Long Term Euro AnalysesDue to Macro-Economic Factors i have an extrmeely Negative Bias for Europe.
Euro
inception - 2008: Strong uptrend (trendline up) + Peak 2008
2008 - 2020: initiating downtrend - Finding support at the uptrend - finding resistence at Downtrend #1
2020 - Now: Indecisiveness
Creating new downtend (blue line).
In 2022 it went below parity 1-1 signaling Weakness .
Right now sep 2025 it is touching the blue downtrend line again. It could find resitence here.
IF it would brake trough the blue downtrend, i am looking at the supplied levels for resistence.
Shifting to dollars now i asume is safe. risking a short term FX pain off 4%-6%.
I have 2 agressive downtrend lines for the future and 2 less agressive ones.
Target: 0.85
USDEUR trade ideas
EURUSD after the FEDYesterday, the Fed cut interest rates by 0.25%.
This move was fully expected and already priced in, which is why the USD strengthened and a correction began.
Key support levels to watch are 1,1718 and 1,1594.
Keep an eye on how price reacts at these levels for potential new opportunities.
EUR/USD Bullish Continuation in Play — How High Can It Go?💶 EUR/USD “THE FIBRE” | Forex Money Liquidity Hunt Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 📊💼
📈 Trading Plan: Bullish Bias
Setup: Demand Zone 🔥 + Heikin Ashi Doji reversal confirmed 🟢 + Re-Accumulation spotted (buyers stepping in).
Narrative: Market showing strong intent from bulls, eyeing higher liquidity pools 🏦.
🎯 Entry Strategy (Layering Method)
We don’t chase — we layer! 🧑💼
Multiple limit orders (layered entries) can be set around these levels:
1.16500
1.16750
1.17000
1.17250
1.17500
(Traders may adjust / expand layering based on their style ✅).
🛡️ Stop Loss Guidance
Example SL: 1.16000 (below demand zone structure).
⚠️ Note: Adjust based on your own risk tolerance + strategy — flexibility is key.
🎯 Target Zone
Key Resistance: ~1.19500 ⚔️
Momentum shows overbought risk + possible liquidity trap in that area 🚨.
Best practice: Secure profits early, scale out gradually.
🔑 Key Notes for Traders
This is not financial advice 🚫. Manage risk, adapt levels, and trade safe.
Targets/SL shared are reference points only — every trader is responsible for their own execution.
🌍 Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:EURGBP : Often mirrors EUR strength but reacts slower — useful for cross confirmation.
FX:USDJPY : Inverse correlation with risk appetite; USD weakness here may boost EUR/USD.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Always track! If TVC:DXY drops, EUR/USD usually pushes higher.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#EURUSD #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #HeikinAshi #LiquidityHunt #LayeringStrategy #TradingPlan #PriceAction #DemandZone
EURUSD Bullish Impulse Structure Signals Further GainsThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for EURUSD indicates an ongoing impulsive cycle that began on August 27. From that low, the pair has been advancing in a nested impulse structure. Wave ((i)) concluded at 1.1736, followed by a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)), which bottomed at 1.1605. The internal structure of wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag pattern. Specifically, wave (a) declined to 1.161, wave (b) rallied to 1.1682, and wave (c) completed the correction at 1.1606, finalizing wave ((ii)) in the higher degree.
The pair has since resumed its upward trajectory within wave ((iii)). From the wave ((ii)) low, wave i peaked at 1.1682, with a subsequent dip in wave ii ending at 1.1627. Wave iii surged to 1.1759, followed by a wave iv pullback to 1.1689. The advance in wave v reached 1.178, completing wave (i) in the higher degree. A corrective wave (ii) followed, forming a zigzag that ended at 1.1658. The pair then resumed its ascent in wave (iii), with wave i reaching 1.1746 and wave ii correcting to 1.1698. In the near term, as long as the pivot low at 1.1606 holds, any dips should find support in a 3, 7, or 11 swing, signaling further upside potential.
EUR-USD Long From Rising Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is making a
Nice bearish correction
After the FED's decision
Crazy trading but now
The pair is close to the
Rising support line so
After the retest we will
Be expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURU/USD Sell to Buy idea: (1.18000 towards 1.16900)This week, EU looks very similar to GU, with potential for a short-term sell before continuing higher. Price is currently sitting near a 3hr supply zone that previously caused a BOS to the downside. If price reacts from here, we could see a bearish retracement down into the 4hr demand zone.
From there, I’ll be looking for price to accumulate and continue its bullish trend with a fresh leg to the upside.
Confluences for Sell-to-Buy Setup:
- Strong bullish trend could retrace back to demand
- 3hr supply zone above that caused a BOS to the downside
- 4hr demand zone below remains unmitigated
- DXY near a demand zone, supporting a potential pullback
- Price slowing down, showing signs of reacting to supply
P.S. If price consolidates lower and respects the 4hr demand, I’ll be looking for buys to catch the next bullish move.
EURUSD Short: Rejection from Channel ResistanceHello, traders! The price auction for EURUSD has been in a bullish phase, with the market structure being defined by a large upward wedge. This pattern has been guiding the price higher through a series of higher highs and higher lows, but such formations often signal that the underlying trend is losing momentum and may be approaching a point of exhaustion.
Currently, the price action is at a critical inflection point, testing the upper resistance line of this multi-week wedge. The auction is being squeezed into the apex of the pattern, a situation that typically precedes a volatile move. This is a key area where sellers are expected to challenge the bullish initiative and attempt to take control.
The primary scenario anticipates a bearish resolution to this upward wedge. The expectation is that the price will be rejected from the resistance line, triggering a sharp reversal. This move is expected to have sufficient momentum to break down below the wedge's ascending support line, confirming a structural shift. The take-profit for this breakdown scenario is therefore set at the 1.16800 support level, which is also the upper boundary of the current demand zone. Manage your risk!
EUR/USD - Champion Indicator of Global Economic HealthDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it on a 12HR Time Frame.
Volume Based Supply & Demand Areas:
They may look small on 12H, but the volume accumulation between all of them is gigantic.
I've given exact coordinates FYI.
Trend:
Bull trend holding multiple touch downs since April this year.
Potential for BULL Break-Out: (My opinion)
Very High - Strong breach and hold required above 1.18000
Large liquidity pool indicated as potential target.
Potential for BEAR Break-Out: (My opinion)
Low - But not impossible.
Strong breach and hold required below prevailing trend.
Target = 1.14000, strong demand area
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
EURUSD – Wave Analysis OutlookEURUSD is trading near 1.1765, showing a layered corrective structure. Key points and trade implications are summarized below.
Structure – Primary Read (Blue W–X–Y)
Off the lows, price is in a multi-leg corrective advance, forming a blue W–X–Y sequence. The current push higher is likely the X wave completing before a larger decline.
Key Fibonacci levels for the X top: –0.236 = 1.1808, 1.000 = 1.1915, –0.618 = 1.1936.
Momentum: RSI 4H ≈ 69–70, signaling short-term overbought conditions.
Alternate X-wave Detail – Flat vs Running Flat
Depending on the Fed rate: X could be a regular flat or a running flat.
Strong Fed reaction may extend X slightly above the Fibonacci cluster before reversal; muted/dovish reaction likely caps near the cluster.
Price Path
Primary path: rally into 1.1808–1.1936, exhaustion/rejection, then drop into the Y leg.
X-wave can show choppy swings (triangle/flat alternation) before the final top.
Invalidation: sustained break above ~1.1936 shifts outlook to bullish.
Trade Triggers
Bearish triggers: rejection at 1.1808–1.1936, bearish engulfing candle, failure to hold –0.236 (1.1808), or 4H RSI divergence.
Secondary confirmation: break of short-term rising support trendline.
Catalyst: Fed decision. Trade only after technical confirmation, not headline.
Targets
After confirmed rejection, expect multi-leg downside to 1.14–1.13.
Interim supports: 1.165–1.155 for partial reactions.
Invalidation & Bullish Scenario
Invalidation: 4H/daily close above ~1.195 negates the bearish count → reassess for higher targets or extended X-wave.
Risk & Execution Notes
Wait for technical confirmation before shorting.
Place stops above 1.195 cluster if shorting.
Watch for RSI and price divergences for early top clues.
👉 Plan (Bias) : Short-bias: look for rejection from 1.1808–1.1936 or break of short-term support.
Primary downside target: 1.14–1.13.
Invalidation: sustained break above ~1.195.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This outlook is my personal wave analysis and shared for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk — always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
Waiting for a signal above 1.172, EURUSD ready to break outHello everyone,
On H1, EURUSD recently dropped to 1.169 before bouncing back with a long lower wick – a sign that buying support is still present. Price is now pressing the Ichimoku cloud edge, near the 1.170–1.171 balance zone. Above, there is a layered FVG supply from 1.172 → 1.176–1.178; below are supports around 1.169–1.168, deeper at 1.166 (old FVG bottom).
My technical view: I lean slightly bullish as long as price stays above 1.168. If an H1 candle closes above 1.1715–1.172 (fully escaping the cloud), the retracement could push up to 1.174 and test 1.176. Conversely, a close below 1.166 would signal weak rebound momentum, with a risk of returning to 1.162.
Regarding news, this week is quite heavy with US PPI today, US CPI tomorrow, followed by jobless claims and the ECB press conference. If US data is soft, the USD may ease, providing tailwind for EURUSD to break 1.172–1.174; hot data could increase supply pressure above, likely dragging price back to 1.169–1.168 to test buying strength.
What about you? Do you think EURUSD will break above 1.172 immediately, or will it revisit 1.168 first? Comment below with your view!
EUR/USD potential bullish continuationIt appears eur/usd could be recovering from this downtrend recently, over the past couple of days it has shown an uptrend. On the weekly timeframe it is showing a lot of potential for growth, not to mention it is getting near to the weekly resistance level. The pair is dropping to the support zone and could become bullish soon.
EURUSD – H1 Trading Scenario
EURUSD is currently testing the rising trendline resistance, which also coincides with a prior liquidity accumulation zone during the previous bearish leg. A reaction from this area is highly likely.
That said, the corrective phase is not yet over, and several Fibonacci retracement levels remain untested. This leaves room to continue expecting further upside momentum.
The plan is to look for buy opportunities at zones where liquidity gaps (FVG) appear, with stops placed at nearby support levels. On the other hand, sell setups will be considered at Fibonacci retracement levels, prioritising short-term profit taking through scalping.
Trading Scenarios
Buy Setup
Entry: 1.1750 – 1.1760
Stop Loss: 1.1720
Take Profit: 1.1785 – 1.1810 – 1.1855
Sell Setup
Entry: 1.1820 – 1.1830
Stop Loss: 1.1860
Take Prfit: 1.1790 – 1.1765 – 1.1730 – 1.1710
You can use this scenario as a reference to shape your own trading plan. Stay tuned for my next updates to catch new setups in real time.
EURO FUTURES (6E) – Weekly Structural OutlookBias: Short (Macro Caution)
Structural Context
Price is currently trading above the 75% Premium line, signaling overvaluation within the weekly dealing range.
To extend this framework, we can introduce the concept of “Extreme Premium”, symmetrical to the Deep Discount (75%), projected at 75% of the top range. This acts as an upper extension where distribution probability increases significantly.
Current Structure
The latest move may be interpreted as local re-accumulation (if institutions continue adding to longs, supported by the Fed rate cut).
However, given the relative price location (extreme premium), the probability of distribution grows, especially if supply zones on the weekly timeframe show rejection and sustained buying volume fails.
Flow Reversal Confirmation
For the weekly bias to shift decisively to Short, we would need:
Clear institutional pressure in COT reports – net positioning flipping from long to short by asset managers.
Break of the daily dealing range, confirming demand failure.
Rising volatility (EVZ) to reinforce regime transition.
👉 Summary:
Structurally, the Euro is in overvaluation territory (>75% premium).
Without confirmation from COT positioning, it is premature to assume broad distribution.
A valid short bias requires notable institutional reversal plus a daily dealing range break.
EUR/USD 1H Analysis Bullish Breakout Via Ascending Traingle Timeframe: 1-hour chart.
Pair: Euro/U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD).
Pattern: Ascending Triangle.
Price Action: Price is showing an upward movement after consolidating within the ascending triangle pattern. The Ichimoku cloud is shaded green below price, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Target: Target 1 is marked at 1.1904.
Exit: An exit point is noted on the chart.
Unlocking EUR's Value: A Data-Driven Analysis of Macro Factors📊 EURUSD Technical Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀💶💵
Asset Class: EURUSD (CFD) Closing Price: 1.17432 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Technical Overview
Trend Context: EURUSD has been consolidating near 1.1740, with mixed signals across short- and mid-term charts.
Momentum Check: RSI (H1/H4) → Neutral, close to 50 ⚖️
Volatility: Bollinger Bands tightening → Expect breakout soon 💥
Volume Flow: Anchored VWAP → Buyers defending 1.1720 📈
🕵️ Chart Patterns & Theories
Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction nearing completion – possible Wave 5 uptrend. 🌊
Wyckoff: Signs of re-accumulation in H4 range. 📦
Ichimoku: Price hovering near cloud → watch for bullish breakout ☁️
Gann Levels: Key resistance around 1.1785, support at 1.1700 ⏳
H&S Watch: No clear head & shoulders yet, but traps possible around 1.1760/1.1720 ⚠️
📈 Intraday Levels (Next 24–48H)
🔹 Buy Zone: 1.1710 – 1.1730 (tight stop below 1.1690)
🎯 Targets: 1.1760 → 1.1785
🔻 Sell Zone: 1.1785 – 1.1805 (stop above 1.1825)
🎯 Targets: 1.1745 → 1.1720
📊 Swing Trading Outlook (Weekly)
Bullish Scenario: Sustained break above 1.1805 → eyeing 1.1880 – 1.1925 🌟
Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below 1.1690 → drop toward 1.1625 – 1.1580 🕳️
⚖️ Strategy Recap
Intraday: Range trading between 1.1720 – 1.1785 🎯
Swing: Watch breakout levels for trend confirmation 🚀 or ❌
🌍 Market Context
Geopolitics & ECB vs Fed divergence → driving sentiment.
Dollar Index (DXY) consolidation near highs → closely linked.
📌 Key Takeaways
✅ Buy dips near 1.1710–30, target 1.1760–85.
✅ Sell rallies near 1.1785–1.1805, target 1.1720.
⚠️ Major breakout zones: Above 1.1805 = bullish 🚀 | Below 1.1690 = bearish ⛔
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup from Downtrend Channel (30m)”Chart Pattern
The price has been moving in a downward channel (red shaded area).
Recently, it touched the support level around 1.1766 – 1.1733 and is showing signs of slowing bearish momentum.
The setup suggests a potential bullish reversal if the support holds.
2. Key Levels
Support Zone: 1.1766 – 1.1733
Entry Point: Around 1.1766 (marked on chart)
Stop Loss: Below 1.1733
Target Point: 1.1919
3. Risk/Reward
Risk: ~33 pips (from 1.1766 down to 1.1733)
Reward: ~153 pips (from 1.1766 up to 1.1919)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 1:4.6 (very favorable)
4. Trade Idea
Buy Setup: If price confirms a bounce from the support zone (1.1766 area), a long trade could be valid.
Stop Loss: Keep it just below 1.1733 (to avoid false breakdowns).
Take Profit: 1.1919.
5. Notes
Watch for a confirmation candle (bullish engulfing, pin bar, or strong rejection) before entry.
If the price breaks below 1.1733, the bullish setup is invalid, and further downside may occur.
👉 In short: This chart is showing a potential bullish reversal setup after a downtrend channel, with a very good risk-to-reward ratio if the support holds.
EURUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1779
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1759
Safe Stop Loss - 1.1790
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK