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USDAUX trade ideas

AUDUSD: Buy-the-Dip Above KumoWhy: Ichimoku: Price above Kumo, Tenkan > Kijun, future cloud turning up, Chikou above price & cloud → bullish stack. 27–28th printed a Break of Structure with a wide bullish impulse, then a Rally-Base-Rally. The prior ceiling ~0.6500–0.6510 is now support (classic pullback after breakout zone). After the impulse, we have small-bodied consolidation / bull flag near highs; no clear bearish reversal (no evening star / bearish engulfing at the top). Earlier range breaks failed inside the cloud; the last break closed above the range & Kumo and held on the retest → favors a true breakout. Key levels Support (buy-the-dip): 0.6510–0.6525 (Tenkan/Kijun cluster), 0.6500 (former ceiling), 0.6475 (Kumo top). Resistance/targets: 0.6555–0.6565 (recent swing high), 0.6590–0.6600, extension 0.6620. If H1–H4 closes below 0.6475, bullish case fails → risk a drop to 0.6450 → 0.6425 (cloud backfill / demand).
by POLARMARKET
AUDUSD – Possible Reversal Coming?Here’s a simple way you can write your AUDUSD analysis for TradingView in a clean and Price has been moving up, but now it looks like it’s facing resistance around 0.6525 – 0.6530. If it fails to break higher, I’m expecting a pullback toward the 0.6500 zone , which is also a key volume support area. OBV is showing weakness, and candles look tired after the rally — could be the start of a short-term bearish move. 📉 My plan: Watching for confirmation before shorting. Target near 0.6500
by IshaqShinwari
AUD/USD Weekly Outlook: RBA Minutes Weigh on Rate ForecastTrend: Bearish correction after RBA dovish signals Current Price: 0.6500 ⸻ Bearish Scenario • Entry: SELL STOP 0.6435 • Targets: 0.6348, 0.6287 • Stop-Loss: 0.6500 Bullish Scenario • Entry: BUY STOP 0.6555 • Targets: 0.6622, 0.6653 • Stop-Loss: 0.6410 ⸻ Key Levels • Resistance: 0.6550, 0.6622, 0.6653 • Support: 0.6439, 0.6348, 0.6287 ⸻ Indicators • Bollinger Bands: turning down • MACD: negative zone • Stochastic: moving up, nearing overbought ⸻ 📌 Break below 0.6439 confirms continuation to 0.6348 → 0.6287. Recovery above 0.6550 shifts focus to 0.6622 → 0.6653. ⸻
by John_Isige
Who Will Ease More: The RBA or the Fed?Who Will Ease More: The RBA or the Fed? Technical Factors AUDUSD is currently consolidating sideways within a narrowing triangle, with converging multi-period EMAs, signaling continued range-bound awaiting a breakout. Typically, such consolidation precede a strong momentum move once the range is broken. A break below the 0.6400 support could trigger a downside extension toward 0.6200. However, AUDUSD may continue to range between 0.6400 – 0.6600 until a fresh catalyst emerges to drive a decisive breakout. Fundamental Factors At present, USD is a key driver across global FX, including AUDUSD, with sentiment focused on Fed rate cut expectation following weaker-than-expected US data such as NFP and PPI. On the other hand, weak Chinese economics data (e.g., slowing PMI), as Australia’s key trading partner, continues to weigh on commodity demand and in turn pressures the AUD. Meanwhile, the RBA remains in its rate-cut cycle. Markets are watching closely whether further cuts are forthcoming, given easing inflationary pressures and slowing growth. If the RBA cuts more quickly, the AUD is likely to weaken further. Tomorrow RBA meeting will be in focus. Therefore, the near-term direction of AUDUSD hinges on which central bank turns more dovish, the RBA, which has been cutting for some time, or the Fed, which may soon begin easing again. Market sentiment also plays a key role as risk-off conditions favor safe-haven USD inflows and weigh on AUDUSD, while improved risk appetite could temporarily ease selling pressure on the AUD. Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
by KrisadaYoonaisil
Second Chance Setup – AUDUSD Bears Ready to Smash Supports Last time, AUDUSD didn’t push lower as expected, instead making a false breakout / FVG sweep that trapped early sellers. But now, price action has given us a much stronger bearish confirmation. On the 1H chart: - A Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, signaling distribution. - Price rejected from the FVG zone and failed to hold above the 200 EMA. - The neckline has been retested , showing commitment from sellers. This second chance setup looks more convincing than the first because momentum is clearly shifting toward the downside. My expectation is now for AUDUSD to extend lower toward 0.6456 , with further downside targets at 0.6422 and potentially deeper if sellers remain strong. 📉 Bias – Strong Bearish 📍 Key Resistance – FVG zone & neckline area 🎯 Target Levels – 0.6456 → 0.6422 → 0.6400
Short
by ClearTradingMind
AUD Update: Volatility, Flow & The Wide Range Game 🌡 Volatility & ER Levels (Today): Expected Range (1σ) for AUD/USD futures: Lower bound: 0.63945 ← Key support 🧩 Options Flow: Big Portfolio Restructuring Big news in the options pit: A major portfolio targeting a drop to 0.64–0.63 has been restructured. What’s left? Put @ 0.64 (still in play) Call @ 0.66 (new upper ceiling) This isn’t random — it’s a shift from directional bearishness to range-bound positioning. 🧠 What’s the Sentiment? Looks like the market is pricing in a wide sideways channel — exactly where AUD has been stuck for the past 2 months. No strong bullish signals from COT yet. 📅 Next Catalyst: COT Report (Tomorrow) Fresh data on institutional and retail positioning drops tomorrow. 🔍 Bottom Line: Support at 0.63945 holds key. Options now suggest a 0.64–0.66 range. Wait for COT to confirm next move. #AUD
Long
by ClashChartsTeam
AUDUSD: Breaks Below ChannelThere's a very strong channel that formed on CMCMARKETS:AUDUSDU2025 originating since February 2025. On the daily timeframe, price tested the lower channel boundary at the beginning of August. At that time, price respected this channel. However, this wasn't the case more recently when price broke below this channel boundary and closed below it. Moving over to the hourly timeframe, I'm monitoring the price action. I plotted an initial low that price traded post-breakout. If price crosses below this initial low and makes a new lower low, that's an indication that momentum is picking up. If price reverts back, then it's a classic fakeout and then we'll hold off on this trade as price reverts back into the channel.
Short
by FinancialGamblR
AUDUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for AUDUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.6493 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.6516 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDUSD - Follow The Macro Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AUDUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. This week, AUDUSD has been retesting the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, the green zone is a strong weekly support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower blue trendline and green support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
7
AUDUSD uptrend continuation capped at 0.6560Trend Overview: The AUDUSD currency price remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher. Key Technical Levels: Support: 0.6420 (primary pivot), followed by 0.6400 and 0.6370 Resistance: 0.6560 (initial), then 0.6590 and 0.6620 Technical Outlook: A pullback to the 0.6420 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.6560, 0.6590, and ultimately 0.6620. Conversely, a daily close below 0.6420 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.6400 and 0.6370 as downside levels. Conclusion: AUDUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.6420 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern. The loss of this level and a daily close below would suggest deeper corrective risk. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation