Tesla (TSLA) — Momentum Reload or Major Cooldown?The Next $400–$450 Decision Zone!
🧭 Weekly Chart — Big Picture Momentum
Tesla has printed one of the cleanest BOS (Break of Structure) patterns on the weekly timeframe since the post-2023 recovery, confirming that the macro downtrend has flipped into a sustained bullish expansion. The stock ripped from its $216 CHoCH base and is now consolidating above the prior macro breakout line near $425.
However, the latest weekly candle shows stalling momentum, forming a short-term distribution near the $430–$440 region. That zone lines up perfectly with the previous supply structure and fib confluence from 2022 highs.
The MACD histogram remains strongly positive but is beginning to flatten — early warning that buying pressure might be easing. Stoch RSI is also hovering near overbought at 85+, signaling the need for a short-term reset before the next leg.
* Bullish scenario: A weekly close above $436–$440 would confirm strength continuation toward $488–$500, the next liquidity zone.
* Bearish scenario: A close below $410 opens the door for a healthy pullback to $367–$376, a major equilibrium level with demand imbalance and previous BOS base.
Weekly takeaway: Trend remains bullish, but short-term overextension hints at a pause or mild retracement before another drive up.
⚙️ Daily Chart — Structure and Cooling Phase
The daily chart confirms Tesla’s minor pullback within the larger bullish wave. After breaking above $400 with strong momentum, price is now consolidating just above its breakout order block ($415–$420).
The BOS on daily shows continuation potential, but MACD has started printing red bars — suggesting that momentum is fading and a retest is underway. The Stoch RSI sitting high around 93 indicates the correction may continue until momentum rebalances.
* Bullish case: If TSLA can hold $416 and print a higher low, the next upside targets are $442 → $455, then $488 (supply zone).
* Bearish case: A daily close below $414 would invalidate near-term bullish control, triggering a slide toward $400–$397, a major demand block that aligns with GEX PUT support.
Daily summary: Still in bullish structure, but short-term retracement needed for healthy continuation. Watch for $415 hold as pivot.
⏱ 1-Hour Chart — Trading Plan
On the 1-hour chart, TSLA is forming a short-term consolidation wedge between $420 and $436 after multiple CHoCH and BOS flips. The stock is bouncing between mid-range liquidity pockets, showing clear indecision from both sides.
MACD is recovering from a previous bearish cycle, while Stoch RSI has crossed up from mid-levels — showing early signs of a micro-bounce in progress.
Volume confirms that buyers are active at $424–$425 zone, but strong resistance remains near $436–$440.
Trading Plan:
* Bullish setup: Enter above $436 breakout with target $445 → $455, stop at $425.
* Bearish setup: Short if $420 fails with downside target $405 → $400, stop at $430.
This structure allows swing-to-scalp flexibility — traders can lean bullish above $425 but must stay cautious until price reclaims $436 decisively.
💥 Options GEX & Institutional Positioning
Based on the Options GEX chart:
* Highest Call Wall: $450 — heavy resistance and likely magnet if bulls push higher.
* Next positive GEX zone: $445, where gamma flips positive and market makers chase delta hedges upward.
* Major PUT Wall: $400 — strong defense area, aligning perfectly with chart structure and demand.
* IVR 25.7 / IVx 67.7 → volatility premium moderate, favoring directional plays with limited spreads.
Gamma interpretation: As long as price holds between $425–$440, market makers maintain positive gamma, keeping price pinned and range-bound. A clean breakout above $440 could trigger a gamma squeeze toward $455–$460.
🎯 Option Strategy Ideas
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Play:
* Buy $430C / Sell $450C (Oct 25 expiry) — risk ~$6 for a potential $14 reward if Tesla rallies to $450+.
* Aggressive intraday: Buy 0DTE/2DTE $430 Calls only if price reclaims $436 with volume.
2️⃣ Bearish Hedge:
* Buy $420P / Sell $400P (Oct 18 expiry) — ideal if $420 support fails and correction deepens.
3️⃣ Neutral Income Strategy:
* Expecting chop between $420–$440? Sell Iron Condor ($440C/$450C and $410P/$400P) to profit from time decay.
💬 Final Thoughts
Tesla remains one of the strongest setups in the market — the bullish macro trend is intact, but current levels are stretched. Expect sideways or minor correction before another breakout attempt. The $415–$425 area is the key battleground: lose it, and we test $400; reclaim $436+, and the rocket’s back on for $455–$480.
My TA continues to show high win-rate accuracy, and if you’ve followed previous analyses, you’ve seen how precise these levels play out.
If there’s any stock you want me to analyze next — even ones I don’t usually post — DM me and I’ll be happy to break it down for you.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Trade ideas
Account Blow Up 10/17/2025💥 Trading Is a Game of Survival
NASDAQ:TSLA blew up my account — I’ll be completely honest about that.
It hurts, but it also teaches. Every great trader has been here once.
I fund my account every two months, which means I won’t be trading until next month. That’s fine — I’m using this reset to rebuild cash flow and strengthen my system.
I promise to come back stronger, with cash in hand, discipline sharpened, and focus doubled.
The goal isn’t to win once — it’s to stay in the game long enough to master it.
This isn’t the end.
It’s just a reset.
#Trading #Discipline #RiskManagement #Comeback #TSLA #WaverVanir #VolanX
TSLA with Ichimoku Cloud...TSLA with Ichimoku Cloud and projected target points drawn below the current price.
Let’s break it down:
Current price on chart: around $434
Yellow zone (resistance): roughly $445–$465
First target line drawn: around $405–$410
Second (lower) target line drawn: around $365–$370
📊 Interpretation (based on my chart):
Target Level Approx. Price Meaning
1st Target $405–$410 Short-term support / take-profit zone
2nd Target $365–$370 Deeper correction / extended short target
⚠ Note:
These targets are based on my chart’s visual annotations, likely assuming price breaks below the Ichimoku cloud and moves toward lower support levels. This aligns with a bearish setup.
👉 Risk Management Tip:
If entering short, a stop loss just above the resistance zone ($450–$455) may be considered.
If entering long, these same levels can act as profit-taking or add-on zones.
Tesla - The massive triangle breakout!🪩Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Last month, we witnessed an incredible but expected rally of about +35% on Tesla. Furthermore, with this move Tesla is attempting to break above the previous all time highs. After bullish confirmation, this would also lead to a massive triangle breakout.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TSLA – Sideways Accumulation Phase Ahead of Major NewsTesla’s stock is currently showing a stable sideways movement around the 430–445 USD range as the market awaits the company’s Q3 earnings report (on October 22).
Recent news reflects cautious investor sentiment , especially after ISS recommended rejecting Elon Musk’s massive compensation package and amid forecasts suggesting a slight decline in Q3 profits.
On the 4-hour chart, TSLA continues to maintain a medium-term uptrend, with prices oscillating around the EMA34 and EMA89, which act as equilibrium zones.
The 432 USD area remains the main support, while 493 USD stands as a key resistance level.
The chart indicates a high likelihood that the price will continue sideways within this range until the market reacts more clearly after the earnings release.
Summary
Currently, TSLA is in an accumulation phase , reflecting a tug-of-war between expectations of increased production and concerns over profit margin pressures.
In the short term, the trend is expected to remain sideways with a slight bullish bias, awaiting a potential breakout driven by the upcoming earnings announcement.
TSLA Triple TopTriple tops = market drop!
As soon as the market tanks, TSLA is in major trouble!
For 5 long years, people have been trying to pump this stock with no good results. Instead, they got a -75% decline and a -66% decline for their efforts.
This stock will fall bidless! All hype with no substance.
The question is, will the market stay up long enough to push it up one more time and sucker in the last fools before the kiss of death? We shall see!
It's now or never!
I am proudly shorting it! As I have successfully done twice before with huge gains. I am telling you, fanboys, point-blank before I get all the hate posts. ))
TESLA New Bullish Leg to $600 has started.Last time we took a look at Tesla (TSLA) more than a month ago (September 11, see chart below), we gave a massive buy signal that worked out instantly, as we saw the resemblances between the recent Triangle accumulation pattern and that of late 2024, setting a $600 long-term Target:
This time we take a better look at the Channel Up that has emerged. Technically it looks like a Bearish Leg (red Channel Down) has ended and with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) holding, a new Bullish Leg has been initiated.
The previous Bullish Leg, which by the way started after a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) hold, rose by +59.26%. This puts the next Higher High technically above our $600 long-term Target.
Notice also how the 1D MACD is about to form a new Bullish Cross, with all previous ones being a strong Buy Signal. At the same time, the 1D RSI found support and bounced on its 5-month Higher Lows trend-line.
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TSLA: Trade Plan 10/17/2025NASDAQ:TSLA – The Calm Before the Storm ⚡
Tomorrow could define the next leg. The structure is tight, momentum is fading, and macro pressure aligns with technical exhaustion.
Multi-Timeframe Outlook:
1D / 1W: Bearish continuation setup confirmed; equilibrium breached, liquidity void below remains unfilled (targets: $403 → $374).
4H / 15M: Series of lower highs with visible imbalance; RSI divergence confirms momentum exhaustion.
Fib Levels: 0.618 and 0.786 rejection zones hold — signaling institutional distribution rather than retail bounce.
VolanX DSS Probability Model
Bearish Probability: 82% (downward continuation)
Bullish Reversal Probability: 18%
Volatility Projection: +/- 4.6% intraday range expected
Macro & Catalysts
Rates & Yields: Rising real yields put pressure on high-beta tech.
Earnings Proximity: Market may be front-running a guidance downgrade.
Liquidity Flows: Options flow skewed toward puts since Oct 14 — institutional hedging confirmed.
Bias:
I’m fully committed to the short side here — structure, volume, and macro all align. “Go big or go home.”
If $428 fails to reclaim, the path to $403 → $374 opens.
🧠 This is my personal technical outlook, not investment advice.
#TSLA #TradingView #VolanX #AITrading #MacroStrategy #WaverVanir
Tesla rebounds – Can $445 hold to push toward $460?Hello everyone,
Tesla has staged a notable recovery today, with price trading around $447.43, up 1.82% from the previous session. Importantly, the price has broken above the $443.70 resistance level, signalling that buying momentum has returned to the market.
Currently, the price structure leans towards a short-term bullish outlook. If Tesla can sustain above $445, the upward move may continue toward the $455–$460 region, which is seen as the next resistance zone. However, if the price weakens and falls back under $440, a corrective move toward $430 would come back into play. This remains a key support area to watch.
From a news perspective, market sentiment is being strongly supported. CEO Elon Musk has projected that Tesla’s vehicle sales could grow by 20–30% next year, easing investor concerns around the robotaxi project. Following his remarks, Tesla shares listed in Frankfurt surged as much as 12%, reaching their highest level in two weeks, suggesting that confidence is gradually returning to the stock.
So what do you think – will Tesla hold above $445 and head toward $460, or will it retest $440 before any continuation? Share your view below!
Tesla Correction ahead ? - Levels to be aware Of !In this video I present to you the idea of a Tesla correction into the 340/350USD price zone .
I mark out a potential short setup as well as a strong area for longs/accumulation.
Tools used TPO chart, Fibs, Anchored V wap , Volume Profile, Parallel channels
Good luck with your trading and thanks for your support
Check Out Tesla's Chart Heading Into This Week's Earnings ReportTesla NASDAQ:TSLA will report earnings this week at a time when the stock is trailing the S&P 500 year to date, although it's beating the key index in the six-month, one-year and five-year periods. What does the electric-vehicle giant's technical and fundamental analysis say?
Let's check things out:
Tesla's Fundamental Analysis
It wasn't that long ago (2023) that CEO Elon Musk forecast that TSLA could end up producing roughly 250,000 Cybertrucks per year.
But so far, that projection has been a "no-go." Cox Automotive reported the other day that the electric-vehicle giant sold just some 5,400 of the trucks in Q3. That's a 63% year-over-year contraction -- and for comparison's sake, Ford NYSE:F sold more than 207,000 F-Series pickups during the same period, including 10,000 F-150 Lightning electric trucks.
Meanwhile, Car and Driver recently reported that the lower-cost Cybertruck Long Range model doesn't match the range of the (admittedly more expensive) dual-motor R1T electric pickup from Rivian NASDAQ:RIVN .
But all is not lost, sort of, for Tesla.
The EV giant recently released Q3 delivery figures and reported that it shipped some 497,100 vehicles overall -- a record for the firm, and better than the 448,000 consensus that Tesla watchers had expected.
Apparently, there was an end-of-quarter rush as U.S. consumers tried to take advantage of a $7,500 federal electric-vehicle tax credit before the benefit expired on Sept. 30.
Tesla also built 447,000 vehicles during Q3 (a different metric from the number of cars delivered).
As for earnings, analysts' consensus view calls for Tesla to report $0.55 in adjusted earnings per share on about $26.6 billion of revenue when the firm releases results Wednesday after the bell. That would represent a 23.6% drop from the $0.72 in adjusted EPS that Tesla reported in the same period a year earlier, while reflecting 5.6% year-over-year growth from Q3 2024's $25.2 billion in revenue.
Still, 16 of the 25 sell-side analysts that I know of who cover TSLA have boosted their Q3 earnings estimates since the quarter started, while only five have revised things downward. (Four have left their estimates unchanged.)
Tesla's Technical Analysis
Now let's look at TSLA's year-to-date chart as of Tuesday afternoon:
Readers will see that a "closing-pennant" pattern (marked with purple lines) produced a mid-September breakout for the stock.
Closing pennants historically foretell a sharp spike in volatility for a stock, but don't tell you which direction the move will be: up or down.
In this case, Tesla went higher and built upon the breakout that the stock saw in May from a double-bottom pattern of bullish reversal (the jagged lines at the chart's left).
The stock apexed on Oct. 2 at $470, which is about what some investors might have expected from such a set-up. (Tesla closed Friday at $439.31.)
Now, TSLA looks as if it might have topped going into earnings, and the stock has recently relied upon its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," marked with a green line at $423.60 in the chart above) for support.
This suggests that the swing crowd is likely playing this earnings release, which could lead to some increased volatility after Tesla's Q3 numbers come out.
Looking at Tesla's secondary technical indicators, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) has drawn back towards neutral after exploding into technically overbought territory in September.
That said, assessing Tesla's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indication (or "MACD," denoted by black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is tricky.
The histogram of the 9-day EMA (the blue bars) dropped into sub-zero territory in early October, which is typically a short-term bearish technical signal.
However, both the 12-day EMA (the black line) and the 26-day EMA (the gold line) are still above that zero-bound, which implies a short- to medium-term bullish condition. Still, the 12-day line has crossed below the 26-day line. That's usually a bearish signal.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long TSLA and F at the time of writing this column.)
This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct.
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TSLA looks ready for higher in wave 3NASDAQ:TSLA found resistance at the all time High Volume Node and is trapped between that and the high volume support node.
The trend is up and strong. above the daily pivot and daily 200EMA with width.
I expect price to find support and continue into price discovery.
Safe trading
Dip Buying Levels on TSLA Post Earnings"Abide in me, and I in you. As the branch cannot bear fruit by itself, unless it abides in the vine, neither can you, unless you abide in me. I am the vine; you are the branches. Whoever abides in me and I in him, he it is that bears much fruit, for apart from me you can do nothing."
- John 15:4-5
Hello Traders!
As part of my weekly equity trade analysis, I will be uploading my recordings of what I am seeing and intending to trade for the week. A quick summary of what's in the video is as follows:
- TSLA earnings are highly anticipated with most retail traders expecting bullish continuation from its breakout from previous consolidation
- We are expecting a retracement to resolve some imbalances, but to structurally hold key levels either above $408 or $385, and to close the week above last week's high over $440
- Our vehicle of choice this week are the $430 weekly calls or $415 calls (if price retraces further to $390)
Cheers,
DTD
Financial Risk Disclaimer |
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser. The videos on my channel are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I invest and day trade, but remember, investing of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine. While day trading can bring substantial gains, it can also bring serious losses! So make sure you do your research to fully understand the market before diving in. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment, and therefore should not invest money that you can't afford to lose. The fluctuation of the market can work for you or against you. You should carefully consider your investment objectives and experience before deciding to trade in the market. Again, what you invest in is solely your responsibility.
TSLA – Mild Pullback Before Resuming Its Upward TrajectoryHello everyone,
Tesla (TSLA) is showing a healthy technical pullback after an impressive rally, yet the broader bullish trend remains intact. The stock is currently hovering around $438.69, down 4.5% in the latest session — a move that reflects short-term profit-taking rather than a shift in market sentiment.
On the news side, Tesla has just unveiled lower-cost versions of the Model 3 and Model Y — a strategic decision aimed at expanding its mid-range customer base. However, the market’s reaction has been somewhat cautious, possibly due to concerns over shrinking profit margins as prices drop. Nevertheless, this move allows Tesla to strengthen its global footprint and improve competitiveness, particularly in key markets like China and Europe.
At the same time, the company continues to advance its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology and the Robotaxi project — seen as Tesla’s long-term growth pillars. Once fully realised, autonomous mobility services could unlock significant recurring revenue, reinforcing investor confidence even amid short-term corrections.
From a technical perspective, the 4H chart indicates that price remains well above the Ichimoku cloud, confirming that the uptrend still dominates. Shallow Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) have been filled, hinting that price might retest support before rebounding. The $430–$420 area serves as a critical support zone, while resistance stands near $440 and $445. A clear breakout above $440 could open the path toward $450–$460.
Overall, Tesla appears to be consolidating within a natural pause rather than reversing. As long as the $420 level holds, the bullish structure remains valid.
What about you — do you see this pullback as a springboard for new highs, or the start of a longer consolidation phase for TSLA?
TSLA: Trying to draw all the algos I know. NASDAQ:TSLA
Clean breakdown forming from the wedge 🧠
Price rejected perfectly near 0.618–0.702 retracement
Targeting $416–$415 (liquidity pocket)
RSI turning down, sellers taking control
If bulls can’t reclaim $432, this could accelerate fast.
Bias → Short ⚡
#VolanX #LiquidityZones #AITrading #TSLA #SmartMoneyConcepts
$TSLA Symmetrical wedge still holdingNASDAQ:TSLA
Symmetrical wedge still holding — but liquidity structure is breaking down. ⚠️
Loss of equilibrium → signals start of the drain phase
RSI mid-compression, sellers gaining control
Targeting $415 → $405 zone (liquidity collection)
Invalidation above $432
VolanX DSS bias: Short until liquidity reclaims 🧠
#VolanX #AITrading #LiquidityZones #SMC #TSLA
$TSLA Eyes on the prize — AKA the GAP NASDAQ:TSLA
Eyes on the prize — AKA the GAP 🧠
This imbalance could fill tomorrow if momentum continues downward.
RSI cooling off, structure leaning bearish, and that liquidity pocket below looks too tempting to ignore.
Just watching price react to the zone — not financial advice.
#TSLA #VolanX #GapFill #LiquidityZones #AITrading
Tesla Earnings Tonight – Growth Era Under Pressure?TSLA reports Q3 2025 earnings after the bell.
Estimates: $0.55 EPS (+37.5% QoQ) and $26.46 B revenue (+18%).
Strong on paper — but the real story will come from forward guidance.
What’s beneath the surface:
Inventory is rising as production outpaces sales since Q4 2024.
Annual revenue growth turned negative in Q2 2025.
EBT has declined roughly 11% per quarter since Q3 2024.
China’s rare-earth export limits tighten Tesla’s margins and favour BYD & NIO.
Technical Outlook:
TSLA remains range-bound between $411.6 – $448.2 (heavy volume zone).
If price moves higher, watch $470.5 (previous high) and $488.5 (ATH).
If it dips, $367.9 (Value Area High) is the support to watch.
Volatility is tightening — tonight’s tone on guidance could decide whether Tesla stays range-bound or starts a new phase.
$TSLA Wave (B) rejection looks valid NASDAQ:TSLA
Wave (B) rejection looks valid — system preparing for Wave (C) extension. ⚠️
0.618 retrace rejection confirmed
RSI divergence remains bearish
Target → $418 → $405 liquidity zone
DSS short bias until structure breaks above $432
VolanX mode: “Drain before reversal.” 🧠
#VolanX #AITrading #TSLA #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcepts
TSLA 4hr Chart- Bullish Setup in Motion Ahead of Earnings Tesla (TSLA) is showing real strength heading into earnings week, closing Friday around $439.31 (+2.46%) with solid momentum. On the 4-hour chart, we’ve been trading inside a descending channel, and that’s important because while it may look bearish at first, this type of channel often leads to bullish breakouts once volume and structure align.
Right now, price is testing the upper side of that channel with a clean bounce from the recent demand zone and reclaiming both the 10 and 20 EMAs. That’s a strong technical sign heading into Monday.
Technical Breakdown
Pattern: Descending Channel (Bullish Continuation Potential)
Trend: Uptrend Confirmed
Momentum: Strong Buy (MAs showing 93.33%)
Oscillators: Leaning Bullish (27.27% Buy Bias)
Entry Zone: Around $435 – $438 (breakout retest area)
Stop Loss: Near $428 (below 61.8% Fib retracement)
Targets:
TP1 → $444.76
TP2 → $454.15
Extended Target → $469.95 (premium supply zone)
Resistance to Watch:
$443.52 – prior swing high
$454.15 – Fib confluence
$469.95 – premium zone and potential top block
Support Levels:
$428 – key breakout retest
$414 – lower boundary of the channel
$401 – major structure support
Heading Into Monday
Bulls are clearly back in control. The chart shows a steady reclaim of momentum with higher lows forming and volume starting to pick up. If price holds above $435, we could see continuation toward $444 – $454 early in the week. A breakout above $443.52 with strong volume would confirm that shift in momentum toward the next leg up.
If we see a short-term dip, I’ll be watching $428 – $414 as the key demand zone where buyers might reload before earnings.
Final Thoughts
Don’t sleep on descending channels — they often set up the biggest bullish reversals once the breakout happens. TSLA is sitting in that pocket right now, with multiple indicators flashing Strong Buy across timeframes. As long as $435 holds, this setup continues to favor the bulls into earnings.
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: 4H leading into Monday
Expect some volatility, but the trend remains intact and momentum looks healthy.
📘 This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trade decisions.
Volatility Period: Around October 22nd (October 21st-23rd)
Hello, traders!
If you "Follow" us, you'll always get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day.
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(TSLA 1M Chart)
The key is whether the price can rise above the target level of 488.54 by following the rising channel.
If the price fails to rise, we should check for support near 381.59.
-
(1W Chart)
The rising trend line (1) has formed, forming an ascending channel.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can maintain above the rising trend line (2) and rise along the rising channel.
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1W chart is formed in the 382.40-421.06 range. If the price remains above this range, a stepwise uptrend is expected to continue.
-
(1D chart)
The key question is whether the price can continue its upward trend toward 488.54 after passing through this volatile period around October 22nd (October 21st-23rd).
To do so, we need to see if it can find support and rise around 439.60-442.79.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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