Account: $10,000 Risk per trade: 2% = $200 Entry: $50 Stop loss: $48 Risk per share: $2 Position Size = $200 / $2 = 100 shares If stopped out → You lose exactly $200 (2%) If price hits $54 → You make $400 (4% gain, 2:1 R/R) Different Risk Frameworks Conservative (1% risk) Best for: Beginners, volatile markets, high-frequency trading Survivability: Can take 100+ losses Growth: Slower but steady Moderate (2% risk) Best for: Experienced traders, tested strategies Survivability: 50 consecutive losses Growth: Balanced risk/reward Aggressive (3-5% risk) Best for: High conviction setups, smaller accounts trying to grow Survivability: 20-33 losses Growth: Faster but dangerous Warning: Never go above 5% unless you're gambling, not trading. The Kelly Criterion (Advanced) For traders with significant backtested data: Kelly % = Win Rate - Example: Win rate: 55% Avg win: $300 Avg loss: $200 Win/Loss ratio: 1.5 Kelly % = 0.55 - = 0.55 - 0.30 = 25% But use 1/4 Kelly (6.25%) or 1/2 Kelly (12.5%) - Full Kelly is too aggressive for real markets. Common Position Sizing Mistakes ❌ Revenge trading larger after a loss ✅ Keep position size constant based on current account value ❌ Risking the same dollar amount regardless of setup quality ✅ Risk 0.5% on B-setups, 2% on A+ setups ❌ Ignoring correlation risk ✅ If you have 5 tech stocks open, you're really risking 10% on one sector ❌ Not adjusting after drawdowns ✅ If account drops 20%, your 2% risk should recalculate from new balance The Volatility Adjustment In high volatility (VIX > 30): Cut position sizes by 30-50% Widen stops or risk less per trade Market can gap past your stops In low volatility (VIX < 15): Can use normal position sizing Tighter stops possible More predictable price action My Personal Framework I use a tiered approach: High conviction setups (A+): 2% risk Good setups (A): 1.5% risk Decent setups (B): 1% risk Experimental/learning: 0.5% risk Maximum combined risk: Never more than 6% across all open positions. The Bottom Line Position sizing is the only thing you have complete control over in trading. You can't control: Where price goes Market volatility News events But you CAN control how much you risk. The traders who survive long enough to get good are the ones who master position sizing first. What's your current risk per trade? Drop it in the comments. If it's above 5%, we need to talk.
IG:NASDAQEducation
by Maaz_BA
Position Sizing: The Math That Separates Winners from LosersMost traders blow up their accounts not because of bad entries, but because of terrible position sizing. You can have a 60% win rate and still go broke if you risk too much per trade. The 1-2% Rule (And Why It Works) Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade. Here's why this matters: Risk 2% per trade → You can survive 50 consecutive losses Risk 10% per trade → 10 losses = -65% drawdown (you need +186% just to break even) Risk 20% per trade → 5 losses = game over The Position Sizing Formula Position Size = (Account Size × Risk %) / (Entry Price - Stop Loss) Real Example: Account: $10,000 Risk per trade: 2% = $200 Entry: $50 Stop loss: $48 Risk per share: $2 Position Size = $200 / $2 = 100 shares If stopped out → You lose exactly $200 (2%) If price hits $54 → You make $400 (4% gain, 2:1 R/R) Different Risk Frameworks Conservative (1% risk) Best for: Beginners, volatile markets, high-frequency trading Survivability: Can take 100+ losses Growth: Slower but steady Moderate (2% risk) Best for: Experienced traders, tested strategies Survivability: 50 consecutive losses Growth: Balanced risk/reward Aggressive (3-5% risk) Best for: High conviction setups, smaller accounts trying to grow Survivability: 20-33 losses Growth: Faster but dangerous Warning: Never go above 5% unless you're gambling, not trading. The Kelly Criterion (Advanced) For traders with significant backtested data: Kelly % = Win Rate - Example: Win rate: 55% Avg win: $300 Avg loss: $200 Win/Loss ratio: 1.5 Kelly % = 0.55 - = 0.55 - 0.30 = 25% But use 1/4 Kelly (6.25%) or 1/2 Kelly (12.5%) - Full Kelly is too aggressive for real markets. Common Position Sizing Mistakes ❌ Revenge trading larger after a loss ✅ Keep position size constant based on current account value ❌ Risking the same dollar amount regardless of setup quality ✅ Risk 0.5% on B-setups, 2% on A+ setups ❌ Ignoring correlation risk ✅ If you have 5 tech stocks open, you're really risking 10% on one sector ❌ Not adjusting after drawdowns ✅ If account drops 20%, your 2% risk should recalculate from new balance The Volatility Adjustment In high volatility (VIX > 30): Cut position sizes by 30-50% Widen stops or risk less per trade Market can gap past your stops In low volatility (VIX < 15): Can use normal position sizing Tighter stops possible More predictable price action My Personal Framework I use a tiered approach: High conviction setups (A+): 2% risk Good setups (A): 1.5% risk Decent setups (B): 1% risk Experimental/learning: 0.5% risk Maximum combined risk: Never more than 6% across all open positions. The Bottom Line Position sizing is the only thing you have complete control over in trading. You can't control: Where price goes Market volatility News events But you CAN control how much you risk. The traders who survive long enough to get good are the ones who master position sizing first. What's your current risk per trade? Drop it in the comments. If it's above 5%, we need to talk.
IG:NASDAQEducation
by Maaz_BA