EURUSD BEARISHOn the 4H timeframe, EURUSD is currently reacting around a key supply zone.
🔴 Supply Zone (1.1730 – 1.1760):
Price rejected this area previously with strong selling pressure.
Price is now retesting this zone, where sellers are likely to defend again.
🔵 Demand Zone (1.1584):
This is the next major support where buyers previously stepped in.
It remains the logical take profit target for shorts.
USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD - short opportunity EURUSD - this last up move just ahead of the NY session feels a lot like a "pump and dump" move before the drop (with no fraudulent meaning of course!).
Therefore, given the high price and given where the structure is, we will be putting a sell order at around 1.1687 with a stop loss above the high of the last 30 min candle, ahead of the news for the NFP data. Target around the 1.158 area developing in multiple days.
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EURUSDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Euro holds firm as dollar slips on Fed cut betsEuro holds firm as dollar slips on Fed cut bets
The euro traded near $1.167, steady despite U.S. dollar weakness fueled by soft labor data. Private payrolls rose 54,000 in August versus 65,000 expected, job openings fell to 7.18 million, the lowest since September 2024, and jobless claims hit a two-month high—signaling a cooling labor market.
Markets now expect a 0.25% Fed rate cut in September, which could further weigh on the dollar and support EUR/USD. Traders should monitor upcoming U.S. data for additional easing signals.
In France, a confidence vote on Prime Minister François Bayrou’s budget plan is unlikely to impact the euro significantly, ING says. Even if Bayrou loses, President Macron is expected to appoint a new centrist or center-right PM with a softer fiscal plan. While political uncertainty remains, it’s largely priced in.
DailySwing: Bullish
Internal: Bearish
Entered the swing discount zone.
Sweep of the internal low, CHoCH, and PBL observed on the 4H timeframe.
Price moved upward with strong candles and encountered the daily supply zone.
Since price has moved up from the discount zone, I expect a potential higher high.
However, after hitting the daily supply, we saw a fake breakout on the 4H, which could push price downward.
For now, the daily trend is ranging and unclear.
EURUSD – Supply and Demand AnalysisOn the 30m timeframe, EURUSD is currently reacting around a key supply zone.
🔴 Supply Zone (1.1703 – 1.1725):
Price rejected this area previously with strong selling pressure.
Price is now retesting this zone, where sellers are likely to defend again.
🔵 Demand Zone (1.1584):
This is the next major support where buyers previously stepped in.
It remains the logical take profit target for shorts.
EUR/USD | 1H Outlook – Supply & Demand📊 Current Price Action
Price reacting from Seller’s Zone (1.1700 region).
🔻 Short-Term Expectation
Retracement likely towards Buyer’s Zones at 1.1670 – 1.1640.
🔺 Bullish Scenario
If buyers defend demand, price may push back into 1.1700 supply.
⚡ Market Structure
BOS → CHoCH → Possible continuation lower unless demand holds.
✅ Trading Plan
Watch for reactions at marked zones.
Scalping and swing opportunities available.
⚠️ Reminder
Trade what you see, not what you expect.
Always manage risk.
EUR/USD – Inside the Cloud, Awaiting a BreakoutOn the H1 chart, EUR/USD is consolidating within the Ichimoku cloud. Both Tenkan and Kijun are flat, while Chikou Span hovers close to price – a textbook sign of equilibrium after strong volatility.
The setup has created two balanced FVG boxes: a supply zone at 1.1675–1.1690 (aligned with the upper edge of the cloud) and a demand zone at 1.1635–1.1625 (the most recent green FVG). As long as price stays between these boxes, mean-reversion around 1.165 is the likely scenario with short swings up and down.
Trading outlook: A clean H1 close above 1.1690 would open space toward 1.1715–1.1730, and possibly 1.1760. Conversely, a break below 1.1625 that pushes price out of the cloud could trigger a slide to 1.1600 and further to 1.1585, the latest swing low.
EURUSD Is Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.168.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.164 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EUR/USD - BULL Trend Phase Positioned to Launch?Dear Friends in Trading,
NFP Today - Be safe!
Update:
We are monitoring the potential for a new trending phase on 1D TF.
Trend phase has the potential to launch.
An igniter candle on smaller TF might be a catalyst: 1HR - 4HR
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
EURUSD H1: Breakout or Reversal at 1.1700?🔎 Price Action & Structure Analysis:
🔹After the previous sharp decline, the price bottomed out around 1.1610 – 1.1620 and then bounced back up.
🔹Currently, EURUSD is forming a higher lows (HL) and higher highs (HH) structure → the short-term trend on H1 is turning bullish.
🔹The most recent candles show good bullish momentum, the candle range is widening, closing near the peak → the buyers are dominating.
📌 Important Support & Resistance Zones:
🔹Nearby resistance: 1.1700 – 1.1715 (peak before the sharp decline, possibly a short-term profit-taking zone).
🔹Faraway resistance: 1.1750 – 1.1770 (stronger supply zone).
🔹Nearby support: 1.1645 – 1.1655 (most recent small bottom).
🔹Strong support: 1.1610 – 1.1620 (important bottom zone, if broken, the short-term uptrend will be lost).
📈 Swing Trade scenario in the next few days:
1. Main scenario (priority): Continue to increase:
🔹If the price holds above the support zone of 1.1645 – 1.1655, it is likely to test 1.1700 – 1.1715.
🔹If there is a strong breakout, the next target could be 1.1750 – 1.1770.
✅ Suggestion: Buy when the price retests the zone of 1.1650 – 1.1660, stop loss below 1.1620, take profit around 1.1710 – 1.1750.
2. Alternative scenario (falling back):
🔹If the price is strongly rejected at 1.1700 and a reversal candle appears, EURUSD may return to test 1.1650, even breaking down to 1.1610.
✅ Suggestion: Sell when there is a clear bearish signal around 1.1700, stop loss above 1.1720, take profit at 1.1650 – 1.1620.
EURUSD H4 | Bearish reversal in playThe Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 1.1677, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1718, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 1.1634, which is a pullback support.
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The Day Ahead - US Employment Friday September 5
Data: US August jobs report, UK July retail sales, Japan July labor cash earnings, household spending, leading index, coincident index, Germany July factory orders, France July trade balance, current account balance, Italy July retail sales, Canada August jobs report
Central banks: Fed's Goolsbee speaks
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