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U.S. DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR REFERENCE RATE

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AUD/USD Forming Triangle Breakout | Demand Zone SupportAUD/USD (4H timeframe) is showing a strong technical setup after weeks of sideways movement. Price has recently formed multiple tops (0.6600–0.6650 resistance) and bottoms near the 0.6450 demand zone, highlighting a clear range structure. Key observations: The market developed a sideways trend before breaking into a triangle pattern, indicating consolidation before the next move. Support levels are holding well around 0.6450–0.6470, aligning with the demand zone. A clean break above 0.6520–0.6550 would confirm bullish momentum, potentially driving price back to the strong resistance area at 0.6600–0.6650. If buyers fail to maintain control, a rejection from resistance may lead to another retest of 0.6400 (weak low zone). This setup provides traders with both bullish breakout opportunities and downside risk scenarios, making it an important level to watch. This post is for educational analysis only. Not financial advice. Always apply risk management and follow your trading plan
Long
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
6
AUDUSD(20250822)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Most Fed officials remain cautious about rate cuts. Bostic: We still expect one rate cut this year, citing concerns about labor market trends. Schmid: Inflation risks outweigh employment risks, and current policy is in an appropriate position. Hammack: We do not yet support a September rate cut. Collins: If the labor market outlook deteriorates, a rate cut may be appropriate in the short term. We cannot wait until inflation is fully understood before considering a rate cut. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 0.6422 Support and Resistance Levels: 0.6444 0.6436 0.6430 0.6413 0.6408 0.6400 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 0.6422, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 0.6436. If the price breaks below 0.6413, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 0.6400.
Long
by Financialfreedom11
AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D20 | Y25 📊 AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D20 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
AUDUSD - Short opportunity this weekWe cannot put indicators as a reference in the publications (not even the free ones, don't know the reasons of this policy), but the play here would be the following. First condition: We wait for a 1hr cross in the red on the macd; Second: if condition #1 is confirmed, then we switch to the 5 minute timeframe and we wait for the macd to cross back in the green on this smaller timeframe. Once that happens, we put a pending sell at the low before the small pullback. The stop loss would be above the 1 hr correction (currently around 0.653). Needless to say that if both conditions do not occur, there is no setup. Stay tuned
Short
by profxedge
AUDUSD H4 | Bullish reversalThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to the upside. Buy entry is at 0.6423, which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 0.6361, which acts as a swing low support that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit is at 0.6481, which is an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
AUD/USD Breaks Daily Supply Zone Despite Fundamental CautionThe U.S. dollar maintained its decline yesterday, driven by dovish comments from Federal Reserve official Kashkari, who joined other policymakers in hinting at a possible interest rate cut as soon as September. This shift in tone was mainly triggered by the softer-than-anticipated Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) figures released last Friday, signaling a more cautious outlook on the economy. Meanwhile, the AUD/USD pair broke through our previous Daily Supply zone. However, from a fundamental perspective, nothing has significantly changed, as non-commercial traders increased their short positions last week. This suggests that there may be a second opportunity to target the next Daily Supply zone, as indicated by the chart. ✅ Please share your thoughts about AUDUSD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
3
AUDUSD - Seriously?Main Parameters 1. Monthly timeframe - Bullish 2. Weekly timeframe - Bullish 3. Daily timeframe - Bullish 4. Intraday timeframes - Bearish Other Parameters 5. COT Data - AUD (Net Short with main parameters) Intraday Reason for entry: 1W Structure, 1D Validation Level, 4hr Invalidation confluence. Based on all these parameters, we are taking a Long position risking not more than 12 Pips, targeting a 1:15+. CAUTION: This is not a financial advice, always trade with caution considering appropriate risk management.
Long
by relentlessforex
Falling towards swing low support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a swing low support and could bounce to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance. Pivot: 0.6420 1st Support: 0.6390 1st Resistance: 0.6486 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUD/USD 4H | Momentum Screams Sell — Will Bears Take Over?AUD/USD is setting up for a clean short opportunity on the 4H chart, backed by both technical momentum and macro fundamentals. The pair continues to trade in a strong bearish trend, with USD gaining strength and AUD under heavy pressure from dovish RBA signals and risk-off sentiment. Our trade plan aligns with an AB=CD projection toward a lower PRZ, but we’re taking an instant sell setup to capture the bearish momentum early. ⚡ Technical Setup – Quick Summary Pair: AUD/USD Timeframe: 4H Trend: Strongly Bearish across 1H, 2H, and 4H Pattern: Potential AB=CD harmonic, PRZ projected much lower Indicators: Alligator wide open + momentum bearish confirmations Execution: Instant Sell (market execution) Trade Details Entry: Sell @ 0.64535 ( or Current Market Price) SL: 0.65279 TP1: 0.63791 Lot Size: 0.13 (1% risk on $10k) R/R Ratio: 1:1 📉 Confluence Drivers 🔹 Technical Confirmation Alligator indicator confirms strong bearish momentum. Multi-timeframe momentum is bearish. USD index showing strength → adds bearish pressure on AUD/USD. 🔹 Macro Fundamentals AUD Weakness: AUD is 2024–25’s weakest major currency, dragged by global risk-off mood & commodities slowdown. USD Strength: Supported by strong Fed signals & macro resilience. 🎯 Trade Trigger Logic Even though AB=CD PRZ is lower, the bearish momentum calls for immediate entry. Early positioning helps capture the move while risk is controlled with tight SL placement. Do you also see AUD/USD sliding further, or do you expect a bounce before 0.64? Drop your thoughts 👇. Don’t forget to like, share, and follow for more trade setups! #AUDUSD #ForexTrading #ABCDPattern #HarmonicTrading #BearishTrend #AlligatorIndicator #TradingSetup #InstantSell #ForexSignals #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #ForexStrategy #TrendFollowing #FXTrading #SellSetup #CurrencyTrading #ForexCommunity #TradeSmart #MomentumTrading #RiskManagement #BearishBias #PriceAction #SwingTrading #4HChart #USDEUR #CommodityCurrency #MacroFX #RBA #Fed #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
Short
by asimafridi
Bullish bounce off swing low support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support lev which is a swing low support and could bouce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6420 Why we like it: There is a swing low support. Stop loss: 0.6388 Why we like it: There is a multi swing low support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 0.6481 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
AUD/USD 4H AnalysisThe pair has recently rejected the true supply zone (0.6550 – 0.6570), showing clear selling pressure from this area. 🔻 Price is now moving lower, and as long as it remains under this supply zone, the bearish outlook dominates. Key points to watch: 🔹 Resistance / Supply: 0.6550 – 0.6570 🔹 Immediate Support: 0.6440 – 0.6420 🔹 Major Demand Zone: 0.6350 – 0.6320 📉 If sellers maintain control, the next bearish leg could push price toward the 0.6360 – 0.6320 demand area. ⚠️ Only a strong break above 0.6570 would invalidate this bearish scenario and open the way for higher prices. ✅ Trading Plan: Look for confirmation signals around the supply zone for potential short entries, with targets near the lower channel boundary. 📌 Do you expect AUD/USD to continue its drop toward 0.6360, or will bulls surprise the market with a reversal? 👇 Share your opinion in the comments!
Short
by Nextradingteam
2
AUDUSD H4 | Falling towards Fibonacci confluenceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry which is a pullback support and could bounce from this levle to the take profit. Buy entry is at 0.6453, whichis a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fib retracement, 78.6% Fib projection and is also slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss is at 0.6421, which is a swing low support. Tak eprofit is at 0.6519, which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D19 | Y25📊 AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D19 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
AUD/USD – Last Push Before September Weakness?1. Retail Sentiment 77% of retail traders are currently short on AUD/USD, with an average entry around 0.6459. Historically, when retail positioning is heavily skewed to one side, the market often moves in the opposite direction. This suggests short-term upside potential (contrarian perspective). 2. COT Report (AUD & USD Index) AUD (CME): Non-Commercials remain heavily short (129k vs 28k long), keeping speculative positioning bearish on AUD. However, Commercials significantly increased their long exposure (+10,892), indicating institutional accumulation. USD Index (ICE): Non-Commercials hold 19k shorts vs 13k longs, showing a bearish tilt on USD, with additional shorts added (+1,916). Commercials remain net long (12k vs 6k short), defending dollar strength. ➡️ COT Takeaway: Speculators remain bearish on AUD and moderately bearish on USD. This divergence suggests potential sideways movement or consolidation in the short term. 3. Seasonality (September) Historically, September has been a weak month for AUD/USD, with negative performance across the past 5–15 years. Seasonal curves confirm a bearish bias, especially in the first half of the month. 4. Technical Analysis Supply Zone: Approaching strong weekly/monthly supply at 0.6600–0.6650. RSI: Rising toward overbought, pointing to possible exhaustion of bullish momentum. Structure: Price may complete a test of 0.6600–0.6650 before retracing back to demand zones at 0.6450 and 0.6400. Trend Dynamics: The medium-term trend remains bearish, with corrective rallies providing opportunities to short. Operational Outlook Short-term Bias (1–2 weeks): Potential final push toward 0.6600–0.6650, driven by contrarian sentiment and COT divergence. Medium-term Bias (September): Expected weakness with downside targets at 0.6450 → 0.6400, aligned with seasonality and speculative positioning. Strategy: Look for short reversal setups around 0.6600–0.6650 with H4/H1 confirmation (structure break or engulfing pattern). Stop above 0.6700, targets at 0.6450 / 0.6400.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
AUDUSD Daily Chart Analysis -Q3 W35 D1 Y25📊 AUDUSD Daily Chart Analysis 📅 Q3 W35 D1 Y25 Good day, Traders 👋 AUDUSD is currently showing potential for both 🔼 long and 🔽 short positions, with a clearly defined trading range visible on the higher time frames 🕰️. While the overall bias remains bullish 📈, a break in structure from the highs ⛔—paired with strong confirmation—could open the door to a short position 📉. I trade and teach using SMC (Smart Money Concepts) 🧠💰, applying a top-down analysis 🔍 to identify high-probability areas. These zones are refined on the lower time frames ⏳, where I wait for a break of structure 🧱 that meets my entry criteria ✅ before executing any trades. Wishing you the best on your trading journey 🚀📈 — FRGNT 🔐 FX:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT