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USDEUR trade ideas

EURUSD | Buying BiasAfter short liquidity hunt there is a buying pressure building up ,. Good evening A new day, a new chart—but the rules remain the same: 📌 Discipline before profits. 📌 Risk management before excitement. 📌 Process before outcome. Winning is normal here because we trade with structure, not emotion. Losses are part of the journey, but discipline keeps the account growing long term. 🚀 Today, enter the market like a professional: calm, patient, and ready. We don’t chase the trade—the trade comes to us. 🔑 Remember: Consistency > Luck. Let’s make today another step toward mastery.
Long
by Greenfireforex
EURUSD Buy Signal triggered on the 4H MA100.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up for almost 2 months and today it is rising after hitting the 4H MA100 (green trend-line). This is technically the bottom of the pattern and potentially the start of its new Bullish Leg. The typical rallies within this pattern have ranged between +1.41% and +1.51%, so expecting a minimum of +1.41% is valid. Our Target is 1.18900. On a side-note, the 4H RSI has also rebounded on its own Support Zone, strengthening the current Buy Signal. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1779 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.1759 Safe Stop Loss - 1.1790 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
EURUSD Trade IdeaBias: Bullish (continuation to the upside). Current Context: Price failed to close below last week’s low, holding structure. A demand zone has been respected at market open, initiating an upward move. A strong bullish engulfing candle formed, leaving behind an imbalance (FVG). Key Observations: The initial entry from the demand zone is already missed. However, the imbalance/FVG offers a potential retest area for re-entry. Trade Scenarios: Long Opportunity (preferred): Wait for price to retest the imbalance / demand area. Look for bullish confirmations (CHOCH/BOS on lower TFs, rejection wicks, liquidity sweep). Entry from retest → targeting next highs or liquidity pools above. Invalidation: If price closes below the demand zone/last week’s low, the bullish idea is invalidated.
Long
by yongalino
DeGRAM | EURUSD is testing the support line📊 Technical Analysis ● EUR/USD is consolidating above the key 1.1680–1.1700 support zone, holding within a rising wedge formation. ● Price is positioned to rebound toward 1.1916 resistance, with trendline support underpinning the bullish structure. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Dollar softness persists as markets expect a dovish Fed tone, while Euro gains traction from resilient Eurozone PMI data, supporting upside continuation. ✨ Summary EUR/USD holds above 1.1700 support with bullish momentum targeting 1.1916, supported by technical structure and favorable macro sentiment. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
EUR/USD: Outlook, Catalysts and Q4 2025 Forecast 🔮✨EUR/USD: Outlook, Catalysts and Q4 2025 Forecast 💵 🎯 Q4 2025 Forecast & Range • Base-case: EUR/USD around $1.18–1.22 in Q4 2025, drifting toward ~1.20 by year-end. • Bull case: Faster US slowdown, Fed cuts, euro resilience → test 1.25+. • Bear case: Fed stays hawkish, euro weakens → drop toward 1.15 (with risk down to 1.10–1.12). Upside scenario 🚀: Fed cuts early, ECB steady, risks ease. EUR/USD breaks 1.20, retests 1.22–1.25 zone, option gamma squeezes add momentum. Downside scenario ⚠️: US data strong, Fed stays sticky, crisis drives safe-haven USD. EUR/USD drops below 1.15 → targets 1.10–1.12. On balance: Technicals & positioning favor base/bull outcome. EUR/USD above DMA cluster, sentiment allows more upside. Break >1.18 turns 1.20 into support, opens 1.22–1.25 zone. Invalidation = sharp drop below 1.15. Core thesis: The EUR/USD appears set for a higher range into late 2025 as U.S. dollar exceptionalism fades 💵➡️💶. Markets price a Fed pivot – several rate cuts penciled in by early 2026 – against an ECB that is nearly done easing. That narrows the US–EU rate gap and should weaken the dollar 📉. At the same time, softer US growth/inflation and global portfolio shifts away from US assets may further tilt the balance toward the euro 🌍. Conversely, any U.S. data surprises or policy hiccups could bolster the greenback ⚡. Our baseline view sees EUR/USD around 1.18–1.22 in Q4 2025, roughly mid‐range of consensus forecasts 📊. 📉 EUR/USD daily chart (2023–2025) with key support at ~1.15 and resistance near 1.18–1.20. The pair has traded in a ~1.14–1.18 range since early 2025. A decisive break above 1.18 could target ~1.20–1.22 upper trendline, while a drop below 1.15 might reopen ~1.10. ________________________________________ 🔍🌐 Macro & Policy Drivers • 💡 Fed vs. ECB monetary policy (10/10): By late 2025 the Fed is widely expected to start cutting rates possibly two 25bps cuts in Q4 2025, terminal ~3.5% by 2026, whereas the ECB has nearly finished its easing cycle. A shrinking interest gap ECB depo ~1.75%, Fed funds ~3.5% supports the euro. In short, Fed pivot = USD softening. • 📊 US economic momentum (9/10): Any further slowdown or disinflation in the U.S. will prompt Fed easing sooner, undermining the dollar. Conversely, surprisingly strong US data inflation above target, resilient GDP/jobs could keep rates higher longer, capping EUR/USD gains. • 🇪🇺 Eurozone fundamentals (8/10): Europe’s recovery – aided by lower energy costs – is improving. Eurozone GDP is running around ~1–1.5% and inflation is near target, so the ECB likely pauses on cuts. Any signs of renewed growth or fiscal stimulus in the EU e.g. German budget support would bolster EUR. On the other hand, fresh euro-area weakness or political instability could dent the euro. • 🏛️ US political/fiscal factors (7/10): Trade and tax policy continue to influence flows. A reported US–China tariff “ceasefire” has already eased pressure on global trade, but any renewed tariff battles could renew safe-haven USD demand. Meanwhile, US fiscal pressures debt ceiling fights, deficit spending or threats like Section 899 taxing foreign holders of US assets could undermine confidence in the dollar. • ⚔️ Geopolitical risks (6/10): War and geopolitical events tend to drive safe-haven flows. For example, any de-escalation in Ukraine/Middle East risk would remove a bid under USD and help EUR. Conversely, a severe global shock or “risk-off” event e.g. new conflict could rerate USD up. • 📅 Seasonality & flows (4/10): Historically, EUR/USD often sees end-of-year inflows year-end rebalancing and sometimes a modest Q4 rally. Some seasonal analyses note late-November/December strength institutions locking in positions. Weaker USD around year-end if it materializes would amplify this. • 📉 Options and positioning (4/10): Large options strikes and dealer hedging can accentuate moves. For example, heavy call skew on EUR/USD tends to make gains self-reinforcing via delta-hedging. Conversely, if open interest clusters into puts at key levels, dips could be cushioned. ________________________________________ 📈🧭 Technical Roadmap EUR/USD is currently in a multi-month range ∼1.14–1.18. The recent price action shows anchored VWAPs and moving averages 20/50/100-DMA ≈1.153–1.168 converging in that band. • 🚀 Resistance: Clear supply sits ~1.18–1.18 top of range. A daily close above ~1.182 could trigger a move toward 1.20–1.22. Above 1.22, next fib-derived targets near ~1.25. • 🛡️ Support: Immediate support is the 1.161 pivot 50-DMA and then ~1.153 100-DMA. A break below ~1.153 would expose ~1.147 and open 1.10–1.12 psychological and last year’s lows. Below ~1.10, USD strength could dominate. • ⚡ Momentum: RSI and ADX are modest, implying the range could persist until a trigger. A bullish path would need clear Fed dovish hints to break out. A breakout could show the classic “impulse → pause → trend” rhythm. ________________________________________ 🌀🤖 Advanced Models & Cycles Quant techniques also point to a stronger euro ahead: • Fourier-cycle analysis of FX data shows multi-month oscillations (~1–2 years). Mean-reversion cycles suggest the early-2025 USD bounce might flip into a euro-positive Q4. • Neural-network/ML models trained on macro + technical inputs often flag Fed/ECB divergence and seasonality. Academic LSTM studies have shown strong results for EUR/USD direction forecasting. ________________________________________ 🚀 Key Catalysts (Ranked 0–10) 🔑 • 🔟 Fed rate path: The timing/magnitude of Fed cuts is THE driver. Early or larger Fed cuts vs. ECB hold would lift EUR/USD. • 🔟 U.S. economic data: Inflation surprises CPI, PCE and jobs/GDP data move expectations fast. • 🔟 ECB stance: ECB rhetoric and inflation. Stability or hawkishness boosts EUR. • 🟫 US political/fiscal moves: Trade policy, deficit fights, and Section 899 proposals could weaken USD. • 🟩 Eurozone growth & policy: Strong EU growth or fiscal stimulus = bullish EUR. Severe slowdown = bearish EUR. • 🟨 Geopolitical shocks: Escalation boosts USD; de-escalation helps EUR. • 🟦 Energy/commodity prices: High oil hurts EU, boosts USD. • 🟧 Seasonal flows: Q4 rebalancing often lifts EUR modestly. • 🟪 Options positioning: Dealer hedging around strikes magnifies moves. • ⬛ Euro-area politics: Local risks e.g. Italian budgets, German politics. ________________________________________ 🏦📊 Analysts & Institutional Forecasts • JP Morgan: ~1.20 by Q4 2025, ~1.22 mid-2026. • ING: ~1.20 end-2025, ~1.22 in 2026. • UBS: 1.21 end-2025, 1.23 mid-2026. • Morgan Stanley: ~1.25 by Q2 2026 bull case 1.30. • Goldman Sachs: ~1.20 (12M). • Consensus: ~1.15 reflecting caution if Fed cuts are delayed. Summary: The prevailing view is a weaker dollar into 2026. Most big banks have upgraded EUR/USD targets since 2024. Consensus for Dec 2025 clusters 1.15–1.25, with top banks leaning 1.20+.
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
55
EURUSD Daily Forecast - Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25| Q3 | W39 | D22 | Y25| 📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD: wedge narrowing with downside targets in sightOn the daily chart, EURUSD has formed a rising wedge pattern, and the current price action indicates readiness for a decline. Attempts to hold above 1.1800 have failed, pressure has increased, and last week’s close can be viewed as a potential false breakout. The first downside target is at 1.1413, where a strong support level lies. Further targets may shift to 1.0750 and 1.0480 levels that have accumulated significant volume over the past few months. A full breakdown of the wedge would give momentum to the bearish scenario and increase pressure on the euro. From a fundamental perspective, the picture remains mixed: the 200 EMA capping from above and the sideways movement in the dollar index confirm the likelihood of euro weakness, but every pullback continues to be aggressively bought, preventing a collapse. If the dollar gains additional support from US macroeconomic data or Federal Reserve policy, the bearish scenario will become dominant.
Short
by InvestWorld_777
EUR/USD – Volume MapPrice is still holding a bullish lower range between 1.16595 and 1.19187. The main volume distribution sits mid-range, and today’s action feels like absorption—market makers testing liquidity rather than chasing a breakout. Key trigger to watch: If sellers push into the 1.17365 volume node, it opens the door for a deeper move toward the lower end of the range. Stay nimble; if that node holds, we could just grind sideways. Macro side-note: Dollar sentiment remains shaky after a 10% drop in 1H 2025 and growing chatter about fiscal risks and gold hedges. European investors have been keeping more capital at home, which can add undercurrents of euro support even when U.S. data wobbles. Bottom line: 1.17365 is the battleground. Break and hold below → watch for fresh lows. Hold and absorb → range trade continues.
Long
by CORE5DAN
EURUSD Will Go Higher! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.174. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.191 level soon. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1