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U.S. DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR REFERENCE RATE

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Australian Dollar Tumbles on China Port Fee EscalationThe Australian dollar plunged against all major currencies overnight following China's decision to impose port fees on shipping vessels, marking a significant escalation in ongoing trade tensions between the world's two largest economies. The move compounds pressure on the aussie after Friday's sharp 1.4% decline in AUD/USD triggered by Trump's initial tariff threats against China. While weekend assurances of cooperation had sparked a brief recovery to start the week, China's retaliatory port fee announcement sent the pair tumbling another 1% as the U.S. dollar captured safe-haven flows throughout the European trading session. The selling momentum reversed during the U.S. morning open, with improving risk sentiment and a rebound in equity markets providing relief for the battered commodity currency. Technical indicators suggest AUD/USD may be approaching oversold territory after testing critical support levels. The pair touched 0.6450 at its weakest point around 6am EST, marking the first test of the 200-day moving average since May - a level that has historically provided significant support. Following the intraday reversal, AUD/USD now trades at the lower Bollinger Band (2 standard deviations on the 20-day), sitting precariously just above Friday's lows. Australian employment data due Wednesday night could provide near-term direction, while Federal Reserve speakers scheduled throughout the week may influence US dollar strength. However, the primary catalyst for major moves remains the unpredictable flow of trade-related headlines, with any commentary from Trump or Chinese officials capable of triggering sharp volatility in the Aussie.
by tastyfx
AUDUSD Daily Forecast - Q4 | W41 | D10 | Y25|📅 Q4 | W41 | D10 | Y25| 📊 AUDUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD H1 | Bearish Drop Confirmation onAUD/USD has rejected off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the take profit. Sell entry is at 0.6606, which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6627, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit is at 0.6581, which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
AUDUSD H4 | Bearish ContinuationThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to the take profit. Sell entry is at 0.6590, which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6621, which is a multi-swing high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6521, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
AUDUSD - Steady Uptrend with Strong Support ? 👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:AUDUSD ? AUDUSD has maintained a steady uptrend over the past few months, primarily consolidating in a defined price channel, with the price holding above key support levels. Technically, the pair is currently testing the support zone that aligns with the ascending trendline. This trendline has proven to be a reliable support in the past and continues to be a focal point. On the other hand, the Australian dollar benefits from a favorable economic outlook and rising commodity prices, which bolster investor confidence in the currency. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure due to concerns over economic growth and the potential policy adjustments by the Federal Reserve. With these two factors in play, I remain optimistic about this currency pair. 💬How about you?
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
17
Bearish drop off major resistance?AUD/USD has rejected the resistance level, which is an overlap resistance, and could drop from this level to our take-profit. Entry: 0.6623 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Stop loss: 0.6684 Why we like it: There is a swing high resistance level. Take profit: 0.6507 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
AUDUSD attempted to break above the key resistance levelThe AUD/USD pair recently attempted to break above the key resistance level at 0.6520, but this move appears to have been a false breakout. Following a period of consolidation below resistance, the pair is showing signs of renewed bearish momentum. From a fundamental perspective, the recent interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may have contributed to increased downside pressure on the Australian dollar, strengthening the bearish outlook. Technical Outlook: Price is currently trading below the critical resistance zone near 0.6520, confirming sellers are in control Failure to sustain gains above this level suggests a potential continuation of the downtrend If bearish momentum holds, the pair is expected to decline towards the next support level around 0.6450. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
Short
by MrMartin_11
6
Rising Diagonal Pattern Near CompletionAUD/USD Elliott Wave Analysis – Rising Diagonal Pattern Near Completion Overview The AUD/USD pair has formed a clear ending diagonal pattern, signaling potential exhaustion of the current bullish trend. This structure, often seen at the final stage of an impulse wave, suggests that a corrective phase may soon follow. The diagonal appears complete with all five internal waves labeled (I-V), indicating that the market might be preparing for a deeper pullback. Technical Analysis According to the Elliott Wave structure visible on the 6-hour chart, AUD/USD completed its fifth and final wave near the 0.67 region. The wedge pattern is now narrowing, with bearish divergence hinting at weakening bullish momentum. Wave Structure: Wave I started the diagonal formation, initiating the rising trend. Waves II and IV acted as corrections, forming higher lows. Wave V extended slightly but failed to make a strong breakout, suggesting exhaustion. The price currently trades near 0.6560, with a potential retracement zone between 0.6450 and 0.6500. This range coincides with a strong demand zone and the lower boundary of the diagonal pattern. A pullback into this area could complete the corrective (A)-(B)-(C) structure before the next major directional move. Key Levels Support Zone: 0.6450 – 0.6500 Immediate Resistance: 0.6650 – 0.6680 Breakout Confirmation: A sustained break below 0.6450 could confirm the end of the diagonal and open the door toward 0.63 in the medium term. Invalidation: A breakout above 0.67 would invalidate the bearish correction scenario. Market Outlook The diagonal’s completion suggests that the pair may enter a short-term correction phase. However, traders should monitor price action near the support area before confirming the next trend direction. If buyers defend the 0.6450 zone, a rebound toward 0.6650 is likely. Conversely, a clear break below the wedge would strengthen bearish momentum. Given the overall wave count, the market is likely in transition between an impulsive and a corrective phase. Patience is crucial at this stage, as the next few sessions will determine whether the larger uptrend resumes or a deeper retracement unfolds.
Short
by CakirInsights
AUDUSD Eyes 0.65900 as Gold Nears Record HighHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.65900 zone. AUDUSD remains in an uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, with price moving toward this key support/resistance level. Structure: The broader bias is bullish, with price retracing toward trend support. Key level in focus: 0.65900 — an important area where buyers may look to re-enter. Fundamentals: Gold continues to rise and is nearing a fresh ATH, supported by a bearish US Dollar bias. Given the positive correlation between AUDUSD and Gold, further upside on the pair remains likely. Next move: Monitoring price reaction at 0.65900 to assess whether the trend resumes higher. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
15
AUDUSD Could drop new lowThe AUD/USD is expected to fall further after showing a pullback to the M15 timeframe top in a clear downtrend. The pair is reacting negatively to that resistance area, suggesting that after a short-term retracement to the upside, we could see another move toward new lows. This setup could offer a high-quality short opportunity with strong potential if the price confirms rejection at the M15 top. This is not financial advice. You are responsible for your own trades and decisions.
Short
by msoheil
AUD-USD Free Signal! Buy! Hello,Traders! AUDUSD reacts strongly from the horizontal demand area, confirming bullish displacement as Smart Money defends discount levels. With liquidity swept below structure, price seeks to rebalance inefficiency toward 0.6599$. ------------------- Stop Loss: 0.6574$ Take Profit: 0.6599$ Entry: 0.6585$ Time Frame: 1H ------------------- Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
3
AUDUSD is Ready for a Bullish MoveHello Traders In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today AUDUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on AUDUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
1
AUDUSD May Be at Key Juncture for Long-Term Trend ChangeAUDUSD is at a critical juncture in both the medium and long term. It has broken above the downward trendline (green downtrend) that began in 2011. A trend channel from 2021 (yellow), whose upper line is almost identical to that same green trendline, has also been broken. This could signal a major shift for AUD traders, as dynamics that held from 2011 to 2025 may no longer apply. Fundamentals support this potential change. Headline inflation is at 2.1 percent, but short-term data suggest the fight against inflation may not be fully over. CPI is expected to bounce back to 2.68 percent by the end of 2026, meaning fast rate cuts are unlikely. Unlike the US, Australia shows no clear downtrend in net employment change, which is very supportive for the AUD. On growth, forecasts for 2026 show Australia’s GDP at a median 2.20 percent compared to 1.70 percent for the US. With similar CPI forecasts, this gives the AUD an advantage over the USD. On the fiscal side, Australia is in much better shape than the US, with a lower budget deficit and far lower debt-to-GDP. Despite lower debt, lower deficit, lower inflation, and lower rates, Australia’s 10-year bond yield stands at 4.22 percent compared to 4.02 percent in the US. This is a serious imbalance in both yields and currency, one that will likely return to balance within a year, perhaps sooner. Both technically and fundamentally, AUDUSD looks bullish in the medium and long term. In the short term, however, direction may hinge on the FOMC. Price is now near the upper line of the green shorter-term channel. A possible downward correction could bring AUDUSD back to the lower line, retesting the long-term channel in a single big move. If so, it could mark the best buying opportunity for AUD bulls. Still, the dollar index itself is testing its long-term trend dating back to 2011, so a downward correction may not materialize at all. Traders should plan accordingly.
Long
by ftdsystem