Pullback time for J40?The market has run hard and well, and trading against the trend is never a good idea... and here we are putting up a short trade idea on the J40. It seem that the recent upward sloping channel has been broken and we have a decent 1:2 risk-reward short trade to support on the cards. Stop just above the highs, take profit at previous resistance (now support).
SA40 trade ideas
Why You Must NOT Multi-Task When Trading – 4 ReasonsWhy You Must NOT Multi-Task When Trading
We are taught to multi-task through life.
To be a jack of all trades.
With trading, it’s a golden rule to NOT multi task.
Your focus diminishes.
Your productivity slows down.
And your confusion goes up.
So we need to instead focus on ONE thing at a time.
Here’s why…
🔍 #1: You Miss Crucial Opportunities
Picture this: you’re juggling several tasks at once.
You’re looking at hundreds of markets.
You’re monitoring all the news events.
Your charts look like a Christmas treed.
You’re looking at social media and emails.
And then what happens?
You miss the important trade line ups.
A slight delay in executing a trade can mean the difference between a profit and a loss.
You see, when you multi-task – your attention is divided.
And great opportunities can slip right through your fingers.
Stay focused. Stay vigilant. That one trade might be your ticket to your next winning streak.
⏱️#2: There Are Delays in Trading Decision Making
Speed is of the essence in trading.
The markets move fast, and so should you.
But when you’re multi-tasking, your decision-making process slows down.
You find yourself second-guessing every move, doubting your strategies, and hesitating just when you need to act.
This delay can be costly.
A missed opportunity, a wrong move, or a delayed reaction can lead to nothing happening when it should.
😵💫 #3: Your Stress Levels Are High
Trading alone is stressful.
The constant flux of the market, the pressure to make the right decisions, and the potential financial stakes are enough to keep anyone on edge.
Now, add multi-tasking to the mix, and you’re looking at a recipe for burnout.
Your brain is not wired to handle multiple complex tasks simultaneously.
This overload increases your stress levels, affecting your mental clarity and emotional stability.
Lower your stress and focus on one task at a time.
Your mind will thank you, and your trading performance will improve.
🎯 #4: You Make More Mistakes – You Need Laser Focus!
I’ve professed the idea of LASER your trades.
Look, Analyse, Setup, Execute and Record.
Focus on one part of your trading at a time and you’ll see better performance.
✅ Summary of Key Points:
#1: You Miss Crucial Opportunities
#2: There Are Delays in Trading Decision Making
#3: Your Stress Levels Are High
#4: You Make More Mistakes – You Need Laser Focus!
Set a Trading TIMER – Mr or Mrs Busy!Hey, Mr. or Mrs. busy!
I get it. Finding time to trade in this busy life, is tough.
But as I like to say.
If you have time to have coffee, go to the bathroom or binge Netflix – you have time to build your financial career.
However, if you find it difficult to be disciplined with your trading.
Thern I have a simple trick for you.
🕒SET A TIMER!
Yes, you read it right. Set a TIMER!
If you’ve got just 15 minutes or up to one hour, make it count.
Let’s dive into how you can master the timer when you trade.
💡REASON #1: Remember Parkinson’s Law
Ever heard of Parkinson’s Law?
It states that work expands to fill the time available for its completion.
In simpler terms, if you give yourself all day to analyze trades, you’ll take all day.
But if you limit yourself to an hour, you’ll focus and give all the attention in just one hour.
You’ll be surprised how much you can achieve.
You see, when you set a timer – it creates a sense of urgency. And it helps ensure you stay on task and get the job done.
🎯REASON #2: The Power of Focused Trading
When the timer is ticking, distractions don’t stand a chance.
You’ll notice your brain kicks into high gear, almost with adrenaline.
And you’ll be able to prioritise the tasks and filter out the noise.
This focused trading approach will help you make quick, effective decisions.
That’s the power of a ticking clock.
📝HOW TO Craft Your Perfect 15 Minutes Trading Plan
Alright, let’s break it down.
How should you structure this golden hour of trading?
5 Minutes: Market Analysis – Start by analyzing the market.
Choose the one watch list and go through it attentively.
5 Minutes: Strategy line-up – Prepare your trades
This is where you’ll go through your watch list again – but set up your potential trades lining up according to your strategy.
This is where you’ll jot down your levels (Entry, Stop loss and take profit).
Maybe you’ll write down some notes on why it lined up and whether it’s a high or medium probability trade.
5 Minutes: Execution – Just take the trades
Now if three or four trades have lined up.
Calculate your position sizes and execute your trades that line up perfectly to the strategy.
That’s it…
Now obviously, if you’re following a trading mentor’s style, trades etc… You’ll need less time.
But you’ll need a strategy to follow whenever a trading idea comes out including:
Having your trading platform opened on your devices
Having your position sizes calculated already according to what your portfolio is
Knowing when to expect trades by going to the charts and preparing for the day as you’ll have an idea on what your mentor is showing you.
🏋️NEXT: Staying Disciplined with Your Trading Timer
The hardest part?
Sticking to the timer.
When it says start, you start.
When it says stop, you stop.
If you need more time than 15 minutes – then CHOOSE the time that works best.
This habit builds consistency and prevents burnout.
It’s tempting to extend your trading time, especially when you’re in the zone.
But discipline is key.
At the start you might need the timer for the first few weeks. But then the motivation turns into discipline.
And when the discipline turns into integration – you’ll be able to trade without the timer and without any effort.
🚀 It’s more than just a trading timer
Setting a timer doesn’t just help with trading.
It helps you with other areas of life.
You’ll find yourself more organized, efficient, and in control.
Whether it’s a work project or a personal task, this technique can transform your productivity.
Plus, it teaches you to value your time—a priceless lesson in today’s fast-paced world.
🏆FINAL WORDS: Make Every Minute Count
So, next time you’re about to trade, set that trading timer.
Think of FED – Focus, efficiency, and discipline are your new best friends.
Let’s sum up what we covered today.
SET A TIMER!
REASON #1: Remember Parkinson’s Law
REASON #2: The Power of Focused Trading
HOW TO Craft Your Perfect 15 Minutes Trading Plan
NEXT: Staying Disciplined with Your Trading Timer
It’s more than just a trading timer
The Complete Guide to Stop Trading Procrastination – 8 Actions👋 Hey
Ever found yourself staring at your trading platform?
Your finger can either be 1 mm away from the buy button…
Or feel like it’s the distance of the Great Wall of China.
And you’re still not pressing it.
🎉 Welcome to the Procrastinator’s Club!
Don’t worry—you’re not alone.
Many traders struggle with procrastination.
The good news? It’s totally beatable.
Let’s dive into why we procrastinate and, more importantly, how to crush it and become the trader you’ve always wanted to be.
❓ Why Do We Procrastinate?
🤔 Doubt Your Trades?
Doubt is a confidence killer.
You’re doubting yourself.
Your system.
The markets.
Even trading as a whole.
This leads to hesitation… and missed opportunities.
🗓️ Skip a Trading Day?
Skipping even one trading day can cost you.
Markets don’t wait.
If you’re not in the game—you can’t score.
Even checking from your phone could make all the difference!
📉 Don’t Monitor Your Results?
If you’re not tracking, you’re guessing.
Are you improving?
Is the market environment helping or hurting you?
Without tracking, you’re flying blind.
💥 6 Ways to Beat Trading Procrastination
✅ #1: Choose Your Trading Days
Pick 3–4 specific days to focus on trading.
Avoid unfavourable times (like low volatility Mondays or dead hours in Gold).
Structure = consistency = confidence.
📋 #2: Set Smaller Tasks
Break your workload into bite-size pieces.
One day: analyse EUR/USD.
Next day: track performance.
Next day: update journal.
Small wins add up!
📊 #3: Track Results on a Specific Day
Pick a review day weekly.
Don’t obsess daily.
Your portfolio’s like your weight—it’ll fluctuate!
Track over time, not minute-by-minute
⏱️ #4: Set a Timer
Got 1 hour? Or just 15 minutes?
Set a timer, remove distractions, and lock in.
Even a focused short session can yield powerful results.
🧠 #5: Self-Talk
Talk yourself into trading—not out of it.
“I’ve got this.”
“I know my system.”
“I’m the boss.”
Say it. Mean it. Do it.
🎁 #6: Reward Yourself
Win or lose—if you followed your strategy, celebrate.
A treat.
A break.
Something fun.
This builds discipline + motivation.
🏁 Final Words
Procrastination is a habit.
But so is discipline.
You now have a toolkit.
So…
When are you taking action?
Tomorrow? That’s procrastination.
Today? That’s progress.
Start small. Just start.
🔥 How to Stop Procrastinating:
Remove distractions
Positive self-talk
Reward yourself
👉 Your future trader-self is already thanking you.
SA40: Correction expected before a buyHello,
In march we did an article about this pair and indicated that the index was overstretched and a correction was imminent. Link
The correction happened and the price has since reached all time highs once again. We see this as a perfect opportunity for investors who invested during the correction to take profit since another correction is most likely in the near term. Market uncertainty is being fueled by concerns over U.S. trade policy, as there is very scanty information on agreed trade agreements. Investors fear these tariffs could slow economic growth in the world's largest economy. However, Trump has suggested a softer approach, stating that not all threatened tariffs would be imposed immediately and some countries have received exemptions.
Given the current uncertainty, we anticipate a further correction in the SA40. Investors considering exposure to this asset may wait for the correction to play out before entering a long-term buy position.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
South Africa Top 40 Index (SA40) Overview and Market OutlookHello,
The South Africa Top 40 Index (SA40), also known as the JSE Top 40 Index, is a capitalization-weighted index that tracks the performance of the 40 largest companies listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE)—Africa’s largest stock exchange. Despite covering a relatively small number of companies, the index represents over 80% of the total market capitalization of JSE-listed firms, making it a strong indicator of the overall performance of the South African stock market.
Market Update & Outlook
While the SA40 remains a key benchmark, it has faced recent price struggles as investors react to global economic developments. Market uncertainty has been fueled by concerns over U.S. trade policy, particularly expectations surrounding President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariff plans. Investors fear these tariffs could slow economic growth in the world's largest economy. However, Trump recently suggested a softer approach, stating that not all threatened tariffs would be imposed immediately and that some countries may receive exemptions.
Investment Strategy
Given the current uncertainty, we anticipate a further correction in the SA40. Investors considering exposure to this asset may opt for a small short position in the near term or wait for the correction to play out before entering a long-term buy position. Careful risk management and market monitoring remain crucial in navigating this evolving landscape.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DISASTER Recipe for trading destruction (5 Points)🏊♂️ Do You Ever Try Swimming Upstream?
Unless you’re doing it for exercise and the strain…
You’ll know it’s exhausting.
And if you go against the direction of the waves, you’ll get nowhere very slowly—until you either reach the destination or give up.
Well, I find that trading against the trend is just as bad.
When you trade against the trend – your EGO starts to talk.
Your opinions start to enhance, and your irrational mind begins to take over.
I feel I need to explain why it’s so dangerous to go against the trend.
Let’s dive in.
🚫 Never Force a Trend
The worst thing you can do is bottom or top pick a market.
What makes you feel that you know the market is about to turn?
❓ Do you have inside information?
❓ Do you have a stronger intuition?
❓ Did you do some crazy future analysis?
And what’s the point?
Let the market reach its bottom or top, turn around – move a bit in the new direction until you have confirmation.
And then POUNCE.
You only need 30% of the trend and then close for a profit.
⏳ Patience Pays Off
The market moves in cycles.
📈 Sometimes it’s a roaring bull.
📉 Other times it’s a sulking bear.
🐢 And other times, it’s a bladdy tortoise – going sideways to Timbuktu.
The best thing to do is wait for the market to move from an unfavourable environment into a favourable time for your system and strategy.
🔄 Reassess and wait.
There’s no rush in trading.
🔄 Adjust and Act
The markets are always evolving.
You need to continuously adapt and act on:
📌 New markets to add
📌 Old markets to rid of
📌 Strategy tweaks to improve your win rate
📌 System considerations to boost winners and cut losses
Flexibility within your trading strategy is key.
🌊 Flow with Momentum
Ever noticed how surfers ride waves?
They don’t fight the ocean; they flow with it.
Traders should do the same with market momentum.
📈 When the market is going up – Go up with it.
📉 When the market is going down – Go down with it. (I mean short and sell, of course!)
➡️ When the market is moving sideways – Observe, report, and wait for better conditions.
Align your trades with the sentiment.
Going against the current market mood can be disastrous.
❌ Never Predict
Everything you see in the charts and fundamentals is based on past data.
So, it’s IMPOSSIBLE to predict with certainty where a market will go.
This is why you need risk management rules and stop losses with EVERY trade.
You can’t predict, BUT you can probability predict.
And that’s the difference between knowing and potential.
🎯 Recap: Trade Smart!
📌 Never Force a Trend: Be patient and wait for the right market conditions.
📌 Patience Pays Off: Let the market cycle play out before jumping in.
📌 Adjust and Act: Regularly review and tweak your strategy with new information.
📌 Flow with Momentum: Align your trades with the current market sentiment.
📌 Never Predict: React to market conditions rather than trying to predict them.
💡 Remember: The best traders ride the waves – not fight them.
The JSE Top40 Medium-Term ViewThe JSE Top40 is at a point of a relief rally though the bigger picture is that of a yearly decline. So the expectation is that we can rally while expecting price to be capped by the black trendline, we either make it there or we turn down before reaching this point. Longer term I expect price to trend towards the green support line. Since we must breach this line, My interest will be on the grey horizontal line for support. A t the back of my mind is the COVID drop scenario, this is where we get extreme moves downwards representing a continuation of current cycle, otherwise without that scenario we would have a tough quarter one and two of 2025.
We have been in recession like conditions and so far, we could be going through a silent recession whereby conditions point that way but the economic measures do not confirm, does not help that US being leader in market sentiment has had war excursions to affect the indicators as well as constant revisions of the unemployment figures. The coming of Trump might cause war spend to decrease unraveling the dire state of the economy. It is best for traders to be aware of such a scenario and effect on the markets.
JSE TOP 40Good Day
We have been tracking bullishness on stock indices closely since September of 2024.
Herewith profits levels on the JSE Top 40 based on yearly pivots.
Should we hit 96200 this year ill close down this position entirely, after take profit 1 should it be taken, trail stops will be implemented, Once take profit 2 has been taken stop will be moved to take profit 1 level. From there on its risky to hold.
The JSE Top40 Paints a Grim Few Weeks AheadThe JSE Top40 powered above 2 key resistance lines but it quickly reversed course, we call this a false breakout (FBO), such failures usually move violently to the lower side. On the weekly perspective, the share is in week 31 so we are likely going lower than the lower pink support.
After the pink support fails, we turn can see the green arrow was lower than the black, from historical cycle perspective, the JSE Top40 will set the shortest yearly cycle if current price does not go lower than the green arrow. This is something I place at a smaller probability, hold on for a bumpy ride. Relief will come at the weekly low which will create gains sufficient for long positions.
SA40 Bullish Outlook Good morning,
The J200 looks bullish on the H1 chart, but it is within a consolidation area, so some caution regarding momentum behaviour is needed.
The price has two significant resistance levels: 77302 and one within a resistance zone at 78148.95.
There is also an ABC pattern that does not align well with my Elliott Wave count, suggesting that there might be an even lower C. This means that the support level is in question due to the break of the trend line; there is an argument around that. If a bearish candle breaks the support line, the current C level of 75488.39 would need to be broken to invalidate the setup.
Overall, there are bullish interests here, targeting highs of 79533.16.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
JSE 200 next target up to 85,321 thanks to 3 Bullish signalsHigh Probability Analysis has lined up with the J200 (JSE Top 40)
We have three bullish confirmation signals including:
1. Up channel (Between the two ray trend lines)
2. Cup and Handle (Wait for break for complete confirmation)
3. Price>20 and 200MA
Target 85,321
Great for upside and buying stocks with the JSE!
Why we always widen our stop loss when DAY TRADINGVery important and basic rule with Day Trading.
Always increase the stop loss when going short (sell) above the original stop loss.
Always decrease the stop loss when going long (buying) below the original set stop loss.
Reason: When the index touches the ASK or BID price (regardless of it actually trading there), it will get you out of your trade and hit your stop loss.
So, don’t be afraid to increase the distance between the entry and stop loss.
As long as the Risk to Reward stays above 1:1.5 – It’s fine.
How much do I increase the distance between the entry and the stop loss?
Notice what the spread is on the contract when you place your stop loss.
So wherever you wanted to put your stop loss originally, add the spread on top of that and that is where you would place your NEW stop loss.
Maybe 20 – 30 points is safe.
But other times it could be up to 50 points
JSE Top 40 LONG analysis still in check to 85,633Look I don't care whether the market rallies or falls. We trade either way and follow the trend.
But on bigger time frames, it states and shows us what is rather than what the media and Jim Cramer says.
And right now, the long analysis still applies for a few reasons.
1. W Formation, broke out and now going to test support 1 (Safety line 1)
2. Price<20 but still above 200MA which states the market is in a bull market.
3. If the price breaks below the safety line 1 it could go to 68,000 before it turns up again.
So all in all the analysis still has a weird up target to 85,633 on the daily chart.
And the market is still up 2.40% for the year - So it's not all bad babies.