Community discussions
On the checked high, that is a good short, it almost reached into the 25,850 supply zone. It did not touch the 4 hour 200 SMA before going up either. It did not bounce off higher timeframe key levels.
Okay it also did not have Dow or S&P drastically overperforming either. In fact the S&P and Dow were underperforming when Nasdaq was at 25,700ish last Wednesday.
This is not to say buy or sell here. This level, quite frankly, is not a good level to enter into the market at. You want to be taking those good entries at key levels and holding those trades. My long in MES is still open from 6700 entered last Friday at the POC of MES/ES's range.
This absolutely could be the high. We could just sell off for any reason. Technically I would expect more consolidation here in order to see this as the high simply based off of the daily and 2 day chart. The daily and 2 day did not tag and bounce from key levels to the downside on November 5 high. Where we are now it did.
As a trader you want to focus on all of the details that are objectively different. Meaning it is not my opinion that we went under the 4 hour 200 SMA last Friday and recovered the same day. When they say don't trade what you think, they do not mean don't trade what your strategy thinks. They mean don't trade how you feel it should move. My strategy is 100% about predicting where price will go next and so is every other strategy in existence. No one enters a trade hoping it moves into loss.
Just because it is possible that you could enter the market and make money does not make it a good trade. There are a lot of things that go into making a trade great to take. Where price is at relative to local highs and lows matters most. As I write this, you are 903 points from the last major low and 729 points away from the high. That means you can easily see that many points against a trade entered here in either direction just to match that high or low. It does not include the extra drawdown you could see beyond that high or below that low. Where you are entering the market matters very much. Not everyday has a quality trade. A quality trade for me in Nasdaq is a 500-1000 point move at the smallest.

