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Pullback ideaNasdaq is at the trendline, channel and RSI resistances at the moment. We have 1D divergence on RSI, but no 4h divergence yet. Good pullbacks usually start with 4h divergence on NAS100 / 2h divergence on NDX, so it will probably go a little higher. If it's going to form an ending diagonal, one more small pullback and one more wave up should appear, which will produce 4h divergence. 2.618 fib level from August 13 peak to low is at 25600 on NAS100 and at 25590 on NDX - maybe it will reach it, maybe not.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Supergalactic
US100 – Buyers Take Full Control as Market Breaks Out4H Technical Zone Analysis Zone 1: Monday’s All-Time High This zone marks Monday’s all-time high, where the market initially paused after a strong impulse move. The breakout above this level signals clear bullish dominance, but as price extends into record territory, this zone now serves as a potential pivot area. Should price revisit it, traders will be watching for whether former resistance can act as support — a successful retest here would confirm the breakout’s strength and validate continued upward momentum. Zone 2: Tuesday’s Demand Base This area represents the level where buyers decisively regained control during Tuesday’s session, driving a sharp rally that broke above prior highs. It reflects the origin of the latest bullish leg and highlights strong demand from institutional participants. As long as price holds above Zone 2, intraday sentiment remains bullish and pullbacks into this area are likely to attract renewed buying interest. A sustained move below, however, would suggest momentum exhaustion and open the door for a deeper retracement. Sentiment Overview The Nas100 surged yesterday, driven by a wave of optimism following encouraging headlines on both the macro and geopolitical fronts. Markets rallied after reports of a “constructive” round of US-China trade talks in Malaysia, which eased fears of renewed escalation and reignited risk appetite across global equities. At the same time, a softer-than-expected US CPI print reinforced hopes that inflation pressures are moderating, prompting renewed speculation that the Federal Reserve could adopt a more dovish tone once government operations resume. Tech and semiconductor stocks once again led the advance, supported by strong earnings and continued enthusiasm around AI and digital infrastructure. The index pushed into fresh record territory, underscoring how dominant the tech sector remains as a driver of sentiment. Heading into today’s session, the tone is cautiously constructive. The market is buoyed by improved trade relations and stable inflation expectations, yet traders are aware that valuations are stretched and macro visibility is limited due to the ongoing US government shutdown. With key data releases delayed and the index at all-time highs, volatility could spike on any unexpected headlines or shifts in tone from policymakers.
FPMARKETS:US100
by Kathrine_Sofie
NasdaqHello traders! Last Friday, we had a major selloff in the 25,000 region, which quickly sent the Nasdaq crashing by more than 4% in just a few hours. In technical analysis, 24,000 is a price that has been broken previously and is now being tested as weekly support. If we expand this movement, we project a target price of 26,000, continuing the upward movement. The technology sector remains promising with advances in artificial intelligence, and we have no news of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Happy trading!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by caueblanes
Lower CPI Data – But Don’t Be Fooled by “Good” Inflation Numbers Summary: Markets cheered on lower CPI data, but the optimism might be misplaced. A softer inflation print gives the FED more flexibility, yet it also reduces the urgency for two rate cuts this year — something traders had already priced in. Logic: CPI came in weaker → short-term bullish sentiment. But the real driver of rates is not CPI alone — it’s the balance between inflation and growth. With inflation easing and economic activity still stable, the FED doesn’t need to cut twice in 2025. Futures market (CME FedWatch) was pricing two cuts, which means that optimism is already priced into NASDAQ valuations. Scenario Outlook: If CPI remains stable and growth holds → only one cut or delay, not two. That means tech valuations might need to reprice lower, especially high beta names. NASDAQ could revisit support around 17,000–17,200 before finding balance again. Trading View: Watch for rejection near 18,000–18,200 (overextension after CPI rally). Short-term bias: bearish / correction mode. Long-term bias: still bullish, but needs valuation reset.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Rendon1
7
NAS100 – Price Enters Uncharted TerritoryZone 1: New All-Time High This zone marks where the US session closed yesterday, establishing a new all-time high. Price has never traded this high before, putting the market in uncharted territory. Momentum remains strong, but with no historical structure above, traders should watch for signs of exhaustion or potential profit-taking as price explores this fresh high ground. A clean break and hold above the zone would confirm continued bullish control, while early rejection could spark a minor pullback. Zone 2: Asia Session Open Price opened around this level during Monday’s Asia session before accelerating sharply higher. The strong reaction from this area confirms it as an intraday demand zone and the first meaningful layer of support if price retraces. Should the market revisit this level today, traders will be watching closely for renewed buying pressure to defend the short-term uptrend. Zone 3: Previous All-Time High This zone marks last week’s US session close and the previous all-time high before the breakout. It now serves as deeper structural support, the base of the current rally. As long as price holds above Zone 3, the broader bullish structure remains intact. A clean break below, however, could suggest fading momentum and open the door for a deeper correction toward the prior range. Today's sentiment The Nas100 continues to trade with a cautiously positive bias after last week’s sharp rebound. Optimism is underpinned by improving risk sentiment, strong momentum in mega-cap tech, and renewed hopes that the Federal Reserve could adopt a more accommodative stance as inflation pressures ease. The partial US government shutdown, however, has delayed key macroeconomic releases, leaving markets “flying blind” and amplifying the potential impact of every new headline. Geopolitical developments also remain in focus: progress in US–China trade dialogue has helped calm nerves, but investors are aware that tensions over technology exports and global supply chains could resurface quickly. For traders, the setup favors tactical flexibility. Tech remains the market’s driving force, but with valuations stretched and volatility likely to spike on sparse data or political noise, short-term positioning and disciplined risk management are essential. In short, sentiment is constructive, but fragile.
FPMARKETS:US100
by Kathrine_Sofie
NASDAQ 100 (NDX)-The Grand Super Cycle Journey🧠 The Grand Super Cycle Journey of NASDAQ 100 (NDX) Here's a comprehensive, narrative-style description of NASDAQ 100 (NDX) INDEX based on Elliott Wave Theory , Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , Fibonacci Retracements/Extensions , Price Action , and Fundamentals across Super Cycle , Macro , and Micro Waves 🔍📈: 🌱 Super Cycle Wave 1: The Birth of Tech (1986–2000) The journey begins with Wave 1 , ignited by the early tech boom — Microsoft, Intel, and the rise of Silicon Valley 🚀. This impulsive leg spans over a decade, culminating in the dot-com bubble peak in 2000. 🔹 Smart Money Insight: Early accumulation started in the '80s, followed by massive markup into the 1990s. Retail entered late, leading to the euphoric climax in 2000. 🔹 Price Action: Parabolic rallies, breakouts through historical resistance, ending in a massive overextension. 🔹 Fundamentals: Era of growth, innovation, low inflation, and initial internet adoption. 🌪️ Super Cycle Wave 2: The Great Correction (2000–2009) The bursting of the dot-com bubble triggered a complex correction labeled as W-X-Y. This 9-year structure ends in the 2008–09 financial crisis low. The market retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level , a classic deep correction in a strong long-term bull market. 🔸 Smart Money: Distribution at the top → manipulation through global uncertainty (9/11, housing bubble) → reaccumulation near the 2009 lows 🧠📉. 🔸 Fundamentals: Enron scandal, 9/11, housing collapse, Lehman bankruptcy — a decade of fear and instability 🏚️. 🚀 Super Cycle Wave 3: The Exponential Phase (2009–2029)* The most powerful leg — Wave 3 — is unfolding, targeting an eventual 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~85,000) . This wave is subdivided into 5 Macro Waves , each composed of 5 Micro Waves . Here's how the structure progresses: ⚙️ Macro Wave 1 (2009–2012) Started at the GFC low, this wave marked the beginning of recovery, finishing with 5 orange micro waves . 🟠 Micro Waves: A clean 5-wave impulse showing the early stages of structural strength. 📊 Price Action: Break of structure (BoS) confirms bullish reversal. 🏦 Fundamentals: QE1/QE2, low interest rates, tech stabilization, birth of FAANG era 💻. 📈 Smart Money: Institutions started accumulating in late 2009–2010, reflected in tight consolidations and sharp rallies. 🔁 Macro Wave 2 (2012) A brief and shallow correction within the bullish context — a classic bullish flag in terms of price action. Quickly ended with higher lows. 🧠 SMC: Short manipulation phase to shake weak hands. 📉 Price Action: Pullback respected prior structure — no trend break. 💥 Macro Wave 3 (2012–2021) This was the largest and most explosive wave , extending over 9 years and forming 5 purple micro waves. 🟣 Micro Waves: Clean impulsive structure, confirming a classic Elliott wave fractal. 💡 Fundamentals: Rise of cloud computing Mobile-first economy AI, semiconductors, and social media explosion COVID-19 crash and rebound — the fastest recovery in history 🔹 Fibonacci: No deep retracements — sign of a healthy, powerful wave 3. 🧠 Smart Money: Deep accumulation during COVID crash → massive expansion post-March 2020 📈. 🧱 Macro Wave 4 (2021–2022) A healthy correction that reset the structure — completed around the 2022 low. This wave maintained market structure integrity. 🔻 SMC: Liquidity sweep of previous lows + mitigation of demand zones. 📊 Price Action: Range-bound, bearish to neutral. 🌍 Macro Headwinds: Interest rate hikes Inflation fears Global instability (Russia-Ukraine, energy crisis) 🧬 Macro Wave 5 (2022–2029) – Now Unfolding* This is the final thrust of the Super Cycle Wave 3 , subdivided into 5 micro waves (current count in progress): 🔸 Micro Wave 1 ✅ Initial rally from 2022 lows, showing strong impulsive behavior. 🧠 Smart Money: Confirmed shift from reaccumulation to expansion. 🔸 Micro Wave 2 ✅ Pullback formed higher low — acted as final reaccumulation. 🔴 Micro Wave 3 – In Process (2025–2026) This is expected to be the strongest wave within Macro Wave 5, projected to peak near 36,000 (2.618 extension of micro 1–2). 📈 Price Action: Aggressive higher highs and shallow pullbacks. 🧠 SMC: Expansion with little liquidity left below — institutions pushing price up. 💡 Fundamentals: AI hypergrowth US tech dominance AI chips, quantum computing, tokenization Renewed bullish risk appetite 🌐 🟠 Micro Wave 4 (Expected 2026–2027) A corrective wave likely to retest the macro structure — forming a flag or triangle. 📉 Price Action: Sideways to downward chop, retracing 0.382–0.5 of wave 3. 🧠 SMC: Inducement setup before final rally. 🌍 Macro: Possible geopolitical or monetary tightening phase. 🔵 Micro Wave 5 (Expected Top in 2029) The final leg of Macro Wave 5 and Super Cycle Wave 3. Expected to top near 85,000 , a 2.618% Fibonacci extension of Super Cycle Waves 1–2. 🎯 Final Parabolic Blow-Off 📊 Price Action: Euphoria, exponential rally, low-volume melt-up 📈 Smart Money: Final distribution phase — retail FOMO peaks 🧨 Fundamentals: Mania phase — “everything AI/metaverse/tokenized” narrative, record valuations, IPO booms. 🔮 Looking Beyond: Super Cycle Wave 4 (Post-2029) Once the 85K target is met, a multi-year correction is expected — possibly deep and drawn out. Historically, Wave 4s retrace 0.236% to 0.382% and take years to unfold. 🧠 Expect: Systemic debt pressure Currency shifts Economic reset themes Potential Fed policy overcorrection Liquidity crunch 🌧️ Super Cycle Wave 4 may retest previous demand zones around 30–36K. 📚 Final Thoughts Our analysis represents an extraordinary blend of Elliott Wave fractals , institutional behavior (SMC) , and macro-fundamental alignment . We are in the late phase of a historical Super Cycle rally — but Wave 3 still has room to run 📈. ✅ Wave Count Aligned ✅ Fibonacci Extensions Respected ✅ SMC Structure Intact ✅ Macro-Fundamentals in Sync 📌 2025–2029 could be the final push before a generational correction. Smart investors must watch for distribution signs post-36K 📊. "Trust the waves, not the noise." – FIBCOS 🌊 📘 Disclaimer: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management. #FIBCOS #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcept #MarketAnalysis #NASDAQ #XAUUSD #SuperCycle #MacroTrend #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #PriceAction #Commodities #Stocks #TechnicalAnalysis #LongTermOutlook
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by fibcos
NAS100 | Bullish Momentum ExpectedBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry at 25,196.55, which is a pullbakc support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside. Stop loss is at 24,926.57, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 25,626.70, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADU:NAS100Long
by Tradu
Nasdaq100 Breakout Map – Bullish Targets Ahead?🕵️‍♂️ NDX/US100 “NASDAQ100” Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀 📊 Plan: Bullish Bias (Swing/Day Trade) 🎯 Entry Idea (Thief Layering Style): Using a layering strategy (multiple limit orders). My preferred buy zones are: 🟢 24,300 🟢 24,400 🟢 24,500 🟢 24,600 (Feel free to adjust/add layers based on your own style — flexibility is key.) 🔒 Protective Stop (Thief SL): ❌ Around 24,000 (but note: this is just my map, you can manage risk as per your own plan). 💰 Target Area (Profit Zone): 🚧 25,500 = strong resistance barricade + overbought region + potential bull trap. ✅ My preferred exit: 25,400 (just before the “police barricade” 🚓). ⚠️ Note for Thief OG’s: I’m not recommending to only follow my SL/TP. This is an educational trade map, not a fixed financial call. Adapt, adjust, and take profits your way. 🔑 Key Catalysts & Correlation Map: Tech Sector Strength: US100 often mirrors mega-cap tech momentum ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA ). Risk-On/Off Mood: Watch TVC:VIX — if fear spikes, layers may fill quicker. Dollar Impact: TVC:DXY weakness often fuels NASDAQ:NDX upside. Bond Yields: Higher yields = pressure on tech. Keep TVC:US10Y in your radar. 📌 Other Related Charts to Watch: SP:SPX / CME_MINI:ES1! → Correlated US equity benchmark. TVC:DXY → Inverse correlation (watch dollar moves). TVC:VIX → Volatility indicator for risk sentiment. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD → Risk sentiment cousin, moves with tech flows sometimes. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy Map — created for fun, educational purposes, and market observation only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, ladies & gentlemen. 🕵️‍♂️💸 #NASDAQ100 #NDX #US100 #SPX #Stocks #Indices #Trading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by The-Thief
USTEC rebounds on trade optimism. Potential for further gains?USTEC rose as confirmation of the Trump–Xi meeting lifted sentiment and offset mixed corporate earnings. Tesla (TSLA) rebounded despite uneven results, while IBM (IBM) slipped on softer software revenue. However, the company's broader performance remained resilient, with strong demand in AI and automation services driving solid growth in its infrastructure and hybrid cloud segments. Investors remain cautious ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting, with sentiment hinging on upcoming policy signals and trade developments. From a technical perspective, USTEC rebounded from the ascending channel's lower bound and support at 24000. A break above the 25200 resistance may prompt further upside toward the channel's upper bound and 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at 26000. Conversely, a bearish breakout of the channel and a close below 24000 may prompt a further decline toward the following support at 23000. By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by lixing_gan
NASDAQ | Daily TF - Bearish Divergence with Double TopCAPITALCOM:US100 NASDAQ continues to hold a bearish tone on the 1-hour chart, with a clear bearish divergence confirming weakness in momentum. Price is respecting lower highs and lower lows, keeping the short-term structure bearish. On the 4H timeframe, the index is approaching the trendline support around 24,600, which marks the third touch of this level. If this zone fails to hold, we could see an extended move toward the 24,000 area. From a broader view, the daily chart shows a double top pattern along with a strong bearish divergence — both supporting a deeper pullback. However, a daily close above 25,220 would invalidate this view and could shift momentum back to the upside. 📰 With the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and heightened market uncertainty, sentiment remains mixed. Volatility is expected to stay elevated, so it’s best to wait for clear confirmation around key levels before taking any positions.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by awaisulabdeen
NAS100 Why I'm Watching for a Countertrend Short on US100The NASDAQ (US100) has pushed aggressively into fresh all-time highs, tapping into a key liquidity zone where buy-side liquidity sits above previous swing highs. 📈💧 Price has extended without any meaningful pullback, suggesting we may soon see exhaustion and a corrective move. As we approach the end of the week, institutional traders often rebalance or close positions, which can trigger short-term retracements. 🏦🔄 If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll be watching for a counter— residing in a premium zone to—butter to the downside swings—for a potential countertrend—but— 🛑 Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Move After the Trap I see a confirmed liquidity grab below a key horizontal support on an hourly time frame. A formation of a cup & handle pattern and a breakout of its neckline afterward suggest a strong buygin interest. The market will rise more and reach at least 25023 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by VasilyTrader
1