Trade ideas
The Gold Silver Ratio has a big decision ahead.The Gold Silver Ratio is either about to create a second bottom in Silver or will allow Silver to finally join the Gold rally in a bullish move for the precious metals. This technical pattern does not indicate one way or the other what is the most likely outcome, however in a deflationary environment I would expect silver to head lower and therfore the Gold Silver Ratio to head higher one last time.
Gold / Silver Ratio Hits Highest in Over 5,000 YearsThe Longest Record Broken: Gold/Silver Ratio Hits Highest in Over 5,000 Years 🎉🎉🎉
We have data for this series going back a long, long time – during Pharaoh Menes’ time (circa 3100 BCE) for example the ratio was 2½x, whereas in King Hammurabi’s day (circa 1750 BCE) it was 6x. The legendary Greek king Croesus (circa 560 BCE), who supposedly invented gold and silver coins, was more of a gold bug – he used a 13.33x ratio. Emperor Constantine I (280-337 CE) was less so at 10.5x.1
We have more frequent data starting from 1687 that confirms it: yesterday the gold/silver ratio was the highest ever. The ratio peaked at 123.78.
I can’t say exactly what has driven this ratio to the highest level in some 5,120 years, but it does prove one thing beyond a doubt: the financial markets are in an extraordinary, unprecedented situation.
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Gold to Silver RatioFollowing up my outlook on silver, this furthers my bullish silver bias. The last monthly close has wicked massively from the topside. Either this is a channel that has broke above and bull trapped or (depending on where you draw your trend lines) it could be a broadening wedge. Either way I would see this as bearish for the gold to silver ratio.
At the very least I surmise that this would have to touch/test/SMASH/DEMOLISH the bottom trend line, right?
To summarise. If this was a price chart for an asset; I would certainly be weary of longing it right now!
Gold Silver Ratio topping process?Noticing Silver strengthening against gold this morning. Looking for one more surge up, perhaps next week, if it does not take out the highs, perhaps we will see at the minimum, some reversion to the mean. I had been noticing gold stocks weakening over the past few trading days and have pared down, selling RGLD, MAG and a few others. Keeping WPM. Unfortunately, the gold stocks that I would like to own show falling stochastics on the monthly charts so while there may be some decent rallies, I'm wondering if a general deflation scenario along with production and refining shutdowns might affect the gold sector across the board. Want to keep my powder drive awaiting screaming buys should they present themselves.
Quickpost on the Gold Silver RatioPretty straightforward. The ratio was in a wedge depending on how you draw it for at least a decade The blue bars are all cloned off of the wedge hight and it set the target for popping out both the top and bottom. Price action popped first out of the wedge in gold's favor and now as many traders pivot I think we will see over-performance to the downside and we will see the price target clearly taken out over the next six months.
Paper and physical silver prices have very clearly decoupled as some close paper silver and others buy physical. I still see a potential head and shoulders on gold futures as price decouples so the physical and paper strategies vary here.
I also see a potential BARR bottom in the works for silver and that itself calls for giveback as the lead-in trendline is tested. I am going to do a post on that potential BARR later today, so stay tuned.
A Return to the Average Gold to Silver Ratio! - BUY SILVERSilver has underperformed gold, leading to an incredibly elevated gold/silver ratio of 1:120. With FED actions proving to be bullish for precious metals as the government is printing massive amounts of dollars, it's a GO for Silver. The gold/silver ratio could easily return to around 1:40, which would represent a 3x outperformance of silver when compared to gold. BUY SILVER!
Highest GSR in history!Highest Gold / Silver Ratio in human history on 3/16/2020 - Bat Monday.
Metals getting crushed.
Deflation raging.
Markets in free fall.
Opportunities abound. I am LONG both gold and silver, and currently spot prices falling do not represent ability to accumulate physical at any discount whatsoever. The Great Divergence between spot and physical prices may possibly be occurring, although no one can declare victory yet. We did see this in 2008/9 as well so it is still too soon to tell, but you cannot get physical gold or silver for what you see as the spot price. Premiums have soared and remain high at this time. To accumulate physical silver at this time you are paying between 30-50% premiums from dealers.
Long term, I believe that both silver and gold are an excellent play and gold could easily retrace 25% from it's 2020 highs to a level around $1,200 if history is any guide. It may not repeat this time, but it will rhyme.
Good luck.
Can Gold Silver Ratio Go Any Higher?100:1 is quite absurd. Had thought that as stocks went up, the gold-silver ratio was correlated. But the recent decline in stocks has only exacerbated the ratio. Mining representatives relate how the ratios coming out of the ground are 8:1. We truly live in a world where markets have no relationship to reality. Definitely time to shift precious metals purchases to favor silver
GOLDSILVER ratio still on the rise?Hey everyone!
Everyone knows GOLD to SILVER ratio has been high recently. I was watching a video by Mike Maloney (www.youtube.com) and he says he thinks GOLDSILVER will go above ~120
I thought I missed out on the GOLD -> SILVER swap but I was wrong... I may be able to swap it above 100:1.
Mike says it will go high and then tighten up when people start to dump money into gold.
You can keep your silver from the swap at 120:1 or you can trade it back for gold when it goes back under 100 (way under)
I think GOLDSILVER has blown off from the recent run up and should reverse back again shortly.
Not financial advice, I am crypto trader and I suck at TA.
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