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U.S. DOLLAR / AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR REFERENCE RATE

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Australian Dollar Retreats from August HighsAustralian Dollar Retreats from August Highs This week, forex traders’ attention is firmly on the AUD/USD market following key news releases from Australia: → Tuesday: Interest rate decision. According to ForexFactory, analysts’ forecasts were confirmed as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut the cash rate from 3.85% to 3.60%. → Today: Labour market statistics revealed that the unemployment rate fell from 4.3% to 4.2%. This dynamic fundamental backdrop has driven a rich technical setup on the AUD/USD chart, where bearish sentiment currently prevails. Technical Analysis of the AUD/USD Chart Since last month, AUD/USD price movements have been forming a descending channel (highlighted in red), and this week’s reversal from the August high reinforces its relevance. Key factors emphasising the market’s bearish bias include: → Double top pattern formed by recent highs A and B. Notably, the long upper wicks of the candlesticks reflect increasing selling pressure. → The August upward move, marked by purple trendlines, may represent a corrective bear flag within the dominant downtrend. → Bearish RSI divergence – present not only between highs A and B, but also relative to the 7 July peak. Potential Support Levels: → Lower purple trendline; → Line Q, which divides the upper half of the channel into two quarters; → The 0.65 psychological level – previously defended strongly by bulls, as evidenced by the wide bullish candle on 12 August, when price surged easily (a sign of buying imbalance). These supports collectively form a key demand zone (shaded in purple). Bears will need significant momentum to break through this area and extend the prevailing downtrend in AUD/USD through August 2025. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
AUDUSD H4 | Bullish bounce off pullback supportBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside. Buy entry is at 0.6484, which is a pullback support that that is slightly above the 61.8% FIbonacci retracemnt. Stop loss is at 0.6451, which is a pullback support that lines up witht he 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 0.6557, which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
AUD/USD – Major Reversal Brewing?Multi-Timeframe Bearish Outlook | Elliott Wave + SMC 🧠 The Setup: AUD/USD looks ripe for a larger bearish leg as we complete a higher timeframe corrective pattern. Smart Money Concepts and wave theory are pointing to confluence for a strong downside move. 🕵️‍♂️ Chart 1 – Macro Structure (HTF): 🔹 Completed a clear 5-wave impulse into strong daily supply 🔺 Price tapped a well-defined daily + 8H supply zone 🔹 Ending diagonal / wedge formation into the top — typical of wave (5) exhaustion ❌ Invalidation marked above strong supply (very low probability of breaking) 🔍 Chart 2 – Corrective Wave Unfolding: ➿ Wave (2) forming a textbook A-B-C correction 🔻 Currently in Wave C, rejecting near the 8H supply zone 🔁 Anticipating breakdown into Wave (3) of larger degree 🧱 Structure holding firm beneath supply and prior BOS zones 📉 Chart 3 – Volume Profile & Targeting: 💼 Major volume clusters beneath current price 📍 Volume Imbalance + Fair Value Gaps in lower zones = magnets for price 🎯 Target Level: 0.629x area marked (potential wave (3) bottom) 🧱 Strong confluence between technicals and liquidity draw below ⚙️ Trade Plan: Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: Within or near current daily/8H supply Target: 0.6300 zone (Wave (3) projection) Invalidation: Above 0.6625 (supply zone high) 💬 Summary: AUD/USD is offering a high-probability reversal setup. We’ve got: ✅ A clean 5-wave completion ✅ SMC supply rejection ✅ Internal ABC structure confirming corrective behavior ✅ Volume support for downside targets 🔥 Are you riding this wave down or still waiting for confirmation? 📉 Drop your analysis below — let’s chart this move together.
Short
by jamesibartram
AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D14 | Y25📊 AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D14 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D13 | Y25 📊 AUDUSD – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W33 | D13 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD (Forex CFD) Trade Setup - 3H TimeframeThe Australian Dollar has shown notable weakness against the USD following its July 24, 2025 peak near 0.66200. The 3-hour chart reveals a compelling bearish setup, with price action and volume characteristics aligning to suggest further downside potential. After an initial sharp decline to 0.64300, AUDUSD staged a significant rebound on August 1, 2025, marked by substantial positive volume. However, this recovery met formidable resistance in the 0.65250-0.65500 zone - a previous support level that has now transformed into resistance. What's particularly noteworthy is the recent price behavior: while the pair has continued to push higher from the 0.64300 area, the declining positive volume since price bounced back up creates a concerning divergence, suggesting waning bullish momentum. Illustrative Setup: A Sell Stop order at 0.65120 positions us below the current ascending trendline, with a Stop Loss at 0.65530 placed strategically above the resistance zone. The Take Profit target at 0.64300 aligns with the recent support level where significant buying interest emerged. This configuration offers a clean 2:1 reward-risk ratio, providing an attractive opportunity while maintaining prudent risk management. Key consideration: The combination of the support-turned-resistance zone, volume divergence, and clear market structure provides multiple technical confirmations for this bearish thesis. However, traders should remain vigilant of broader market conditions and potential fundamental catalysts that could impact the Australian Dollar. This analysis is provided solely for educational and entertainment purposes and does not constitute any form of financial or investment advice. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
Short
by The_Smart_Tiger
AU| Bullish Setup4H price action has been crazy choppy, stuck in a messy range — but I refined and mapped it out. The 4H high at 0.65533 was broken, price continued higher, then pulled back into my 4H professional order flow area for mitigation. From there, I dropped to the LTF to plan continuation for the week. I’m watching for liquidity to be swept around 0.64892 and a tap into the OB just below. Once that happens, I’ll wait for further confirmations before flipping into full execution mode. Patience first, execution second.
Long
by Juicemannn
AUDUSD Breakout Setup: Ready for Lift-Off!Hey Guys, I’ve analyzed the AUDUSD pair for you. If the 0.65245 level breaks to the upside, my target will be 0.65416. If it doesn’t break, I’ll be looking to buy around 0.65047 or 0.64954. Either way, my final target remains 0.65416. In this analysis, I’ve highlighted two key levels and shared my target. I’m planning to buy from these zones. Every single like from you is my biggest source of motivation to keep sharing these analyses. Huge thanks to everyone who supports by liking!
Long
by TraderTilki
30
AUDUSD InsightWelcome, subscribers. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe. Key Points - The U.S. July CPI rose 2.7% year-on-year, falling short of the expected 2.8%, while core CPI increased 3.0%, exceeding the expected 2.9%. Although the figures were mixed, the overall CPI result helped ease inflation concerns stemming from tariffs and strengthened expectations for a September rate cut. - U.S. President Donald Trump said, “I am considering serious legal action against Powell because he performed terribly and with gross incompetence in managing the construction of the Federal Reserve building,” putting pressure on Fed Chair Powell while continuing to push the Fed to cut rates. - Ahead of the U.S.-Russia summit on the 15th, Russia attacked eastern Ukraine. This move is seen as an attempt to expand occupied territory before the summit, where territorial issues are expected to be a key agenda item. Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that he could not accept any plan to concede Donbas territory to Russia. - At its August monetary policy meeting, the Reserve Bank of Australia cut rates by 25bp. It noted that the effects of tariffs are expected to appear in second-half data, and reaffirmed that it will maintain a gradual rate-cut outlook until such data is confirmed. Major Economic Events This Week + Aug 13: Germany July Consumer Price Index + Aug 14: U.K. Q2 GDP, U.S. July Producer Price Index + Aug 15: U.S. July Retail Sales AUDUSD Chart Analysis Based on the trend channel, the pair continues to show a gradual upward movement. If there are no major changes, the upward momentum is likely to persist. In the short term, it is important to check whether the 0.66000 level is broken; afterward, the 0.67000 level will serve as the second resistance point to watch. In the long term, a rise toward the 0.69000 level is possible, though short-term pullbacks may occur at each resistance level.
Long
by shawntime_academy
Heading into Fibonacci confluence?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support. Pivot: 0.6573 1st Support: 0.6494 1st Resistance: 0.6619 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets