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USDEUR trade ideas

EUR/USD BEFORE FOMC VIEWOANDA:EURUSD Main Trend: The 4-hour chart clearly shows that EURUSD is in a strong uptrend, confirmed by the ascending trendline. Market Structure: After a breakout above the previous high, the price has created a new demand zone, labelled as "CP - ORDER". This zone is located roughly between 1.17600 and 1.17700. Footprint Analysis: The 1-hour footprint chart provides confirmation of the bullish momentum. It shows large volumes and significant positive delta (more buy orders than sell orders) being executed on the strong upward candles. Key Observation: The most recent bullish candle on the footprint chart (around 20:00) has a very large positive delta (+681) and high volume (12.19K), indicating strong buying pressure is driving the price up. This suggests that the uptrend is likely to continue. Trading Plan (BUY Plan) Based on this analysis, the primary strategy is to wait for a pullback and look for a buying opportunity, in line with the current upward trend. Entry: Wait for the price to retrace back to the CP - ORDER demand zone, which is around 1.17600 - 1.17700. This area is expected to contain significant pending orders. Stop Loss (SL): Place the stop loss below the low of the demand zone, at approximately 1.17100, or as marked on the chart. This position is also below the trendline, providing protection against deeper pullbacks. Take Profit (TP) Targets: Target 1: The most recent high, at around 1.18200. Target 2: You can hold the position to aim for higher levels, following the market's upward momentum. The ultimate target, as indicated by the arrow on the chart, could be the 1.19000 level or even higher. Conclusion This trading plan is a clear long setup based on a combination of technical analysis (uptrend and demand zone) and order flow analysis (strong positive volume and delta). However, you should always keep the following in mind: Make sure the price actually pulls back to the CP - ORDER zone and shows signs of confirmation (e.g., a bullish pin bar, an increase in volume) before entering a trade. Practice strict risk management by adhering to the defined stop-loss level. DXY ANALYSIS IN DONWTREND and High Rate back to Higher OB
Long
by Linda_OneShotTrader
6
EURUSDHello Hello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? EUR/USD has been trapped in a sideways range for the past few weeks, showing choppy back-and-forth movements. However, the recent break above the descending trendline suggests that a potential bullish breakout could be underway. After some short-term consolidation, the pair could gain bullish momentum and head toward the next resistance levels. Thursday’s U.S. CPI data will be a key catalyst that may drive volatility and determine the pair's next direction. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
38
EUR/USD: Sustained Uptrend and a New Wave in the Making?Hello everyone, recently EUR/USD has made an impressive upward move, and technical indicators suggest that this trend remains strong. But is this just a short-term surge, or the beginning of a new rally? Let’s dive deeper into the analysis. Key Points: Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Throughout this recent rally, the market has left behind several significant FVGs. These are areas where the price tends to return and test, offering traders potential entry points. Ichimoku Cloud: The price is still holding above the cloud, indicating solid support. As long as this structure holds, the bulls remain in control. Volume Spike: On 17th September, there was a notable surge in volume, showing real participation from the market. This suggests the move isn’t a “fake breakout” but could be part of a more sustainable trend. Next Scenarios: Positive: If it holds above the 1.1750 support, EUR/USD could continue its journey towards 1.1850, potentially even reaching 1.1900. Negative: If the 1.1750 level is breached, we may see a deeper pullback towards 1.1700 before determining the next direction. Why it Matters: We are at a pivotal level—holding support is key to further upward movement, while breaking it will open up deeper corrections. Traders need to watch this carefully. Personally, I lean towards the positive scenario, as long as the price stays above 1.1750. What do you think? Will EUR/USD break out further, or will it need a correction before moving higher? Share your thoughts!
Long
by EmmaChartist
6
EURUSD – Bullish Technical Outlook Still Intact👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of FX:EURUSD ? As of now, EURUSD is moving as expected, with the pair trading around 1.174 at the start of the week. EURUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone around 1.1800, with the first target at 1.176 already tested. From a technical standpoint, the pair is in a clear uptrend, supported by the trendline and two EMA lines, with strong bullish momentum in play, following the trajectory of an Ascending Triangle pattern. The target to break through remains 1.1800. If the price breaks this level, we could see the next leg of the rally towards 1.1900 or even higher. Watch for a solid confirmation before entering the trade for a safer position. What do you think about EURUSD? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments! Good luck!
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
18
EURUSD 4H - MARKET HAND REVEALEDEUR/USD Analysis After reaching higher levels above 1.19, the continuation of the bullish move seems harder, and the market’s mathematical patterns indicate a need for a temporary correction. However, confirmation is still required. At the start of the week, my outlook is buy up to the 1.1859 level, where I don’t expect a stable consolidation above this point. From there, I will look for confirmation of a corrective move with downside targets at 1.1670 and the main target at 1.1560, which is expected to show a very strong reaction. Eventually, it may even reach 1.1488. However, it seems that the dollar prefers to reach its final targets of weakness with different catalysts in a shorter time, showing fewer days of weakness but sharper movements, while also experiencing more days of strength in the market. Therefore, if the corrective scenario is invalidated by a sustained move above 1.1859, my upside targets based on mathematical calculations for dollar weakness will activate: 1.2080 and 1.2190 (a strong resistance level), and finally 1.24. The key point is that each of these levels is expected to show strong reactions, providing good trading opportunities with favorable risk-to-reward ratios, especially on lower timeframes.
by GreyFX-NDS
3
Lingrid | EURUSD Channel Breakout Setup BuildingThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . BINANCE:BTCUSDT slipped after a rejection near 1.19 and is now leaning on former support turned resistance around 1.1777. The structure shows a break of the local upward trendline and a drift toward the mid-range, with an A-B-C style pullback developing inside the broader channel. If sellers keep price capped beneath 1.1777, bears can press for 1.1678, with a deeper extension only if that shelf gives way. Momentum has rotated lower, and unless the pattern reclaims the trendline, the path of least resistance stays down. ⚠️ Risks: A quick reclaim of the broken trendline and sustained close above 1.1777 would invalidate the bearish setup. Eurozone data upside surprises or a softer U.S. dollar post-data could spark a squeeze higher. Unexpected dovish signals from the Fed may flip flows back into EUR and break the range to the upside. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
9
EURUSD Long: Rally Continues in Ascending ChannelHello, traders! The prior price auction for EURUSD was dominated by a wide consolidation range, bounded by the demand zone 2. Within this range, a new bullish structure began to form as an ascending channel, which eventually gathered enough momentum to break out and confirm a new uptrend, shifting market control to the buyers. Currently, the price action continues to be guided by this ascending channel. Following a recent test of the upper price levels, the market has entered a corrective phase. The auction is now pulling back towards a significant confluence of support, located near the 1.1740 DEMAND level, which also aligns with the channel's dynamic support line. My scenario for the development of events is a continuation of the uptrend after this correction completes. I expect the price to find strong support at the confluence of the channel's demand line and the 1.1740 - 1.1760 DEMAND ZONE. In my opinion, a confirmed bounce from this area will signal the end of the pullback and trigger the next impulsive move higher. The take-profit is therefore set at 1.1865, an intermediate target within the channel's structure. Manage your risk!
Long
by heniitrading
5
EUR/USD: Mild Uptrend, Awaiting Breakout of ResistanceCurrently, EUR/USD is in a mild uptrend, supported by both macroeconomic and technical factors. Let's analyze the key influences and suitable trading strategies in this article. With the Fed cutting interest rates and stable economic indicators from the Eurozone, EUR/USD may continue to rise if it breaks through the 1.18300 level, targeting 1.18600. The nearest support is at 1.17400. If the price holds above this support, the uptrend is likely to continue. However, a strong break of support or resistance levels could shift the trend. Keep a close eye on the upcoming developments and prepare your strategy to capitalize on market opportunities.
Long
by ShadowReaper_
6
EUR/USD – Ascending Triangle Breakout WatchOn the 4H chart, EUR/USD is forming an ascending triangle, with higher lows pressing against the resistance area near 1.1780 – 1.1800. A confirmed breakout above this resistance could open the path toward 1.1850+ levels, while rejection may lead to another retest of the ascending support trendline. This structure highlights how traders often monitor ascending triangles for potential continuation setups, especially when price consolidates near key resistance. This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
Long
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
15
EUR/USD UPDATE: 3 x Outlook ScenariosDear Friends in Trading, All targets = Liquidity Pools PIVOT @ 1.17 🟢Bull Case (Upside >1.20) Fed cuts deeper → Faster USD weakness. ECB cautious → Limited easing, euro supported. Technical breakout → Sustained move above 1.1918 opens path to 1.20+. ⚖️ Base Case (Range 1.17–1.20) Gradual Fed easing → Dollar softens, but not sharply. ECB balanced → No rush to cut, but inflation softening. Range trading → Resistance near 1.19 caps gains; support at 1.17 holds. 🔴Bear Case (Pullback <1.17) US data surprises strong → Inflation or jobs re-ignite Fed caution, USD rebounds. ECB turns dovish → Euro pressured by weaker growth / policy easing. Risk-off flows → Safe-haven demand favors USD. ✅Summary: Bias: Moderate upside potential toward 1.20 if Fed easing accelerates and ECB stays cautious. Risk: Stronger US data or ECB dovish shift could cap gains and drag EUR/USD back under 1.17. I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight. Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
Long
by ANROC
4
EURUSD - Weekly OutlookPair: EURUSD Bias: Bullish HTF Overview (4H): Price is maintaining clean bullish structure, breaking previous weekly highs. Watching closely to see if price holds this momentum. MTF (2H/1H/30M): Refined structure + liquidity buildup noted. Eyeing the sell-side liquidity (SSL) to be taken before confirming continuation. LTF (30M/5M): Will wait for confirmation once price trades into refined zones. Looking for inducement → mitigation → 5M structural confirmation. Entry Zone: Pending refinement once SSL is swept and HTF OB aligns with LTF confirmation. Targets: • TP1: 5M highs • TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery) Mindset Note: Patience is key — waiting for that SSL sweep keeps you out of fake momentum. Let structure guide the entry, not the impulse.
Long
by Juicemannn
2
EURUSD | Bearish Order Block Rejection – Targeting 1.1515Hello Billionaires!! In EURUSD D1 Projection we know the Price has swept buy-side liquidity (BSL) and reacted from the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block (OB). Current rejection confirms bearish pressure, with expectations of price moving towards the sell-side liquidity (SSL) and the Balanced Price Range (BPR) around 1.1515. 🔹 Key Points: BSL taken → liquidity grab complete. FVG + OB confluence zone acting as resistance. Expecting downside continuation towards SSL. Risk-to-reward set at 1:3. This setup remains valid as long as price holds below the FVG/OB zone.
Short
by AliyanFX
4
EURUSD: Fed did itThe U.S. Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.00-4.25%, marking its first rate cut since December last year. The decision was motivated by signs of a weakening labor market and slowing job growth. Chair Jerome Powell stressed that inflation remains above the Fed’s target and that further cuts will depend heavily on how incoming data evolves. As for other US macro data posted during the week, Retail Sales in August surged by 0,6% for the month, higher from forecasted 0,4%. Retail Sales increased by 5% compared to the previous year, again strongly higher from forecasted 3,2%. The Industrial Production in August was higher by 0,1% m/m and 0,9% on a yearly basis. Preliminary Building Permits in August dropped by -3,7% m/m, which was significantly below market estimate of 0,6%. At the same time, Housing Starts in August dropped by -8,5%, again significantly missing market estimates of -3,4%. Wholesale prices in Germany dropped by -0,6% in August for the month reaching 0,7% for the year. The Industrial Production in the Euro Zone increased by 0,3% in July and 1,8% on a yearly basis. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index in Germany in September reached 37,3, which was better from market consensus of 26,3. The Inflation rate in the Euro Zone final for August was standing at 0,1% m/m and 2% y/y. The Producers Price Index in Germany dropped by -0,5% in August, bringing the indicator to -2,2% compared to the previous year. A lot of nervousness has been evident on financial markets during the previous week, which is always the case prior to the FOMC meeting. This week was especially stressful, due to the question whether the Fed will meet market expectations and cut interest rates, as they did. Prior to the meeting, the eurusd currency pair made a swing toward the higher grounds, reaching the highest weekly level at 1,1916 at one moment. Most of the time, the currency pair was testing the 1,19 level. After the meeting, tensions slowed down a bit, so the currency pair reverted back toward 1,1750. The RSI reached the level of 65, however, a clear overbought market side has not been reached on this occasion. The indicator is ending the week lower, around the level of 53. The MA50 slowed down divergence from MA200, however, there is still a high distance between two lines, in which sense, the potential cross is still not in store. Looking at charts, there is one interesting formation, related to a clear supporting line connecting lows from end of February and end of July this year. It collides perfectly also with recent lows of the currency pair. At 1,1750 level this line was clearly tested, opening the space for a reversal toward the upside. In this sense, there is a higher probability that the market will test resistance at 1,18 during the week ahead. On the other hand, if the market decides to take the path toward the downside, then 1,1750 should be watched. If this level is broken toward the downside, then the next level that eurusd will target in the coming period is 1,16 support. It should also be considered that the week ahead brings PCE data for August, which again might trigger some lower volatility. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: HCOB Manufacturing PMI flash for September in Germany and the Euro Zone, Ifo Business Climate in Germany for September, GfK Consumer Confidence in Germany for October, USD: S&P Global Composite PMI Flash in September, Fed Chair Powell speech, New Home Sales in August, Durable Goods Orders in August, GDP Growth rate final for Q2, Existing Home Sales in August, PCE Price Index in August, Personal Consumption and Personal Spending in August, Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for September.
by XBTFX
1
EURUSD Strengthens in Upward Channel: Next Target at 1.19850?Hello everyone, Ken here! Looking at the current market, it's clear that EURUSD is moving within a strong upward channel. This trend is not only clear but solid, with the next target around 1.19850, a crucial level at the upper boundary of the channel. This gives us confidence that the bullish trend will continue in the near future, though we still need to watch out for some factors. While the main trend is leaning towards the buyers, we know the market never moves in a straight line without adjustments. A short-term pullback could happen, and this would present a great opportunity for us to enter, especially if strong bullish candlestick patterns, like engulfing candles, appear to confirm continued buying strength. If the price breaks above recent highs, it will further reinforce the bullish momentum, pushing EURUSD toward the next target. However, as we know, nothing is certain. If the price breaks below the lower boundary of the channel, we’ll need to reassess the bullish outlook, as this could signal a potential change in the trend. Remember, what we share here is just our personal opinion—not financial advice. Always double-check your setups and manage your risk carefully before making any trading decisions.
Long
by Kenn_Nguyen
3
And there's the EUR/USD breakoutEUR/USD and DXY did not want to wait around for the FOMC meeting tomorrow. It's been a strong breakout so far with the pair pushing up to a fresh four-year high and at this point, bulls have an open door to make a run on the 1.2000 handle. Leading into this setup and looked at in these posts, there was both a bull pennant and an inverse head and shoulders pattern in-play. That began to give way at the NFP report, with another push appearing in the following week. But it was the Christine Lagarde comment regarding the disinflationary process being over in the Eurozone that gave the pair fundamental motive, and that continues to drive today as the Fed nears the start of a cutting cycle at tomorrow's rate decision. At this point, market expectations are stretched for a very dovish push at the Fed. If we do see the Fed pare that back even just a little bit, there could be reason for EUR/USD bulls and DXY bears to square up, which could offer a pullback in both markets. For EUR/USD, there's support potential at the 1.1830 level which was the prior high, but it's the Fibonacci level at 1.1748 that stands out as it was the 76.4% retracement of that same sequence that helped to catch the lows last week, right around that ECB meeting. It was the 1.1748 level that came into play shortly after, and that's now a spot for bulls to defend - if we do get a pullback at or around tomorrow's FOMC meeting. - js
by FOREXcom
1
UPDATE - EUR/USD Extends Rally as Bullish Structure Holds FirmHi Everyone, A quick update on our EUR/USD idea shared earlier in the week: We saw the anticipated break higher, clearing both the 1.17889 level and the yearly high at 1.18300, which now shifts our focus to the higher levels above. In the near term, any pullbacks are expected to hold above the 1.16550 support, keeping the broader bullish structure intact. The impulsive rally from the 1st August low continues to underpin our bullish outlook on EUR/USD. Our broader view remains unchanged: we expect the pair to continue building momentum for another leg higher. With the decisive break above 1.17889, the focus now turns to the 1.18350–1.19290 zone, and ultimately the 1.20000 handle. We’ll be monitoring price action closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, provided price continues to hold above the key support levels. We’ll keep updating you throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — your support is truly appreciated! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
1