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US100 Breaks Out as Trade Optimism and Fed Expectations Fuel MomUS100 Breaks Out as Trade Optimism and Fed Expectations Fuel Momentum Over the weekend, US President Donald Trump said that the US and China will reach a deal. US President Donald Trump said that the US and China are ready to "reach" a trade deal, as he is expected to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week in South Korea during his Asia tour. This decision gave the market a breather and increased optimism about an improvement in business sentiment. The indices came out of consolidation to create new record highs. US100 has already reached 25670 and looks set to rise further as shown in the chart with targets: 25900; 26400 and 26700 This week, the FED is also expected to cut rates by 25 basis points to 4% from 4.25%. These expectations should help indices to rise further US100 may test 25300 again before moving further. So, take note of this. However, so far, US100 remains strong, and this momentum could continue to grow further. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by KlejdiCuni
12
Position Sizing: The Math That Separates Winners from LosersMost traders blow up their accounts not because of bad entries, but because of terrible position sizing. You can have a 60% win rate and still go broke if you risk too much per trade. The 1-2% Rule (And Why It Works) Never risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade. Here's why this matters: Risk 2% per trade → You can survive 50 consecutive losses Risk 10% per trade → 10 losses = -65% drawdown (you need +186% just to break even) Risk 20% per trade → 5 losses = game over The Position Sizing Formula Position Size = (Account Size × Risk %) / (Entry Price - Stop Loss) Real Example: Account: $10,000 Risk per trade: 2% = $200 Entry: $50 Stop loss: $48 Risk per share: $2 Position Size = $200 / $2 = 100 shares If stopped out → You lose exactly $200 (2%) If price hits $54 → You make $400 (4% gain, 2:1 R/R) Different Risk Frameworks Conservative (1% risk) Best for: Beginners, volatile markets, high-frequency trading Survivability: Can take 100+ losses Growth: Slower but steady Moderate (2% risk) Best for: Experienced traders, tested strategies Survivability: 50 consecutive losses Growth: Balanced risk/reward Aggressive (3-5% risk) Best for: High conviction setups, smaller accounts trying to grow Survivability: 20-33 losses Growth: Faster but dangerous Warning: Never go above 5% unless you're gambling, not trading. The Kelly Criterion (Advanced) For traders with significant backtested data: Kelly % = Win Rate - Example: Win rate: 55% Avg win: $300 Avg loss: $200 Win/Loss ratio: 1.5 Kelly % = 0.55 - = 0.55 - 0.30 = 25% But use 1/4 Kelly (6.25%) or 1/2 Kelly (12.5%) - Full Kelly is too aggressive for real markets. Common Position Sizing Mistakes ❌ Revenge trading larger after a loss ✅ Keep position size constant based on current account value ❌ Risking the same dollar amount regardless of setup quality ✅ Risk 0.5% on B-setups, 2% on A+ setups ❌ Ignoring correlation risk ✅ If you have 5 tech stocks open, you're really risking 10% on one sector ❌ Not adjusting after drawdowns ✅ If account drops 20%, your 2% risk should recalculate from new balance The Volatility Adjustment In high volatility (VIX > 30): Cut position sizes by 30-50% Widen stops or risk less per trade Market can gap past your stops In low volatility (VIX < 15): Can use normal position sizing Tighter stops possible More predictable price action My Personal Framework I use a tiered approach: High conviction setups (A+): 2% risk Good setups (A): 1.5% risk Decent setups (B): 1% risk Experimental/learning: 0.5% risk Maximum combined risk: Never more than 6% across all open positions. The Bottom Line Position sizing is the only thing you have complete control over in trading. You can't control: Where price goes Market volatility News events But you CAN control how much you risk. The traders who survive long enough to get good are the ones who master position sizing first. What's your current risk per trade? Drop it in the comments. If it's above 5%, we need to talk.
IG:NASDAQEducation
by Maaz_BA
two scenarios for NQ on October I currently have two scenarios for NASDAQ, and both are bearish. Scenario 1: The downtrend has already started. If we see a pullback around the 0.5 Fibonacci level, I’ll look to short again and keep stacking sell positions Scenario 2: NASDAQ might retest the previous high — the one where the sharp drop started — move sideways for a while, and then start another leg down. P.S. Success depends on proper risk management. #NASDAQ #NASDAQ100
FPMARKETS:US100Short
by Wall_StreetWolf
4
USNAS100 ForecastThe US100 chart shows strong bullish momentum, breaking above key resistance levels. Price is expected to retrace slightly toward the 25,750–25,500 support zone before resuming its upward move toward the 26,400–26,500 target area. Overall trend remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows formation. "Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Pintu_sahu01
NAS100 Bearish Setup | Momentum Weakness Detected before FOMCNAS100 is showing early signs of a potential reversal after a strong bullish rally. Price action has formed a bearish divergence on the RSI — with price making higher highs while RSI prints lower highs — signaling fading momentum among buyers. Volume has also declined during the recent upswing, suggesting weak participation in the continuation move and potential exhaustion near the recent top. A sell setup is active with the stop loss marked in red above the previous high to protect against false breakouts, while the target zone highlighted in green aligns with the next structural support and volume-based demand area. A decisive close below near-term support would confirm bearish intent and open the path toward the target zone. Traders should monitor momentum indicators for confirmation of sustained weakness before continuation.
FX:NAS100Short
by coolbouy
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100)The NASDAQ index continues its strong bullish trend, currently trading near a new all-time high around 26,140. 📉 A minor correction is expected toward the 26,000 support zone. If the price breaks and holds below this level, a further decline toward 25,800 is likely. 📈 However, if the price bounces from 26,000, the index may retest the recent high or even create a new record high. 💡 Key Trading Levels: ✅ Buy: On confirmed bounce from 26,000 or 25,800. 🔻 Sell: Below 26,000 after confirmation.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Fadi_radar
NasdaqHello traders! Last Friday, we had a major selloff in the 25,000 region, which quickly sent the Nasdaq crashing by more than 4% in just a few hours. In technical analysis, 24,000 is a price that has been broken previously and is now being tested as weekly support. If we expand this movement, we project a target price of 26,000, continuing the upward movement. The technology sector remains promising with advances in artificial intelligence, and we have no news of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Happy trading!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by caueblanes
NASDAQ 100 — Key Intraday Reaction Zone (11 Nov)NASDAQ 100 (NDX) is currently trading inside a crucial intraday reaction zone around 25,550–25,650. This area marks the intersection of previous structural resistance and short-term order flow buildup. A clear break above this zone could signal continuation of bullish momentum, while failure to sustain may invite a short-term pullback. Keeping an eye on how price behaves here during the U.S. session — this zone is likely to define the next directional move. #NDX #NASDAQ100 #USMarket #PriceAction #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
NASDAQ:NDX
by Ryannmitchel