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U.S. DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR REFERENCE RATE

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AUDUSD potential SELL setupAUDUSD Bearish Setup Breakout Analysis: Distribution pattern with breakdown below key support suggests downside acceleration/momentum. Strategy Framework: Since the forecast calls for more downside momentum we can anticipate a corrective move towards BOS. The zone between BOS and Resistance Zone give us our POI, where we should be looking for shorts to ride the downside wave towards our targets. Technical Analysis: - Breakdown Level: - Entry Strategy: Short on confirmed BOS level - Stop Loss: Above Resistance zone. Target Zones: - Primary Target: 1 (R:R 1:2) - Secondary Target: 2 (R:R 1:3) - Extension Target: 3 (R:R 1:4) Bearish Confirmations: 🔻 Rejection candlestick patterns 🔻 Bearish Reversal patterns 🔻 Impulsive moves in line with setups directional bias Position Management: - Exit: Partial profits at targets - Stop adjustment: Trail below resistance LIKE or COMMENT if this idea sparks your interest, or share your thoughts below! FOLLOW to keep up with fresh ideas. Tidypips: "Keep It Clean, Trade Mean!"
Short
by Tidypips
1
Potential bearish reversal ahead?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a multi-swing high resistance and could reverse to the pullback support. Pivot: 0.6620 1st Support: 0.6528 1st Resistance: 0.6657 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bearish reversal?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support, which has been identified as an overlap support. Pivot: 0.6637 1st Support: 0.6519 1st Resistance: 0.6704 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Is Australian Dollar still weak?On the pair of AUDUSD we can see a clear downtrend. The price is right now on supply zone from yesterday it is possible for three scenarios. The yellow line show the possible fall of the price to the next zones, the white line show the possible fall to the demand zone and then rice back to the area that price play right now and the orange line show the possible rise of the price break the supply zone and move to the next. On lower time frames we can get good entrance wait to see how the price will react. Always remember patience is the key and good luck to all
by Spyrou_11
Bullish bounce off?Aussie (AUD/USD) has bounced off the pivot which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the 1st resistance that aligns with rhe 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 0.6495 1st Support: 0.6469 1st Resistance: 0.6469 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUD/USD 4H Technical & Fundamental Market AnalysisAUD/USD 4H Technical & Fundamental Market Analysis The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held its cash rate at 3.60% in September, citing persistent inflation in services and a steady labor market. Meanwhile, China’s new export restrictions and additional port fees have negatively impacted the Australian dollar, given Australia’s strong export dependence on China. Renewed concerns over potential tariffs or trade retaliation amid U.S.–China tensions are also weighing heavily on AUD sentiment. Technical Overview The pair recently showed a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside around 0.6200, confirming bearish momentum after a price gap and a failure to sustain above 0.65400, which serves as our Sell-Side Liquidity Zone. After filling the gap, price is now retesting the previous BOS level, which now acts as a minor key resistance around 0.6200. Our objective is to monitor price action closely within both liquidity zones, especially the Sell-Side Liquidity Zone. If price manages to break below the current resistance and Fair Value Gap (FVG), we will look for a sell continuation setup. 🎯 Trading Plan: Entry: 115,384.00 Stop Loss: 113,938.00 Take Profit 1: 118,571.00 Take Profit 2: 119,883.00 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
Short
by RebornFXTrader
Stop!Loss|Market View: AUDUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the AUDUSD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 0.64749 💰TP: 0.63731 ⛔️SL: 0.65492 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: OANDA:AUDUSD and OANDA:NZDUSD are currently the most likely currency pairs to fall amid the likely continued strengthening of the USD. By the end of the year or early next year, an updating of the 2025 lows is expected. The short-term picture also suggests a likely context for selling. Accumulation below the POC level and support from the uptrend channel will likely lead to a decline toward the 0.63000 - 0.64000 area. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Short
by StopLoss222
Introduction to Currency Adventures: Players in Currency MarketsUnderstanding Currency Markets Currency markets are unique in the global financial ecosystem. Unlike stock markets that operate within specific exchanges, Forex is a decentralized market, operating 24 hours a day, five days a week, across multiple time zones. Major financial centers include London, New York, Tokyo, and Sydney, creating a continuous flow of trading activity. Key Features of Currency Markets: Liquidity: The FX market is highly liquid. Currencies like the US Dollar (USD), Euro (EUR), and Japanese Yen (JPY) are traded in enormous volumes, allowing traders to enter and exit positions efficiently. Volatility: Currency prices fluctuate based on multiple factors including interest rates, political developments, trade balances, and market sentiment. High volatility creates opportunities for profit but also increases risk. Leverage: Forex trading allows traders to control large positions with relatively small amounts of capital. While leverage magnifies profits, it also increases potential losses. Global Influences: Unlike equities, currency markets are influenced not just by individual companies but by macroeconomic indicators, central bank policies, and global geopolitical events. The combination of liquidity, volatility, and global influences makes currency trading an adventurous field where knowledge and strategy often dictate success. The Concept of Currency Adventures A currency adventure is not merely about trading for profit; it’s about understanding the dynamics that drive currency movements and making informed decisions. Every currency pair represents a relationship between two economies. For example, trading EUR/USD involves monitoring the Eurozone and US economies simultaneously. Types of Currency Adventures: Speculative Trading: Traders attempt to profit from short-term price movements. This could involve day trading, swing trading, or scalping. Hedging: Businesses and investors use currency markets to protect themselves against adverse movements. For instance, an importer in India might hedge against USD appreciation to manage costs. Arbitrage Opportunities: Some sophisticated traders exploit small discrepancies in currency pricing across different markets to earn risk-free profits. Long-Term Investments: Currency investors may take positions based on long-term macroeconomic trends, interest rate differentials, or expected geopolitical shifts. A currency adventure involves a continuous learning process — observing market patterns, analyzing news, and adapting strategies in real-time. It requires discipline, analytical skills, and emotional control, as the market’s rapid pace can lead to impulsive decisions. Major Currency Pairs and Their Significance Currency markets revolve around pairs, representing one currency relative to another. Understanding these pairs is critical for anyone embarking on a currency adventure. Major Pairs: EUR/USD: Represents the Euro against the US Dollar. It is the most traded pair, reflecting the health of the Eurozone and US economies. USD/JPY: Indicates the strength of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. Often influenced by interest rate differentials and geopolitical stability in Asia. GBP/USD: Known as “Cable,” it shows the performance of the British Pound versus the US Dollar, influenced by Brexit developments and UK economic indicators. USD/CHF: Often considered a safe haven pair, influenced by global risk sentiment. AUD/USD and NZD/USD: Represent commodity currencies, sensitive to global commodity prices, particularly metals and agricultural products. Exotic Pairs: These involve currencies from emerging markets, like USD/TRY (US Dollar/Turkish Lira) or USD/ZAR (US Dollar/South African Rand). While offering high profit potential, these pairs are highly volatile and carry significant risk. Understanding the dynamics of these pairs — from macroeconomic trends to central bank interventions — forms the foundation of any currency adventure. Key Players in Currency Markets The Forex market is not a playground for the faint-hearted. Its complexity is amplified by the diverse participants, each with unique objectives and strategies. 1. Central Banks Central banks are perhaps the most influential players in currency markets. They manage national monetary policies, control interest rates, and intervene directly in currency markets to stabilize their economy. Example: The US Federal Reserve (Fed) adjusts interest rates to control inflation, which directly impacts the USD’s strength. Central banks can also engage in quantitative easing, affecting currency supply and valuation. 2. Commercial Banks Commercial banks act as intermediaries for currency transactions, offering services to businesses and institutional clients. They also trade for proprietary profits. Banks often hold large inventories of currencies, allowing them to influence short-term market movements. 3. Hedge Funds and Speculators These players actively seek profit from currency fluctuations. Hedge funds often employ sophisticated strategies, including algorithmic trading, arbitrage, and leveraged positions. Speculators increase market liquidity but can also amplify volatility. 4. Corporations Businesses engaged in international trade are critical participants. They buy or sell currencies to pay for imports and exports or to hedge against adverse movements. Example: An American company importing electronics from Japan will need to buy JPY, impacting the USD/JPY pair. 5. Retail Traders Individual investors, or retail traders, have grown significantly in influence due to online trading platforms. Though smaller in size compared to institutional players, retail traders contribute to market liquidity and reflect public sentiment. 6. Brokers and Market Makers Brokers facilitate access for retail and institutional clients. Market makers quote buy and sell prices, profiting from the spread. They play a crucial role in maintaining market liquidity. Factors Influencing Currency Markets Currency movements are driven by a mix of economic, political, and psychological factors. Understanding these forces is essential for navigating currency adventures. 1. Economic Indicators Gross Domestic Product (GDP): A strong GDP indicates economic growth, attracting foreign investment and strengthening the currency. Inflation Rates: Higher inflation may weaken a currency unless matched by higher interest rates. Employment Data: Job creation and unemployment rates signal economic health, influencing currency demand. 2. Interest Rates Interest rate differentials between countries create opportunities for carry trades, where investors borrow in a low-interest currency to invest in a high-interest currency. 3. Political Stability Geopolitical events — elections, conflicts, or policy changes — can create sharp movements in currency markets. Safe-haven currencies like USD, CHF, and JPY often benefit during times of uncertainty. 4. Market Sentiment Currencies are also influenced by perception. Positive news about a country’s economy can strengthen its currency, while rumors or fears can trigger sell-offs. 5. Global Events Natural disasters, pandemics, or technological disruptions can also have far-reaching impacts on currency valuation. The Adventure of Currency Trading Engaging in currency markets requires more than knowledge; it demands strategy and discipline. Traders often use a combination of technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and risk management to navigate the market. Technical Analysis Chart patterns, trend lines, and indicators like Moving Averages or RSI help identify entry and exit points. Technical analysis assumes historical price patterns may repeat due to human psychology and market dynamics. Fundamental Analysis Focuses on economic indicators, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events. Helps traders anticipate long-term trends beyond short-term price movements. Risk Management Tools like stop-loss orders, position sizing, and diversification are essential. Emotional control is critical; impulsive decisions can lead to significant losses. Technology in Currency Adventures Modern currency trading is powered by advanced technologies. Automated trading systems, AI-driven algorithms, and real-time news feeds have transformed the landscape, allowing traders to react faster and more efficiently than ever before. Conclusion Currency adventures are a journey into the complex, fast-paced world of global finance. They involve understanding the dynamics of currency pairs, the motivations of key players, and the multiple factors that influence markets. From central banks orchestrating monetary policy to retail traders executing speculative trades, every participant contributes to the global flow of currencies. Success in currency markets requires knowledge, strategy, and discipline. It is a continuous learning process where traders must analyze, adapt, and execute with precision. While the risks are real and sometimes significant, the opportunities are equally vast for those willing to navigate the intricacies of global markets. Ultimately, a currency adventure is not just about trading; it is an exploration of global economics, international relations, and human psychology, all converging in the vibrant, ever-changing world of currency markets. Those who master this adventure gain not just potential financial rewards but a deeper understanding of how interconnected the modern world truly is.
Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
AUDUSD | Bearish Rejection from Order Block – Target doneHello Billionaires!! In AUDUSD just delivered a clean Smart Money bearish setup — rejecting from the FVG + Order Block (OB) zone in premium pricing. After taking the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL), price shifted structure and is now aggressively heading toward the BPR & SSL zone below. Every pullback is now a chance for Smart Money to sell at premium levels 🚀 📊 Market Storyline: BSL taken, confirming liquidity grab ✅ FVG + OB rejection in premium ✅ Structural shift to bearish order flow ✅ Target → SSL liquidity zones ✅ Smart Money stays one step ahead — retail still looking for longs 😏 #AUDUSD #AliyanFX #SmartMoneyConcepts #ICT #PriceAction #Liquidity #FVG #BPR #OB #SMC #Forex #TradingViewIdeas
by AliyanFX
USD/AUD Short Term OutlookHey guys, This is a thesis I've had for quite some time but seems to be unfolding of late. With the talks and worries about the regional banks in America and the private credit companies loan books not looking good as the consumer is being squeezed from tariffs, higher interest rates, unemployment slowly ticking up and student debts having to be paid back again after credit growth soared after covid i feel we could see a recession hit the US sometime over the next year. I doubt it will be a collapse anything like 2008 or anything but even a slow down on growth and a pull back on spending could lead to big declines from these AI bubble fueled highs as P/E have risen way out of hand. Something like the 2000s seems more accurate to current conditions. IF this thesis is right you will see marked declines in the AUD against the USD and i have laid out my first target of .60 as it fits the technical pattern and we have a confluence of support there. We have also recently rejected off the resistance lines, broken the rising wedge (RED Lines), slipped back under the 100SMA. This provides a great enter point with a tight stop loss and a clear take profit. I will be posting my future outlook for the AUD so please check it out to get the bigger picture Also do your own research
Short
by jackwheeler
AUD/USD Testing Pivotal SupportThe AUD/USD decline exhausted this week into the July low-week close (LWC) a 6469. Note that this level converges on the median-line of the yearly uptrend (blue) and the 2022 trendline (red) and further highlights the technical significance of this zone in the weeks ahead. A break / weekly close below this slope is needed to suggest a larger correction is underway here with subsequent support objectives seen at the 52-week moving average (currently ~6419), the 382% retracement of the yearly range at 6404 and the February high-week close (HWC) at 6357. Broader bullish invalidation rests with 2025 LWC at 6290. Weekly resistance is now at the 61.8% retracement of the 2024 decline / July HWC at 6550/65 and is backed by the yearly high-close at 6650. A breach / weekly close above this threshold is needed to suggest a more significant low is in place / mark resumption of the yearly uptrend with subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 78.6% retracement at 6723 and the 2024 HWC / yearly open at 6795-6810 (both levels of interest for possible topside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached). Bottom line: A reversal off uptrend resistance is now testing initial uptrend support and the focus is on possible inflection off this slope. From a trading standpoint, rallies should be limited to 6565 IF price is heading for a break lower on this stretch with a close below the median-line needed to fuel the next major leg of the decline. -MB
by FOREXcom
AUDUSD: Price Holds Below Daily HTLKey Observations Daily Timeframe: Price remains below HTL, which signals lack of strength to try and trade above it Downside momentum is likely to pick up as price is below EMAs and EMA20 is threatening to cross back below EMA60 H1 Timeframe: Price remains bearish as indicated by it's inability to trade above the EMA band and sustain that momentum Price crossed back below the EMA band with a strong bearish candle so the entry is based on the current pullback move
Short
by FinancialGamblR
AUDUSD STRUCTURE The Audusd has broken below its ascending trendline and has since pulled back to retest the broken support level, which is now acting as resistance. Price is currently trading beneath a key resistance zone and is showing signs of bearish pressure. Following a period of consolidation around this area, the pair is expected to continue its decline toward the highlighted support levels. As long as the pair remains below the resistance zone, the downside bias will remain intact. "Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts."
Long
by Pintu_sahu01
1