AUD/USD Trims Gains, Will Bears Take Full Control?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Trims Gains, Will Bears Take Full Control?
AUD/USD failed to stay in a positive zone and declined below 0.6650.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above 0.6680 against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6610 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD, the pair struggled to clear 0.6700. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below 0.6650 against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled below 0.6620 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6600. A low was formed at 0.6581 and the pair is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6706 swing high to the 0.6581 low.
On the upside, immediate resistance is near a connecting bearish trend line at 0.6610 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The next major hurdle for the bulls could be near 0.6645 and the 50% Fib retracement.
The main selling point could be 0.6660, above which the price could rise toward 0.6690. Any more gains might send the pair toward 0.6700. A close above 0.6700 could start another steady increase in the near term. In the stated case, the next key resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6750.
On the downside, initial support is near 0.6580. The next area of interest might be 0.6550. If there is a downside break below 0.6550, the pair could extend its decline. The next target for the bears might be 0.6500. Any more losses might send the pair toward 0.6420.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Trade ideas
AUDUSD H4 | Bullish reversalThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.6567, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.6511, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6636, which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25| - AUDUSD Daily Forecast📅 Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25|
📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:AUDUSD
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6544
1st Support: 0.6399
1st Resistance: 0.6794
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSD | Bearish Rejection from Order Block – Targeting Sell-SidHello Billionaires!!
In EURUSD D1 Projection we know the Price swept the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) and tapped into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block (OB), showing signs of rejection. This aligns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) for a potential bearish move.
🔹 Key Points:
Liquidity grab above recent highs (BSL).
FVG + OB acting as a rejection zone.
Price expected to target the Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL).
Balanced Price Range (BPR) around 0.6450 serves as a strong downside target.
Bearish bias remains valid as long as price stays below the OB/FVG zone.
AUDUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
AUDUSD - Weekly OutlookPair: AUDUSD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Bullish structure is intact, with momentum visually clear and intent showing strong upside direction.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Price has been mapped and refined to precision. The OB zone has already been mitigated, so now we wait for confirmation of continuation.
LTF (30M/5M):
Looking for a CHoCH confirmation with a breach of the LH. Once that occurs, we’ll attend the bullish leg for long setups.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on delivery)
Mindset Note:
AU rewards patience — let the CHoCH print before entering. A confirmed breach of structure keeps you aligned with the higher-timeframe bullish momentum.
AUD/USD - Forecast (To fall further)🇦🇺🇺🇸 AUD/USD – 8H Breakdown
AUD/USD just wrapped up that juicy Wave 3 run and topped near 0.6780. Now we’re cooling off with a corrective pullback — perfect spot to hunt buys 👀
🎯 Buy Zones
Buy Zone 1: 0.6520 – 0.6530 → first bounce area ⚡
Buy Zone 2 (Preferred): 0.6460 – 0.6480 → 71% retrace + wedge support 🏹
📈 Playbook
Let price dip into demand (ideally Buy Zone 2).
Load up → ride it back toward 0.6700.
If bulls flex, we sweep those 0.6780 highs for liquidity. 🚀
🔍 Outlook
Short-term: Expect deeper retrace into demand.
Mid-term: Bulls looking for another leg higher.
Bias : Pullback → Buy continuation 🔥
AUDUSD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 0.659.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 0.666 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUD-USD Support Below! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD is falling down
In a local downtrend but
The pair will soon hit
A horizontal support level
Of 0.6558 from where
A local bullish rebound
Is to be expected
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD: Is the Trend Ending Ahead of FOMC?AUDUSD: Is the Trend Ending Ahead of FOMC?
Recently, AUD has been rising strongly, even against the USD.
At first, it looked like AUD was showing real strength compared to the dollar, but whether that strength is sustainable remains to be seen.
Today’s focus is the FOMC meeting. Most news suggests the USD weakness comes from the market already pricing in a rate cut.
Let’s assume that’s true.
If the move is already priced in, what happens next?
Will AUDUSD push higher?
Or is the top of the bullish trend already in place, followed by a possible bearish move?
It’s a tough call because the FOMC is one of the most volatile events, and sharp swings in both directions are very common.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
I WAS WRONG FOR U.S DOLLAR AUDUSD - Based on performance i had two players to trade this week , Japanese Yen for buy and U.S Dollar for sell. U.S Dollar proved me wrong and it had very good performance with some pairs. The most clear pair for buy U.S Dollar is AUDUSD, as we can see the price is on very strong demand zone if the price will reject this zone we can make profit between the zones.
The pair is showing resilience after recent U.S. dollar weaknessThe pair is showing resilience after recent U.S. dollar weakness driven by expectations of Fed rate cuts. Meanwhile, the RBA maintains a more cautious stance, keeping Aussie supported. Technically, AUD/USD is consolidating above 0.6600 support and testing the 0.6680–0.6700 resistance zone.
Bullish Scenario (more likely): A breakout above 0.6700 could trigger momentum toward 0.6760 and potentially 0.6820.
AUDUSD H4 | Falling towards major supportThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the buy entry which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this levl to the take profit.
Buy entr yis at 0.6567, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is sy 0.6511, which hs a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% FIbonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6636, which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD Daily Forecast -Q3 | W38 | D19 | Y25|
📅 Q3 | W38 | D19 | Y25|
📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:AUDUSD
AUDUSD Rejection at Resistance – Bearish Setup AheadAUDUSD is testing a key resistance zone near 0.6680 after a strong bullish trendline move. The market has shown multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) signals, indicating potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
If price fails to break above this resistance, we may see a bearish rejection followed by a downside move toward 0.6620 – 0.6600. A confirmed break below the trendline could accelerate bearish pressure.
This is a technical analysis idea, not financial advice. Always manage your risk properly and follow your trading plan.
Short Setup on AUDUSD | Key Level at $0.667 TestedToday I want to share with you a Short position on the AUDUSD ( OANDA:AUDUSD ) pair. In the previous idea on AUDUSD, I managed to find the first part of this uptrend rally .
AUDUSD is currently trading in the Resistance zone($0.6714-$0.6622) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Resistance lines .
Also, one of the reasons why I took this Short position on the AUDUSD pair is that the AUDUSD is approaching $0.667 , which is an important number in previous rallies (in terms of trading volume ) on the daily and weekly time frames.
I expect AUDUSD NOT to break the $0.667 level without a correction (at least), so a drop to $0.6614(First Target) is at least possible .
Second Target: $0.6580
Stop Loss(SL): $0.6723
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Australian Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze (AUDUSD), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.