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U.S. DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR REFERENCE RATE

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AUDUSD – Testing Key ResistanceAUDUSD has extended its recovery from the 0.6420 channel base and is now testing a significant resistance band at 0.6660. The breakout from the channel has underpinned a constructive near-term bias, but price action is showing signs of fatigue as it approaches prior supply. We see limited risk-reward in chasing longs at current levels. A rejection from resistance would open scope for a corrective pullback toward 0.6450. Conversely, a sustained defense of that zone would provide the platform for another test of 0.6660. A clear break above would re-establish upside momentum, whereas repeated failure would likely tilt near-term flows back toward sellers. Overall, AUDUSD sits at an inflection point, with positioning now sensitive to headline risk and broader USD dynamics.
Short
by radhiohead
AUDUSD Wave Analysis – 11 September 2025 - AUDUSD broke resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 0.6700 AUDUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance area located at the intersection of the pivotal resistance level 0.6620 (former monthly high from July) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from May. The breakout of this resistance area continues the active impulse wave c, which belongs to the ABC correction 2 from April. Given the strong daily uptrend and bearish US dollar sentiment, AUDUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.6700 (target for the completion of wave 2).
Long
by FxProGlobal
AUDUSD Daily Forecast Q3 | W37 | D11| Y25📅 Q3 | W37 | D11| Y25 📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD Daily Forecast - Q3 | W37 | D11 | Y25📅 Q3 | W37 | D11 | Y25 📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
Chronex | AUDUSD - BUY - A new high ahead🚀 Yo Chronex — Bias for today is live! 🎯 100 % model-driven. No trend-line art, no gut calls. Just a repeatable institutional process delivered every day at London Open CHECKLIST H4 Structure: H4: Order flow: H1 Structure: H1 Order flow: m15 Order flow: Entry Model: Context Today: 🧠 What Chronex does (bird’s-eye view) - Scans all 28 major FX pairs every session. - Ranks each currency’s relative strength / weakness from multi-TF data. - Pairs strongest vs. weakest to create a tight outlook list. - Adds built-in risk filters → posts one clean table: *Direction · Conviction · Entry zone · SL*. 📍 Today’s Playbook: Risks 1. Do we have economic high impact news release? 2. Any higher-timeframe counter-trend zones? 3. Has better zone above/below? Verdict: 💬 Drop questions, challenge the outlook, or share your own setups below!
Long
by darksheeptrades
2
AUDUSD InsightHello to all subscribers, glad to have you here. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to boost and subscribe. Key Points - On the 10th, a large-scale “National Paralysis” movement broke out across France in protest against the government’s emergency fiscal policies. - In Poland, reports came out that 3–4 Russian drones intruding into its airspace were shot down, and the EU has begun discussions on strengthening air defense systems in response. - According to the U.S. Department of Labor, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August was -0.1%, far below the forecast of 0.3%, and on a yearly basis it rose 2.6%, well under the expected 3.3%. This decline was due to wholesale and retail trade margins plunging 1.7% month-over-month, suggesting that companies refrained from excessive price hikes despite U.S. tariff policies. Major Economic Events This Week + September 11: ECB interest rate decision, U.S. August CPI + September 12: U.K. July GDP, Germany August CPI AUDUSD Chart Analysis There is another attempt to break through the 0.66000 level, which has acted as resistance multiple times. If this resistance zone is breached, conditions may align for a medium- to long-term rise toward the 0.69000 level. However, if the pair fails to break through this resistance, the 0.65000 support line is expected to collapse, with a possible retreat as far as the 0.62000 level.
Long
by shawntime_academy
1
AUD/USD - Bullish Channel (10.09.2025) The AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.6636 2nd Resistance – 0.6658 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
36
AUD/USD hits new YTD high on USD weaknessThe US dollar weakened further on the back of the unexpected drop in producer prices inflation, which has now raised the bar even higher for CPI to beat expectations tomorrow. This caused the AUD/USD to break to a new high for the year. The Aussie could now start to rise more noticeably after months of underperformance relative to the euro and pound, for example. As you may have already seen it, headline and core prints fell by 0.1% in August took the market by surprise given that gains of 0.3% were expected on both fronts. What’s more, July was revised down to +0.7% from +0.9% previously. As a result, the year-over-year PPI fell to +2.6% against expectations of 3.3% as energy and services prices took a dip. From a technical point of view, the AUD/USD repeatedly tested the support zone between 0.6370 and 0.6430 in recent weeks, but the bears failed to cause a breakdown. Instead, rates have started to rally, along with the other major pairs. The latest rally in the AUD/USD pushed through 0.6560 to create a short-term higher high earlier this week, before a brief pause yesterday. The fact that the July peak at 0.6625 is now taken is a positive development now from a bullish point of view. If the breakout can now hold, then this could open the way towards round-number handles such as 0.67, 0.68, and beyond, with the September 2024 high at 0.6942 the next major objective if momentum holds. The 0.6560 level now acts as the first layer of support. Below that we have 0.6500. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
Forex 'Risk on' trade idea AUD USD longIts a 'USD short trade' based on PCE data backing up the recent 'multiple cuts before year end narrative'. I've chosen the AUD to long based on AUD momentum Vs the other currencies, there is a case to say any 'risk on' currency is longable Vs the USD. The risk to the trade is no 'swing' to hide the stop loss behind. Or and 'out of the blue event,' giving strength to the USD. There is also a case to say the JPY is a good 'short option' rather than the USD.
Long
by johnelfedforexblog
AUD/USD Trades to 2025 High After U.S. Jobs Revisions, Soft PPIAUD/USD is advancing on Wednesday, nudging above 0.6610 amid a softer U.S. dollar driven by growing optimism around Federal Reserve rate cuts. Investors are betting the Fed will deliver a 25-bps reduction next week, with growing expectations of a 50-bps move. Weaker than expected U.S. jobs revisions yesterday and a PPI reading that went into negative territory month-over-month is keeping pressure on the greenback. Rebounding metals and energy prices are likewise propping up AUD/USD rates. The above chart shows that, technically, AUD/USD rates have traded into key resistance, the 2025 high carved out in July at 0.6625. Bullish momentum is firming up, with Slow Stochastics extending into overbought territory and daily MACD rising to its highest levels since early-July. A move into new highs could increase the possibility of a retest of the November 2024 swing high at 0.6788.
by tastyfx