WTI OIL Strong long-term rebound incoming.Over a month ago (September 17, see chart below), we gave a strong Sell Signal on WTI Oil (USOIL) as the price was again rejected on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and was headed towards the inner Higher Lows trend-line, easily hitting our $59.50 Target in the process:
Yet again we consult the more reliable long-term time-frames, now making a bullish call as the price is already rebounding this week on the Higher Lows. Given also the identical 1W RSI pattern with 2023, we expect a bounce towards at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $69.50, same as the December 2023 - March 2024 rally.
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Trade ideas
WTI Crude oversold bounce capped at 6030 resistanceThe WTI Crude Oil is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the longer term support, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 6030, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 6030 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 5747, followed by 5677 and 5606 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 6030 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 6073, then 6170.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the WTI Crude price breaks and holds above 6030. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USOIL: Uptrend strengthens after multiple support tests
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
George Vann @ ZuperView
USOIL BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 58.02
Target Level: 57.01
Stop Loss: 58.69
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL fluctuates higher💡The situation for USOIL today is relatively optimistic, showing a fluctuating and moderately strong trend. Here is the detailed analysis:
📈Price Trend: As of midday in the Asian session on October 22, WTI crude oil prices have edged higher in the short term, trading around $58.1, up from the previous day's closing price. WTI crude closed 1.14% higher at $57.962 the previous day.
♦Influencing Factors:
Supply Side: The U.S. Department of Energy announced a tender to purchase 1 million barrels of crude oil to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. This news boosted sentiment in the energy sector and provided support for oil prices.
♦Demand Side:
API data showed a decline in U.S. inventory levels last week, which improved market sentiment toward demand and also supported higher oil prices.
♦Macroeconomy: Expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut continue to rise, with a 98.9% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in October. Capital has been flowing back into risk assets, providing some impetus to crude oil prices.
♦Geopolitics:
Europe and Ukraine have drafted a 12-point ceasefire plan. Expectations of eased geopolitical tensions temporarily weakened safe-haven demand, indirectly supporting a stronger U.S. dollar and thus exerting some pressure on oil prices. However, factors such as the U.S. oil purchase news and the drop in API crude inventories have provided more significant support for oil prices.
♦Technical Analysis:
Short-term moving averages show signs of flattening, indicating that the crude oil price trend may be stabilizing. Oil prices are inclined to fluctuate with moderate strength in the short term today. The short-term resistance level above is around 59.0-60.0, while the short-term support level below is around 56.0-55.0.
💎Trading Strategy:
Sell 58.00 SL 58.60 TP 57.00
Buy 57.5 SL 56.8 TP 58.5
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Attempts ReboundMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Attempts Rebound
WTI Crude oil is now attempting to recover after sliding toward $56.00.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices extended losses below the $60.00 support zone.
- It cleared a key bearish trend line with resistance at $57.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil, the price struggled to continue higher above $62.00 against the US Dollar. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $61.20.
There was a steady decline below the $60.00 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $58.50 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the price tested $56.00. The recent swing low was formed near $55.94, and the price is now correcting losses.
There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $62.45 swing high to the $55.94 low. The price cleared a key bearish trend line with resistance at $57.50.
On the upside, immediate resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement at $59.20. The main hurdle is $59.95. A clear move above $59.95 could send the price toward $62.45. The next stop for the bulls might be $64.00.
If the price climbs further, it could face sellers near $65.00. Immediate support is $57.50. The next major level on the WTI crude oil chart is $55.95. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $55.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $52.00 zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
US OIL SUPPORT, RESISTANCE & TRENDLINE ANALYSISKindly check my previous levels "Perfect" Long position captured.
Go "SHORT" if it breaks 57.93 with target as 57.59 and breaking that will lead to 57.40 and further that will lead to 56.92 and the final breakout will lead to 56.42.
The 58.37 mark is acting as a strong resistance since quiet long.
Go "LONG" if it breaks 58.27 which shall lead to 58.61 and breaking that will lead to 58.95 and 59.11 and if it breaks this as well then might be a possibility of a good upside move till 60.09
Crude oil trading strategy for today.,Hope it is helpful to yoFactors That May Drive Up Crude Oil Prices (Bullish Logic)
1.Breakthrough in trade negotiations: If China and the United States reach a consensus at the summit to ease trade frictions, the global cargo transportation and economic outlook will improve, which may increase the demand for crude oil.
1.Unexpected geopolitical tensions: Although the Gaza conflict has ended, the situation between Russia and Ukraine remains unresolved. If further unrest breaks out in the Middle East or Eastern Europe, it may disrupt crude oil transportation. The market will worry about a shortage of oil supply, leading to a rise in oil prices.
1.Demand for technical rebound: Oil prices have dropped significantly from their previous highs, so a "short - term oversold rebound" may occur in the near future. Just like a ball bouncing back up after hitting the ground, some funds will take the opportunity to buy (and push up oil prices).
Crude Oil Trading Strategy for Today
usoil @buy57.50-58.00
pt:58.50-59
sl:57
USOIL Can Rise Higher (Swing Trade Opportunity)USOIL Can Rise Higher (Swing Trade Opportunity): OIL has been falling hard in the recent weeks. One of the reasons was the sub sector rotation. Most funds were being routed from energy to precious metals. Now OIL has completed and M pattern, which means that it can start to rise. So far this has showed a little upward movement which is not a sign of strength but rather an initial invite to the buyers.
Lets see if it gains momentum and becomes substantial.
Not a trade advice as usual.
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US OIL SUPPORT, RESISTANCE & TRENDLINE ANALYSISThe market is sideways kindly save your capital yall.
Go "long" if it breaks the trendline and 57.45 and aim for 57.80 and 58.14 and if it breaks 58.37 then we might see a good move upside.
Go "Short" if it breaks below 57.12 and breaking the trendline as well will lead to 56.77 and 56.43.
Good Night!!
OilPrice is trying to break out of a downtrend channel after forming a base around $56.5–$57.
Resistance: $58 (short-term), $59.8, and $63 (major).
Support: $56.5–$57 zone.
Volume shows buying interest near the lows — early sign of accumulation.
If price holds above $58, it could aim for $59.8–$63.
If it fails, a pullback toward $56.2–$55.5 is likely.
➡️ Bias: Mildly bullish if $57.8–$58 holds; otherwise, range-bound to bearish continuation.
Bearish continuation setup?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 58.32
1st Support: 55.92
1st Resistance: 60.17
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 54.00.As I continued to watch oil I realized that the structure I built in the last forecast is still in place. I think we should expect a correction in wave “4” to the 59.3 area, then a continuation of the downward movement at least to the 54.00 support area. This will be the completion of the downward impulse.
I do not exclude the probability of lengthening of wave “3” and in this case there will be no correction and the price will immediately reach the target.
Fundamental context
The oil market remains under pressure as supply continues to outpace demand, raising the risk of a surplus. Forecasts for 2025-2026 indicate higher production growth while consumption slows.
Rising inventories and a shift in the futures curve into contango suggest growing storage levels and weaker near-term demand.
Under these conditions, downside pressure persists, keeping the probability of a further decline high.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USOIL Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 57.145.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 55.504.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USOIL: Buy setups during higher-timeframe correctionOIL PRICE WEEKLY OUTLOOK
(Week of Oct 20-24, 2025)
Key Drivers & Risks
Updates in Supply, Demand, and Geopolitical News
EIA (week ending Oct 10): Crude inventories +3.5 million bbl; distillates −4.5 million bbl.
IEA OMR (Oct 2025): Upgraded global supply forecast: +3.0 mb/d in 2025 and +2.4 mb/d in 2026, while demand grows only ~0.7 mb/d per year ⇒ signaling a large surplus risk and downward pressure on prices.
OPEC (Oct 2025): Maintains demand growth outlook of +1.3 mb/d for 2025, but acknowledges a smaller deficit in 2026 as OPEC+ output rises; September production increased by ~630 kb/d.
Maritime risk in the Red Sea / Gulf of Aden: Over the weekend, a gas carrier reportedly caught fire following a possible attack off Yemen’s coast, leading to higher shipping risk premiums, though no major disruption to trade flows has been reported yet.
Watchlist for the Week Ahead
EIA Weekly Report (Oct 22): Focus on crude and distillate inventories, and any signs of policy or flow adjustments.
Maritime security updates in the Red Sea / Gulf of Aden / Strait of Hormuz — monitor frequency and severity of incidents.
China data: imports, refinery runs, and inventories — potential signals of stockpiling at lower price levels.
Any notable demand-side surprises (if any emerge).
Overall View
Oil prices are expected to gradually decline within a relatively narrow range of $70–$50 through mid-2026.
Short-term rebounds may occur due to low price levels and heightened transport risk headlines.
China’s potential restocking activity could provide limited demand-side support.
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
George Vann @ ZuperView
XTI/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Prices Fall to Yearly LowsXTI/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Prices Fall to Yearly Lows
As shown on the XTI/USD chart, WTI crude is trading below $57 today, with the 2025 low sitting near $55. Several factors are currently weighing on oil prices:
→ Uncertainty surrounding the US-China trade deal — the world’s two largest oil consumers — continues to cloud the outlook for global growth and crude demand.
→ Increased output from OPEC+ members has added further pressure, with the IEA last week raising its forecast for a global oil surplus.
→ A decline in the risk premium following the peace agreement in the Middle East has also reduced support for oil prices.
So, what could happen next?
Technical Analysis of the XTI/USD Chart
Seven days ago, we noted that:
→ In the long-term context, oil price fluctuations — following the June escalation in the Middle East — have formed a downward channel (shown in red). The current price has now slipped below its lower boundary.
→ In the short term, the pace of the decline appears to be accelerating, highlighted by the purple trajectory lines.
At that time, we suggested a scenario in which WTI could drift towards its yearly low near $55, which is now materialising. However, note the following:
→ The RSI indicator is hovering near oversold territory.
→ The chart shows signs of a Falling Wedge pattern, which often precedes a bullish reversal.
Given these signals, it is reasonable to assume that, after a roughly 10% decline since the start of the month, bears may begin locking in profits on short positions. This could trigger a technical rebound in WTI prices — potentially towards the resistance area defined by:
→ The lower boundary of the red channel;
→ The psychological level of $60;
→ The median line of the purple channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Crude oil -DAILY- 20/10/2025Oil prices fell after a third straight weekly decline as traders reacted to easing U.S.–China trade tensions pushing WTI toward $56 a barrel amid optimism over upcoming trade talks. China’s economy slowed for a second consecutive quarter, though Beijing maintained its 5% growth target. Oil futures are heading for a third monthly loss, pressured by an expected supply surplus through 2026, according to the IEA. Trump said he plans a second meeting with Putin to discuss ending the war in Ukraine, though prior talks have achieved little. Citigroup warned that any de-escalation could push oil toward $50 a barrel. Market indicators suggest weakness, with near-term spreads narrowing and longer-term contracts shifting into bearish contango.
On the technical side, crude oil price has extended its aggressive bearish trend last week with no major signs of reversing. Apart from the extreme oversold Stochastic oscillator there are no other signs of a bullish correction. The faster 50-day simple moving average is trading below the slower 100-day simple moving average validating the overall bearish trend in the market while the Bollinger Bands are quite expanded showing that there is increased volatility in the market for crude oil hinting that there is potential for sharp moves in the upcoming sessions. Eventhough, the area of $62 is the major technical resistance level, it seems that it might need some time to retest this level. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands seems to be the first level of technical support for the price while the area of $56 might pose some support since its the multiyear low which was last tested in early May 2025.
Disclaimer: The opinions in this article are personal to the writer and do not reflect those of Exness






















