DXY — The Market UpdateDXY — The Market Therapist’s Take
🧭 Context
The U.S. Dollar sits between 98.613 and 98.143 — the high and low from Tuesday, October 21.
That zone still controls the market’s psychology.
Price is absorbing every order above and below it — a quiet accumulation phase that looks like chaos, but isn’t.
The question isn’t “where next,” it’s “who’s still trapped inside.”
📐 Technical Map
Daily structure remains bullish range, while weekly and monthly dynamic maps stay bearish.
Four months straight, price has rotated through the same rhythm — collecting both buy and sell stops across cross-assets.
It’s not indecision; it’s design.
If 98.613 breaks, we open expansion higher.
If 98.143 gives way, next pivot becomes the target.
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
The dollar’s not crashing — it’s unwinding its old story.
For two years, the script was simple: high yields, safe haven, strong America.
Now, traders are rewriting the plot.
Prediction markets show a 40% chance of a U.S. recession in 2025.
Rate-cut expectations jumped from one to three.
Meanwhile, Germany’s €500 B infrastructure and defense plan signals a new fiscal identity for Europe — and money follows that kind of momentum shift.
📊 Volume & Order Flow Map
Volume tools mark 98.197 as the month’s Volume Key line.
Close above it, and the bias turns bullish — potential for expansion.
Close below, and we remain in a controlled range.
This is no accident — it’s liquidity engineering.
Volume flow reveals the intention behind every candle.
🎯 Plan
Price symmetry holds mid-range, trapping traders chasing both sides.
In this kind of terrain, in-and-out execution is survival, not fear.
Stay inside structure until the market itself declares direction.
The currency game isn’t random — it’s orchestration.
When you can’t hold bias, hold discipline.
When price hides intent, follow volume.
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
Trade ideas
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D27| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D27| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DXY Weekly Outlook - Impact on XAU/USD & EUR/USD📊DXY Weekly Outlook - Impact on XAU/USD & EUR/USD
On the weekly timeframe, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has shown a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) after retesting a key support zone, identified as a weekly breaker block.
This technical setup suggests a bullish outlook for the upcoming week. 📈
A strengthening dollar typically translates into a weaker Euro and potential downward pressure on Gold (XAU/USD) due to their negative correlation with the USD.
In addition, there is engineered draw on liquidity to the upside, supported by an unfilled imbalance (weekly Fair Value Gap) , providing a strong indication that price may continue to seek higher levels in order to rebalance this inefficiency.
Also, we have identified a Smart Money Technique (SMT) divergence on the weekly timeframe between DXY and EUR/USD, adding strong confluence to our outlook.
Specifically, DXY has formed a lower low, while EUR/USD has created a higher high ,an indication of underlying dollar strength and bearish momentum building for EUR/USD.
On the EUR/USD weekly chart, a liquidity grab followed by a Market Structure Shift further supports our bearish bias for the pair in the coming week.
In summary:
DXY: Bullish bias 🐂
EUR/USD: Bearish bias 🐻
XAU/USD: Bearish bias 🐻
Overall, based on current structure, SMT divergence, and prior technical analysis, I expect the U.S. Dollar to strengthen in the week ahead, with EUR/USD and Gold likely to experience downward movement.
DXY RARE BULLISH FRIDAY SET UPFridays are notoriously bad for dollar, however, today’s Friday session is different.
Due to the ongoing shutdown US data releases are backed and stacked up. There is a large manipulation in play (but don’t worry, trump is busy building his ballroom wing edition plans to the White House and too busy today for tariff surprises).
Long to target zone. Safe exit at 99.5, brave buyers could extend further.
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W43 | D2| Y25 |
📅 Q4 | W43 | D2| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DXYDaily structure pointing to an easing of price action in the near term. 5 bar fractals providing the extremes of the range. The bullish Cypher is obviously incomplete and a guess. But the bottom of the range and the shift in sentiment needs to be revisited before any upside. The Cypher would give us the wyckoff spring and upside taking out highs on the way to 💯.
Analysis of the Dollar Index.The Dollar Index has been in an upward trend towards 100 for nearly 40 days, and the likelihood of reaching the 100 level is high. This is probably going to happen in the coming weeks.
It’s almost bullish across all timeframes below the daily, and only negative news can change this trend.
DXY: Bullish Setup Brewing at Key Weekly Support!The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing a compelling setup on the weekly timeframe! 📈 The price has reached a critical support zone between 99.120 and 94.802. This level also aligns with the lower boundary of a descending channel, adding confluence to this high-probability zone.
🔍 Key Technical Observations:
Bullish Divergence: A clear bullish divergence has formed between the price and the RSI indicator, signaling potential exhaustion of sellers and a possible trend reversal.
Channel Support: The price is testing the lower trendline of the descending channel, a spot where buyers have stepped in before.
Support Zone: The 99.120–94.802 range is a high-value area for accumulation, making it a prime spot for a bounce.
📡 What’s Next?Technically, the DXY looks poised for a bullish reversal. However, global macroeconomic events and fundamental news (like Fed decisions or geopolitical developments) will play a crucial role in confirming this move. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases! 📅
What do you think of this setup? Are you bullish on DXY, or waiting for more confirmation? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
DXY AnalysisDXY remains within a broader uptrend, but currently shows signs of short-term consolidation after facing resistance near 99.05.
A head & shoulder pattern is likely to be forming, with right shoulder in the making, if successfully created, will force the prices lower towards the neckline near S2 (98.5)
Overall, the index is likely to retest support around 98.60–98.50 (S1–S2) before a potential rebound if the uptrend line holds.
Although, a break below 98.50 could trigger deeper correction toward 98.20, while sustained strength above 99.25 may resume bullish momentum.
DXY UpdateDXY — Reaction at 98.611 Distribution Zone
The U.S. Dollar Index met firm resistance near 98.611, the same Bearish distribution area that capped momentum last week.
Price remains inside a wide daily range but shows the first sign of cooling after a strong stretch higher.
Below sits 98.143, the line that that changes chart bearish. Until then We are still good.
Acceptance under that level would confirm a structure shift and open space for continued rotation lower.
Upcoming jobless claims and Fed remarks may decide which side gains conviction.
For now, this is a market balancing inventory — not trending, just redistributing.
Trade confirmation, not anticipation.
Key levels:
98.611 — Distribution cap
98.143 — Structural pivot
— Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
DXY OutlookWhen the Dollar Rises, Crypto Feels the Heat 💵🔥
The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) tracks how strong the dollar is against other currencies. When it climbs, it means investors are moving money into safe assets like cash or U.S. bonds — and away from risky plays like Bitcoin and altcoins.
A stronger dollar makes crypto more expensive globally, reduces demand, and usually pushes prices down.
When the DXY cools off, liquidity flows back into risk assets — that’s when crypto tends to bounce.
In short:
📈 DXY up = crypto down
📉 DXY down = crypto up
Watch the DXY; it’s one of the best macro indicators for crypto moves.
The DXY continues to establish a solid base for bullish recoveryThe DXY continues to establish a solid base for bullish recovery around the 98.000 level, aiming to mitigate toward the 103.000 region. This development highlights a potential shift in market momentum as dollar strength begins to rebuild. follow for more insights ,comment and boost idea
The Dollar Index (DXY) AnalysisDXY is holding above 98.75 (Fib 61.8%), indicating a short-term bullish bias after bouncing from the recent low near 98.15.
Momentum remains positive, with the index approaching resistance at R1: 99.00 and a potential upside target toward R2: 99.25–99.40 zone.
RSI near 60 reflects moderate bullish momentum without being overbought.
Bollinger mid-band (around 98.75) acts as near-term support, keeping intraday sentiment positive.
Bias stays bullish above 98.75, but rejection near 99.25 may trigger minor profit booking.
Fundamental Factors
- Foreign institutional investors have restarted accumulating US stocks:
- October witnessed the highest purchase of US stocks by non-US investors
- Total purchase made = +$22 billion so far in October, the most in last 4 months.
- Marking the 3rd consecutive monthly inflow, after negative inflows reported in July.
- Meanwhile, foreign holdings of US equities rose to a record $20 trillion last quarter.
It seems everyone again wants to enter the US stock market.
Remember 2 Things:
1. When stock market (riskier market) attracts demand =>> The safe havens (Gold) "might" get weaker
2. For Foreign Investors, to invest in US Stock markets =>> first needs to purchase US Dollar =>> US Dollar Strengthens
- When US Dollar strengthens =>> Gold weakens
DXY Trade Plan 22/10/2025Dear Traders,
The 99–99.200 zone is a very important area for the Dollar Index. Based on this, if the price breaks above this zone, we will enter sell positions on USD pairs. However, if a bearish candle appears, we will enter buy positions for a 80–100 pip move.
Regards,
Alireza!
US Dollar: Looking For Higher Prices This WeekWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct 20-24th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD had a bearish week overall, but Friday's bullish close may hint towards the bias for this week. Potentially, we may see some continuation to the upside over the next couple of days.
Look at how price pulled back into the Daily Demand. This is a great place for the retracement to end ... and the new bullish leg to begin.
Wait for confirmations... like the failure of the -FVG. Then buys become valid.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DXY - TRADING WEEK 20 - 24 OCTOBER 2025This week i expect the DXY to pullback to the 98.800/98.900 level of resistance and consequencially selloff to the 97.700 - 97.600 level of support closing the gap created two weeks ago, I don't exclude a lower test in the 97.000 area, this will be up to the strenght of the USD coming out from data at the start of the week.
The test of 97.700 - 97.600 could provide excellent trading setup and entries for GOLD, EUR USD, USD CHF and related USD pairs.
I expect the index to rally up and achieve the 99.600 and 100.200 level of resistance.
Please like/comment/share this idea - i will follow up through the week.
Wishing you all a great trading week!
DXY Rejection from Premium Zone | USD Weakness AheadHello Billionaires!!
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of exhaustion after tapping into the FVG + Order Block within the premium zone.
We’ve also confirmed a Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside — signaling a potential short-term reversal.
📊 Analysis Breakdown:
FVG & OB confluence near 98.90 🧠
MSS indicates bearish intent ⚡
Targeting buying zone around 98.30 area 🩸
This scenario supports USD weakness, aligning with potential bullish moves in EURUSD, GBPUSD, and AUDUSD.
💡 Trade Plan:
DXY → Short bias below OB
USDJPY → Short setup favored
EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD → Look for long setups
Smart Money likely engineered liquidity above before pushing price lower to rebalance inefficiency.






















