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AMAZON (AMZN) - H4 - Double Top Breakdown (19.10.2025)📊 Setup Overview: Amazon stock (NASDAQ: AMZN) is forming a Double Top Reversal Pattern on the 4H chart, signaling potential weakness after failing twice to break above the major resistance zone near $238–$240.The price has also broken below the ascending trendline with a cloud crossover, confirming bearish momentum building up. NASDAQ:AMZN 📈 Trade Plan: Bias: Bearish below $220 1st Target: $197.91 ✅ 2nd Target: $183.99 🎯 Resistance Zone: $238 – $240 🧩 Technical Confluence: 1.Double Top formation near major resistance zone 2.Trendline break confirming reversal 3.Ichimoku Cloud crossover indicating bearish momentum 4.Volume profile shows selling pressure increasing below $215 📉 Fundamental Amazon (AMZN): Amazon remains one of the most dominant global tech giants, but several near-term factors could impact its price action: ⚡Upcoming Earnings (Late October 2025): 1.Analysts project Q3 FY2025 revenue around $158–160 billion, with EPS expectations near $1.24–$1.30. 2.Focus will be on AWS (Amazon Web Services) performance — which still contributes over 50% of total operating income, but has shown slower growth due to corporate cost-cutting and cloud competition. ⚡Retail & E-commerce Trends: 1.Amazon’s North America segment remains strong but margin pressure continues due to logistics and rising fulfillment costs. 2.The company’s push into AI-driven retail advertising could offset some of that weakness if ad revenue exceeds expectations. ⚡Broader Market Context: 1.With U.S. yields staying elevated, large-cap tech stocks like Amazon may face valuation compression. 2.Institutional rotation toward value and defensive stocks could further weigh on AMZN in the short term. 🎯Overall, fundamentals remain strong for the long-term, but the technical structure suggests a near-term correction before accumulation resumes. #AMZN #AmazonStock #NASDAQ #USStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #DoubleTopPattern #BearishSetup #PriceAction #EarningsWatch #StockMarket #SwingTrading #TradingView #Ichimoku #CloudCrossover #ChartsDontLie #Kabhi_TA_Trading ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Always perform your own due diligence and manage risk appropriately before taking any position. 💬 Support the Analysis: If this chart helped you — LIKE 👍, COMMENT 💬 your thoughts, and FOLLOW ✅ for more daily stock & forex chart breakdowns from Kabhi_TA_Trading!
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
21
AMZN Poised for a Friday Momentum Play: (Oct. 24 Outlook)Will $223 Breakout Trigger a Squeeze Toward $227? 📦 1. Market Structure (1H & 15M) Amazon’s current market structure shows controlled bullish accumulation following a textbook CHoCH-BOS rotation from the $215–$217 demand base. On the 1-hour chart, AMZN reclaimed structure with a decisive Break of Structure (BOS) near $220, confirming higher-timeframe buyers stepping in. Price remains inside a clean ascending channel, indicating continuation as long as the lower trendline (around $217.5) holds. The 15-minute chart further refines this structure: multiple BOS and CHoCH sequences show smart money defending liquidity each time price dips under $218. Recent intraday CHoCHs appear as normal retests within a broader bullish framework — not full reversals yet. Momentum is consolidating right beneath short-term resistance at $223, suggesting the market is coiling for a potential Friday breakout. 2. Supply and Demand / Order Blocks * Demand Zone (High Confluence): $215–$217. This aligns with previous BOS zones and serves as a high-volume reaccumulation pocket. Expect responsive buyers on any intraday flush into this level. * Immediate Support: $218–$219 (fair value gap + EMA confluence). If price holds here overnight, it strengthens the bullish case. * Supply Zone (Key Liquidity Cluster): $223–$226 — heavy liquidity and prior distribution level where sellers could initially react. A break and close above $223.5 could open the door to a squeeze toward $227–$230. 3. Indicator Confluence * 9 EMA / 21 EMA: Both EMAs have maintained bullish alignment on the 15-minute and 1-hour charts. The slope remains positive, indicating strong momentum with short-term pullbacks being bought. * MACD: On the 1-hour, MACD is regaining momentum after a brief reset — histogram turning green again, suggesting the next impulse wave could start soon. The 15-minute MACD shows flattening, meaning a buildup of energy before the next move. * RSI: 1-hour RSI sits near 67, consistent with bullish control but not overextended. The 15M RSI oscillates around 55–60 — a healthy reset zone before a possible expansion move. * Volume: Stable, with stronger inflow during the breakout above $218 and tapering during sideways consolidation — classic continuation behavior. 4. GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Sentiment Friday’s GEX chart reveals $223–$225 as the highest positive gamma zone, marking the near-term resistance ceiling. The HVL (High Volume Level) support sits around $212.5, perfectly aligned with the lower demand range. Below that, the PUT wall at $210 is a key defensive line for bulls, while above, the CALL walls cluster around $223 and $227, suggesting limited overhead resistance once $223 is cleared. With IVR at 37.3 and IVX avg at 44.5 (-4.28%), implied volatility is cooling off, often preceding price expansion. The options flow leans 46% toward calls, confirming growing bullish sentiment without extremes — the ideal conditions for a controlled breakout move. Dealers remain net positive gamma around $220, meaning price action should remain stable until it breaches that $223–$225 zone, where hedging flows could accelerate upside momentum into $227+. 5. Trade Scenarios for Friday, Oct. 24 Bullish Setup 🟩 * Entry Zone: $218–$219 on intraday retest or breakout above $223.3 * Targets: $225 → $227 → $230 * Stop-Loss: Below $217.5 * Confirmation: Hold above 9 EMA on 15M, MACD histogram green, RSI > 60 Bearish Setup 🟥 * Entry Zone: $223–$225 rejection area * Targets: $219 → $216 → $212 * Stop-Loss: Above $226 * Confirmation: MACD crossdown on 15M + CHoCH below $218 with volume 6. Closing Outlook for Oct. 24 (Friday) Friday sets up as a momentum continuation day for AMZN — the structure is bullish, EMAs aligned, and gamma positioning supports a controlled grind higher unless $217 breaks. If buyers defend $218 overnight and premarket dips get absorbed, the stage is set for a break-and-run above $223, potentially triggering dealer hedging and a squeeze into $227+. However, if price fails to reclaim $223 or shows clear rejection with declining volume, expect a controlled drift back toward $215–$217 before buyers attempt again next week. My take: AMZN looks technically strong and primed for follow-through, but $223 remains the gatekeeper. Momentum is building quietly — if the wall breaks, expect quick movement and thin resistance above. 💬 Final Thought:
“AMZN’s structure looks tight and ready. If $223 snaps, watch it glide through $227 fast — if not, $217 reload zone will likely be retested before the next push.” This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by BullBearInsights
1
Amazon’s Hidden Pullback Opportunity – Smart Risk, Smart Entry🎯 AMZN: The "Thief's Playbook" — Stealing Profits Like a Wall Street Ninja 📊 Asset Overview AMAZON.COM INC (NASDAQ: AMZN) — The E-Commerce Titan & Cloud King 👑 Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade — Bullish Pullback Setup Confirmation Tool: ATR (Average True Range) ✅ 🎭 The "Thief Strategy" Explained Listen up, Thief OG's! 🦹‍♂️ This ain't your grandma's single-entry trade. We're using layered limit orders — think of it like setting multiple traps to catch money at different price levels. Professional? Yes. Legal? Absolutely. Stylish? You bet! 😎 🔥 Entry Zones — The Multi-Layer Trap The Thief's Ladder Entry Method: You've got options, trader! Pick your poison: Option 1: Aggressive Single Entry Jump in at current market price (~$220-$225 zone) Option 2: The Layered "Thief" Method 🎯 Set multiple buy limit orders to scale in: Layer 1: $220 Layer 2: $218 Layer 3: $216 Layer 4: $214 Why layer? Because markets don't move in straight lines, baby! This lets you average down if price dips while maintaining a solid risk profile. Add more layers based on your risk appetite! 🍰 🛑 Stop Loss — Protecting Your Loot Thief's Emergency Exit: $210 🚨 ⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (my fellow Thief OG's), I'm NOT telling you to blindly follow my stop loss. This is MY risk management. YOU manage YOUR money. Trade at your own risk — this is entertainment with charts, not financial advice! 🎲 🎯 Target Zone — Where We Cash Out ⚡ High-Voltage Trap Alert — Resistance Wall Ahead! ⚡ Target Price: $235 🎯💵 Why this target? 💡 This zone shows classic signs of: Strong resistance from previous price action 🧱 Overbought conditions brewing (RSI warming up) 📈 Liquidity build-up (big money sitting here) 💰 Potential "bull trap" zone → smart money escapes here! 🪤 My advice? When price hits $235, secure your profits! Don't get greedy. ⚠️ ANOTHER DISCLAIMER: Dear Thief OG's, this is MY target based on MY analysis. You do YOU. Take profits when YOU feel comfortable. Your money, your rules, your risk! 💪 🔗 Related Assets to Watch Keep an eye on these correlated movers — they can give you early signals for AMZN's direction: 📦 E-Commerce & Tech Giants: NASDAQ:TSLA (Tesla) — Tech sentiment leader; when tech rallies, AMZN often follows 🚗⚡ NASDAQ:MSFT (Microsoft) — Cloud competitor (Azure vs AWS); inverse correlation sometimes kicks in ☁️ NASDAQ:GOOGL (Alphabet) — Ad spending indicator; strong Google ads = strong consumer spending = bullish for AMZN 🔍 NYSE:WMT (Walmart) — Retail competitor; if WMT struggles, AMZN often benefits 🛒 📊 Market Indices: NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq 100 ETF) — AMZN is heavily weighted here; QQQ direction = AMZN direction 📉📈 AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF) — Overall market health check; risk-on = AMZN rallies 🇺🇸 💵 Market Sentiment Indicators: TVC:VIX (Volatility Index) — Low VIX = calm markets = bullish for growth stocks like AMZN 😌 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) — Weak dollar = bullish for mega-cap tech stocks 💵📉 The Correlation Play: If you see NASDAQ:QQQ breaking higher + TVC:VIX dropping + tech stocks rallying → high probability AMZN follows the party! 🎉 🧠 Key Technical Points ✅ ATR Confirmation: Volatility is in the "sweet spot" — not too choppy, not too sleepy ✅ Pullback Structure: Classic bullish retracement setting up ✅ Risk-Reward: Solid 2:1+ ratio with layered entries ✅ Volume Profile: Watching for confirmation on breakout ⚠️ Legal Disclaimer — Read This Twice! 📢 THIS IS THE "THIEF STYLE" TRADING STRATEGY — JUST FOR FUN & EDUCATIONAL ENTERTAINMENT! 🎭 I am NOT a financial advisor. This is NOT financial advice. This is a trading idea based on technical analysis, shared for educational and entertainment purposes only. ❌ Do NOT risk money you can't afford to lose ❌ Do NOT trade based solely on this idea ❌ Do your own research (DYOR) ❌ Past performance ≠ future results ✅ Trade responsibly and manage your risk You are 100% responsible for your own trading decisions. I'm just a chart nerd sharing ideas with the community! 🤓📊 💬 Final Thoughts from Your Friendly Neighborhood Chart Thief Markets are a game of patience, discipline, and calculated risks. The "Thief Strategy" is about being strategic, not reckless. Set your traps, manage your risk, and let the market come to you! 🕸️💰 Stay sharp, stay profitable, and remember: the best trades are the ones you plan, not the ones you chase! 🏃‍♂️💨 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #AMZN #Amazon #StockMarket #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #LayeredEntry #ThiefStrategy #TradingIdeas #ATR #ResistanceZone #TakeProfit #RiskManagement #NASDAQ #TechStocks #PullbackTrading #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance #TradeSmart Trade safe, trade smart, and let's get this bread! 🍞💸
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by The-Thief
2
Tech Earnings Preview: What, Who, When and How Much Money Again?“ I don’t know, probably at least around $600 gazillion dollars ,” Zuck, probably if you asked him how much Meta NASDAQ:META will spend over the fiscal year. It’s earnings season , which means Wall Street’s most expensive hobby — guessing how much the tech giants will make while pretending it’s about “long-term fundamentals” — is back in full swing. 💥 Welcome to Earnings Season Happy third-quarter earnings, everyone. The candles are lit, the spreadsheets are out, and $1.6 trillion vanished from US stock valuations last Friday. Perfect timing. Markets are reeling from tariff shocks and macro jitters, but traders have already shifted their gaze to the next big thing: Big Tech . As is tradition, the Magnificent Seven — those trillion-dollar titans who make up roughly one-third of the S&P 500’s SP:SPX weight — are once again the main characters in this quarterly drama. You’ve got AI. You’ve got spending. And you’ve got spending on AI. 🔔 Here We Go Again This quarter, the storyline hasn’t changed much — it’s still “show me the money” season for artificial intelligence. Investors have spent the better part of two years rewarding CEOs for throwing the AI acronym in all their earnings calls. Is this time different? • Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN reports the week of October 21, with everyone eyeing AWS — the quiet moneymaker funding Jeff Bezos’ rocket ambitions and your Prime Day discounts. • Apple NASDAQ:AAPL , Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , and Meta NASDAQ:META follow around October 29. Investors will be laser-focused on who’s turning AI hype into product and revenue. • And let’s not forget Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL , which already set the tone with a capex number that could fund a small country — $85 billion in 2025 alone , largely for AI infrastructure. The question now: how much longer can these companies throw billions at Jensen Huang GPUs before shareholders start asking for a receipt? 🏗️ The AI Arms Race: Spending as a Strategy The Magnificent Seven are still in an all-out hardware and data-center build-out. Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg is burning through cash to create the metaverse (yes, that still exists), but this time, powered by AI. Nearly every megacap tech firm is building power plants to feed OpenAI. And Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA — the company selling shovels in the AI gold rush — is counting every dollar. Together, these firms are expected to spend hundreds of billions in the second half of 2025 just on computing power. Investors will be parsing every line of guidance for capex updates — because right now, spending is the strategy. But the logic is sound (for now): If AI really does drive the next wave of productivity and profit, then whoever builds the infrastructure owns the future. 📊 The Numbers Game: What Wall Street Expects Across the S&P 500 SP:SPX , earnings are projected to grow 8.8% year-over-year this quarter, on revenue growth of 6.4%, according to Seaport Research Partners. That may sound modest, but it’s for a reason: two-thirds of companies usually beat estimates. Keep them achievable, and markets will celebrate. Pin them too high, and markets will be disappointed. What’s more, earnings aren’t expected to stall anytime soon. FactSet data shows analysts projecting: • 6.4% average annual sales growth for the S&P 500 through 2027 • 14% average annual earnings growth over the same period That’s what rate cuts are supposed to do — a little liquidity trick, some risk-on mood, and suddenly even industrials and Buffett’s picks start looking interesting again. Still, there’s one elephant in the room: valuation. The S&P 500 trades at 23 times forward earnings, which is, to use the technical term, “a lot.” At that level, even a small earnings miss could send stocks tumbling. 🧮 Winners, Losers, and the Market’s Short Memory Some IPOs may have stolen headlines this year — looking at you, Figma NYSE:FIG and Circle NYSE:CRCL — but earnings season is where the real judgment happens. A good report can add hundreds of billions in market cap overnight. But a bad one can do the same in the opposite direction . Meta is under pressure to prove its huge spending on Superintelligence Labs is actually worth it. Apple’s got to show iPhone sales didn’t flatline in China. And Microsoft? Well, all it has to do is keep being Microsoft. Amazon remains the dark horse. Its cloud business is stabilizing, retail’s humming along, and AI integration is just starting to take off. Traders are betting AWS will deliver, as it usually does. 🧘‍♂️ What Traders Should Watch To navigate this volatility buffet, focus on: • Forward guidance — Companies might beat earnings but guide lower, which can trigger pullbacks. • Capex updates — Follow where the AI billions are flowing. • Market reactions, not just results — The “sell the news” trade is real. Sometimes the earnings game isn’t just about who made money — it’s about who surprised the market. 💡 Final Thought: Hype or Habit? Big Tech’s gravitational pull on the markets isn’t fading anytime soon. Whether you’re bullish on AI or skeptical of its trillion-dollar promises, one thing’s certain — every move these companies make will ripple through every portfolio, index, and ETF on the planet. As Q3 earnings hit full throttle, keep one eye on the charts and the other on the headlines . Because if there’s one thing Wall Street loves more than good earnings, it’s the story that comes after. Off to you : How are you preparing to navigate the earnings season and the tech updates? Share your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:AMZN
by TradingView
9
Amazon.com Limps Toward EarningsAmazon.com fell on its last earnings report and has continued to struggle as more numbers approach. The first pattern on today’s chart is the bearish gap on August 1 after weak profit guidance overshadowed strong backward-looking numbers. The ecommerce giant rebounded from the decline but couldn’t hold the gains, which may reflect weakening fundamentals. Second, AMZN had a weekly close of $228.15 on September 12. It peaked at the same level on October 9 and 10. Has old support become new resistance? The shares also stalled near their 50-day simple moving average (SMA), a potential sign of intermediate-term weakening. Third is the August 4 close of $211.65. Closing below that line may be viewed as the start of a breakdown. AMZN also closed under its 200-day SMA for the first time since May 9. Fourth, last week featured a potentially bearish descending triangle. You also have MACD falling and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) below the 21-day EMA. All of those signals may be viewed bearishly in the short term. Finally, AMZN is an active underlier in the options market. That could help traders take positions with calls and puts. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by TradeStation
Amazon Wave Analysis – 20 October 2025 - Amazon reversed from support level 210.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 220.00 Amazon recently reversed from the support area between the key support level 210.00 (which has been reversing the price from June), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from April The upward reversal from this support zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Hammer. Given the strength of the support level 210.00 and the oversold daily Stochastic, Amazon can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 220.00 (former strong support from September).
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by FxProGlobal
Amazon (AMZN): Pullback Pause or Start of a Deeper Correction?Hello everyone, Amazon’s stock has drawn attention after sliding from the 220 USD peak to below 216 USD. Looking at the broader picture, this move reflects not only a technical correction but also investors’ growing caution amid mixed U.S. economic signals and uncertainty around the tech sector’s outlook. From a fundamental standpoint, the backdrop isn’t entirely favorable for tech giants. Although Amazon remains dominant in e-commerce and cloud computing, growth expectations are cooling due to rising competition and higher advertising costs. Lower-than-expected margins triggered early profit-taking, especially as Treasury yields climb and U.S. growth shows signs of slowing. With capital flows turning defensive, FAANG stocks — including AMZN — are among the first to face selling pressure. Additionally, softer consumer demand in emerging markets and ongoing supply chain disruptions have raised concerns that Amazon’s expansion momentum could temporarily stall. On the H4 chart, the bearish structure is clear. AMZN has dropped from the 218–220 USD zone toward 215 USD, staying below the Ichimoku cloud — a signal that sellers still dominate. The 215.0 area now acts as short-term support, while 210.0 is a stronger defensive zone if selling persists. On the upside, 220.0–222.0 remains a heavy resistance area filled with thick FVG clusters, where sellers could reappear if the price rebounds. Looking ahead, I expect AMZN may dip slightly to retest 215.0–214.5 before attempting a recovery. If buying interest emerges from this zone, a rebound toward 220.0–222.0 is possible — a key region to confirm a short-term reversal. However, a decisive break below 214.5 could extend the decline toward 210.0, where long-term buyers may find value again. Despite near-term pressure, Amazon’s strong fundamentals remain intact, and such corrections often provide opportunities for institutional accumulation at lower levels. What do you think — is this just a healthy pullback, or the start of a deeper correction for Amazon?
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by EmmaChartist
13
Amazon and AWS: The Outage That Paralyzed Half the WorldBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades From the early hours of Monday, October 20, 2025, Amazon Web Services (AWS) —Amazon’s cloud computing division— suffered a global outage that disrupted thousands of companies and users worldwide. The disruption, originating in AWS’s Northern Virginia (U.S.) data centers, took down websites, applications, payment systems, and everyday platforms. The failure, described by several experts as one of the company’s most serious in recent years, triggered a chain reaction that temporarily paralyzed much of the digital economy. Among the affected platforms were Canva, Asana, Perplexity AI, McDonald’s, Roblox, and Crunchyroll, as well as numerous financial and communication services. One of the most visible effects occurred in payment systems: many card readers stopped working, preventing electronic payments, while ATMs and services such as Bizum also went offline, making it impossible to withdraw cash or send instant transfers. For several hours, many businesses were forced to accept only cash or close their points of sale. AWS acknowledged the incident through its official service status page, confirming “network operation issues in the Northern Virginia region.” Technical teams worked urgently to restore connectivity, and although services gradually returned to normal throughout the day, the event highlighted the global dependence on Amazon’s digital infrastructure. With over 30% of the global cloud services market, AWS underpins a large portion of internet operations, from streaming and gaming platforms to payment systems, banks, and public administrations. Its outage reignites the debate on technological centralization and the need for greater diversification among cloud providers. Technical Analysis – Amazon (Ticker AT: AMZN) Amazon shares (NASDAQ: AMZN) fell 2.3% following AWS’s technical issues, though they managed to recover part of the losses, closing the session around $216.48. Despite the reputational setback, the financial impact is expected to be short-lived and does not alter the company’s positive long-term trend, driven by sustained growth in its e-commerce, advertising, and web services divisions. Since Friday, October 10, the stock had corrected below the $217.96 support level after the 50-day moving average crossed below the 100-day, amplifying downside pressure. However, Monday’s move showed a technical rebound at the 200-day moving average, suggesting potential short-term support. At present, the price appears to be forming a technical floor above the $211.03 lows. The Point of Control (POC) stands at $222.08, a key level to break in order to confirm a sustained rebound. Should this threshold be surpassed, the next target lies at $232, followed by $238.35, whose breakout could lead to a new bullish impulse. Conversely, a loss of support could drive the stock to retest the $202 area, signaling a possible trend reversal. The RSI, around 43.49%, indicates slight oversold conditions, while the MACD shows signs of lateral movement, consistent with the “Risk Off” sentiment prevailing in recent sessions, as reflected by the ActivTrades US Market Pulse indicator. Clouds on the Horizon The incident leaves one clear conclusion: in an increasingly digitalized world, a cloud failure can turn into a global storm. AWS has pledged to strengthen its redundancy and security protocols, but the October 20 outage will remain a reminder that even tech giants are not immune to vulnerability. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by ActivTrades
AMZN | Long Setup | AWS/Ads Margin Mix | Oct 20, 2025AMZN | Long Setup | Q4 Seasonality + AWS/Ads Margin Mix | Oct 20, 2025 🔹 Thesis Summary Amazon underperformed YTD but enters its strongest seasonal window into Q4 with margin mix improving (AWS + Ads). With earnings on Oct 30 and analyst targets clustered above spot, a defined-risk long seeks a channel continuation toward 292–317, stretching to 417 on multi-quarter follow-through. 🔹 Trade Setup Bias: Long Entry Zone: 209–216 (prior breakout retest + HVN) Stop Loss: 142 (below summer higher-low and volume shelf) Take-Profits: • TP1: ~241 • TP2: ~267 • TP3: ~290 • Max Target: 317.1 (extension 417.3 on multi-quarter trend) R:R (from 213 mid-entry): to TP1 ≈1.4:1, TP2 ≈2.2:1, TP3 ≈3.8:1, Max ≈5.0:1 (417 ≈9.7:1) 🔹 Narrative & Context Price respects a 2023–2025 rising channel; recent pullback held the channel midline and a dense volume node near 210–212. Multi-tap resistance at 241–246 is the first decision area; clearing it opens 260–292 (measured move from the summer base). Seasonality favors strength into Nov–Dec, and earnings (Oct 30; EPS est 1.57 on $177.8B rev) can catalyze a range expansion. Street positioning remains constructive: 1-yr price-target avg ~265, range 230–306, with a dominant Strong Buy skew and a visible EPS beat cadence on recent quarters. Operational quality remains intact (Gross margin ~49.6%, Op margin ~11.5%, Profit margin ~10.5%). Balance sheet leverage is restrained (LT Debt/Equity ~0.40). Valuation & Context (Pro Metrics, Framed Simply) Forward P/E ≈ 28.3x vs large-cap megatech peers mid-20s → modest premium → market pricing AWS/Ads mix resilience → premium is acceptable if EPS growth tracks mid-teens. P/FCF (screen) elevated vs Alphabet/Microsoft → investors paying up for reinvestment runway → acceptable if AI capex converts to durable cash yields; watch 2026 FCF inflection. ROIC ≈ 15% vs peers: GOOGL ~29%, MSFT ~23% → solid but not best-in-class → upside if Ads/AWS mix lifts returns. EPS growth next 5y ~19% → above retail/consumer staples → supports multiple stability through the cycle. Debt/Equity ~0.46 → conservative leverage → reduces drawdown risk around macro or regulatory shocks. 🔹 Contrarian Angle (Your Edge) Consensus clusters $230–$306 with focus on AWS deceleration. Price structure shows accumulation above 209–212 and an intact up-channel. With Q4 seasonality, improving operating leverage, and continuing Ads share gains, we see a path to 292–317 in 1–3 quarters and 417 on a multi-quarter trend extension if margins expand 100–150 bps from mix. 🔹 Risks (Balanced) AWS growth undershoots or margin compression from AI capex. Regulatory/antitrust actions affecting retail or Ads. Consumer softness or post-earnings gap below 200 invalidating the base. 🔹 Macro Considerations Track NDX breadth and real yields; higher real rates could cap the multiple. USD strength pressures international; weakness helps. Event risk: Oct 30 earnings, CPI/PCE prints, and large-cap tech earnings read-through; watch cloud commentary from MSFT/GOOGL for competitive signals. 🔹 Bottom Line AMZN screens slightly expensive on headline multiples, but the mix (AWS/Ads) and Q4 seasonality justify a defined-risk long. Above 246, momentum opens 260–292; sustained strength targets 317, with 417 as an extended objective if margins and FCF inflect through 2026. 🔹 Forward Path If this post gets 10+ likes, I’ll publish a follow-up on the weekly structure, update earnings levels (gap/hold/fail), and adjust targets based on post-print volume profile. Like & Follow for structured ideas, not signals. I post high-conviction setups here before broader narratives play out. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. Charts and visuals may include AI enhancements. 🔹 Footnote Forward P/E: Price divided by expected earnings over the next 12 months. Lower = cheaper relative to profits. P/FCF (Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow): Price vs. the cash left after investments. A measure of efficiency. FCF Yield: Free cash flow per share ÷ price per share. Higher = more cash returned for each dollar invested. ROE (Return on Equity): Net income ÷ shareholder equity. Shows management efficiency with investor capital. ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): Net income ÷ all invested capital (equity + debt). A purer profitability gauge. Debt/Equity: Debt divided by equity. <1 usually means balance sheet is conservative. R:R (Risk-to-Reward): Ratio of expected upside vs. downside. 3:1 = you risk $1 to make $3.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
Amazon at the Edge – Bounce or Breakdown?On the daily chart of Amazon (AMZN), the price is sitting right on its long-term uptrend line — a trendline that has supported the stock multiple times since early 2023. The current price hovers around $220, with the 50-day SMA near $225, acting as short-term resistance. In the short term, a confirmed move above $225 could trigger a rebound toward $235 and $248. A logical stop loss for this bullish scenario is below $210, where the short-term structure would weaken. In the longer-term view, as long as the price stays above the uptrend line (around $205–$208), the broader trend remains bullish with targets at $255 and $270. However, a confirmed breakdown below $200 would invalidate the uptrend and could lead to a deeper correction toward $185. Overall, Amazon is at a critical decision zone — the next few sessions will reveal whether it bounces back into strength or breaks its multi-year trendline support.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by isahebdadi
Global Trade Future in an AI-Driven EconomyIntroduction Global trade has always been a cornerstone of economic development, enabling countries to exchange goods, services, and technologies to promote mutual growth. Over centuries, innovations such as the steam engine, telecommunication, and the internet have reshaped how nations trade. Now, as the world enters the era of Artificial Intelligence (AI), we stand at the threshold of another massive transformation — one that promises to redefine the very nature of global commerce, logistics, and economic competitiveness. AI is no longer just a futuristic concept; it has become an integral component of trade strategy, supply chain management, and decision-making processes. From predictive analytics that forecast market demand to intelligent automation that optimizes logistics and customs operations, AI is revolutionizing global trade in unprecedented ways. The integration of AI into international trade will not only boost efficiency and transparency but also shift the balance of economic power among nations. 1. The Role of AI in Reshaping Global Trade Dynamics AI is reshaping the foundation of global trade through its ability to analyze massive datasets, identify patterns, and make autonomous decisions. Traditional trade systems relied heavily on human judgment, which often led to inefficiencies and delays. With AI, businesses and governments can make real-time data-driven decisions, improving the flow of goods and reducing costs. For instance, AI-powered trade analytics help governments and corporations identify emerging market opportunities, detect trade anomalies, and optimize export-import operations. Machine learning algorithms can also predict trade trends by analyzing economic indicators, consumer behavior, and geopolitical developments. These insights empower businesses to act quickly and strategically, strengthening their global position. Moreover, AI can support policymakers in negotiating trade agreements by simulating various economic scenarios and predicting the impact of tariffs, quotas, or sanctions. This capability enables better-informed decisions that promote fair trade and stability in the global market. 2. AI-Driven Supply Chain Transformation The backbone of global trade lies in efficient supply chain networks. However, these networks are often complex, involving multiple countries, regulations, and logistical challenges. AI is transforming this landscape by introducing predictive intelligence, automation, and real-time optimization. a. Predictive Logistics and Demand Forecasting: AI-driven systems analyze consumer demand patterns, weather data, transportation routes, and geopolitical risks to forecast supply needs accurately. Companies can anticipate demand fluctuations and adjust production schedules and shipping plans accordingly, reducing waste and costs. b. Smart Warehousing and Automation: AI-powered robots and automated systems are now handling warehouse operations — from sorting packages to managing inventory. This not only accelerates delivery times but also reduces errors in logistics management. Companies like Amazon and Alibaba are leading this revolution with AI-driven fulfillment centers. c. Route Optimization and Risk Management: AI algorithms can evaluate trade routes and suggest the most cost-effective and least risky paths for shipments. By integrating satellite data, customs regulations, and weather forecasts, AI ensures smoother transportation of goods across borders. d. Sustainability and Carbon Tracking: AI tools are helping companies monitor carbon emissions in their supply chains, promoting greener logistics. This aligns with the global shift toward sustainable trade practices, as nations increasingly link environmental responsibility with trade policy. 3. AI in International Trade Finance and Payments Global trade transactions depend heavily on financial systems that facilitate payments, credit, and risk management. AI is now transforming international trade finance by improving transparency, reducing fraud, and enhancing financial inclusion. a. Automated Credit Assessment: Machine learning algorithms analyze financial data, transaction history, and market conditions to evaluate the creditworthiness of buyers and sellers. This reduces the dependency on traditional banking systems and enables small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to access financing easily. b. Fraud Detection and Cybersecurity: AI plays a critical role in identifying fraudulent trade transactions. By examining transaction patterns and anomalies in real time, AI systems can flag potential scams before they occur. This strengthens the integrity of international trade finance systems. c. Blockchain and AI Integration: When combined with blockchain, AI can enhance transparency in trade finance by verifying document authenticity and automating smart contracts. This fusion minimizes human intervention, speeds up payment processing, and reduces disputes between trading partners. 4. AI-Powered Trade Policy and Economic Forecasting Governments and international organizations rely on accurate data to formulate trade policies and economic strategies. AI has become a vital tool in this domain, offering unparalleled predictive capabilities. AI systems analyze global market trends, price fluctuations, and geopolitical risks to forecast trade outcomes. For example, AI can simulate the potential impact of new tariffs or sanctions on a country's exports and imports. This empowers policymakers to craft adaptive trade policies that safeguard national interests while maintaining global competitiveness. Furthermore, AI-driven economic models assist in predicting the impact of global crises — such as pandemics or conflicts — on international trade. By modeling potential disruptions, governments can take preventive measures to stabilize their economies. 5. The Rise of Smart Ports and Digital Customs The logistics and customs sectors are crucial in facilitating international trade. AI is revolutionizing these areas through automation, digitalization, and intelligent monitoring systems. a. Smart Ports: Ports around the world are adopting AI-based systems to manage cargo flow, schedule docking, and inspect containers. For example, the Port of Rotterdam uses AI to predict vessel arrival times and optimize terminal operations, reducing congestion and improving efficiency. b. Digital Customs Clearance: AI-enabled customs systems can automatically verify trade documents, inspect goods through image recognition, and detect compliance issues. This minimizes delays, reduces corruption, and enhances trade transparency. c. Predictive Border Management: By analyzing real-time trade data, AI helps governments identify illegal shipments, potential smuggling activities, and compliance violations. This ensures national security while keeping legitimate trade unhindered. 6. Global Competitiveness in the AI-Driven Economy The integration of AI into global trade will inevitably reshape global economic hierarchies. Countries that invest heavily in AI infrastructure, research, and data capabilities will gain a competitive edge. a. Developed Nations Leading the Way: Countries like the United States, China, Japan, and members of the European Union are spearheading AI-driven trade innovations. They are deploying AI in logistics, customs, and production to enhance export efficiency and competitiveness. b. Opportunities for Emerging Economies: Developing nations, too, can leverage AI to boost trade performance. By adopting AI-based manufacturing and logistics technologies, they can integrate more deeply into global supply chains. For example, AI can help African and South Asian nations optimize agricultural exports through predictive crop analytics and logistics automation. c. AI as a Strategic Trade Asset: In the future, AI will itself become a tradable commodity — in the form of algorithms, data platforms, and machine learning models. Nations that dominate AI technology will have significant leverage in international negotiations, similar to how oil-rich nations influenced trade in the 20th century. 7. Challenges in an AI-Driven Trade Environment While AI offers enormous benefits, it also brings several challenges that global stakeholders must address to ensure inclusive and fair trade growth. a. Data Privacy and Security: Trade operations rely on massive datasets shared across borders. Ensuring data security and compliance with international privacy laws remains a major challenge. b. Technological Inequality: Not all countries possess the infrastructure or expertise to adopt AI at the same pace. This digital divide could widen the gap between developed and developing economies. c. Job Displacement: Automation in logistics, manufacturing, and finance could lead to significant job losses, particularly in developing economies dependent on manual labor. Governments must focus on upskilling and reskilling programs to manage this transition. d. Ethical and Regulatory Issues: AI systems can sometimes make biased or opaque decisions. Transparent and standardized AI governance frameworks are needed to maintain fairness in international trade. e. Dependence on Digital Infrastructure: AI-driven trade depends heavily on stable digital networks and data access. Cyberattacks or digital infrastructure failures could disrupt global trade operations. 8. Future Outlook: AI and the Next Generation of Global Trade The future of global trade in an AI-driven economy is promising yet complex. By 2035, AI could contribute an estimated $15 trillion to the global economy, with a substantial portion coming from enhanced trade efficiency and innovation. The integration of AI into trade processes will create a more connected, transparent, and resilient global economy. a. Hyper-Personalized Trade Ecosystems: AI will enable customized trade experiences, where buyers and sellers connect through predictive matchmaking based on demand and supply algorithms. b. Autonomous Trade Systems: In the future, AI-driven autonomous ships, trucks, and drones will handle transportation, while blockchain-based smart contracts will execute transactions automatically, minimizing human intervention. c. Data-Driven Trade Governance: Trade organizations like the World Trade Organization (WTO) and regional trade blocs will increasingly rely on AI for policy modeling, compliance monitoring, and dispute resolution. d. AI-Powered Digital Trade Platforms: Digital marketplaces powered by AI will facilitate cross-border trade for SMEs, providing global reach without the complexities of traditional export systems. Conclusion The rise of Artificial Intelligence marks the beginning of a new era for global trade. As AI continues to permeate every aspect of economic activity — from production and logistics to finance and governance — it is redefining how nations interact and compete. The fusion of data, automation, and intelligence is creating a more agile, transparent, and inclusive global trading system. However, this transformation demands responsible governance, international cooperation, and equitable access to technology. Nations must work together to create standardized AI regulations, invest in digital infrastructure, and ensure that the benefits of AI-driven trade are shared globally. Ultimately, the future of global trade in an AI-driven economy will depend on how humanity harnesses this technology — not just for profit, but for sustainable, fair, and inclusive global prosperity.
NASDAQ:AMZNEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Amazon (AMZN) – Testing the Breaking Point! Will Buyers Step In or Is a Bigger Drop Coming? 🧭 Weekly Chart – Macro Market Structure Amazon’s weekly chart reveals a consolidation at the top of a long-term ascending channel, with clear exhaustion signs showing after months of strong accumulation. The structure printed a CHoCH (Change of Character) below the $242 resistance zone, signaling that sellers are regaining control short-term. Price is now hovering around $197–$216, right above the key structural support that has held since mid-2024. The BOS (Break of Structure) at $197.9 last quarter remains unchallenged, so buyers still have a chance to defend this level. However, the weekly MACD is flattening after a bearish crossover, and Stoch RSI at 76.9 shows the overbought cooling phase isn’t done yet. * If $216 fails, expect a deeper retracement to $197 or even $182–$185, aligning with the lower trendline of the macro channel. * If $220 reclaims, we could see a rebound toward $238–$242, the major supply zone where previous liquidity was swept. Weekly Summary: Structure still bullish long-term, but short-term correction risk remains high. Bulls must defend $197–$211 zone to prevent a deeper downtrend shift. ⚙️ Daily Chart – Mid-Term Battle Zone The daily chart paints a more tactical story: AMZN has just confirmed another BOS down while bouncing along the ascending trendline from April. A repeated liquidity grab near $211–$212 has kept price inside this structure. The 9 EMA has crossed below the 21 EMA, confirming short-term bearish momentum. But the MACD is beginning to flatten, hinting that sellers may be losing steam. * Bullish Scenario: If AMZN reclaims $218–$220, it opens room for recovery toward $226, then $232 (previous fair value gap and GEX wall zone). * Bearish Scenario: A daily close below $211.50 would invalidate the local support, triggering continuation toward $197.50 and eventually $182 if the momentum snowballs. Daily Bias: Neutral-to-bearish until buyers reclaim $220. Still range-bound, but the risk/reward favors patience until structure confirmation. ⏱ 1-Hour Chart – Short-Term Trading Plan The 1-hour chart shows multiple CHoCH and BOS rotations, forming a clear descending range between $210–$228. The structure is still bearish overall, but the most recent BOS up with bullish divergence on MACD and Stoch RSI indicates potential for a short-term bounce. Volume profile shows absorption below $212 — that’s where smart money likely reloaded positions. * Trading Plan: * Bullish setup: Above $217.5, target $222.5 → $228, stop below $214.5. * Bearish setup: Below $211.5, short toward $205, stop above $215. If $217.5 breaks with volume, intraday momentum can accelerate fast toward $222 where heavy GEX call wall aligns. Short-Term Bias: Accumulation phase in progress. Expect choppy rebounds until one side breaks structure decisively. 💥 Options GEX & Institutional Positioning From the Options GEX snapshot: * Highest positive GEX (Call Wall): $222 → Key resistance / potential short-term magnet if breakout happens. * 2nd Call Wall: $227.5 → strong gamma resistance, aligns with upside fade zone. * Major PUT Support: $210 (–56.9% GEX) → strong liquidity and protection level. * IVR 46.4 / IVx 44.4 → elevated volatility, great for traders who prefer spreads over straight directional bets. Gamma Flow Interpretation: Market makers are heavily neutralized between $215–$220. Above $220, delta hedging could force a rapid squeeze. Below $211, negative gamma expands volatility and drives deeper flushes. 🎯 Option Strategy Suggestions 1️⃣ Bullish Play: * Buy $220C / Sell $230C (Oct 25 expiry) → captures breakout to $230, limited risk and defined reward. * For fast momentum: Buy 0DTE/2DTE $217.5 Calls once $218 breaks with strong volume. 2️⃣ Bearish Hedge: * If $211 breaks, Buy $210P / Sell $200P (Oct 18 expiry) — clean structure for downside continuation. 3️⃣ Neutral Income Play: * Expecting consolidation? Sell Iron Condor: $230C/$235C + $205P/$200P — capitalize on theta decay while AMZN stays trapped. 💬 Final Thoughts AMZN is at a critical inflection point — it’s neither fully broken down nor ready to rally yet. This $211–$218 pocket is the battlefield. Bulls reclaiming $220 flips the narrative back to bullish continuation. Bears breaking $211 unlocks a path to $197. My TA continues to show high win-rate precision, and traders can verify from past history that levels often react exactly as mapped.
If you want me to break down any stock that I don’t regularly post, DM me — I’ll be happy to TA it for you. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by BullBearInsights
$AMZN💼 NASDAQ:AMZN Trading Review I believe NASDAQ:AMZN is still a strong company. They control a significant share across multiple markets, from e‑commerce and cloud computing to logistics and advertising. Looking at our charts, the RSI indicates that sellers aren’t willing to push below $220 many seem to prefer holding and selling at higher levels. Right now, it’s a patience game. If you allocate capital here, emotions need to be left out this is a stock to sit on and let grow until Amazon decides to “turn the pipe on” with catalysts like Prime promotions, cloud growth, or AI expansion. Key takeaway: Strong fundamentals + disciplined chart behavior = a hold for the patient investor.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by TheMoney_Association
AMZN longAmazon is my most prominent position now with 800 shares. I have been accumulating heavily down here, as I expect a Google-like move from this mega-cap. The market has largely overlooked the fact that they have outpaced Google and Meta in ad growth, despite facing strong robotic and AI headwinds. Even a 1% increase in margins increases their earnings by about $ 7 billion. Looking at the chart, we are positioned above a recent demand zone, with a Bezos sell wall at the supply. We recently flashed blue on volatility, indicating tremendous upside potential, and momentum has reset. I look for momentum to retest the teal line.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by Apollo_21mil