NASDAQ For short‑term / trading: Be cautious — watch for signs of over‑valuation, and maybe wait for dips or consolidation before entering major positions.Community discussions
NASDAQ For short‑term / trading: Be cautious — watch for signs of over‑valuation, and maybe wait for dips or consolidation before entering major positions.NASDAQ Nasdaq is attractive for long‑term investors — if you believe in tech & AI long term, this could be a period of accumulation (with patience).tell me your idea
NAS100 “NAS100 moves fast, but smart traders stay calm. Follow the trend, manage risk, and let every swing teach you something new.”
NDQ So my longer term view: Nasdaq to 16.6k best case, first real support, but probably onto 12k area. Why?I admit, 12k seems simply unbeleivable. But for starters it about where we are starting from here. The market is over valued by any metric you care to find, off the charts in others. With P/E's around 30+, it could easily drop by 50% and still not even be cheap by long term mean standards. That puts it around 13k already.
Ok, but still, whats going to precipitate that?
1. Inflation will remain sticky. Trumps interference in global trading is not helping, nor are associated supply problems. The inflation from the years of money printing since 2008 has oddly never really showed up in any sense, except in assett classes. I dont know how it hasnt, or what changed, but it certainly has been now.
2 Then seperately, AI will lead to many job cuts in the coming years, before economies rebalance.
3 But -and this is the kicker- THIS time the feds ponzi scheme will not be able to save markets, due to sticky inflation. Otherwise they will risk hyper inflation.
So it mostly depends if inflation is controlled before the job cut problems start showing up in earnest. That will determine whether the feds hands are tied. If they are, then lead balloons all round, except for gold/silver.
Not saying the ATH is in, though its at the top of what i see as a channel from 2023 or using log scale, then 2010. I wouldnt advise anyone else to put all their eggs in a down move. It could still be some time coming. And new ATH are defintiely possible.
My main concern with this assessment is that the effect of job cuts i suspect is still maybe 6 months to a year off. But i guess the market could start retreating from lofty valuations for now, then when the ___ hits the fan, it may go the rest of the way.
Interestingly the technicals in terms of moving averages and oscillators they give us on the chart show strong buy. 16 buy: 10 neatral : zero sell.
Zero sell? Is that also suggestive of a top? Who knows. Not been following this long enough. Maybe its been like that the last 10 years!
Anyway, this is the move down im looking to follow. Trying to limit losses to much further upside and avoid getting taken out by vicious bounces aloing the way.
Criticism welcome. Point out areas where you think i maybe blinded by confirmation bias, or am simply wrong.
US100 It's funny that we went through all this crap the last month only to close where we started at the beginning of the month.Makes you wonder, if the next "crash" will last 3.8 seconds and the "big bad bear market" will last a whole day...
Not talking from the perspective of a bear or bull here, talking from the perspective of feeling like there is no consolidation of a deep in order to accumulate shares while price is suppressed.
NAS100USD if I tell you it will 100 percent retest the ath, what would you do? only answer is buy and hold. what about stop loss or market crash, ai bubble bla bla bla, then this game is not for you. learn to listen and be patient
NAS100 Patience is the key in trading 👏🏻
USTEC 25,600 possibly 25,700
US100 not unexpected. parked in neutral territory.
NAS100 what did we say about selli😎