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USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD Review September 25 2025Short-term price movement ideas. After a week of liquidity removal, the price confirmed a short FVG on the daily chart, and from this area we already received confirmations on the 4H. At the moment, the price is trading within a 4H zone of interest. If this zone gives us a structure break on the 1H, then short positions can be considered with the target of taking out equal lows. Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
by SFASignals
EURUSD - MOMENTUM PENDULUM MODEL (MPM)EURUSD continues to trade within the ascending channel but is now testing the lower boundary around 1.1745. Volume profile shows strong interest near 1.1778, which is also a key resistance. 🟨 Support: 1.1745 (channel base) – break below could shift momentum bearish toward 1.1700. 🔼 Resistance: 1.1778 – reclaiming this level may attract buyers back into the channel mid-zone. 📌 Price action here will decide if the pair respects the channel or begins a breakdown. ⚠️ For educational purposes only, not financial advice. (MPM)
Long
by akanniolubusuyi
EURUSD Analysis Daily ChartThe primary trend of EURUSD is bullish However, prices have formed an Evening Star after the recent upswing, signaling potential bearish reversal. Also, the pair failed to retest or break the previous high near 1.1918, showing exhaustion in bullish momentum. Support Levels: Immediate support lies near 1.1700 (crucial psychological level). Stronger support is seen around 1.1658 – 1.1600 zone. RSI: Around 56, pointing to neutral but slightly declining momentum – room for downside. Outlook: If price closes below 1.1700, we may see a deeper pullback toward 1.1650–1.1575 zone. Alternative Outlook: A decisive move above 1.1820 (high of middle candle of evening star pattern) would negate the bearish pattern and reopen the path toward 1.1918.
Short
by Nadia_farhat
EUR/USD Trend Watch – Critical Supports & ResistanceEUR/USD Update On the low time frame, EUR/USD is moving sideways around 1.1780, holding just below the 1.1810 zone. Key levels: 1.1810 – 1.1846 → resistance zone. A breakout and hold above would confirm bullish continuation toward 1.1922. 1.1774 → immediate support on the low time frame. Losing this level increases pressure on the main trend. Upside scenario: If EUR/USD can reclaim 1.1810+, momentum may shift bullish, with the next target at 1.1922. Downside risk: Failure to hold above 1.1774 opens the door for a correction toward 1.1660 and possibly 1.1568 – 1.1530 cycle support. Cycle support: 1.1530 – 1.1568 remains the must-hold long-term zone to keep the bullish cycle alive. 📌 Summary Above 1.1810 – 1.1846 → bullish continuation toward 1.1922. Below 1.1774 → risk of deeper correction, watch 1.1660 next. Cycle zone 1.1530 – 1.1568 → critical long-term support.
Long
by SatochiTrader
EURUSD – Key Resistance & Support Zones in Focus 1H🏛️ EURUSD – Key Resistance & Support Zones in Focus 📊 Current View: Price is pressing up against a strong 1H resistance zone — multiple bearish FVGs here are likely to act as supply walls. Below, shaded zones labelled “1H Support / Demand” are in the mix for a pullback. 🔀 What to Watch For: If resistance holds → potential for a bearish reversal pattern into support. If resistance breaks decisively → look for confirmation + possible continuation toward higher targets. Pullbacks into support zones are prime areas to scan for bullish rejection signals. 📐 Levels & Targets: Immediate resistance: ~1.18190–1.18200 Support zones: ~1.17840 / ~1.17780 or lower if weakness continues. ⚠️ Risk Considerations: Be mindful of false breakouts — wait for candle‐structure, volume, or other confirmation. 🧠 My Bias: Slightly Bearish to Neutral — leaning short if resistance is respected, yet ready to flip bullish if resistance breaks with conviction. Greetings, MrYounity
by MrYounity
Will Germany’s recovery support the euro’s uptrend? Germany’s services sector outperformed, lifting the broader Eurozone economy, with private-sector activity expanding at its fastest pace in about 16 months. The Eurozone August S&P; Global Composite PMI rose to 51.2 from 51.0, while Manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (prev. 50.7, cons. 50.7), falling below the 50.0 expansion threshold. Commerzbank noted that the recent improvement in Eurozone activity is entirely driven by Germany’s recovery, with no signs of momentum from France or other member states. EURUSD is holding above the ascending trendline, maintaining its upward bias. The diverging EMAs suggest the potential expansion of bullish momentum. If EURUSD stays above EMA21, the price may advance toward 1.1850 resistance. Conversely, if EURUSD breaks below both EMAs, the price could decline further toward 1.1720.
by inkicho_exness
SEPT 23: Swing Failure Pattern Done Correctly?SEPT 23: Swing Failure Pattern Done Correctly? I guess this is it. I got stopped out once though, but I had conviction in the trading idea so I re-entered with a stop limit. It went well. What I did right on this trade though? I followed my trading plan: 1. Top Down Analysis 2. Price didn't break through the HTF swing point, just went close to it. Swing Failure Pattern. 3. Divergence + Overbought conditions ongoing 4. Volume profiles indicating POC is below price, means sooner or later it'll get traded back into. 5. Entered on a 15min sweep + 5min FVG. The initial entry didn't work though, and did another sweep before going back down. All's good. I followed my trading plan and did not enter impulsively after the initial loss. I guess this counts as a good trade. oh, and I screen recorded my analysis earlier. might be of some value, might be not. either way this is a good thing. it keeps me from entering trades sporadically.
Short
by reventioaxie
EURUSD(20250924) Today's AnalysisMarket Analysis: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the policy rate remains somewhat restrictive, but allows the Fed to better respond to potential economic developments; tariffs are expected to have a one-time pass-through effect; and decisions will "never be based on political considerations." Fed spokespersons noted that Powell's comments indicate that he believes interest rates remain tight, potentially opening the door for further rate cuts. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.1803 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.1844 1.1829 1.1819 1.1788 1.1778 1.1762 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.1819, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price being 1.1844. If the price breaks below 1.1803, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price being 1.1788.
Short
by GoldenBigAge
Dollar decline against euro (expected)I like to share my idea about the euro against the dollar. The euro had been dancing around 1.153 and 1.179 zone with a uptrend trading above the zone (at this moment). I think we might get a big push to 1.27 EUR/USD in the next few months. As the US is printing and borrowing more money then the euro the value of the dollar will decline against other currencies. Other assets with grow in price because of the decline of the dollar (as you might have noticed with stocks/gold/houses/crypto). I hope you like this idea and I wonder what you guys think!
Long
by BAUKON_42
The Day Ahead Macro Data PMIs (US, UK, Germany, France, Eurozone – September): Key gauge for growth momentum. Markets will watch whether recent resilience in services persists and how deep the manufacturing downturn remains, especially in Germany. US: Philadelphia Fed non-manufacturing activity, Richmond Fed manufacturing index, business conditions → regional indicators of economic health. US Q2 current account balance: Will offer a read on external balances, but less market-moving. Central Banks Fed: Powell, Bowman, Bostic all on the docket – Powell’s tone most market-sensitive, with investors parsing for hints on the pace of future cuts after last week’s “risk-management” move. ECB: Muller, Kocher, Cipollone speaking – expected to reinforce cautious tone around weak Eurozone growth. BoE: Pill speaking – could clarify how close the Bank is to easing amid UK growth headwinds. Riksbank decision: Likely steady policy, but guidance on timing of cuts in focus. Earnings Micron (MU): A key read for global semiconductors, AI demand, and tech cycle sentiment. Auctions US 2-year Notes: Closely watched given shifting Fed rate expectations; outcome may influence front-end yields and curve pricing. Market Impact: PMIs will set the tone for risk assets in Europe and the US, especially around growth-sensitive sectors. Central bank speakers could add volatility in bonds and FX, particularly if Powell or Pill signal a firmer policy stance. Micron earnings after the close may drive tech sentiment, particularly in semis. Treasury auction results could influence USD funding and short-end rate pricing. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EUR/USD H1 Analysis: Key Supply & Demand Zones to Watch I SEP/231) Overview Timeframe: H1 (short to mid-term trades). Short-term trend: bullish (trendline up from Sept 22 low). Current price: around 1.1798, overlapping with POC zone ~1.1799 (from volume profile). Key zones: Supply zone: 1.1814 – 1.1820 (strong resistance). POC zone / balance area: ~1.1799. H1 Support: 1.17606 (near-term support). Demand zone: ~1.17236 (stronger support below). 2) Price Action & Market Logic Price has been making higher highs / higher lows → bullish structure. Volume profile shows POC ~1.1799 as the most traded price → if price holds above → likely continuation. If rejected → pullback to support. H1 trendline acts as dynamic support → confluence buy zone if combined with H1 support. 3) Main Scenario: Buy with the trend (priority setup) Idea: wait for pullback to H1 support/trendline, buy upon confirmation. Entry zone: 1.1760 – 1.1770 (support + trendline confluence). SL: below 1.1740 (to avoid stop hunts). TP1 (partial): 1.1814 (supply zone). TP2 (full): 1.1820 – 1.1830 (if breakout/momentum continues). Example Risk:Reward: Entry ~1.1765. Stop: 25 pips (1.1765 → 1.1740). Target TP1: 49 pips (1.1765 → 1.1814). R:R ~ 1:2 (solid setup). 4) Alternative Scenario: Sell from Supply zone (counter-trend scalp) Idea: short at supply if bearish rejection forms. Entry: 1.1814 – 1.1820. SL: above 1.1835. TP1: 1.1790 (POC zone). TP2: 1.1760 (H1 support). Note: This is a counter-trend trade → smaller size, only with clear rejection (pin bar/engulfing). 5) Entry Confirmation Signals Only enter if one of these shows up at key levels: Pin bar or engulfing candle on H1. Break & retest of supply/resistance with strong volume. Volume acceptance above POC = bullish continuation; rejection below = bearish move. 6) Risk & Position Sizing (example) Rule: max 1% risk per trade (can go 2% if aggressive). Formula: Risk $ = Account × %risk. Loss per lot = Stop (pips) × $10 (for EUR/USD, 1 standard lot ≈ $10/pip) Lot size = Risk $ / Loss per lot. Example: Account $10,000, 1% risk → $100 risk. Stop = 25 pips. Loss/lot = 25 × $10 = $250. Lot size = $100 / $250 = 0.4 lots. 7) Trade Management Partial close 50% at TP1, move SL to breakeven for the rest. Or scale out gradually, trail stop under swing lows/EMA. Exit early if price consolidates weakly without momentum. 8) Invalidations / No-trade conditions If H1 closes below 1.1740 (support + trendline broken) → cancel buy setup, wait for demand zone ~1.1723. If price struggles at POC (no acceptance above) → avoid buying until structure clears. Avoid new entries right before high-impact news (FOMC, NFP, CPI). 9) Quick Checklist before entry Price at confluence zone (support + trendline or supply). H1 candle confirmation (pin/engulfing/retest). R:R ≥ 1.5 (preferably ≥ 2). Position size matches risk %. Economic calendar checked for news events. Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
by TraderX_68
EUR/USD - Technical Analysis H1 (September 23, 2025)1. Current Trend The chart is on the 1-hour timeframe (H1), showing a short-term uptrend after breaking out of the previous bearish channel. Recent main trend: up from ~1.1720 to ~1.1830, followed by a minor pullback (point B). 2. Technical Pattern We can identify an ABC correction / impulsive wave pattern: A → B: corrective wave after a strong upward move. B → C: expected continuation upward toward the ~1.1910 target (red arrow on chart). The prior bearish channel has been broken, indicating selling pressure is weakening and bullish continuation is likely. 3. Key Support and Resistance Levels Support: 1.1770–1.1780: near the B swing low, testing buying interest. 1.1720–1.1730: previous swing low before the upward move. Resistance: 1.1830–1.1840: previous high at point A. 1.1900–1.1910: potential target for wave C, also a psychological level. 4. Trading Strategy Buy near the B pullback: Entry around 1.1770–1.1780. Stop loss: below 1.1750 to protect against a break of B. Take profit: around 1.1830 (short-term target) or 1.1900–1.1910 (wave C target). Confirm bullish signals: EMA 20/50 on H1 crossing upward. RSI H1 not overbought, still room to rise. Risk: If price breaks below 1.1750, short-term bullish trend may fail—consider reducing position size or staying out. 5. Summary The chart is in a recovery phase after the bearish channel, and wave B offers a potential buying opportunity. Wave C could reach 1.1900–1.1910, based on price action and the ABC pattern. Combine EMA, RSI, and B support to confirm entry for safer trades.
by Henrybillion
1
EURUSD POSSIBLE SELL SETUP💡 EURUSD 2H Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play After a strong bounce from demand, price is now retesting the supply zone around 1.1820 – 1.1840. Structure shows a possible distribution phase forming here, with sellers waiting to step back in. 🔽 Bearish Scenario If rejection confirms, price could drop toward the demand zone at 1.1720 – 1.1740. A clean break below 1.1720 would open deeper downside continuation. 🔼 Bullish Scenario Buyers would need a strong breakout above 1.1840 supply to invalidate this bearish outlook and push toward higher levels. ⚔️ Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 1.1820 | 1.1840 Support: 1.1760 | 1.1720 📊 Current structure favors short setups from supply, with confirmation entries being the safest. ✅ If this analysis adds value, don’t forget to boost & follow for more updates across Forex, Crypto, and Indices. 💼 If you need account management (personal or funded), I provide professional trading strategies designed for consistency and growth.
Short
by ntulilwageophrey