AUDUSD4H**Analytical Trading Perspectives for the Upcoming Week**
In this series of analyses, we have reviewed short-term trading perspectives and market outlooks.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support or resistance zone near the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction or breakout at these levels will determine the next price movement toward the specified targets.
**Important Note:** The purpose of these trading perspectives is to highlight the key levels ahead of price action and the market’s possible reactions to them. These analyses are by no means trading signals.
Trade ideas
AUDUSD (August Week 3/4)AUDUSD trade idea. Since the end of yesterday's trading session, AUDUSD price has been leaving clean bullish candles. It looks as though price is forming a traditional head and shoulders pattern. We can expect price to drop to retest the lows created yesterday at the beginning of next week and then price to resume upwards.
longThis Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
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Potential bullish bounce?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has bounced off the pivot which is an overlap support, and could rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6485
1st Support: 0.6454
1st Resistance: 0.6531
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AUDUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis.
Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you.
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Australian Dollar Retreats from August HighsAustralian Dollar Retreats from August Highs
This week, forex traders’ attention is firmly on the AUD/USD market following key news releases from Australia:
→ Tuesday: Interest rate decision. According to ForexFactory, analysts’ forecasts were confirmed as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut the cash rate from 3.85% to 3.60%.
→ Today: Labour market statistics revealed that the unemployment rate fell from 4.3% to 4.2%.
This dynamic fundamental backdrop has driven a rich technical setup on the AUD/USD chart, where bearish sentiment currently prevails.
Technical Analysis of the AUD/USD Chart
Since last month, AUD/USD price movements have been forming a descending channel (highlighted in red), and this week’s reversal from the August high reinforces its relevance.
Key factors emphasising the market’s bearish bias include:
→ Double top pattern formed by recent highs A and B. Notably, the long upper wicks of the candlesticks reflect increasing selling pressure.
→ The August upward move, marked by purple trendlines, may represent a corrective bear flag within the dominant downtrend.
→ Bearish RSI divergence – present not only between highs A and B, but also relative to the 7 July peak.
Potential Support Levels:
→ Lower purple trendline;
→ Line Q, which divides the upper half of the channel into two quarters;
→ The 0.65 psychological level – previously defended strongly by bulls, as evidenced by the wide bullish candle on 12 August, when price surged easily (a sign of buying imbalance).
These supports collectively form a key demand zone (shaded in purple). Bears will need significant momentum to break through this area and extend the prevailing downtrend in AUD/USD through August 2025.
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AUDUSD H4 | Bullish bounce off pullback supportBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.6484, which is a pullback support that that is slightly above the 61.8% FIbonacci retracemnt.
Stop loss is at 0.6451, which is a pullback support that lines up witht he 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6557, which is a pullback resistance.
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AUD/USD – Major Reversal Brewing?Multi-Timeframe Bearish Outlook | Elliott Wave + SMC
🧠 The Setup:
AUD/USD looks ripe for a larger bearish leg as we complete a higher timeframe corrective pattern. Smart Money Concepts and wave theory are pointing to confluence for a strong downside move.
🕵️♂️ Chart 1 – Macro Structure (HTF):
🔹 Completed a clear 5-wave impulse into strong daily supply
🔺 Price tapped a well-defined daily + 8H supply zone
🔹 Ending diagonal / wedge formation into the top — typical of wave (5) exhaustion
❌ Invalidation marked above strong supply (very low probability of breaking)
🔍 Chart 2 – Corrective Wave Unfolding:
➿ Wave (2) forming a textbook A-B-C correction
🔻 Currently in Wave C, rejecting near the 8H supply zone
🔁 Anticipating breakdown into Wave (3) of larger degree
🧱 Structure holding firm beneath supply and prior BOS zones
📉 Chart 3 – Volume Profile & Targeting:
💼 Major volume clusters beneath current price
📍 Volume Imbalance + Fair Value Gaps in lower zones = magnets for price
🎯 Target Level: 0.629x area marked (potential wave (3) bottom)
🧱 Strong confluence between technicals and liquidity draw below
⚙️ Trade Plan:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Within or near current daily/8H supply
Target: 0.6300 zone (Wave (3) projection)
Invalidation: Above 0.6625 (supply zone high)
💬 Summary:
AUD/USD is offering a high-probability reversal setup. We’ve got:
✅ A clean 5-wave completion
✅ SMC supply rejection
✅ Internal ABC structure confirming corrective behavior
✅ Volume support for downside targets
🔥 Are you riding this wave down or still waiting for confirmation?
📉 Drop your analysis below — let’s chart this move together.
AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D14 | Y25📊 AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W33 | D14 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FX:AUDUSD
AUD-USD Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD is making a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 0.6540 and as we are
Bullish biased we will be
Expecting a local bullish
Move up
Buy!
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