A perspective as we approach FOMC next weekAnalysis on SP:SPX , see notes attached on chart. Feedback welcome. Thanks
US500 trade ideas
SPX looking vulnerableThose intense uptrend usually cannot be maintained for long periods.So possibly a tad vulnerable
If the market wants to go up, we followThe US500 is breaking the resistance level and trading to new highs. We have to remind ourselves that we are not here to predict, but rather to follow the market. The market is breaking higher, and thus we follow.
For this trade, likely best to just use a trailing stop loss using either a 2-day low price, or ATRx2 trailing stop loss.
SPX500 - 10% historical gains aheadThe Fed is shifting gears – and history shows what usually follows. Looking back at the past 21 Fed cutting cycles since 1957, the S&P 500 delivered +9.6% average returns within 12 months after the first cut.
This rally wasn’t just luck:
+6.1% from multiple expansion as valuations re-rate higher
+3.5% from earnings growth as financial conditions ease
Technically, the SPX500 has just broken out of consolidation and remains in a strong upward channel. Momentum is aligned with history – positioning the index for another leg higher. 🚀
If history rhymes, we could be looking at double-digit gains over the next year. The risk/reward couldn’t be clearer.
>> The white box shows you what a +10% gain would mean.
👉 Are you positioned for the next Fed-cut bull leg?
Stay safe and happy trading,
Meikel
SPX .Got a deviation from the trendlineLets see if it pulls back to test the tremd.Not sure if it will
SPX 2Hour Time frameSPX 2-Hour Snapshot
Current Value: 6,512.61 USD
Change: +0.27% from the previous close
Intraday High: 6,525.75 USD
Intraday Low: 6,490.25 USD
🔎 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Neutral
Moving Averages:
5-period MA: 6,487.92 USD
20-period MA: 6,456.40 USD
50-period MA: 6,363.42 USD
100-period MA: 6,086.43 USD
200-period MA: 5,975.33 USD
📈 Market Sentiment
Pivot Points:
Resistance: 6,525.75 USD
Support: 6,490.25 USD
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 6,525.75 USD could signal a move toward 6,600 USD.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below 6,490.25 USD may lead to further downside.
Overall Bias: Neutral, with mixed signals from moving averages and momentum indicators.
S&P | 30min Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders 👋
🧐 Market Overview:
The S&P has been pushing into new highs, but a potential double top is forming right at diagonal resistance. This is a key level for me — the confluence of structure and resistance makes this an area worth watching closely.
If the double top holds, price might first deviate through my entry range and then retest the diagonal resistance. For me to take a short, I’ll be looking for a 30-minute candle close back within the range as confirmation.
📊 Trade Plan:
RR: 3.5
Entry:6 537.4
Stop Loss: 6 543.8
Take Profit 1 (50%): 6 515
Take Profit 2 (50%): 6 511
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
When trading double tops, I always wait for confirmation (like a close back within range). It reduces false entries and adds probability to the trade.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Follow me for more setups and let me know — do you think this double top will hold, or will the S&P push through resistance to fresh highs?
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
SPX 3Hour Time frameSPX 3-Hour Snapshot
Current Price: 6,512.62 USD
Change: +0.21% from the previous close
Recent High: 6,508.23 USD (August 28, 2025)
Recent Low: 5,500.00 USD (March 13, 2025)
🔎 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): Neutral
MACD: Bullish momentum
Moving Averages:
5-period SMA: Buy signal
10-period SMA: Buy signal
20-period SMA: Buy signal
50-period SMA: Buy signal
📈 Market Sentiment
Golden Cross: The S&P 500 recently formed a "golden cross," where the 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend.
Business Insider
Analyst Outlook: Barclays raised its 2025 year-end S&P 500 target to 6,450, citing stronger-than-expected corporate earnings and optimism around artificial intelligence.
Reuters
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 6,508.23 USD could lead to a push toward 6,600 USD and higher.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below 6,400 USD may test support around 6,200 USD.
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish, with positive momentum but facing near-term resistance.
SPX for Wednesday 10th SEPTEMBERWe either pop higher or reverse into support.News is relevant today.Lets see what happens
4H IdeaThe only trade as of now would be a retest of old resistance/support. Have a stop under support area.
Entry 1 - would be a bit more aggressive as price moves into old resistance.
Entry 2 - enter as price moves towards the bottom of old resistance.
Entry 3 - would be entered as price starts to bounce from old resistance.
This would be the plan, however, the caveat is this: How did price get back to old resistance?
If price starts to build lower highs and lower lows as it moves back down then the plan may have to be scrapped as there is a higher potential for price to fail and begin to trend lower.
4H Played OutFirst entry retested and played out to the upside almost picture perfect. Again, would've possibly stopped you out on the first entry as it wicked below the support area, but upon a possible re-entry once it came back into support you would have made back that loss and then some.
2nd entry or possible add-on area. This was a bit more riskier as a 2nd entry due to price moving up from original entry. Price consolidated overnight and wicked down into the support area at Tuesday's market open. Buyers again stepped in and though there was drawdown, there was a fixed place to stop out below the consolidation area, so risk was known upon entry. 4 hour targets were hit.
There is no trade now until a retest or news to bring price down on the 4 hour time frame.
SPX SHORT IDEALower high ! 6500 failed to sustain for a third time now. Showing some signs of resistance on another climb. 21 day EMA sits just below that bottom trend, where price has been overextended for a while now. Good short set up for a higher low print right there !
Good luck y’all.
Caution picking your short we will go deep down Caution picking your short we will go deep down Use apple as a indicator. It has a monthly gap at 124 and smaller gaps on lower time frames. Will update on the go
Market performance under recent presidentsBill Clinton has the best performance in the market during his term. Although Trump has the coronavirus and the market recovered twice during his first term.
Long term analysisSince 1872. We have back test the 23.6 at 2360. The White Diagonal at3171 is the next concern
4h Second Entry from Original IdeaAs price consolidated Monday, it provided a second entry to the original idea on the 4h. A little bit more riskier as a new trade or a possible add on to your original entry. Buy above the consolidation area and stop below consolidation area.
SNP500 long target 6600.0weaker labor market data has boosted expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts, with markets pricing in a high chance of a September move that would ease financial conditions and support equities. Tech momentum—particularly Nasdaq strength and the addition of Robinhood and AppLovin to the S&P 500—is adding fuel, while investors also position ahead of key inflation data that could reinforce the dovish outlook. Institutional forecasts from Goldman Sachs and Evercore ISI projecting further upside into year-end and beyond have strengthened confidence, making futures an attractive, liquid, and leveraged way to gain exposure to the anticipated rally
SPX updatedUpdated chart.The 6510 we pointed out earlier became resisitance and it went down.Lets see where support is.?
SPX | Buy & Sell Setup | 08 Sep 2025 – 11:05 EDT
SPX | Buy & Sell Setup | 08 Sep 2025 – 11:05 EDT
Buy Zone: 6509– 6490
Sell Zone: 6469 – 6357
Scenario 1 : Buy
Entry: 6510
Stop Loss: 6465
Targets:
TP1 → 6580 (1:5)
Analysis:
From Buy Zone (6509– 6490) creates possibilities for a buy move.
Scenario 2 : Sell
Entry: 6465
Stop Loss: 6510
Targets:
TP1 → 6415
TP2 → 6350
Analysis:
From Sell Zone (6469 – 6357) creates possibilities for a sell move.
Stay alert on updates here.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This idea is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own analysis before making trading decisions.
SP500 Long Setup – Fib Confluence to 6649Watching SP500 on the 1H timeframe for a continuation move higher. Price bounced cleanly from the 6469 zone, which lined up with the Fib 0.236 retrace and EMA support.
Entry taken around 6500 with stop placed below recent swing low at 6442–6439. This keeps risk controlled while protecting against invalidation.
Targets are set using Fibonacci confluence and previous structure levels:
• TP1: 6535 (Fib 1.0 / prior reaction level)
• TP2: 6590 (Fib 1.618 extension)
• TP3: 6649 (range extension target)
If momentum continues, a runner could extend beyond 6649, but the main plan is to secure profits at each ladder.
This trade offers strong risk-to-reward with clear invalidation. I’ll manage the position by locking in profits at TP1 and trailing the remainder.
