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U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar

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USDCAD trade ideas

USD/CAD – Bullish ScenarioUSD/CAD – Bullish Scenario Bias: Bullish, expecting upside continuation. Current Structure: Price is holding above a key daily support level. Plan: As long as support holds, the bullish structure remains valid. Look for bullish confirmations on lower timeframes — such as a fair value gap or a break of short-term highs. First major upside target is the next daily resistance. Extended target at the higher resistance zone if momentum is strong. Invalidation: A daily close below support will void this bullish plan and require reassessment. Summary: Holding support and looking for bullish continuation toward the next resistance zone, with potential for further extension if momentum continues.
Long
by Asif_Brain_Waves
USDCAD BEARISH ZONE COMESUP Current Technical Landscape Market Sentiment & Drivers The USD/CAD has risen modestly following Canada’s weak jobs data showing a −40.8 k drop in employment, raising expectations of dovish Bank of Canada policy and fueling a weaker Loonie. Meanwhile, signals of a more dovish Fed—especially after Trump’s appointed governor tone—have added further downward pressure on the USD. Key Levels & Technical Indicators ActionForex (Intraday): 4H MACD has crossed above its signal, neutralizing bias for now. Break below 1.3720 could target a deeper fall back to 1.3538 — the recent corrective low. Break above 1.3809 would invalidate that bearish view and suggest a retest of 1.3878. ActionForex (Weekly): The pair hovered around 1.3720 last week with a neutral weekly bias. A downside break could confirm continuation of the corrective decline toward 1.3538. A bullish breakout beyond 1.3809 could lead to a retest of 1.3878 and possibly higher. StockTA (as of July 28): Overall sentiment remains bearish (score: −0.26), particularly in the short-term (−0.48). Key resistance cluster around 1.47 to 1.45, with multiple levels noted between 1.47 and 1.37. Support appears near 1.36, based on their analysis. Marketscreener (latest in July): Short-term trend: Neutral; Mid-term trend: Bearish; Long-term trend: Neutral. Short-term resistance: 1.3733, support: 1.3571. Mid-term resistance: 1.3978, support: 1.3571. Long-term resistance: 1.4524, support: 1.3490. Interpretation: Bearish Zone “Coming Up” The phrase “bearish zone comes up” likely refers to the pair approaching a key resistance area where bearish reversal pressure is increasing. Currently: 1.3720–1.3809 is a critical near-term range. A failure to break above 1.3809 may invite renewed downside toward 1.3538. Medium-term resistance clusters between 1.37 and 1.40 are also zones where bearish setups may form. Broader resistance around 1.45–1.47 remains the major structural ceiling, although this lies further out unless the bias shifts. Strategy Considerations Bearish setup: Wait for rejection near 1.38, ideally with confirmation (e.g. bearish candle, MACD crossover). A break below 1.3720 could accelerate retest of 1.3538. Bullish invalidation: A sustained move above 1.3809 could negate the immediate bearish bias, opening targets back toward 1.3878 and beyond.
by Mark804
USDCAD(20250808)Today's AnalysisMarket News: ① Trump nominated Stephen Milan, Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, to serve on the Federal Reserve Board, with a term ending January 31, 2026. ② Waller is reportedly a leading candidate for the next Fed Chair. ③ U.S. Treasury Secretary Bensont stated that the interview process for the Fed Chair has begun. ④ Bostic stated that the July jobs report did change the Fed's outlook on its employment goals. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.3746 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.3798 1.3778 1.3766 1.3726 1.3713 1.3694 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.3746, consider a buy entry, with the first target price being 1.3766. If the price breaks below 1.3726, consider a sell entry, with the first target price being 1.3713.
by NicolaZhu
Potential bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is reacting off the resistance levl which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3758 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3816 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.3691 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
USD/CAD – Watchlist UpdateWe were watching USD/CAD for a possible pullback and long setup earlier this week. While we did get an engulfing candle, momentum was not strong enough to justify a trade — especially considering the subpar support/resistance zone. Now, the market appears to be shifting direction, possibly forming a pullback into a stronger resistance zone that could set up a downtrend continuation. We’ll continue to wait and watch with patience, only considering this a valid opportunity if all components of the VMS strategy align. 📌 Let the setup come to you. No alignment, no trade.
Short
by darlwright
USDCAD - Big Picture and MomentumBig Picture and Momentum USD/CAD is trading comfortably above the 50-day EMA (~1.3728) and above the 9-day EMA, indicating continued bullish momentum. The 14-day RSI is above the 50 level, confirming the positive market sentiment. Key Support and Resistance Resistance: 1.3770–1.3798 range is the current target, a break of which could open the way to the January high around 1.4016. Support: 50-day EMA (~1.3728) is the first line of defense. Next is the 9-day EMA (~1.3679). A further weakening could see a decline to 1.3560, and a strong correction could see a decline to the February 2024 lows (~1.3420). Market Behavior Scenarios Bullish scenario: holding above EMA with RSI > 50 creates good conditions for a move up to 1.3770-1.3800, and then to 1.4016, with increasing momentum. Bearish scenario: falling below EMA, especially below 1.3679, can lead to a deeper decline - to 1.3560 and then to 1.3420. Recommendations for traders Long position: can be considered for entry when holding above 1.3728, with a target of 1.3770-1.3800, and a stop just below the EMA. Short position: justified when falling below 1.3728-1.3679, with a target of 1.3560, and a stop just above the EMA level.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
USDCAD: Bearish Structure with Rejection from Key Supply ArraysGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of USDCAD, recent price action confirms the presence of bearish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align ourselves with this directional bias by identifying strategic selling opportunities. Key Observations: Weekly Timeframe Insight: Last week's candle rebalanced a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating internal range price action. As a rule of thumb, once internal imbalances are addressed, the draw typically shifts toward external liquidity—located at the swing low, where the weekly liquidity pool resides. H4 Resistance Alignment: On the H4 timeframe, price shifted bearish and has since retraced into a bearish FVG that aligns precisely with a reclaimed bearish order block. The alignment of these bearish arrays strengthens the case for continued downside, making this zone a high-probability resistance area. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for bearish confirmation setups on the M15 or lower timeframes within the H4 supply arrays (FVG + OB confluence). Target Objective: The primary draw on liquidity lies within the discount range—targeting the liquidity pool below the most recent swing low. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: Stay patient, wait for your confirmations, and trade in alignment with the flow of smart money. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
USDCAD H4 | Potential bearish dropUSD/CAD is is rising towards the sell entry at 1.3758, which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to the downside. Stop loss is at 1.3758, which is an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 1.3692, which is a pullback support that aligns witht he 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu