TESLA: Long Signal Explained
TESLA
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long TESLA
Entry - 413.27
Sl - 406.92
Tp - 427.53
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Trade ideas
TSLA: SHORTNASDAQ:TSLA
Setup aligning with VolanX DSS bias → short confirmation zone active.
Rising wedge pattern breaking structure
CHoCH under equilibrium, signaling early distribution
Volume increasing on sell-side
RSI divergence + loss of bullish momentum
Targeting $415–$412 liquidity zone (discount area).
Invalidation above $437.50 — clean risk box.
Bias: Short
Strategy: Wait for 15m BOS + volume spike confirmation 🧠
#VolanX #LiquidityZones #AITrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #TSLA
Breakout Incoming!Tesla remains within a well-defined channel range, consolidating near lower channel support on declining volume, which reflects healthy consolidation after prior momentum. The recent action has formed a symmetrical triangle, with price compressing between rising support and descending resistance — a classic setup for a volatility squeeze and potential breakout.
Despite short-term weakness, TSLA has consistently held above prior support levels within the channel. With bullish sentiment building ahead of earnings, it’s unlikely the stock breaks below existing support (~$416–$420).
The key resistance to watch is at $455, aligning with the upper boundary of the current structure. A decisive breakout above this level could trigger a move toward $470, which coincides with the previous high and marks a potential continuation of the bullish trend.
Notably, the price breakout between September 11 and September 22 offers a useful reference; that move demonstrated TSLA’s ability to accelerate rapidly once volume returns and resistance levels are cleared - this stock is a freight train once it gets moving.
Given the technical compression, low-volume consolidation, and improving sentiment, I’d expect a breakout as early as tomorrow or early next week, especially as we lead into earnings.
Key Levels:
• Support: $416–$420
• Resistance: $455 (breakout trigger)
• Target: $470+ (prior high / upper channel objective)
• Future Target: Liftoff?
$TSLA: Symmetrical wedge breaking down. NASDAQ:TSLA
Symmetrical wedge breaking down. ⚠️
Volume confirms exit pressure — sellers controlling equilibrium.
Lower highs compressing liquidity.
Fib confluence supports a leg toward $411–$401 zone (1.0–1.272 extension).
RSI momentum flattening under 50.
DSS bias = short-term bearish continuation.
Target → $401–$400 liquidity pool
Invalidation above $436.50
This could be a slow liquidity drain before a bigger displacement. 🧠
#VolanX #LiquidityZones #AITrading #TSLA #SMC
Tesla – ABC Formation as Trend Continuation#Tesla – ABC Formation as Trend Continuation
Current price: $435.8
Tesla is developing an ABC corrective structure that may act as a continuation pattern within the broader uptrend. Price action is consolidating after a strong impulsive leg, preparing for the next directional move.
🧩 Technical Overview
• The correction from the recent high appears to have formed a descending wedge, with the last swing down completing near the C-wave low.
• Price is now recovering from that area, suggesting a possible upward continuation phase.
• As long as the current low holds, the market structure supports bullish continuation through the upper Fibonacci levels.
📈 Scenario
• Structure: ABC correction completed; price attempting breakout to resume the dominant uptrend.
• Stop-loss: below the C-wave low (~$408).
• First upside objectives:
– $448–$458 — short-term resistance zone
– $470–$483 — key breakout area and prior swing high
– $507–$530 — potential extension zone if momentum builds
• A breakout above $470 would confirm trend continuation.
⚙️ Market Context
• The larger bullish trend remains intact after strong momentum from early September.
• Consolidation within the current wedge has reduced volatility — a typical setup before expansion.
• The pattern favors continuation as long as price holds above $408–$410 support.
🧭 Summary
Tesla is completing an ABC correction that could transition into the next bullish leg.
Holding above $408 keeps the structure valid for continuation toward $470–$530.
Breakout confirmation above $470 would reinforce the bullish scenario, while a drop below $408 would invalidate it.
$TSLANASDAQ:TSLA earnings this week ⚡️
I passed through Tesla Texas and noticed their construction speeding up.
The average price of a new vehicle just topped $50K (Cox Automotive – Kelley Blue Book).
This could accelerate demand for affordable EVs and ease pressure on auto consumers.
Based on my observation, Tesla has strong momentum right now. 🚗
$TSLA | Wave Count Outlook: 2025–2026 Projection👇
🔮 NASDAQ:TSLA | Wave Count Outlook: 2025–2026 Projection
The larger structure is forming a clean Elliott Wave sequence, suggesting a potential top near the completion of Wave (5) before a corrective phase unfolds.
🧩 Structure Overview:
Primary impulse appears complete between $527–$540
Corrective phase (ABC) projected toward $384 → $332 → $319
If confirmed, this would align with the macro liquidity contraction and potential market re-pricing post-Fed actions
🔍 Technical Confluence:
Wave (5) targets align with 1.236–1.618 Fibonacci extensions
RSI divergence already forming — early weakness
Volume momentum decelerating across higher timeframes
🧭 Outlook:
Short-term bias: Neutral to bearish
Medium-term (1–3 months): Potential correction toward $380s
Long-term (Q2–Q3 2026): Bullish resumption possible if liquidity stabilizes
“Wave completion precedes transformation — patience pays.”
#TSLA #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #Macro #VolanXDSS #WaverVanir
TSLA Breakdown or Bear Trap? Oct. 13TSLA Breakdown or Bear Trap? Watch This Zone Before the Next Big Move
Tesla just had one of its hardest sessions in weeks — dropping over 5% on Friday and closing near $408, right on the edge of a major technical breakdown.
But here’s the thing: while the chart looks heavy, there are signs that sellers might be losing steam. Let’s unpack what’s happening from both the 15-minute price action and the 1-hour options (GEX) landscape so you know what to expect when the market opens Monday.
15-Minute Intraday Technical View
Friday’s price action was pure capitulation. After losing $430, Tesla slid straight down the channel and found temporary footing near $405–$408.
The 15-minute chart shows a clean descending structure with a trendline connecting lower highs — every bounce so far has been rejected.
But now, for the first time in two days, the MACD histogram is turning light blue, and Stoch RSI is curling up from deep oversold territory near 20. That means momentum is trying to flip, even if price hasn’t confirmed it yet.
The immediate level to watch at Monday’s open is $410–$415. If Tesla reclaims that area with strength, it could start an intraday reversal move toward $420–$425, where the breakdown started.
However, if it rejects there and breaks below $405, the next support isn’t until $395–$390, and that’s where the next flush could hit fast — especially if VIX spikes above 22 again.
The key is to watch volume and confirmation. A weak bounce without strong participation likely fails, but a reclaim above $415 with rising volume could catch shorts off guard and trigger a fast squeeze.
1-Hour GEX Analysis — Options Sentiment
The 1-hour GEX chart paints the bigger picture: this entire drop was dealer-driven.
The HVL (Highest Volatility Line) sits near $417–$420, which means that’s the line separating calm from chaos. Staying below it keeps TSLA in negative gamma territory — where every move feeds volatility instead of containing it.
Below the current price, there’s a massive Put Wall sitting around $395–$390, marking the highest negative GEX zone. That’s the “danger zone” where market makers start shorting more to hedge, which can accelerate a drop.
Above that, there’s heavy Call Resistance stacked around $445–$450, so even if Tesla bounces, it’ll hit resistance hard once it gets near $440+.
IVR sits around 29.4 with IVX at 70, showing that implied volatility is still very high. That means options are expensive — traders are paying up for protection, not confidence.
Right now, GEX positioning suggests Tesla’s price is trapped between $405 and $425, waiting for direction. If price holds and climbs above $420, gamma flips neutral and a short-term rally could unfold fast.
My Thoughts and Trade Ideas
Tesla is stuck in a volatility choke zone — but it’s not dead.
The 15-minute chart shows potential momentum reversal, while the 1-hour GEX confirms that option flows are balanced on a knife’s edge. Bulls need to push above $420 to break the cycle of dealer hedging and start a relief wave toward $430–$440.
If you’re scalping, watch for:
* Long setup above $415–$418 with volume confirmation — target $425–$430.
* Short setup if it fails $410 or breaks $405 — target $395, then $390.
For option traders, the 420C or 425C strike could work for a short-dated bounce play if volatility cools. But if fear continues, the 400P or 390P offers a safer directional hedge.
The real pivot for Tesla isn’t price — it’s sentiment. Once VIX calms below 20 and liquidity returns, Tesla usually leads the rebound. Until then, this remains a day trader’s battlefield.
Final Take
Tesla is coiled inside a descending channel but showing early divergence. Monday will determine if this is just another leg down or the first real reversal from oversold territory.
Above $420 = short-covering bounce.
Below $405 = more pain ahead.
Volatility will decide who wins.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade your own plan and manage your risk carefully.
Tesla's New Range. Hello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we are revisiting Tesla (TSLA).
Last article we identified the Key seller before this big extension. Today I have identified the last key seller, and how you can capitalize.
Price has now entered into the Light Supply Zone , a place where sellers will try to slow things down.
It is likely that you will want to play TSLA at the Extremes. Strong Supply , and Strong Demand levels are going to give you the best chance at a stronger reaction. So if you are playing the short term, These two plays marked on the chart will be your best bet.
If the Strong Buyers hold at around 417, This will put a lot of pressure on that last strong seller at 461. A push through them should see you ATH's (not without a strong reaction from the Strong Supply first).
Missed out on the move and want to add TSLA to your long term?
Long Term
These Prices should match your conviction on TSLA:
Aggressive : 409 - 419.50 (Top of Demand, even better if you get into those strong buyers)
Value : 333-344
Extreme Value : 288-294 or the Conservative Trendline.
Expect big things from TSLA in the coming years. I would not be surprised to see TSLA reach over 1,000 again.
Happy Trading,
@thecafetrader
$TSLA: bullishNASDAQ:TSLA we were/are in a Wave-4 correction. If NASDAQ:TSLA drops after ER, it'd be a buying opportunity.
Wave 5 will take NASDAQ:TSLA to/near all time high.
I already have NASDAQ:TSLA shares. I plan to harness the high time premium by buy covered stocks at $440 strike, equivalent to $422.50, with upside limited to $17.50 per share.
TSLA ShortMarket Structure:
Tesla is currently in a bearish market structure following a failed attempt to sustain higher highs. After a Change of Character (CHoCH) around $443.55, price shifted from a bullish correctional phase into a downward sequence. The prior upward leg that established short-term higher highs has now been rejected decisively, and price is printing lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish control. The recent Break of Structure (BOS) is expected near $411.44, indicating that sellers regained dominance and are likely targeting liquidity beneath recent lows.
Supply & Demand Zones:
The supply zone between $435.00 and $439.00 remains significant—price dropped sharply from here after a clean retest, showing strong institutional selling pressure and minimal buying defense. This zone remains structurally strong and continues to cap upside attempts. Below, the demand zone around $425.00–$421.00 has provided short-term support in the past, but the reaction there was weak, suggesting that buyers stepped in cautiously rather than with conviction. The next deeper demand zone lies around $411.00–$407.00, where buyers previously showed more commitment with larger wicks and impulsive upward movement.
Current Price Action:
Price is currently pushing down toward the $425.00–$421.00 demand zone after rejecting the supply above. The short-term expectation is for a minor pullback toward $428.00–$430.00, potentially forming a lower high, before a continuation lower toward the $411.00 zone. The projection on the chart aligns with this view, anticipating a temporary pause before renewed selling.
Bias & Outlook:
The trade bias is bearish, with expectation of continued downside movement toward $411.00–$410.00. A confirmed close above $439.00 would invalidate this view and shift short-term sentiment back to bullish. Until that happens, sellers remain in control.
Momentum & Candle Behavior:
Momentum currently favors the sellers, as seen in consecutive bearish candles with solid body structures and smaller wicks. Bullish candles show limited follow-through, indicating fading demand strength. No strong reversal patterns are visible yet; only mild compression before another expected impulse down.
Tesla (TSLA) - Weekly Battle Before The BreakoutTicker : NASDAQ:TSLA
Timeframe : Weekly
Bias : Neutral (Awaiting breakout confirmation)
Range : $410 - $470
🧠 MARKET CONTEXT
Tesla is stuck in a wide weekly range as macro uncertainty and earnings expectations collide.
Buyers defend the $410 zone while Sellers keep rejecting $470 - a classic coiling phase before expansion.
🔎 TECHNICAL OVERVIEW
* Structure: Choppy / Distribution phase ( failed breakouts, heavy wicks, indecision )
* Resistance Zone: $465-$475 ( needs clean close above for breakout confirmation )
* Support Zone: $410-$425 ( critical area maintaining bullish structure )
* Major Support Below: $320-$360 ( long term value area where buyers historically stepped in )
📈 SCENARIOS
🟢 Bullish Case:
* Weekly close above $470 with strong volume = breakout signal.
* Targets : $500+ zone, potential retest of 2024 highs.
🔴 Bearish Case:
* Weekly close below $410 = structure break.
* Targets : $360 - $320 zone.
⚪ Neutral / Range Play:
* Between $410 - $470, range strategies work best (fade extremes, tight risk).
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT
* The FED's higher-for-longer stance keeps pressure on growth stocks.
* Q3 deliveries were strong, supporting long term sentiment.
* Competition & margin compression (China & Europe) remain risk factors.
* Tech sector volatility + geopolitical headlines amplify TSLA's swings.
📊 WEEKLY OUTLOOK SUMMARY
* Short Term (2-4 weeks) : range bound between $410-$470 - watch for volume spikes / breakout confirmation.
* Medium Term (1-3 months) : direction depends on Fed & earnings - macro + delivery data key catalysts.
* Long Term (Q1 2026+) : bullish bias intact if fundamentals hold - expect volatility during macro tightening.
💬 FINAL TAKE
Tesla is coiling between $410 and $470. Whichever side breaks first will likely define Q4's direction. Watch weekly closes and volume confirmation - "The Big Move Is Loading"
TSLA: ShortNASDAQ:TSLA ⚡ Coiling up in a symmetrical wedge right under equilibrium — a textbook indecision zone before expansion.
Still trading below premium structure → bias remains bearish unless we see a clean breakout and hold above 434.5.
Volume contracting, RSI midline hovering → pressure building for next leg.
🎯 Breakdown targets: 427 → 422 → 416
🚀 Bull case invalidation: Close above 434.5, targeting 444–450
🧠 VolanX DSS Bias: Bearish continuation, awaiting volatility trigger
#TSLA #VolanX #SmartMoney #LiquidityZones #PriceAction #AITrading #WaverVanir
Not Investment Advice
TSLA Slips Despite Record Q3 Deliveries AI Growth Play?TSLA – Financial Performance & SWOT Analysis
TSLA Slips Despite Record Q3 Deliveries AI Growth Play?
(1/9)
Good Morning, folks! TSLA is pulling back 📉, at $ 436.33 up 7.85% YTD per October 10, 2025. AI integration shakes up this EV play , let’s dive in! 📊🔥 Tag a friend who needs this investing hack!
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE
• Last day: $ 436.33, down slightly pre-market 📉
• YTD 2025: up 7.85%, lagging S&P 500 🔄
• Q3 2025: record deliveries, but stock dips 🚀
This EV stock’s volatility, AI hype pops! 💥
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION
• Market Cap: $ 1.45T, industry giant 🏆
• Avg Volume: 88.96M shares, high liquidity 💧
• Trend: high P/E amid growth expectations 👑
This asset’s dominance, holding tight! 🔒
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS
• Q3 deliveries: record highs, beat estimates 💰
• Stock dip: despite beats, tax credits end 🏭
• AI focus: Robotaxi event Oct 22, autonomy push 📈
This EV move, AI-driven surge! ⚡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS
• High volatility: beta 2.09 swings ⚠️
• Subsidies end: EV tax credit phaseout 🆚
• Market liquidations: $700M crypto-wide impact 📉
This ticker’s exposure, watch these twists! ⚠️🔄
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• EV leadership (deliveries.): market share 🌟
• AI integration (FSD/Robotaxi.): growth edge 🤖
• Institutional demand (ETFs.): sentiment boost 👥
This asset’s edge, built tough! 💪
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: high valuation, subsidy reliance ⚖️
• Opportunities: AI boom, EV rebound 🌍
Can this ticker beat the odds? 🎲 Reply with your take!
(8/9) – POLL TIME!
TSLA’s $ 436.33 value, your vibe?
• Bullish: $500+ soon, AI beats 📈🚀
• Neutral: Steady, risks balanced ⚖️🛡️
• Bearish: $400 looms, subsidy hits 📉⚠️
Chime in below! 💬 Tag a friend for this poll!
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
TSLA’s $ 436.33 position shows resilience 💪, AI fuels it ⚡. Risks bite 🦈, yet dips are DCA gold 💎. We grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust? not advice, just our spin!
#TSLA #Investing #Markets #Trading #Finance #ETF #Commodities #DCA #Trends
TSLA is mixed as of October 10, 2025, at $ 436.33, up 7.85% YTD per TradingView. Q3 deliveries shape its path in the EV space. Here’s a factual financial and strategic breakdown.
**Financial Performance**
Price Movement: YTD at $ 436.33, up 7.85%. Broader period shows pullback from highs. Q3 adds upside, with record deliveries.
Volume & Market Cap: Avg volume 88.96M shares. Market cap at $ 1.45T.
Key Metric: Trailing P/E 256.20, forward P/E 172.41.
**SWOT Analysis**
Strengths:
- Record Q3 deliveries.
- AI and autonomy integration.
- Institutional interest.
Weaknesses:
- High valuation multiples.
- Subsidy phaseout impact.
- Recent stock pullback.
Opportunities:
- AI and Robotaxi growth.
- EV market rebound.
- New model launches.
Threats:
- Intense competition.
- Market corrections.
- Regulatory changes.
**TSLA vs. SPY: Key Comparisons**
| Aspect | TSLA | SPY |
|--------|------|-----|
| Purpose & Scope | EV and AI focus | Broad market index tracking |
| Dynamics | Beta 2.09 volatility vs. lower 1.00 | Steady benchmark |
| Market Position | Up 7.85% YTD, high P/E vs. S&P gains | Stable exposure |
**Investor Considerations: DCA**
Dollar Cost Averaging: TSLA’s volatility suits dip-buying. At $ 436.33, $10,000 buys ~23 shares; a 10% dip to $ 393 nets ~25 shares. Time in the market, not timing it, wins.
**Outlook & Risks**
TSLA’s $ 436.33 position shows AI edge, with delivery beats. Subsidy ends loom, yet dip grabs turn volatility into gains. AI or EV growth could sway it, but time’s our edge. Gem or fade? Depends on autonomy adoption.
TSLA Short1. May/June Inside Bar: Broke to the upside on September with no re-test of break.
a. Higher timeframes take longer for this to re-test.
b. I have found that 18 days is an average re-test, but this is not 100%.
2. Daily chart shows pullback, but its extremely important to understand that the weekly and monthly show bullish momentum.
3. I have started a TSLQ short position adding slowly, with TSLA shares targeting ATH's.
4. The target is for TSLA to move back into the 5% buffer, where I will start looking for a long position. The inside bar is usually re-tested. If bullish momentum is still there, which the weekly and monthly still show, then the 5% buffer and 25% quadrant are entry zones. However, if something changes, then 50% quadrant should be the target.
Happy trading!
A Blow Off Top/Double Top on TESLA?Tesla's move since 9/11/25 has characteristics of a Blow Off Top
Parabolic price rise
Extremely high trading volume
Widespread optimism or “fear of missing out”
Sudden reversal and heavy selling
The high appears to match prior highs from last year, making this a double top.
Near the top, there was a period of distribution, as shareholders exited positions, creating new bagholders.
Tesla: Top Established!Tesla initially hit a new high before quickly reversing course with a notable move to the downside. As a result, we now view the corrective upward movement of beige wave x as complete and anticipate further sell-offs as part of wave y. The stock is expected to gradually break below the support levels at $297.83 and $215.01, ultimately reaching our blue Target Zone between $157.88 and $46.70, which we have identified for the final corrective low of blue wave (II). However, there remains a 40% chance that TSLA will not reach the blue zone at all but instead will break out directly above resistance at $532.92. In this case, we would consider blue wave alt.(II) already complete and locate the stock in a sustained (magenta) upward impulse. Even in our primary scenario, the new uptrend of the regular wave (III) is ultimately expected to surpass the $532.92 resistance.
Tesla (TSLA) – Final Wave 5 to Complete Cypher HarmonicTesla is progressing through its final impulsive Wave 5, with upside targets aligning at $563–$564, confluencing with the 1.272–1.618 Fib extensions and the completion of the Cypher harmonic (point D). Once this target is reached, a corrective decline is anticipated, forming the Cypher retracement and potentially filling untested gaps below.
Key levels to watch:
Upside target: $488.5, then $563–$564 zone (Cypher completion).
Downside retracement: possible move back toward the $350–$360 region (0.618–0.786 support).
Invalidation:
A breakout above $565 would invalidate the Cypher completion zone and suggest extended bullish continuation.
A breakdown below $400 before reaching $488 invalidates the Wave 5 structure.
This scenario blends Elliott Wave 5 projections with harmonic Cypher confluence for a potential high-probability setup.
Why Most Prop Traders Fail (Even the Skilled Ones)When speaking with Prop Traders, we have found the issue was not about
bad setups; it’s emotions under pressure that is the problem
Fear after a loss. Greed after a win.
That’s when discipline slips and accounts die.
Here’s what helps:
Before each session, ask ?
“Would I take this trade if I weren’t trying to prove something?”
This one question has saved more accounts than any indicator
I’ve been helping traders stay calm when it matters most.
If you’ve ever blown up knowing exactly what you should’ve done, DM me and I’ll show you what’s been working.