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U.S. DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR REFERENCE RATE

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AUDUSD AT SELL ZONE, POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITYHello traders, November is a great month to trade. Here's my point of view about OANDA:AUDUSD TECHNICALLY: Last weeks we had a massive drop followed by a consolidation and this week we started to retrace however higher time frames scream bearish momentum due to dollar strength. I personally did a full breakdown explaining the US DOLLAR TECHNICAL SETUP. This week price IN OANDA:AUDUSD started to retrace. Right now, price is near a strong orderblock I personally see more DOWNSIDE IN THIS PAIR. I'd like to see OANDA:AUDUSD drop from here. As I have been... and will be until proven otherwise. I will continue with my bearish biais only if price stay Below the red zone H4 BEARISH orderblock. Always with strict risk management & psychology FUNDAMENTALLY: The record-breaking U.S. government shutdown is nearing an end after moderate Senate Democrats agreed to back a deal to reopen the government and fund key departments. This might be bullish for the dollar and that BY NEGATIVE CORRELATION .../USD BEARISH. Also bullish for indicies... KEEP an eye ON! All eyes on the market sentiment everything can change quickly! adapt & capitalize it ! We have seversal years trading the financial markets You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! MAKE SURE TO STAY STRICT WITH YOUR RISK MANAGEMENT! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day.
Short
by AIRFOREXONE_
AUDUSD Intraday Technical Analysis - 10 Nov 2025AUDUSD Intraday Technical Analysis - 10 Nov 2025 Australian Dollar/US Dollar at 0.65320 (3:40 PM UTC+4) โ€” consolidation breakout imminent. ๐Ÿ“Œ Market Context: Wyckoff Phase D accumulation post-August correction; Dow Theory secondary uptrend forming; Gann Square-of-9 targets 0.6580/0.6480. ๐Ÿ—บ๏ธ Multi-Timeframe Pulse: 1D: Inverted head-and-shoulders pattern neckline at 0.6500; RSI 55 (neutral); Ichimoku cloud support 0.6420; bullish reversal signal forming. 4H: Rising channel 0.6480-0.6580; EMA21>EMA50 (golden cross); VWAP from Sept 20 = 0.6510 (support level). 1H: Cup-and-handle breakout attempt from 0.6480 base; BB midline 0.6520; VWAP slope neutral-bullish. 30M: Symmetrical triangle 0.6500-0.6560; hidden bull divergence on RSI; volume contracting. 15M: Bull flag over 0.6510; Tenkan>Kijun bullish alignment; stochastic RSI ready for extension. 5M: Falling wedge retest 0.6500; hammer candlestick signals intraday demand; false breakout risk above 0.6560. ๐ŸŽฏ PRIMARY LONG SETUP Entry: 0.6510-0.6525 (triangle support + VWAP) โ€” confirm on 15M bullish close >0.6535. Stop Loss: 0.6485 (below triangle base). Target 1: 0.6555 (+35 pips). Target 2: 0.6580 (+60 pips โ€” channel top). Target 3: 0.6620 (+100 pips โ€” harmonic extension). Confirmation: RSI>55, volume +20%, VWAP support holding. โšก MOMENTUM ADD: Scale above 0.6580 ONLY if RSI>65 + volume surge; trail stop to 0.6560. ๐Ÿ”ป REVERSAL SHORT SETUP Entry: 0.6600-0.6625 (supply zone) โ€” trigger on bearish engulfing + RSI divergence. Stop Loss: 0.6650 (above channel resistance). Targets: 0.6560 โ†’ 0.6520 โ†’ 0.6480 (Gann support). Confirmation: 5M/15M RSI bearish divergence; BB upper band rejection. ๐Ÿšจ BREAKOUT PROTOCOL: BULL: 1H close >0.6580 confirms H&S breakout; target 0.6700; move stop to BE+15. BEAR: 1H close <0.6500 with volume expansion triggers retest of 0.6420 cloud support. ๐Ÿ“Š INDICATOR SNAPSHOT: BB squeeze (30M) tightening; MACD histogram positive; VWAP slope neutral-up; EMA21 acting as trigger line on 1H. โš ๏ธ PATTERN ALERTS: Harmonic bat PRZ at 0.6600; H&S neckline breakout >0.6500 = trend confirmation; channel failure <0.6510 = Wyckoff spring risk. ๐Ÿ“ˆ TIMING & RISK: RBA decision watch; Gann 90ยฐ cycle 20:00 UTC; expect 0.80% intraday range. Risk โ‰ค1% per setup; avoid chasing; lock gains at TP1. Educational analysis only. Trade with your plan, manage risk, adapt to live price action.
by sunya
AUDUSD bullish breakout support at 0.6500The AUDUSD remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action indicating a potential resistance retest within the broader uptrend. Resistance Zone: 0.6560 โ€“ a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bearish rebound from 0.6560 would confirm ongoing downside momentum, with potential targets at: 0.6500 โ€“ initial support 0.6490 โ€“ psychological and structural level 0.64800 โ€“ extended support on the longer-term chart Bullish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close above 0.6560 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 0.6576 โ€“ minor resistance 0.6590 โ€“ stronger resistance and potential supply zone Outlook: Neutral bias remains intact while the AUDUSD trades around the pivotal 0.6560 level. A sustained break below or above this level could shift momentum. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
AUDUSD H1 | Heading Into Overlap ResistanceMomentum: Bearish Price is rising toward the sell entry, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Sell Entry: 0.6538 Overlap resistance 50% Fibonacci retracement and 127.2% Fibonacci extension Stop Loss: 0.6557 Strong overlap resistance 61.8% Fibonacci retracement Take Profit: 0.6503 Pullback support Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Short
by Tradu
1
AUDUSD - short term predictionAUDUSD is showing early signs of strength after several days of consolidation. Price has broken above the minor descending trendline and is attempting to establish a new short-term bullish structure. This breakout aligns with the broader higher-timeframe support zone near 0.6450, suggesting that buyers may be regaining control. If price holds above the breakout area, I expect continuation toward 0.6540 โ€“ 0.6560, where a previous supply zone and trendline resistance converge. However, a clean drop back below 0.6480 could invalidate this setup and signal a deeper retracement.
Long
by Salvatore_x
AUDUSD | Bullish Structure in Motion๐Ÿ’ฑ Ticker: AUDUSD ๐Ÿง  Description: Higher timeframes show a clear bullish perspective, with order blocks stacked across midterm and higher zones. Price mitigated those key areas and gave us a lower timeframe structural switch โ€” the lower high was broken, clearing sell-side and trendline liquidity built by the courtyard players. From there, price dropped to mitigate the origin of the bullish leg on lower timeframes and held cleanly, showing intent. I executed from that zone, and Iโ€™m now targeting the 5M, 30M, and possibly 4H highs, depending on how market delivery evolves through the week. Until then, we chill patiently and let smart money do the work. ๐Ÿงฉ Mindset Note: Precision starts with patience โ€” once structure speaks, you move with confidence.
Long
by Juicemannn
AUD/USD) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of AUD/USD 4-hour chart represents a bearish continuation setup based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and confluence with key moving averages and Fibonacci retracement zones. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis: --- Overall Bias: Bearish Continuation The chart suggests the market is in a downtrend, with price expected to pull back into a premium zone (a sell area) before continuing downward toward a new low or liquidity target. --- Technical Breakdown 1. Trend Context Price has been making lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish structure. Both the 50 EMA (blue) and 200 EMA (black) are positioned above the current price, which reinforces bearish momentum. The EMAs are acting as dynamic resistance zones. 2. Retracement Zone (Supply Area) The blue zone marks a premium retracement area (0.62โ€“0.79 Fibonacci levels) where institutional sellers might re-enter. The red arrow highlights the anticipated rejection point near 0.6530โ€“0.6540 โ€” confluence of: 50%โ€“79% Fibonacci retracement EMA resistance Previous structure zone 3. Projected Price Path The chart expects a short-term bullish retracement into the highlighted zone. Once liquidity is collected and the zone is tapped, a bearish rejection is expected. After that, price may form a lower high, confirming bearish structure before dropping further. 4. Target Point The final target zone is around 0.64530, aligned with: Prior swing low (liquidity area) 0% Fibonacci extension This acts as the next liquidity sweep or take-profit zone for short positions. Mr SMC Trading point --- Market Structure Summary Element Direction Key Levels Market Bias Bearish Retracement Zone 0.6520 โ€“ 0.6540 Supply area Resistance Confluence 50 EMA, 200 EMA, Fib 0.62โ€“0.79 Entry Zone After rejection from blue zone Target 0.6453 Liquidity target --- Trade Idea (Conceptually) Wait for price to enter the blue zone and show bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection candle or structure break). Then consider a short position targeting 0.6453. Stop-loss would logically be above 0.6550โ€“0.6560, above the supply zone. --- Narrative Summary > This setup anticipates a pullback to a premium supply zone aligning with EMA resistance, then a continuation to the downside following smart money structure principles. The bearish trend remains intact unless price breaks cleanly above 0.6560. --- please support boost ๐Ÿš€ this analysis
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
AUD/USD 4H โ€“ Market Outlook and Trade ThesisFOREXCOM:AUDUSD AUD/USD is currently trading around 0.6495, sitting just above a prior minor liquidity pocket and approaching a broader demand zone centered around 0.64407. Price action has been steadily retracing from the recent swing highs, and the structure suggests a potential liquidity sweep into the 0.64407 demand zone, which aligns with the base of my marked region. Bullish Scenario My projection is that price will drop into 0.64407, tap the demand zone, reject strongly, and then rotate higher toward the previous major swing high. My target aligns with the upper green zone toward 0.67065, which corresponds to a high-value inefficiency zone and a prior rejection level. This creates a logical buy-to-sell profile: liquidity grabs at the lows followed by a drive into a premium zone where sellers were previously active. Stop-Loss Structure Your stop loss should be placed at the red line below 0.64140, which strategically sits outside the deeper liquidity shelf. If hit, it would invalidate the entire bullish structure and confirm that buyers are not defending the zone. This placement is logical because: 1. It protects you from minor stop hunts inside the redistribution wick cluster. 2. A break below 0.64140 would confirm bearish continuation rather than a corrective pullback. โธป Devilโ€™s Advocate: What Could Break This Setup? To avoid bias, here are the key threats to this bullish idea: 1. AUD remains fundamentally weak If risk sentiment worsens or USD strength accelerates on macro data, price may not respect the 0.64407 zone at all.
Long
by Actualjustice
1
AUDUSD FRGNT Weekly Forecast -Q4 | W46 | Y25 |๐Ÿ“… Q4 | W46 | Y25 | ๐Ÿ“Š AUDUSD FRGNT Weekly Forecast ๐Ÿ” Analysis Approach: Iโ€™m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) ๐Ÿ•ฐ๏ธ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range ๐Ÿ“ Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) ๐Ÿ”Ž Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation โœ… This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. ๐Ÿ’ก My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ” โš ๏ธ Losses? Theyโ€™re part of the mathematical game of trading ๐ŸŽฒ They donโ€™t define you โ€” theyโ€™re necessary, they happen, and we move forward ๐Ÿ“Šโžก๏ธ ๐Ÿ™ I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital โ€” FRNGT ๐Ÿš€ OANDA:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
3
AUDUSD AUDUSD exchange rate =0.64931 RBA Governor: Michele Bullock Current RBA Cash Rate: 3.60% AUD/USD: Typically influenced by RBA monetary policy, commodity prices, and global risk sentiment; recent RBA rate hold supports AUD stability RBA Upcoming Event: The next RBA Annual Conference is scheduled for November 11-14, 2025, providing insight into future policy direction and economic outlook Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield: Approximately 4.35% US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Approximately 4.09% U.S. Federal Reserve Fed Chair: Jerome Powell Federal fund rate =3.75-4.0% interest rate differential =0.15%-0.4% bond yield differential=0.26% favor AUD carry traders ...am looking for AUDUSD long position of lower time frame #AUDUSD #AU10Y #US10Y #DOLLAR
by Shavyfxhub
AUDUSD AUDUSD exchange rate =0.64931 RBA Governor: Michele Bullock Current RBA Cash Rate: 3.60% AUD/USD: Typically influenced by RBA monetary policy, commodity prices, and global risk sentiment; recent RBA rate hold supports AUD stability RBA Upcoming Event: The next RBA Annual Conference is scheduled for November 11-14, 2025, providing insight into future policy direction and economic outlook Bond Yields Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield: Approximately 4.35% US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Approximately 4.09% U.S. Federal Reserve Fed Chair: Jerome Powell Federal fund rate =3.75-4.0% interest rate differential =0.15%-0.4% bond yield differential=0.26% favor AUD carry traders ...am looking for AUDUSD long position of lower time frame #AUDUSD #AU10Y #US10Y #DOLLAR
by Shavyfxhub
AUD/USD Slips: Heading Towards 0.64400?AUD/USD is currently in a downtrend after failing to break through the resistance at 0.65000. Latest data from the RBA and the weakening of the USD have created resistance for the AUD. With the Federal Reserve not planning to cut interest rates immediately, the stronger USD is putting pressure on the AUD. With the next support level at 0.64400, this pair could continue its decline in the short term. If this support level is broken, the downtrend may extend further. Traders should closely monitor these support and resistance levels to optimize trading opportunities, especially with the market being influenced by interest rate policies and global economic factors.
Short
by Kairo_Vexen
9
AUDUSD - 4H - Downtrend - SELL SET UPTrend Direction AUDUSD is currently in a downtrend. Price made a lower high and lower low, confirming bearish structure. The recent push up is just a correction (pullback), not a trend reversal. Stochastic is rising from oversold โ†’ confirming a pullback move in progress. This means we do NOT buy here. The correct move is to SELL the pullback. Key Levels Level / Role 0.6545 โ€“ 0.6555 / Sell Zone (previous support โ†’ new resistance) 0.6500 / Current price (NO ENTRY here) 0.6445 โ€“ 0.6455 / First Take Profit zone 0.6400 / Second Take Profit zone โœ… High-Probability Trade Setup We wait for price to pull back into resistance and then sell. SELL LIMIT: 0.6545 โ€“ 0.6555 STOP LOSS: 0.6590 TAKE PROFIT 1: 0.6450 TAKE PROFIT 2: 0.6400 Why This Works Structure is bearish, so we trade with the trend. Selling after retracement = institutional entry level. SL is placed above structure โ†’ safe from stop hunts. TP zones align with recent swing lows and liquidity zones. This trade gives 1:3 to 1:4 Risk/Reward = Excellent. Optional: If Price Doesnโ€™t Pull Back If price drops straight down, do NOT chase. Wait again for another retracement before selling. Discipline is where profits come from.
Short
by onelinkFX
2
FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY -Q4 | W45 | D7| Y25 | AUDUSD๐Ÿ“… Q4 | W45 | D7| Y25 | ๐Ÿ“Š AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY ๐Ÿ” Analysis Approach: Iโ€™m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) ๐Ÿ•ฐ๏ธ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range ๐Ÿ“ Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) ๐Ÿ”Ž Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation โœ… This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. ๐Ÿ’ก My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ” โš ๏ธ Losses? Theyโ€™re part of the mathematical game of trading ๐ŸŽฒ They donโ€™t define you โ€” theyโ€™re necessary, they happen, and we move forward ๐Ÿ“Šโžก๏ธ ๐Ÿ™ I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital โ€” FRNGT ๐Ÿš€ OANDA:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
3
AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast Full Chart Analysis -Q4 | W45 | D7| ๐Ÿ“… Q4 | W45 | D7| Y25 | ๐Ÿ“Š AUDUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast Full Chart Analysis FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY ๐Ÿ” Analysis Approach: Iโ€™m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) ๐Ÿ•ฐ๏ธ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range ๐Ÿ“ Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) ๐Ÿ”Ž Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation โœ… This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. ๐Ÿ’ก My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ” โš ๏ธ Losses? Theyโ€™re part of the mathematical game of trading ๐ŸŽฒ They donโ€™t define you โ€” theyโ€™re necessary, they happen, and we move forward ๐Ÿ“Šโžก๏ธ ๐Ÿ™ I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital โ€” FRNGT ๐Ÿš€
Long
by JCFRGNT
2
AUD/USD โ€” Descending Pressure Toward Strong Buy ZoneThe Australian Dollar continues to trade under descending pressure, respecting the dynamic trendline resistance. Each retest of the Sell Zones (0.6510 โ€“ 0.6550) has resulted in rejection, showing seller control. Now, price is approaching a key structural area: Strong Buy Zone: 0.6450 โ€“ 0.6465 Major Support: 0.6420 The structure remains bearish unless a confirmed breakout above the descending line occurs with volume. Until then, intraday traders can watch for short-term reactions around these liquidity zones. โš ๏ธ Educational setup โ€” not financial advice. #AUDUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #SilentScalpers #PriceAction #Scalping
by SilentScalpers