GER30 trade ideas
DAX40 consolidation breakout supported at 23400The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23400 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23400 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
23950 – initial resistance
24116 – psychological and structural level
24250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23400 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23250 – minor support
23094 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23950. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER40 Review October 7 2025Short-term price movement ideas.
As expected from yesterday’s forecast, the price tested the daily long FVG, after which we received confirmations on the 4H timeframe. At the moment, the price is located within the 4H area of interest, where it has just swept the Asian session low — a strong trigger for a potential continuation of the upward movement. If this liquidity sweep is confirmed, we can then consider opening a long position with the target of updating the previous high.
Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
DAX INDEX | Elliott Wave + SMC + Fib + Market CycleDAX INDEX | Super Cycle Wave (3) In Progress | Micro Wave (iv) Correction Expected | Elliott Wave + SMC + Fib + Market Cycle
This macro outlook on the DAX Index (GER40) combines Elliott Wave Theory , Smart Money Concepts (SMC) , and Fibonacci Analysis , tracking the long-term price structure from the 1990s into the expected 2029 Super Cycle top .
We are currently nearing the completion of Micro Wave (iii) inside Super Cycle Wave (3) , with a correction expected as Micro Wave (iv) before a final leg Wave (v) to complete the 20-year Super Cycle advance.
🌀 SUPER CYCLE STRUCTURE (Wave Count Recap)
🔵 Supercycle Wave (1)
📈 Topped in 2000
📐 Five-wave impulse from early 90s
💡 Marked the first major peak of the new macro bull cycle
🔴 Super Cycle Wave (2)
🕰 2000–2009
📉 Multi-year W-X-Y complex correction
🔻 Pulled back to 0.618 retracement of Wave (1)
📍 Bottomed Jan–Feb 2009 — Smart Money accumulation zone
🚀 Supercycle Wave (3) — Now in Progress (2009–2029 Target)
This is a multi-decade impulse wave , subdividing into Micro Waves (i) through (v) .
🟠 Micro Wave (i)
🕰 2009–2018
✅ Clean 5-wave impulsive structure
🔓 Broke above Super Cycle Wave (1) high
📊 Confirmed initiation of Wave (3)
🟠 Micro Wave (ii)
🕰 2018–2020 (COVID crash)
🔻 Pulled back to 0.50 retracement of Wave (i)
📦 Retested key order blocks
💧 Liquidity swept beneath 2016–2018 lows
📈 Smart Money reaccumulation before major expansion
🟠 Micro Wave (iii) — Currently Unfolding
🕰 2020 – Expected top by end of 2025 or early 2026
🚀 Strongest wave in the structure
🔼 Targeting 2.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave (i)
🎯 Target zone: 30,941 (~32K)
📊 Multiple internal impulses have formed
🧠 Price delivery:
Consistent BoS
Minimal retracement
No parabolic blow-off yet → confirming institutional flow
🟠 Micro Wave (iv) — Correction Expected Next
🕰 Expected: 2026 to early 2027
🔻 Projected retracement:
0.382 – 0.5 of Wave (iii)
Target zone: 23,350 – 22,165
💧 Confluence with:
Sell-side liquidity pools
Prior OBs and imbalance zones
⚠️ Reaccumulation phase likely before final rally
🟠 Micro Wave (v) — Final Advance to Complete Supercycle Wave (3)
🕰 Expected top by 2029
🎯 Target range: Above 32,000, possibly toward 35,000+ depending on extensions
🔄 Will mark the peak of Supercycle Wave (3)
📉 Anticipate a major correction in Supercycle Wave (4) after that
📐 FIBONACCI LEVELS OF INTEREST
Structure Key Fib Levels
Supercycle (2) 0.618 retracement of (1)
Micro Wave (ii) 0.50 retracement of (i)
Micro Wave (iii) 2.618 extension of (i) → 30,941–32K
Micro Wave (iv) 0.382–0.5 retracement → 23,350–22K
Micro Wave (v) Possible extension to 38K+
🧠 SMART MONEY CONCEPTS (SMC)
🔓 Break of Structure (BoS) confirmed trend shifts at Wave (i), (ii), and internal impulses
📦 Order Blocks respected at retracement zones (2020 low, 2022 correction)
💧 Liquidity Grabs below previous lows fuel impulsive breakouts
🧱 Price Delivery = Institutional — no euphoric parabolas yet
🎯 Expect engineered liquidity sweep before Wave (iv) reaccumulation
📌 CONCLUSION
We are now nearing the completion of Micro Wave (iii) inside Super Cycle Wave (3) of the DAX. Price is approaching major extension targets (30,941–32,000), from where Wave (iv) correction is due.
This pullback (2026–2027) is expected to offer high-probability re-accumulation opportunities within a Smart Money demand zone before the final macro rally to new ATHs into 2029.
⚠️ After 2029 , expect a larger Supercycle Wave (4) correction phase.
📘 DISCLAIMER: This is a structural, educational market outlook. Not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and risk management.
DAX: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 23,534.81 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 23,425.69 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 is in a neutral range phase, trading at 23,436, staying below its VWAP of 23,672. RSI at 39 reflects weakening momentum and a possible range break to the downside. Support is at 23,400, with resistance at 23,990.
The UK 100 remains in a bullish phase, undergoing a correction after a failed attempt to take out the record high, trading at 9,205, slightly below its VWAP of 9,333. RSI at 47 shows neutral momentum. Support is at 9,157, with resistance at 9,309.
Wall Street continues in a bullish impulsive phase, trading at 46,173 - just under a record high set on Friday - and above its VWAP of 45,699. RSI at 63 supports strong upside interest. Support is at 45,005, resistance at 46,393.
Brent Crude remains range-bound, trading at 6,600 near its VWAP of 6,698. RSI at 44 suggests balanced-to-weak bias. Support is 6,515, resistance at 6,881.
Gold is in another strong bullish impulsive phase, trading at 3,723, a fresh record high, and above VWAP of 3,613. RSI at 77 indicates strong overbought conditions. Support is way down at 3,467, resistance at 3,759.
EUR/USD is undergoing a pullback after a ‘fakeout’ that saw it briefly hit new yearly highs, trading at 1.1777, just above VWAP of 1.1735. RSI at 55 supports continued buying interest. Support is 1.1624, resistance at 1.1846.
GBP/USD Having failed to take out the annual highs after its recent bullish surge, GBP has turned back into a neutral range, trading at 1.3502 just below its VWAP of 1.3525. RSI at 48 suggests mild downward pressure. Support at 1.3393, resistance at 1.3657.
USD/JPY is neutral within a range, trading at 147.87 above its VWAP of 147.59 after a ‘fakedown’ below recent lows. RSI at 53 indicates a balanced market. Support is 146.51, resistance at 148.68.
GER40 (DAX40) Technical Forecast📊🇩🇪 GER40 (DAX40) Technical Forecast – Intraday & Swing Outlook
Asset Class: GER40 CFD (DAX40)
Current Close: 23,675.1 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Technical Setup
🕯 Candlesticks: Strong rejection tails at resistance, suggesting supply pressure.
🌊 Elliott Waves: Market in corrective wave phase after strong rally.
📐 Harmonics: Possible Bearish Gartley forming near 23,950 zone.
📊 Wyckoff: Distribution signs emerging after extended markup.
📏 Gann Angles: 23,800 key pivot (time & price convergence).
☁️ Ichimoku: Price testing Kijun resistance; cloud support below 23,400.
📈 Indicators
💪 RSI (H1): 65 – nearing overbought zone.
📉 RSI (Daily): Neutral → potential downside risk.
🎯 Bollinger Bands: Pinching – volatility expansion expected.
⚖️ VWAP (Weekly): 23,520 – magnet level.
📊 MA Cross: Short-term EMA threatening bearish crossover.
⏱ Intraday Outlook
🕒 Key Levels:
🟢 Buy Zone: 23,420 – 23,480 (bounce setup).
🔴 Sell Zone: 23,800 – 23,950 (rejection expected).
🎯 Targets:
Upside: 23,720 → 23,840 → 23,950
Downside: 23,520 → 23,400 → 23,250
⚡ Bias: Range-bound with bearish tilt near highs.
📆 Swing Trading Outlook
🟢 Swing Buy Entry: 23,200 – 23,300 (strong demand zone).
🎯 Upside Swing Targets: 23,850 → 24,100 → 24,350
🔴 Swing Sell Entry: 23,900 – 24,050 (supply area).
🎯 Downside Swing Targets: 23,400 → 23,050 → 22,750
📉 Bias: Bearish divergence forming – possible correction if 23,900 rejects.
🌐 Market Context
⚠️ Eurozone slowdown + ECB policy risks may cap upside.
📊 US indices correlation → keep an eye on US500/NAS100.
🛢 Energy price spikes = potential drag on DAX industries.
📝 Trading Plan
✔️ Intraday traders: Sell rallies into 23,800–23,950 🔻
✔️ Swing traders: Accumulate near 23,200–23,300 🟢
✔️ Manage risk: Always place tight stops below support or above resistance.
🔥 Conclusion:
DAX40 (GER40) faces stiff resistance at 23,900. Intraday range traders can fade extremes, while swing traders prepare for a correction towards 23,200 support before the next big move.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
GER40 | 30min Double Top | GTradingMethodHello traders,
Just took a short on GER40.
Potential double top on 30min chart.
I only trade double tops that have rsi diveregnce
Risk/reward = 3.4
Entry price = 23 725.8
Stop loss price = 23 763.2
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 23 622
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 23 565
Keep to hear your thoughts on the equities markets :)
This is not financial advice but just me documenting my journey
DAX40 Oversold bounce resistance at 23950The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23400 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23400 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
23950 – initial resistance
24116 – psychological and structural level
24250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23400 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23250 – minor support
23094 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23950. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GER30 Trading Plan: Pending Orders, Breakout Levels, and Targets📉 GER30 (Germany Index) – Market Cash Flow Management Strategy 🏦
Hey Traders 👋,
Here’s a swing/day trade plan I’m watching on the GER30 (Germany Index). This setup is designed with a layered pending order strategy once confirmation hits.
🔑 Trading Plan
Bias: Bearish (waiting for sellers to breach the 4H Moving Average ✅ confirmation needed)
Entry Trigger: Breakout of MA @ 23300 ➝ after breakout confirmation, entries can be considered at different price levels.
Layered Entries (Sell Limits):
23500
23450
23400
23350
23300
(You can expand layering based on your own strategy)
⚠️ Important Note: Only activate sell limit layers after breakout confirmation. No confirmation = no entry.
🛑 Stop Loss
Suggested SL: 23650
But remember: risk management is personal! 🎯 Set your SL at your own comfort level.
🎯 Target
Exit Zone: 22900
Why? SMA acting as strong dynamic support, plus oversold conditions & potential liquidity traps.
Again ➝ this TP is optional. You’re in control of your profits. 💰
📌 Core Notes (Read Carefully!)
This plan uses multiple layered sell-limit entries (cash flow layering style).
Don’t jump in blindly! Wait for the moving average breach on 4H to confirm bearish momentum.
SL & TP are not recommendations, just references. Trade at your own risk.
🔗 Correlation / Related Pairs to Watch
FX:GER30 – Core instrument
XETR:DAX – Same Germany Index benchmark (futures)
FX:EURUSD – Often inversely correlated with DAX strength when EUR reacts to macro events
SP:SPX / CAPITALCOM:US30 – Global equity indices; U.S. flows can impact German equities
OANDA:XAUUSD – Gold as a hedge; risk-off flows sometimes push capital out of equities and into gold
Watching these pairs can give better context to the strength/weakness of GER30 📊.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#GER30 #DAX #Germany30 #IndexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #StockIndices #MarketFlow