DXY Analysis – August 10, 2025
After the prolonged downtrend in the US Dollar Index that started back in January,
recent political developments seem to have had a short-term impact on its trajectory.
I believe we could soon see a short-term correction in the dollar.
However, after months of decline, this recovery won’t be straightforward —
expect stop hunts targeting buyers before any sustained move higher.
For this week, a short-term sell setup could be considered
— with proper risk management — before the broader bullish trend resumes.
DXY trade ideas
US Dollar: Bullish For The Near Term?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 11 - 15th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
USD Index
The US Dollar has been weakened by bad employment numbers, the expectation for interest rate cuts in the next FED meeting, and inflation sneaking higher. CPI Data is coming Tuesday, and a soft number will add to selling pressure.
However, price is at levels where a the bearish retracement could end, and the higher low could be established.
React and do not predict.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
All the Triggers You Need to Watch This Weekyo its Skeptic from Skeptic Lab 🩵
Quick breakdown of my weekly watchlist — from forex pairs to commodities — including the exact levels and triggers I’m watching for potential setups this week. Whether you trade breakouts or reversals, this list will keep you ahead of the moves.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Forex Forecast & Bias | 11th–15th Aug 2025 | CMCMARKETS:EURUSD In this week’s Forex outlook (11th–15th August 2025), I break down my directional bias for the major currency pairs, highlight key POIs (Points of Interest), and outline which markets I’ll be watching closely.
You’ll see:
✅ Pairs that are ready to trade this week
🚫 Pairs to avoid based on market structure & volatility
📍 High-probability POIs for entries & exits
🎯 My directional bias for each major pair going into next week
This analysis is based on technical structure, higher-timeframe confluence, and key market zones. Perfect for swing and day traders looking for a weekly plan.
📌 Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
DXYHere’s the English description of the two scenarios in your chart:
Scenario 1 (Green Path):
Price drops from the current level (~98.26) towards the demand zone around 97.50–97.60, finds support, and then rallies sharply, breaking above the 98.80–99.00 resistance zone and continuing higher toward the 100.20–100.40 level.
Scenario 2 (Orange Path):
Price first pushes upward toward the 98.80–99.00 supply zone, faces rejection, then falls sharply to the demand zone around 97.50–97.60, before reversing and rallying strongly toward the 100.20–100.40 target.
DXY Trend AnalysisTechnicals:
The DXY is sitting near its pivot, with technical momentum remaining mildly bearish, but oversold conditions suggest a potential for a bullish bounce. If the 97.55 support is broken decisively, further downside is likely. Upside is capped by resistance at 98.64; a break above this may confirm a short-term reversal to the upside.
Key Levels to Watch
Pivot Level: 98.12
Key Support: 97.55
Key Resistance: 98.64
Fundamentals:
- Persistent US twin deficits, reduced safe-haven flows, and a global trend of diversifying away from dollar assets all present headwinds.
- The spread between US yields and foreign peers is at historic highs, but with the Fed expected to ease and global growth forecasts improving, the dollar's advantage is eroding.
- Safe-haven demand could temporarily support the dollar in response to global shocks, but is not expected to reverse the broader downtrend this year.
Analysis by Terence Hove Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
DXY Dollar Index Review: The US Dollar flexes its muscles again.
Chart analysis suggests a medium-term uptrend in the dollar index, signaling growing strength in the U.S. dollar. The current price range between 96 and 97 has effectively prevented further declines and has acted as a strong support and demand zone.
For any further downward move to occur, the price would first need to retest and break this zone—but only after a temporary rise and corrective upward movement, which may take some time to unfold.
Further analysis points to price stabilization in the medium term, with a potential for a sideways to upward trend developing within the 97 to 110 range.
In this scenario, three potential price targets can be outlined:
First and most probable target: 100.30 – 101.70
Second, possible target: 103.20 – 104.30
Third and final target: 107.10 – 110.10
Current price: 98.31
Stop loss: Below 95.90
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – 15M Chart Analysis | Aug 8, 20251. Market Structure:
DXY is trading in a short-term range between 98.471 resistance and 97.952 support, following a sharp downtrend from the 99.072 high.
2. Supply Zone Pressure:
The 98.471 level acts as a strong intraday supply, repeatedly rejecting price and limiting bullish momentum.
3. Demand Zone Cushion:
The 97.952 level is holding as immediate support. Below that, the yellow zone around 97.60–97.45 is a major demand area where buyers may step in.
4. Momentum Bias:
Lower highs from the recent peaks signal ongoing bearish pressure. Short-term rallies are getting sold into, suggesting sellers control the market.
5. Next Move:
Bullish: Break above 98.471 opens path to 98.829–99.072 .
Bearish: Break below 97.952 targets the 97.60–97.45 demand zone.
Bullish bounce off?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 97.79
1st Support: 97.20
1st Resistance: 98.59
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY Poised for Bullish Expansion After Accumulation PhaseThe DXY appears to be completing a corrective phase, transitioning into a potential accumulation zone. Price action shows signs of compression, reduced volatility, and higher lows, suggesting that sellers are losing momentum while buyers begin to absorb liquidity.
This behavior often precedes an expansion phase. If current structure holds, we may soon see a bullish breakout, with price aiming to reclaim previous highs or key resistance levels. A confirmed breakout above the immediate consolidation range could provide a strong signal for long setups.
I'm watching for:
A clear break and retest of local resistance
Bullish confirmation via volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD crossover)
Continuation patterns (flags or bullish order blocks)
As always, risk management is key. This is not financial advice — trade according to your plan.
#DXY #USD #DollarIndex #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #Bullish #PriceAction #Accumulation #Breakout #TradingIdeas #MarketAnalysis #SwingTrading #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #ChartPatterns #RSI #MACD #SupportAndResistance #TrendReversal #DollarStrength
USD Re-Tests a Familiar Area of SupportBack in April the US Dollar was dropping like a rock. While the sell-off in stocks had stalled by the time we got to Easter, the bearish trend in USD was in full-force, going along with a strong breakout in Gold and many major FX pairs. But it was the low on Easter Monday that finally stalled matters for a bit. That price came in right around the 98.00 level, and led to four weeks of strength, including through the May FOMC rate decision, all the way until the 102-handle came into play. That's where the music stopped for the USD rally in Q2, and sellers went back for another push down to fresh lows that ultimately showed with a fresh three-year-low on day one of Q3.
Since then, however, bears have been stalled and there's a couple of different supporting backdrops there, such as the oversold readings that had shown on both the daily and the weekly as we came into Q3, or the falling wedge formation that had built as sellers remained really aggressive at highs or tests of resistance while less so around lows or tests of support.
And it's not like July was all that bullish of a month for the USD as we heard Trump continue to press his desire for low rates, including threats to fire FOMC Chair Jerome Powell. And at this stage, markets are pricing in a rate cut in September, along with another by the end of the year and possibly two. So expectations on rates are really low yet, on a relative basis, the USD has held up somewhat well.
At this point we're at another major test with the USD re-testing that same spot of support that had come into play in April, around the 98.00 handle in DXY. There's more context for support in the USD down to around 97.60, which helps to create a zone. For USD-weakness, I still think GBP/USD remains as attractive, but for USD-strength, EUR/USD could be an interesting case given the Fibonacci resistance that's started to show there. - js
DXY: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 97.871 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXY (USDX): Trend in daily time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
(((((we have two trend)))))
BEST,
MT
Technical Analysis of the US Dollar Index (DXY) | 4-Hour Timefr🟢 Technical Analysis of the US Dollar Index (DXY) | 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour chart, the US Dollar Index has recently formed a Drop-Base-Drop (DBD) structure and is now positioned on a significant support level. This area can play a critical role in traders' decision-making for the next move.
✅ Current Situation:
After the initial drop, the price entered a short-term base/consolidation phase, then continued its decline and is now testing a demand zone (support). In this structure, two potential scenarios are worth considering:
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
If the price reacts positively to this support zone:
A rebound toward previous supply areas is likely.
Holding above the first resistance could indicate a temporary or even long-term trend reversal.
This level may provide a low-risk entry opportunity for buyers targeting a reversal.
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
If selling pressure continues and the current support breaks:
A further drop as part of a third wave (impulse) may unfold.
Lower support zones would become the next target areas for sellers.
Bullish bounce off?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 97.96
1st Support: 97.18
1st Resistance: 98.73
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.