DXY: Last Dip Before Lift-Off?Previous roadmap played out well — time to refresh the view.
Global (1W)
TVC:DXY remains in an uptrend. Since 2008 we’ve built a textbook five-wave impulse.
Since 2022/2023 that impulse has been in correction — base read: a single zigzag (SimpleZ).
Base case: correction completes → trend resumes with new highs ahead.
Alternatives
Flat: push toward 114–115, then a deep pullback.
Double zigzag (W–X–Y): bounce first, then one more leg down.
Local (12H)
Finishing ABC where C likely prints an ending diagonal → expecting the down leg to terminate and a rising phase to begin (either corrective or impulsive).
Price Action
Imbalances below may still get tapped; we’re below a key level, but the core scenario is dollar strength ahead.
What’s your take? Which path do you favor — Base (new highs), Flat (114–115 then pullback), or W–X–Y (one more leg lower)?
Trade ideas
DOLLAR INDEX 97.999-98 IF RESPECTED A S A BUY FLOOR THEN consider to selll GOLD ,SILVER COPPER eurusd sell,audusd sell,usdjpy buy,gbpusd sell, usdzar buy .
the dollar index is the measure of the value of us dollar to basket of six other mejor currency and its affected by the price action of US10Y.
LAYER BY LAYER .
DONT RUSH
#DOLLAR #DXY
DXY Trade Plan 22/10/2025Dear Traders,
The 99–99.200 zone is a very important area for the Dollar Index. Based on this, if the price breaks above this zone, we will enter sell positions on USD pairs. However, if a bearish candle appears, we will enter buy positions for a 80–100 pip move.
Regards,
Alireza!
DXY UpdateDXY — Reaction at 98.611 Distribution Zone
The U.S. Dollar Index met firm resistance near 98.611, the same Bearish distribution area that capped momentum last week.
Price remains inside a wide daily range but shows the first sign of cooling after a strong stretch higher.
Below sits 98.143, the line that that changes chart bearish. Until then We are still good.
Acceptance under that level would confirm a structure shift and open space for continued rotation lower.
Upcoming jobless claims and Fed remarks may decide which side gains conviction.
For now, this is a market balancing inventory — not trending, just redistributing.
Trade confirmation, not anticipation.
Key levels:
98.611 — Distribution cap
98.143 — Structural pivot
— Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
Bearish drop off?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 98.91
1st Support: 98.43
1st Resistance: 99.43
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Dollar Index Big Map: Trend Is Your Friend This year, the dollar has been in the red all the way down — until it hit the strong support line of a multi-decade uptrend (white). From there, it bounced to the upside. So, what’s next?
I’d like to share with you a big map of the Dollar Index.
I assume that we are still within the large second leg ((Y)) of the ((WXY)) corrective structure (white).
Within this structure, we can see a smaller-degree (WXY) correction (blue).
Currently, the market is moving in the last leg C of the final upward move in blue wave (Y).
Many times, I’ve observed how beautifully these wave structures align with strong pivot points.
The ultimate target for wave ((Y)) is near the top of wave ((W)), around 121.
This level also matches the target where blue wave (Y) equals blue wave (X) — an amazing correlation!
There are two key confirmation levels marked on the map:
Bullish confirmation — above 110 (this would invalidate the bearish scenario).
Bearish confirmation — below 89 (this would invalidate the ((WXY)) structure).
US Index is getting stronger and ready to climb the 100.149 markAfter rebounding from the 97.45 support zone, DXY is regaining strength above the 200 EMA, showing short-term bullish momentum. However, the broader price structure bearish strength will take over.
The MACD is currently showing a bullish crossover from oversold levels, supporting the ongoing corrective move to the upside. Once the index approaches the resistance region, momentum could begin to fade, leading to a potential bearish reversal.
Resistance Zone: 99.80, 100.50 and ultimate 100.14
Immediate Resistance: 98.93 followed by 99.84
Support Levels: 97.46 and 96.87 trendline support
US Dollar: Bullish! The Pullback To Support Is An Opportunity!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct 13 - 17th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD was bullish all of last week, except for Friday. Pres. Trump announced China tariffs and the market dumped. For me, this is a market knee jerk reaction, and temporary in nature. I am looking for the DXY to continue higher this coming week, rendering last Friday's candle as only a pullback to support.
There is an opportunity here for buyers, in my opinion.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DXY SHORT FROM SUPPLY AREA|
✅DXY Price is retracing toward the supply level, where a reaction is likely once the imbalance gets filled. A rejection from this zone could confirm the retest before continuation lower toward the 98.30 target area. Time Frame 2H.
SHORT🔥
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DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W43 | D2| Y25 |
📅 Q4 | W43 | D2| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
USDX — rebound from demand zoneThe U.S. Dollar Index (USDX) is correcting within an upward channel. After testing the demand zone 98.20–98.80 on the 4H chart, a double bottom pattern appeared, signaling a potential bullish continuation.
Strong Smart Money and volume support remain near 98.50. As long as price stays above this area, the bullish scenario remains valid.
Targets for growth are located at 100.12 and 101.03 — key supply zones and previous highs.
The dollar is supported by solid U.S. macro data and expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher rates for longer. This keeps the USD attractive and favors further recovery.
The bullish bias remains while price holds above 98.20. Only a confirmed breakdown below 97.50 would shift the structure to bearish.
DXY Trade Plan 13/10/2025Dear Traders,
💵 U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis – 16H Timeframe
📅 October 13, 2025
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) remains in a mid-term consolidation phase, but recent bullish momentum suggests that a new upward leg may soon begin.
After testing resistance near 99.10, DXY is showing signs of a short-term pullback. The 97.50–97.80 area (highlighted in blue) stands out as a strong demand/support zone, aligning with previous structure and horizontal support levels.
If the index manages to hold above this area, a bullish reversal from this zone could trigger a continuation move toward the 102.00–102.10 resistance level — the next major upside target.
This scenario would align with a potential recovery in USD strength across major pairs, particularly if macro data supports tightening or a risk-off sentiment in markets.
📊 Summary:
Overall Trend: Bullish bias after correction
Key Support Zone: 97.50 – 97.80
Key Resistance Target: 102.00 – 102.10
Scenario: Waiting for a pullback into 97.5–97.8 zone for a possible long continuation toward 102
Regards,
Alireza!
DXY: 100 on the Horizon as Trade Tensions Lift the DollarThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing renewed bullish momentum as both technicals and fundamentals align to support further upside.
Technically, the chart reveals a clear inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, with a confirmed neckline breakout above 98.50–98.70. This zone now acts as strong support, reinforced by the 20- and 50-day moving averages trending upward. Price remains well within its ascending channel, suggesting bullish structure remains intact.
As long as DXY holds above 98.50, the path of least resistance points higher, with a medium-term target around 99.80–100.50 — a major resistance zone and psychological round number.
On the fundamental side, escalating U.S.–China trade tensions — including Trump’s renewed 100% tariff threats and China’s warning of retaliation — have reignited safe-haven demand for the dollar. Meanwhile, weakness in the euro and yen adds further tailwinds to DXY’s strength.
The combination of a bullish chart setup and a flight-to-safety narrative suggests 100 could be on the cards if the index continues to respect support and maintain momentum above the moving averages.
DXY: Sellers Take ControlHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
The US Dollar Index (DXY) formed a sideways range on the daily timeframe at the end of June. The seller’s initiative is now active, with a target at 96.767.
Before that, there was a buyer initiative, and we can see that at the end of it, there was a manipulation around the 98.640 level.
A buyer attack occurred on high volume, but the sellers absorbed the buyer’s attack candle and pushed the price downward on October 15.
The price may return to retest either 98.65 - 98.35 area. However, the main movement on the Dollar Index remains downward.
Wishing you profitable trades!
DXYThe dollar just isn’t getting much love lately. It’s been losing steam, struggling to bounce, and the charts aren’t helping its case. With talk of the Fed easing up and other currencies picking up strength, there’s not much keeping the dollar afloat right now. Unless something shifts, it looks like the dollar could stay under pressure for a while.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 97.71
1st Support: 96.64
1st Resistance: 99.98
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Dollar Index Behavior in a Descending DiamondThe dollar index has made a very polite effort and has been fluctuating within the range I have drawn, and I think this effort will continue and continue its downward trend until the price range I have indicated in the image!
Time will tell if this claim is true!
Good luck...
4th Quarter Madness In a world where there's a government shut down, technology is changing at a rapid pace, finances are changing at a rapid pace, I see short term bullishness for DXY. This daily chart outlines the year 2025 in quarters and as we sit in the 4th quarter, I see a reason to believe we will be bullish targeting the consolidation high sitting at 100.250 then the high found in Q2 which sits at 102 institutional level.
DXY UpdateDXY — The Volume Cap: Where Momentum Meets Memory
Every market has memory — and in the Dollar Index, it’s sitting right at 97.4.
That’s the current Volume Cap — a zone where heavy participation once stopped price cold, leaving unfinished business behind.
Price loves to revisit these caps, testing whether the imbalance still holds or finally gives way.
⚙️ Context (4H | Friday Recap)
Friday delivered heavy volume and clean directional flow — a textbook session.
DXY continues to rotate within the 97.048–99.198 range, holding a short-term bullish tone inside a larger consolidation.
📊 Technical Map
• Structure: Long-term bearish range inside a broader consolidation phase.
• Momentum: Still bullish, but showing early fatigue.
• Volume Cap: The 97.4 level remains unfilled, acting like a magnet for potential retests — the true battleground between continuation and correction.
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
After a month of running hot, the dollar finally cooled.
Retail Sales and Industrial Production softened, yields eased, and traders started whispering “rate cuts” again.
The Fed’s cautious tone keeps volatility contained ahead of next week’s Core PCE inflation data.
🧭 Trade Plan (If/Then)
If DXY runs through 97.4, watch for a bearish Volume Cap flip — potential downside toward nearby support.
If Monday’s price action drives higher, expect bullish momentum rotation back toward the 97.0 retest region.