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USCRUDEOIL trade ideas

Crude Oil (WTI) Short Setup Bearish Reversal from Rising ChannelAsset: CFDs on Crude Oil (WTI) Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H) Pattern: Rising channel (ascending parallel channel) Trade Type: Short (Sell) Setup Risk/Reward: The trade is planned based on a channel breakdown, targeting a move down to the base of the move. 📊 Key Trade Levels Type Price Level Entry 6,709.7 – 6,711.0 (near upper channel resistance) Stop Loss 6,762.0 – 6,762.3 (above recent highs) Target 6,353.6 – 6,353.8 (near recent support) 🧠 Trade Rationale Rising Channel Break: Price is currently within a rising channel, but recent candles show rejection at the upper boundary. Fakeout Trap: There's a sketched projection suggesting a false breakout to the upside, followed by a sharp reversal into a short move. Entry Zone: The trade is planned if price retests the upper zone (entry area), which aligns with the top of the channel. Target Zone: The projected target is around the bottom of the channel or just below, implying a full retracement of the previous bullish leg. Risk Management: Stop loss is placed slightly above the upper boundary to avoid getting stopped out by minor wicks. 📈 Technical Insights Bearish Momentum Potential: If price fails to hold above the channel and re-enters with strong bearish volume, it supports a short entry. Volume Analysis Needed: A confirmation with increasing volume on the breakdown would strengthen the setup. Trend Reversal Signal: This setup may be hinting at a trend reversal or at least a significant pullback from the current upward trend. ✅ Conclusion This is a high-probability short trade setup based on: A break/retest of an ascending channel. A potential false breakout trap. Defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels offering a solid risk/reward ratio.
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
11
WTI Crude Oil Short Setup: Retest of Flipped ResistanceHello TradingView Community, This post outlines a potential short trade setup for WTI Light Crude Oil (XTIUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe. Technical Analysis: The chart highlights a key horizontal price level at approximately $63.50. This level previously acted as a solid support base, holding the price up on multiple occasions. We have recently witnessed a clear breakdown below this support, indicating a shift in momentum to the bearish side. The price is now consolidating just below this broken structure, potentially setting up for a retest. This is a classic "support-turned-resistance" scenario. The expectation is that this level will now act as a ceiling, rejecting the price and leading to a continuation of the downtrend. Trade Setup: The short position tool on the chart visualizes a potential trade plan based on this bearish outlook: Entry: Approximately $63.50 (at the retest of the new resistance). Stop Loss: $64.82 (placed above the resistance zone to invalidate the idea if the price reclaims the level). Take Profit: $58.36 (targeting a new potential swing low). This setup provides a structured plan with a clear risk-to-reward ratio for a potential move lower. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and discussion purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading commodities involves significant risk. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately before making any trading decisions.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by hammad69918
5
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 60 (Wave 3).The price is still not reaching the target of 60. I decided to make a new forecast, slightly changing the labeling of waves, or rather their importance. At this stage, as before, I think that the price will reach the area of the level 60 in the middle wave “3”. This movement is the development of the big corrective wave “C”. In general, the plan remains the same. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
22
WTI Crude Oil As shown in my previous analysis (pinned below this post), we shorted oil from the range high. Now price has reached the range low, where two key buy levels are marked on the chart ✅. 🔹 If these levels break, the opposite scenario still stands. 🔹 We’re not in OPEC, we don’t make political or war decisions, and we don’t give orders to the market. 🔹 We are traders, simply trying to profit from opportunities. ⚡️ Remember: being biased toward your analysis = blowing up your account and losing confidence. 🎯 Always follow the market, never fight it.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by ForexCSP
2
WTI OIL Channel Up bottom buy signalWTI Crude Oil (USOIL) has almost touched the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of its September Channel Up, following a strong rejection (Bearish Led) just below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). With the 4H RSI entering its medium-term Buy Zone, we have a strong short-term buy signal at our hands. Our Target is $66.50, expecting a 1D MA200 test, below the 1.1 Fibonacci extension, below which the previous Higher High was priced. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
USOIL: Waiting for a reaction at strong supportTo better understand my current outlook on USOIL, please refer to my previous higher-timeframe and fundamental analyses. * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ George Vann @ ZuperView
FX:USOIL
by ZuperView
USOIL: Waiting for breakout after sidewaysTo better understand my current outlook on USOIL, please refer to my previous higher-timeframe and fundamental analyses. * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
TVC:USOIL
by ZuperView
USOIL: Sideways-to-lower in a tight bandThis is my previous analysis — feel free to take a look for reference. 1. Institutional Forecast Updates IEA (Sep 15, 2025): WTI targets $64.2/bbl for 2025 and $47.8/bb l for 2026 Brent targets $68/bbl for 2025 and $51/bb l for 2026 Goldman Sach (Jul 14, 2025): WTI targets $63/bbl for H2 2025 and $52/bbl for 2026 Brent targets $64/bbl for H2 2025 and $56/bbl for 2026 J.P. Morgan (May 16, 2025): Brent targets $64/bbl for H2 2025 and $56/bbl for 2026 www.rigzone.com www.reuters.com www.jpmorgan.com 2. Key Drivers & Risks 📉 Supply OPEC+ unwinding cuts of 2.2 mb/d (2024–2025), plus +137 kb/d starting October 2025. Global supply reached 106.9 mb/d in Aug 2025; projected to rise by +2.7 mb/d to 105.8 mb/d in 2025. U.S. output hit a record 13.2–13.4 mb/d (2024–2025) Brazil, Guyana, and Canada are key contributors to non-OPEC+ growth. U.S. shale breakeven costs: ~$62–68/bbl. New offshore projects breakeven at ~$47/bbl. OECD inventories in July 2025: 2,848 million barrels; 58.1 days of forward cover. ✳️ Demand Global oil demand in 2024: ~103 mb/d (~193 EJ) 2025 demand growth of only +0.7 mb/d (weakest since 2009, excluding 2020). OPEC projects demand growth of +1.3 mb/d in 2025 and +1.4 mb/d in 2026. Consumption structure: transport accounts for ~two-thirds of oil demand; >90% of transport energy comes from oil. Petrochemicals (naphtha, LPG) remain a key driver of incremental demand. 🛑 Politics & Geopolitics Escalating Middle East tensions: growing risks in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea. Kurdistan–Turkey pipeline (~0.23 mb/d) subject to recurring disruptions. Venezuela: Chevron faces restrictions on U.S. exports. OPEC+ often produces ~0.5 mb/d below quota due to capacity limits. Long-term trend: EV adoption and emission policies structurally weaken demand growth. ✅ Overall View: Overall, governments both want to bring oil prices down to support their economies and also tend to protect oil companies, since prices are currently low relative to many firms’ breakeven levels. Prices are likely to edge gradually lower within a narrow range of $70–$50, and it is important to closely monitor factors that could trigger supply–demand shocks. 3. Technical Analysis * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
FX:USOILLong
by ZuperView
USOIL: Waiting for resistance rejection & buying at support zonePlease refer to my previous higher-timeframe analyses to better follow my current outlook on USOIL. * Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide. ** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals. *** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion. **** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
TVC:USOILLong
by ZuperView
USOIL WEEKLY CHARTUS OIL have a seen a sharp drop in price and buyers and opec kept April 2025 low at 54.93$-55$ zone and retested in the month of may 2025 at 54.93$-55$ zone ,this zone could be considered as weekly benchmark buying deman floor from our strategy. As geopolitical tension cools off oil price surged but capped by long term descending trendline connecting as represented on the chart on weekly timeframe,at the moment we have bridged 64.041$ and it will expose 70.971$-71.82$ descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance to oil uprising for a long time . if buyers and opec make critical change and demand exceeds supply then we are going long on the break of 70.971$-71.82$ into 88$-85$ zone before correction . pls let me know if you like the analysis and if we have any error to help us win on oil forecast. pls note that this is my perspective based on the strategy and it could have some error. #oil #usoil #ukoil
FX:USOILSPOT
by Shavyfxhub
2
Crude Oil – Bearish Below 61.83 as OPEC+ Meeting NearsCrude Oil – Overview Crude prices remain under pressure as geopolitical and supply factors clash with weak demand signals. The Trump administration will provide Ukraine with intelligence for long-range missile strikes inside Russia, raising geopolitical risk. Markets await Sunday’s OPEC+ meeting, where another November output hike is expected despite supply glut concerns. The latest EIA data showed crude inventories rising for the first time in three weeks, while gasoline stocks posted the biggest jump since June—signalling weaker demand. Technical Outlook Oil maintains a bearish bias as long as price trades below 61.83, with downside targets at 60.20 → 58.70. A confirmed 4H close above 61.83 would flip momentum bullish, targeting 63.47 → 64.75. Pivot: 61.83 Support: 60.20 – 58.70 Resistance: 63.47 – 64.75
TVC:USOILShort
by SroshMayi
Can I enter a long position in crude oil? International crude oil emphasizes caution against excessive bullishness until it stabilizes above the 66 high. It may fluctuate again. If it fluctuates, consider the 66/61.5 level. Focus on the gains and losses at the support level below 61.3. If this level holds, consider buying the dip and looking for potential upside in this trend. Therefore, on Wednesday, I'm planning a bullish long position in crude oil. Pay attention to the timing. Shorting is acceptable if crude oil rebounds, as there is room and demand for further declines. Today, focus on the upward resistance level of $63.50. If it rebounds below this resistance, continue shorting. Specific buying times and points will be provided in the channel. For investors who currently have positions or are unsure how to trade, please like my profile and visit my channel. I will provide exclusive trading services for members!
TVC:USOILLong
by JulesWood